Kyneton (VIC) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 12:50 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Kyneton (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 4 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 4 NovKyneton (VIC)Change

Race 9 — Prendergast Earthmoving (Bm62) 1203m · jumps Wed 4 Nov, 5:30 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Kyneton for the final race on the card, the Prendergast Earthmoving Benchmark 62 Handicap over 1203m. Showers have left us with a testing Heavy 10 track, adding an extra layer of intrigue for punters sorting through the form line. Looking at the win market order, Extreme Turbo leads the way as the shortest-priced runner, closely followed by Please Me Do, Colt Forty Five, Titan's Spirit, Sub Gauge, Ryanman, and Tomanado rounding out the market string. Race time is set for 5:30 pm AEDT, and navigating this surface will require plenty of grit from whoever takes out the yarn.

The shorter-priced runners bring some fascinating form lines into this heavy test. Extreme Turbo comes in off a let-up following a fine debut win at Hamilton over 1100m on a soft track where it sat close to the lead. Patrick Moloney takes the mount for trainer M M Laurie, and the stable is performing well with their recent runners. Meanwhile, Please Me Do is battle-hardened and fit from racing, having put in a pretty good effort in defeat at this course last time out when finishing third behind a couple of handy types. Colt Forty Five also placed at Kyneton recently under sustained support, though this assignment asks a bit more following a tougher run at Warrnambool prior.

Looking a little deeper into the race dynamics, speed maps show Ryanman pushing forward as the leader, while Sub Gauge maps on pace to apply pressure. For punters hunting value further down the market, Tomanado brings some solid winning form from earlier preps and recorded the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start, though it has to contend with a tricky speed map from barrier six. With the heavy conditions likely to test stamina over the 1203m trip, sorting the genuine mudders from the pretenders will be the key to landing the winner before stumps.

Race notes

3yo+,BM62,BM62 HCP,Benchmark 62
HEAVY10
Showers
7 runners

Shortest win price

Colt Forty Five (16)

4.00

Most career wins

Tomanado

6-2-2 from 33 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

15Please Me Do

Midfield

17Titan's Spirit
18Tomanado

Offpace

7Extreme Turbo
16Colt Forty Five

Onpace

2Sub Gauge

Leader

5Ryanman

Sub Gauge · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Ryanman · Negative
Jockey Booking
Amy Herrmann current POT is 23% below Career Avg.
Extreme Turbo · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides
Please Me Do · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Bold BordeauxScratched14––––

Career

6: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 2-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
2: 1-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1215m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 2-0-0

Last starts

9Geelong1100m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD42.13L
4Ballarat1000m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44L
1Sale1006m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.2
5Bendigo800m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)6.1L
4Sale1206m11 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD42.3L
5Sandown1200m10 Dec 2025 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD42.7L
1Kyneton1215m18 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.3

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 52%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes in good form, out performing market 52%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 39% POT in L100 Runners
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Held midfield spot, couldn't summon enough late at Geelong. Won only other time at Kyneton. Can play a role with even breaks.

ILB

At $8.50 didn't find the line when 9th last run at Geelong.

Possesses winning form at this track; respectable ninth at Geelong over 5½f (handicap) last month; has wins in his back catalogue so likely to be in contention.

RSIS

Odds of 15/2 and faded to finish 9th last time at Geelong.

2Sub GaugeJ: Jake Noonan·T: David & Coral Feek361.5kg8 10 5 7 126: 4-2-3$11.00$3.80

Career

26: 4-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
6: 0-1-1
Second-up
5: 2-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Wangaratta
3: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
3: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1204m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1243m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
9: 1-1-2
Going Soft
7: 3-1-0

Last starts

1Bairnsdale1200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT7-2.75
7Mornington1200m17 Sept 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD42.51L
5Moe1208m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY83.7L
10Seymour1200m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT77.4L
8Echuca1200m24 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY97.7L
1Bairnsdale1200m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT7-5.3
3Moe1008m18 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY94.3L
4Traralgon1100m30 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY91.4L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

All honours in the small field at Bairnsdale. Leads, handy. Stiffer task now but has momentum.

ILB

Made every post a winner to win by 2 3/4L last start at Bairnsdale but testing ability against stronger contenders. Expecting a strong showing.

Successful by just under 3l (Bairnsdale) last month; despite that Bairnsdale success, may be vulnerable.

RSIS

Assumed control from the start when winning by 2 3/4L last run at Bairnsdale but taking on stronger rivals. Must respect.

3Thinking SensationScratched9––––

Career

15: 3-3-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-2-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Donald
1: 1-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-1
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1429m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 2-2-2
Going Soft
2: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
3: 0-1-1

Last starts

3Bendigo1300m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.75L
1Coleraine1300m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD3-1
8Ballarat Synthetic1400m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.4L
2Ballarat Synthetic1200m11 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC0.1L
1Coleraine1300m19 July 2026 · BM56 HWGT · SOFT5-1.3
8Werribee1429m12 Jan 2026 · BM56 · GOOD36.7L
2Yarra Valley1514m19 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD32.5L
1Donald1350m2 Dec 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-2

Insights

Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Relinquished lead but did enough to place in the 3yo+ (Bm62) at Bendigo. Can dictate. In the placings only prior run here. Can challenge again.

ILB

Showed strength on the speed initially before fading at the end 3rd last start at Bendigo. Racing consistently this prep.

On the premises when third of eight over 6½f at Bendigo (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Couldn't keep the pace going when 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L last start at Bendigo.

4Holding CaptiveScratched6––––

Career

5: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-2-0
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1235m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-2-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0

Last starts

2Cranbourne1200m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.25L
8Caulfield Heath1200m27 May 2026 · 3Y BM64 · SOFT73.9L
1Echuca1200m11 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT5-0.5
7Seymour1300m26 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT59.4L
2Geelong1235m22 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.1L
1Caulfield Heath1000m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

Trailed pace and kicked strongly at Cranbourne off spell. Fitter second-up. Must be considered.

ILB

Right up there last time at Cranbourne and putting a tidy record together so far.

Went close when second (Cranbourne) 19 days ago.

RSIS

Missed by a narrow margin last run at Cranbourne and good career start.

5RyanmanJ: Amy Herrmann·T: M & L Cerchi159.5kg3 5 1 8 318: 2-3-5$9.00$3.60

Career

18: 2-3-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-2
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-2
Track Kilmore
3: 0-0-2
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-0-1
Track Kyneton
6: 1-2-1
Distance 1421m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2012m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1203m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
12: 2-2-4
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

3Kilmore1207m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP CG&E BM56 HCP · GOOD44L
8Kilmore2012m15 May 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT612.2L
1Kyneton1894m23 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.8
5Seymour1600m13 Apr 2026 · BM56 · SOFT55.9L
3Cranbourne1600m20 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD34.3L
2Kyneton1459m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD40.3L
3Kyneton1479m27 Feb 2026 · BM56 · SOFT62.6L
7Cranbourne1400m13 Feb 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · GOOD35L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Amy Herrmann current POT is 23% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -24%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 41% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kept working to line behind dominant winner at Kilmore off long spell. Looks up against it.

ILB

Finished well when 3rd last time at Kilmore and will appreciate a good barrier. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Competing at a higher level of competition. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

Has won at this track; displayed a fair level of form when 4l third at Kilmore three weeks ago.

RSIS

Was strong late when 3rd beaten by 4L last run at Kilmore and has the ideal stall. Won't be far away during the run. Challenged by more formidable competitors. Can win.

6Blaze AwayScratched8––––

Career

10: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1205m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
4: 2-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1

Last starts

5Seymour1000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.4L
11Sale1205m28 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY86.3L
5Caulfield Heath1200m27 May 2026 · 3Y BM64 · SOFT71.1L
7Bendigo1100m13 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD43.2L
10Geelong1125m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.7L
6Ballarat1000m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.1L
1Caulfield1100m12 Nov 2025 · 3YF BM64 · SOFT6-1
1Moe1100m19 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Billy Egan 32% above market expected in L100 Rides

Comments

AAP

Sent out $12 when battled home to finish 5th at Seymour. First time around Kyneton. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Odds of $12.00 and made up ground when 5th last start at Seymour.

He meets the required standard ability wise; not disgraced when fifth of 13 at Seymour over 5f (handicap) dropped back in distance last month; is a player.

RSIS

Was 11/1 and inched into 5th last start at Seymour.

7Extreme TurboJ: Patrick Moloney·T: M M Laurie459kg11: 1-0-0$4.80$2.25

Career

1: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Hamilton1100m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT6-2

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (51-days). Close to lead and left a fine impression in debut win at Hamilton when in the market. Can show up again at fair odds.

ILB

Freshened up. Stormed home to win last start at Hamilton and was on debut last time. Up against stronger competition. Will go close today.

Won by 2l on his debut at Hamilton over 5½f at 9-5 51 days ago; difficult to oppose.

RSIS

Let up. Dashed home to win last start at Hamilton and having second career run. Rising in grade. Very tidy performer.

8Kings CommissionScratched18––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

First-up (20-weeks).

ILB

Back after a spell. Couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last start at Ballarat.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Weakened under pressure when 9th last run at Ballarat.

9Rattle'N'RollScratched3––––

Career

16: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 2-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-2-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-1
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 0-1-1
Distance 1203m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
9: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-1

Last starts

1Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.5
4Tatura850m30 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.2L
7Swan Hill1200m6 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT63.95L
4Wodonga1100m16 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.9L
9Kilmore1200m4 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY97.8L
5Seymour1200m13 Apr 2026 · BM56 · SOFT53.6L
9Caulfield Heath1200m9 Feb 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · GOOD47.7L
4Sandown1300m21 Jan 2026 · BM66 · GOOD46.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 35% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Lachlan King 38% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%
Key Jockey
Positive
Lachlan King winning at 21% POT in last 100 rides
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Determined effort to secure victory this venue off spell. Capable of figuring again.

ILB

Dashed home to win last start around here.

Narrow success in a handicap last month; despite that Kyneton success, not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Ran on strongly to win last run at this track.

10Chasing RainbowsScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (27-weeks). Given time to develop physically and has shown promise in recent jump-outs.. Looks to mean business first-up.

ILB

Resumes after a break of 27 weeks. Won with a leg in the air by 3 1/4L last time at this venue but up in class.

RSIS

First run back from a 27 week break. Gave them a lesson when winning by a margin of 3 1/4L last start around here but competing in a higher grade.

11Miss EllaneousScratched10––––

Career

16: 2-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Bordertown
1: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
5: 1-2-0
Distance 1307m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
7: 1-2-0

Last starts

4Bendigo1300m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34L
8Ballarat1400m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD494.25L
1Bordertown1300m11 Sept 2026 · BM56 · SOFT6-1.3
3Murtoa1200m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY82.8L
11Bendigo1300m25 June 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SOFT64.3L
5Swan Hill1200m7 June 2026 · 3Y BM64 HCP · SOFT52L
2Echuca1300m11 May 2026 · 2UP F&M BM56 HCP · SOFT50.5L
3Stawell1307m17 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD42.5L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Found a spot back off the pace but went backwards when the whips were cracking at Bendigo. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

At $8.50 came in 4th last start at Bendigo.

Finished just behind Thinking Sensation when fourth over 6½f at Bendigo (handicap) last month; trainer has been going through a quiet spell; meeting some horses in good form and is passed over.

RSIS

At 15/2 finished 4th last run at Bendigo.

12Brutal WorldScratched15––––

Career

16: 3-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-1-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-1-0
Track Donald
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 0-1-2
Distance 1104m
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Kyneton1203m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT5-1
1Donald1200m12 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD4-1.8
8Wodonga1100m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY95.6L
11Bairnsdale1000m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT76.2L
9Kyneton1203m31 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD34.3L
4Mornington1200m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.6L
2Mornington1200m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.1L
5Mornington1200m10 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT53L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -50% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 30% POT in L100 Runners
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Shooting for hat-trick. Responded with raking strides to win this course over this journey. Can challenge again.

ILB

Finished well when winning last start at this venue. On a winning streak the last 2 runs.

Bidding for hat-trick; won by 1l four weeks ago; despite that Kyneton success, not easy to fancy.

RSIS

Finished well when winning last run at this track. Unbeaten last 2 runs.

13Posh DiamanteScratched17––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 55% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Phillip & Tommy Stokes striking at just 10%
Key Rider
Positive
Luke Cartwright 48% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (19-weeks). Form honest through last campaign. Placed at Cranbourne first-up last campaign.

ILB

First up and caught the eye when 3rd first up last preparation at Cranbourne. Back to a shorter trip.

RSIS

Resuming and put in a competitive run when placing 3rd resuming last preparation at Cranbourne. Down in trip.

14SayaleroScratched16––––

Career

4: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Echuca1200m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
5Pakenham1400m15 May 2026 · F MDN-SW · SOFT53.6L
4Geelong1225m22 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.4L
5Caulfield Heath1100m20 Dec 2025 · 2yo · GOOD45L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 54%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let down with a raking drive to get up in final bounds at Echuca off extended spell. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Ran over the top of them when winning last start at Echuca but up against a more competitive field.

Landed a narrow success in a maiden at Echuca when getting off the mark at the fourth time of asking last month; can't be ruled out.

RSIS

Bold effort when winning last run at Echuca but competing in a more challenging class.

15Please Me DoJ: Jett Stanley·T: D E Dean556.5kg3 5 4 1 329: 3-3-5$4.40$2.15

Career

29: 3-3-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-1
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
16: 1-2-4
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-1
Going Soft
8: 1-1-0

Last starts

3Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.35L
1Kyneton1103m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT5-0.75
4Tatura1000m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L
5Seymour800m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.2L
3Donald1206m11 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY82.8L
7Ballarat Synthetic1200m21 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC3.7L
8Seymour1000m11 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT76.7L
2Albury1175m26 May 2026 · BM58 · SOFT61L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 40% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 48%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Pretty good effort in defeat this course. Fit from racing, could get into the placings.

ILB

Picked up late ground when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last run here but racing in stronger company. Showing great form this campaign. Finishes off strongly. Good chance of taking this out.

Has won at this course.

RSIS

Came on strongly to finish 3rd when beaten by 1 1/4L last run at this track but facing formidable competition. Performing well of late. Commands respect.

16Colt Forty FiveJ: Thomas Stockdale·T: Jamie Edwards758.5kg1 2 2 10 319: 2-4-2$4.00$2.00

Career

19: 2-4-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 1-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1530m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 1-2-0
Going Good
10: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
6: 2-2-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0

Last starts

3Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.25L
10Warrnambool1400m20 Aug 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY109.9L
2Geelong1200m31 July 2026 · 2UP CG&E BM56 HCP · SOFT72L
2Echuca1200m24 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY93.5L
1Donald1206m11 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY8-2.3
11Echuca1400m23 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY1051.6L
1Hamilton1200m26 May 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · HEAVY10-3.5
7Werribee1100m14 May 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Gave a good sight making the frame this track under sustained support. Meets a stronger bunch.

ILB

In the money when 3rd last time at this track. Has a good chance.

Went down by just over 2l when third two weeks ago, a race won by the reopposing Rattle'n'roll.

RSIS

Did well when 3rd last start here. One of the punters top hopes.

17Titan's SpiritJ: Damien Thornton·T: Ms N Burke258kg3 2 1 3 710: 1-1-2$6.50$2.80

Career

10: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Kyneton
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1479m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1

Last starts

7Pakenham1400m1 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD44.9L
3Cranbourne1400m10 Apr 2026 · CL1 · SOFT63.8L
1Pakenham1400m12 Mar 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD4-2.8
2Kyneton1479m27 Feb 2026 · 4UP MDN SW · SOFT60.1L
3Pakenham1600m12 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.5L
5Geelong1512m14 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD33.8L
7Seymour1300m28 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD44L
4Kyneton1203m11 Dec 2025 · 4UP MDN SW · GOOD42.4L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Damien Thornton in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 20%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (26-weeks). Lone career win was over 1400m at Pakenham in last campaign. Hard to make a case off the long break.

ILB

Back after a 26 week break. Started $31.00 and struggled when 7th last start at Pakenham but drawn nicely. Not at all out of this race.

Not beaten too far when seventh of nine at Pakenham over 7f (handicap) six months ago; he can be competitive at this level; back from an absence here.

RSIS

Fresh after a 26 week break. Odds of 30/1 and looked flat when 7th last start at Pakenham but drawn nicely. Betting is the best guide.

18TomanadoJ: Ryan Hurdle·T: D P Dwyer658kg4 1 1 1 233: 6-2-2$4.80$2.25

Career

33: 6-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Echuca
4: 1-0-1
Track Narrandera
1: 1-0-0
Track Alexandra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 975m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1104m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
5: 1-1-0
Going Good
12: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
4: 2-0-0

Last starts

2Ballarat Synthetic1200m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC1.3L
1Echuca1200m24 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY9-3.5
1Ballarat Synthetic1200m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC-2.25
1Narrandera1200m13 June 2026 · BM50 · SOFT7-2.39
4Kilmore1212m15 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · SOFT63.4L
7Kilmore1100m18 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.9L
6Pakenham1000m9 Apr 2026 · 0 - 62 · SOFT53.9L
4Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.2L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
Don Dwyer striking at just 11%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 254%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 47% Profit on Turnover
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (12-weeks). Has been racing consistently of late in weaker affairs. Place chance.

ILB

Resuming after a spell. Ran on when 2nd last start Ballarat Synthetic. Ryan Hurdle and Don Dwyer must be respected together. Known wet tracker with 2 wins from 4 attempts. Genuine claims.

Produced a good effort to finish second at Ballarat in August.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Made considerable ground when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last run Ballarat Synthetic. Ryan Hurdle and Don Dwyer have shared plenty of success together. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

Odds correct as at Wed 4 Nov, 5:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 20 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Thu 8 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races