Shortest win price
Regal Tycoon (2)
3.30
Welcome to Kyneton for the Woodside Park Classic, a Benchmark 70 over the 1454m trip. Conditions are currently listed as a Heavy 8 with showers about, setting up a proper test for the punters digging into the form. Looking at the early win market order, Regal Tycoon holds down the shortest quote to kick things off, closely followed by Coronationhercules and Sunlit Serenade. Delivering, Cobblestone Way, Seeyou Raider, Lim's Ida, and Twilight Elegance round out the rest of the market order as we get set for a fascinating afternoon of racing.
Deling into the form behind those shorter prices, Regal Tycoon jumps from barrier 7 with Jamie Mott steering for trainer John McArdle. This runner was freshened after surrendering late when leading third in a Benchmark 70 second-up at Cranbourne following a solid effort at Sandown. The map suggests they will look to roll forward despite carrying a hefty weight. Meanwhile, Delivering lines up in barrier 8 for Zac Moore and trainer C Maher, bringing a handy second at Geelong in a Benchmark 70 where they went up on the pace early and kept on courageously. Coronationhercules is another catching the eye from barrier 3 for Brett Scott and Dylan Dunn, coming off a Mornington Benchmark 62 win before an even finish at Horsham.
Further down the race card, we see speed groups taking shape with Delivering and Regal Tycoon marked as leaders, while Cobblestone Way and Seeyou Raider settle on-pace. Down the order, Sunlit Serenade resumes here for T & C McEvoy with Damian Lane in the saddle from barrier 2. This runner began the previous preparation with a first-up win at Echuca over 1300m, making them an intriguing prospect for exotics fresh in this grade. Lim's Ida and Twilight Elegance complete the puzzle, giving punters plenty of angles to weigh up in the heavy going.
Shortest win price
Regal Tycoon (2)
3.30
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Delivering · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 50%
Regal Tycoon · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Cobblestone Way · Negative
Trainer SR
A & A Yargi striking at just 7%
Seeyou Raider · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 282%
Career
29: 6-8-3
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 0-0-2
Second-up
5: 0-4-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Caulfield
2: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
5: 1-2-1
Track Ballarat Synthetic
5: 4-1-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1230m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
5: 0-2-2
Going Good
20: 2-4-3
Going Soft
4: 0-3-0
Going Synthetic
5: 4-1-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 50%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Up on the pace early and kept on courageously 3yo+ (Bm70) at Geelong second-up. Can go forward. One for exotics.
ILB
Came in 2nd last run at Geelong and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Has plenty of early speed. Zac Moore takes a large claim. Very capable of taking this out.
RP
Career record shows his ability to win (wins-runs record of 6-29); creditable effort when 40-1 runner-up at Geelong over 6½f (handicap) last month.
RSIS
Ran 2nd last start at Geelong and getting better in recent performances. Should muster plenty of early toe. Zac Moore provides some weight relief. Will go close.
Career
21: 5-6-6
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 1-1-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-2
Third-up
2: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Sale
1: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
5: 2-1-2
Track Bendigo
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1103m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-1-2
Going Good
15: 5-3-5
Going Soft
6: 0-3-1
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 40 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Freshened. Surrendered late after leading third 3yo+ (Bm70) second-up. On pacer. All the better, take stopping despite hefty weight.
ILB
Worked hard to finish 3rd beaten by 1L last start at Cranbourne. Should jump out and bowl along. Jockey Jamie Mott has been successful aboard previously. Good tough competitor that can be supported.
RP
Has won at this track; has maintained her consistent level of form; not beaten far when third over 7f at Cranbourne (handicap) 40 days ago; if she can build on her latest effort then not ruled out.
RSIS
Honest run on the pace before fading to finish 3rd last start at Cranbourne. Shows good early pace. Jamie Mott has been successful previously. Should give this a shake.
Career
35: 6-6-2
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 1-2-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
5: 0-2-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1207m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 3-0-0
Distance 1340m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
12: 4-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 0-6-0
Trainer SR
Negative
A & A Yargi striking at just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -60% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Sent forward, outgunned late but boxed on at Sale. Pace influence. Hard fit, has some claims.
ILB
Applied plenty of pressure when 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Sale and taking on easier opposition. Will relish the wet track with 2 wins from 5 starts. Can run into the placings.
RP
Decent effort when 16-1 third over 7f at Sale (handicap) ten days ago.
RSIS
Was in the race for a long way when 3rd last run at Sale on a heavy surface and up against a less challenging field.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (25-weeks). Has an adverse draw for return. Capable of making an impact fresh in this line-up with even breaks.
ILB
Fresh after a break. At $5.00 was well beaten when 9th last time at Bendigo. Jockey Jake Noonan has been successful previously.
RP
Has achieved three wins from ten career runs; far from disgraced (beaten 3l) over 1m at Bendigo (handicap) six months ago; layoff to overcome; he's an attractive contender.
RSIS
Fresh after a break. Started 4/1 and struggled with the pace when 9th last start at Bendigo. Jockey Jake Noonan has been successful before.
Career
15: 4-2-1
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Kilmore
6: 2-2-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1204m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1207m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
14: 4-2-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 282%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Aiming for hat-trick. Reeled in leaders late to salute this track. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Stays under strong notice for this.
ILB
Finished with purpose when winning last time at the track. On a winning streak the last 2 runs. Should be going forward early. Significant value and can go close.
RP
Bids for hat-trick and has achieved four wins from 15 career runs; narrow scorer in a handicap upped to this distance last month; others are preferred despite the last time out success.
RSIS
Finished hard to win last time here. Keeping a perfect win record the last 2 attempts. Has plenty of early pace. The large claim from Chelsea Thompson helps. Good chance and definitely has claims.
Career
42: 6-3-9
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Caulfield
2: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-1
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
14: 2-2-2
Distance 1206m
2: 1-0-1
Going Soft
8: 1-0-1
Going Good
30: 4-3-7
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 188%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Recaptured winning form with a strong victory at Echuca. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Finished with purpose when winning last time at Echuca and has a nice advantage with a good gate. Has run into the placings all attempts this preparation. Hard to have.
RP
Back to winning ways over 7f at Echuca (handicap) when getting the job done by a neck last month; makes limited appeal despite that win at Echuca.
RSIS
Ran on hard when winning last time at Echuca and drawn the rails. Been in the top three each attempt recently and form has been improving over recent runs.
Career
5: 2-0-1
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 1-0-0
Track Sale
2: 1-0-0
Track Horsham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1243m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 2-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 34% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 79%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Dylan Dunn in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 44%
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Won a 1500m Benchmark 62 at Mornington two back. Trailed, even finish at Horsham. Decent alley. Worth a look.
ILB
Started at $9.50 and weakened to finish 7th last time at Horsham but solid career start. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Very competitive this campaign. Limited possibility.
RP
Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Horsham (beaten 3½l) over 7f (handicap) two weeks ago; can have a big say as he clearly knows how to get his head in front.
RSIS
Was 17/2 and faded away to finish 7th last run at Horsham but promising career start. Tongue strap go on for the first time.
Career
14: 4-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 3-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
AAP
Ridden back and never a factor at Geelong second-up. Awkwardly drawn. New to Kyneton. Others more persuasive.
ILB
Clearly outclassed when 8th last run at Geelong.
RP
Finished last of eight at Geelong over 6½f (handicap) last month, behind Delivering; admirable career strike-rate (four from 14 to date); others have more pressing claims as running in what looks to be a hot race.
RSIS
Average at best when 8th last time at Geelong.
Career
7: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moonee Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 2-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 13%
Key Rider
Positive
Damian Lane 35% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 45% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (24-weeks). Began last prep with a first-up win at at Echuca. One for exotics fresh in this company.
ILB
First up and reeled them in when winning first up last preparation at Echuca. Has good finishing speed. Can find a nice position from the draw. Strong claims.
RP
Finished last of ten at Pakenham six months ago upped to 1m; returning from a layoff here; she can make a bold bid if excused most recent run as achieved handicap success two runs back.
RSIS
Resuming and rounded them up to win resuming last preparation at Echuca. Can go through the gears. Will try to take advantage of the stall. Great chance.
Career
13: 3-1-2
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 2400m
4: 0-1-1
Going Good
6: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 3-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 36% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 37% in L100 rides
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (22-weeks). One for multiples fresh in this line-up.
ILB
First run back from a break. At $3.00 weakened under pressure when 5th last start at Moe on a heavy rated track and dropping in distance. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Has achieved three wins from 13 career runs; last of five at Moe over 1m4f (handicap) five months ago; returns from a break today.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Started 2/1 and weakened under pressure when 5th last start at Moe and coming back in trip. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
10: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run
AAP
Went home tamely at Bendigo first up at $3.60. Fitter second-up. Warrants attention.
ILB
On a quick back up. Did a good job when winning by 1 1/4L last run at Ballarat and drawn well.
RP
Won a handicap by just over 1l at Ballarat on Monday; Liam Howley's runners are going great guns at the moment.
RSIS
On a short back up. Solid win by 1 1/4L last time at Ballarat and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.