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Kyneton (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Kyneton (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 4 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 4 NovKyneton (VIC)Change

Race 8 — Bet365 Kyneton Cup 2006m · jumps

Race preview

Kyneton hosts the Bet365 Kyneton Cup over 2006 metres on a heavy track with showers in the forecast. The race is a handicap for three-year-olds and older, and the win market tells an interesting tale. Sun Gift sits shortest, with Prince Eric next cab off the rank, followed by Yahoo Bar and The Pendragon. It's a field split between those looking to lead and those happy to sit back, with Bring Forth and Yahoo Bar both mapped to get early position, while The Pendragon, Sun Gift, and Ragazzone prefer to loiter offpace.

Sun Gift's market position makes sense on the numbers. The four-year-old worked home nicely in a competitive race at Flemington last start and notched a solid win at Cranbourne just prior, and the comment suggests he warrants attention. His rating sits at 100, the highest in the field. Prince Eric, meanwhile, carries baggage—the jockey and trainer combination is losing 23 per cent on their last hundred races, yet he's built for a race like this with a heavy track where he likes the sting out. His fast early sectionals suggest he'll press hard from barrier one, and that can create the tempo others try to exploit.

The Pendragon shapes as a major player after that handy win at Horsham over 2100 metres, and Damian Lane has been outperforming his career average by 19 per cent of late. Meanwhile, Yahoo Bar is on a quick back-up after narrowly going down at both Bendigo and Seymour in thrilling finishes, and though his jockey has cooled, the gelding has shown he's close to another win. For punters keen to venture further, Virtuous Circle boasts the fastest overall finishing sectionals from his last start and should find the heavy track suits his backmarking style.

Race notes

  • 3UP HCP,3yo+,KYNE CUP,Open
  • HEAVY9
  • Showers
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Prince Eric (2)

3.00

Most career wins

Prince Eric

6-0-5 from 27 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 3Virtuous Circle

Midfield

  • 2Prince Eric
  • 5Real Class

Offpace

  • 11Ragazzone
  • 1The Pendragon
  • 4Sun Gift

Leader

  • 6Bring Forth
  • 10Yahoo Bar
  • The Pendragon · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides

  • Prince Eric · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races

  • Virtuous Circle · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Sun Gift · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1The PendragonJ: Damian Lane·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes559kg6 7 3 4 118: 4-1-0$7.00$2.00

Career

18: 4-1-0

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Taupo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 2-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 3-1-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Horsham2100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1.25
  2. 4Ballarat1600m18 Sept 2026 · GOLD NUGGET · GOOD43.02L
  3. 3Seymour1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.8L
  4. 7Rosehill1500m1 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM100 HCP · SOFT52.8L
  5. 6Mildura1400m17 July 2026 · HCP · GOOD42.6L
  6. 14Caulfield1400m27 June 2026 · HCP · SOFT726.7L
  7. 5Seymour1600m12 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.1L
  8. 5Sandown1500m27 Sept 2025 · GROUP 3 · GOOD32.6L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Damian Lane 35% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 39% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Damian Lane winning at 12% POT in last 100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 48%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ran home nicely to win after settling handy at Horsham. Shapes as a major player again.

ILB

Picked up late to win last run at Horsham and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Matched against tougher rivals. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Career wins-runs record of 4-18; got the job done by just over 1l last month at Horsham upped to 1m2½f; despite that Horsham success, not one to rely on.

RSIS

Strong effort to the line to win last time at Horsham and showing improvement in recent outings. Competing in a higher grade. Watch betting.

2Prince EricJ: Declan Bates·T: Archie Alexander155kg3 1 9 5 627: 6-0-5$3.00$1.28

Career

27: 6-0-5

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    6: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1610m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1210m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    16: 2-0-4

  • Going Soft

    9: 2-0-1

  • Going Unknown

    2: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Caulfield2000m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L
  2. 5Ballarat1600m18 Sept 2026 · GOLD NUGGET · GOOD43.42L
  3. 9Caulfield2000m25 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT65.9L
  4. 1Caulfield2000m11 July 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · SOFT7-0.5
  5. 3Caulfield2000m27 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT75.3L
  6. 4Rosehill2000m13 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.7L
  7. 8Sandown1600m23 May 2026 · BM84 · SOFT74.7L
  8. 6Flemington2000m10 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Jumped in distance when ran on okay without troubling at Caulfield. Likes the sting out. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Started at $13.00 and finished 6th last start at Caulfield. Happy to forgive that run and stepping down to a lower level. Drawn the rails. Good chance in this.

RP

Finished sixth last month albeit only beaten 1½l in a Group 3 (Caulfield) upped to this distance; career record shows his ability to win (wins-runs record of 6-27); now drops in class but may be vulnerable.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and came in 6th last run at Caulfield. Giving another chance here and up against a less competitive field. Can save some energy from the stall. Chance and can measure up.

3Virtuous CircleJ: Alana Kelly·T: Liam Howley354.5kg12 6 10 5 332: 3-2-2$12.00$2.75

Career

32: 3-2-2

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    6: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2800m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    5: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2000m

    7: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 2-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-2-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Coleraine1800m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP HCP · GOOD30.9L
  2. 5Caulfield1800m29 Aug 2026 · BM78 · SOFT62.8L
  3. 10Flemington2800m18 July 2026 · 3UP HCP · SOFT68.2L
  4. 6Flemington2600m4 July 2026 · 3UP · SOFT77.2L
  5. 12Flemington2540m20 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT711.7L
  6. 7Flemington2000m6 June 2026 · 3UP BM100 · HEAVY82.3L
  7. 5Sandown1800m23 May 2026 · BM100 · SOFT76L
  8. 7Caulfield2000m9 May 2026 · 3UP BM100 HCP · SOFT74.3L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 40 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Winless since 8 Jun 2024. Issued decent challenge Coleraine Cup at Coleraine. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Hit the line well when 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Coleraine but facing stiffer opposition. Should get going late. Dropping weight. Has some claims.

RP

Close up third at Coleraine over 1m1f (handicap) six weeks ago; quite a while since he tasted success; others more appealing.

RSIS

Made considerable ground when 3rd beaten by 1L last time at Coleraine but racing against tougher rivals. Will be motoring home late. Goes down in weight. Watch the betting.

4Sun GiftJ: Billy Egan·T: D T O'Brien254kg10 6 9 2 728: 5-10-0$3.50$1.32

Career

28: 5-10-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Sandown

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track Geelong

    4: 1-2-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1412m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1800m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-2-0

  • Going Good

    21: 5-7-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 7Flemington2040m24 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD41.54L
  2. 2Cranbourne2025m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M HCP · GOOD31L
  3. 9Mornington1600m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · SOFT54.84L
  4. 6Seymour1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6.9L
  5. 10Flemington2000m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM100 HCP · GOOD36.2L
  6. 12Rosehill1900m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT67.5L
  7. 2Caulfield2000m21 Feb 2026 · LISTED QUALITY · GOOD40.8L
  8. 2Caulfield2400m31 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.2L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 11%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Billy Egan 32% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 32% Profit on Turnover

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Solid run Pinker Pinker Plate at Cranbourne 9 Oct. Worked home nicely in good form race at Flemington last start. Warrants plenty of attention.

ILB

Finished 7th last run at Flemington. Expected to rebound and has a positive barrier. Winning potential.

RP

This is her level and admirably consistent; wasn't beaten that far when seventh (beaten 1½l) at Flemington last month in a Group 3; has to be considered now dropping in class.

RSIS

Finished 7th last run at Flemington. Happy to forgive that run and gets a favourable stall. Will attract plenty of interest.

5Real ClassJ: Fred W Kersley·T: C W Mcdonald854kg7 9 9 5 1114: 2-0-1$41.00$4.60

Career

14: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Te Aroha

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1440m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    7: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Caulfield1440m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.96L
  2. 5Canterbury1100m1 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.8L
  3. 9Rosehill900m17 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)9L
  4. 9Flemington1400m14 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.6L
  5. 7Flemington2000m8 Nov 2025 · 4yo+ · HEAVY812.7L
  6. 5Flemington1800m4 Nov 2025 · CUP DAY PLATE · SOFT53.1L
  7. 6Randwick1600m4 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM94 HCP · GOOD45.7L
  8. 11Newcastle1400m19 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD45L

Insights

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 4%

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Never in the call at Caulfield for new trainer. Look for some inprovement here.

ILB

Started $151.00 and lost ground in the run home when 11th last run at Caulfield but racing over extra ground. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Entitled to be big odds.

RP

Been out of sorts of late; 11th of 12 at Caulfield over 7f (handicap) on first run for her current trainer last month; a lot on her plate here and easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Started 150/1 and faded to finish 11th last run at Caulfield but stepping up in distance. Tongue strap go on for the first time.

6Bring ForthJ: Beau Mertens·T: M Price & M Kent Jnr454kg2 1 1 11 1019: 4-8-1$9.00$2.40

Career

19: 4-8-1

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-2-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-2-0

  • Track Caulfield

    5: 1-1-1

  • Track Moe

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-2-1

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    11: 2-4-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 2-3-0

Last starts

  1. 10Caulfield1700m10 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM80 GRAND HCP · GOOD37.5L
  2. 11Flemington2000m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM100 HCP · GOOD36.7L
  3. 1Caulfield2000m11 Apr 2026 · BM74 · SOFT7-0.5
  4. 1Morphettville2294m21 Mar 2026 · BM78 · GOOD4-4.3
  5. 2Sandown1800m25 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT50.3L
  6. 6Sale1600m1 Feb 2026 · BM66 · GOOD45.3L
  7. 2Geelong2440m12 Sept 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD40.1L
  8. 1Moe2400m24 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT6-4.3

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 34% lower than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -40% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 41% in L100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 7kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Never sighted at Caulfield off long break. Will be fitter and more effective second-up. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last time at Caulfield. Likely to bounce back and suited by the weight drop. Likely to be well placed early. Racing against tougher rivals. Can take this out.

RP

Behind two of these three weeks ago when last at Caulfield over 1m½f (handicap); successful four times from 19 career runs; some claims with a bit more luck as excuses last time (crowded).

RSIS

Faded away to finish 10th last time at Caulfield. Expected to rebound and gets a reduction in weight. Has plenty of early pace. Matched against a stronger field. Good chance at a nice price.

7Foujita SanScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 8kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Courageous effort in the 3yo+ (Bm80) at Caulfield when second-up. Should appreciate stepping up in distance. Stripping fitter, can play a role.

ILB

Ran home into 2nd last start at Caulfield but up against a more competitive field. Will benefit with the weight drop.

RP

Had a couple of these behind him when second at Caulfield over 1m½f (handicap) three weeks ago; a while since he's been in the winners' enclosure (last win in 2024).

RSIS

Did well to run 2nd beaten by 1L last time at Caulfield and carrying less weight this time. Facing stiffer opposition.

8PlacoScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 47% lower than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 143%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 16% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 53% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Dictated terms in recording a gritty win in the (Bm80) at Morphettville. Right in this.

ILB

Led and controlled the pace when winning by 1/2L last time at Morphettville but rising in class. Jockey Teagan Voorham has a high strike rate on board.

RP

Narrow success in a handicap at Morphettville last month upped to this trip; has managed seven wins from 18 career runs; very interesting; held an entry at Morphettville Tuesday.

RSIS

Took charge of the race to win by a margin of 1/2L last start at Morphettville but racing in stronger company. Added confidence with Teagan Voorham doing the steering.

9Regal LionScratched6––––

Career

56: 5-4-5

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    7: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    7: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    6: 2-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    6: 0-0-1

  • Track Hawera

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Albury

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    36: 5-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    17: 0-3-2

Last starts

  1. 4St Arnaud2000m24 Oct 2026 · HCP · GOOD34.75L
  2. 4Caulfield1700m10 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM80 GRAND HCP · GOOD32.05L
  3. 8Mornington1600m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · SOFT53.59L
  4. 8Caulfield2000m9 May 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · SOFT712.9L
  5. 4Stawell2000m5 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.4L
  6. 2Stony Creek2100m8 Mar 2026 · Open · SOFT60.3L
  7. 6Flemington2000m28 Feb 2026 · BM84 · GOOD44.6L
  8. 3Caulfield2000m31 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.9L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 98%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 73%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 51% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 6.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Sent out $3 when battled home to finish 4th at St Arnaud. Shapes as a rough place prospect.

ILB

Was $3.00 and came in 4th last time at St Arnaud and up against a higher level of opposition. Will appreciate the drop in weight.

RP

Not beaten that far in fourth (just under 5l) at St Arnaud last month upped to this distance; may have to settle for supporting role in what appears to be a competitive contest.

RSIS

Started 2/1 and ran 4th last run at St Arnaud and facing formidable competition. Suited by the weight drop.

10Yahoo BarJ: Damien Thornton·T: Liam Howley654kg4 2 5 2 216: 2-3-2$5.50$1.70

Career

16: 2-3-2

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Seymour

    2: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    14: 1-2-2

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Bendigo2400m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.1L
  2. 2Seymour2000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.15L
  3. 5Bendigo1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.52L
  4. 2Caulfield Heath1500m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.5L
  5. 4Pakenham1400m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD44.1L
  6. 13Sha Tin1800m14 June 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD10.8L
  7. 7Sha Tin1200m6 June 2025 · Barrier Trial · GOOD7.8L
  8. 10Sha Tin2000m4 May 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD12.3L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Great run at Seymour 11 Oct. Raced on the pace and went down in a thrilling stoush at Bendigo. Capable of making an impact if he gets the breaks.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Right in the mix last start at Bendigo but matched against a stronger field. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time and dropping weight. Slim chance.

RP

Ran well when beaten a short head at Bendigo over 1m4f (handicap) last Wednesday; has hit the frame in several recent runs.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Close to claiming the win last time at Bendigo but facing a stronger grade. Has early pace and positions nicely. Will benefit with the weight drop.

11RagazzoneJ: Neil Farley·T: Shay Keating754kg1 3 4 1 66: 2-0-1$19.00$3.60

Career

6: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murtoa

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1730m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1765m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Geelong2400m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD43.96L
  2. 1Ballarat2000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD4-0.1
  3. 4Geelong1765m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT72.4L
  4. 3Geelong1730m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY85.4L
  5. 1Murtoa1600m25 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT7-0.2
  6. 5Bendigo1100m5 July 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY98.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Fair performance at Geelong over longer assignment at $21. Keener on others.

ILB

Odds of $21.00 and came in 6th last run at Geelong and up against tougher rivals. Dropping weight. Prefer others.

RP

Finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (4l) last month (Geelong) upped to 1m4f; it wouldn't be a surprise to see him return to the winners' enclosure and has a shout.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and finished 6th last run at Geelong and up against tougher opponents. Will benefit with the weight drop.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Tue 20 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Thu 8 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races