Shortest win price
Prince Eric (2)
3.00
Kyneton hosts the Bet365 Kyneton Cup over 2006 metres on a heavy track with showers in the forecast. The race is a handicap for three-year-olds and older, and the win market tells an interesting tale. Sun Gift sits shortest, with Prince Eric next cab off the rank, followed by Yahoo Bar and The Pendragon. It's a field split between those looking to lead and those happy to sit back, with Bring Forth and Yahoo Bar both mapped to get early position, while The Pendragon, Sun Gift, and Ragazzone prefer to loiter offpace.
Sun Gift's market position makes sense on the numbers. The four-year-old worked home nicely in a competitive race at Flemington last start and notched a solid win at Cranbourne just prior, and the comment suggests he warrants attention. His rating sits at 100, the highest in the field. Prince Eric, meanwhile, carries baggage—the jockey and trainer combination is losing 23 per cent on their last hundred races, yet he's built for a race like this with a heavy track where he likes the sting out. His fast early sectionals suggest he'll press hard from barrier one, and that can create the tempo others try to exploit.
The Pendragon shapes as a major player after that handy win at Horsham over 2100 metres, and Damian Lane has been outperforming his career average by 19 per cent of late. Meanwhile, Yahoo Bar is on a quick back-up after narrowly going down at both Bendigo and Seymour in thrilling finishes, and though his jockey has cooled, the gelding has shown he's close to another win. For punters keen to venture further, Virtuous Circle boasts the fastest overall finishing sectionals from his last start and should find the heavy track suits his backmarking style.
Shortest win price
Prince Eric (2)
3.00
Most career wins
Prince Eric
6-0-5 from 27 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
The Pendragon · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Prince Eric · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Virtuous Circle · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Sun Gift · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Career
18: 4-1-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
3: 0-0-0
Track Taupo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 2-0-0
Going Good
13: 3-1-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Damian Lane 35% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 39% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Damian Lane winning at 12% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 48%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ran home nicely to win after settling handy at Horsham. Shapes as a major player again.
ILB
Picked up late to win last run at Horsham and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Matched against tougher rivals. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Career wins-runs record of 4-18; got the job done by just over 1l last month at Horsham upped to 1m2½f; despite that Horsham success, not one to rely on.
RSIS
Strong effort to the line to win last time at Horsham and showing improvement in recent outings. Competing in a higher grade. Watch betting.
Career
27: 6-0-5
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 1-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
4: 1-0-2
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1610m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 2-0-4
Going Soft
9: 2-0-1
Going Unknown
2: 2-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Jumped in distance when ran on okay without troubling at Caulfield. Likes the sting out. Can make his presence felt.
ILB
Started at $13.00 and finished 6th last start at Caulfield. Happy to forgive that run and stepping down to a lower level. Drawn the rails. Good chance in this.
RP
Finished sixth last month albeit only beaten 1½l in a Group 3 (Caulfield) upped to this distance; career record shows his ability to win (wins-runs record of 6-27); now drops in class but may be vulnerable.
RSIS
Started 12/1 and came in 6th last run at Caulfield. Giving another chance here and up against a less competitive field. Can save some energy from the stall. Chance and can measure up.
Career
32: 3-2-2
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
7: 1-0-0
Second-up
6: 0-0-1
Third-up
6: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
2: 0-1-0
Distance 2800m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
5: 0-0-1
Distance 2000m
7: 1-0-0
Going Good
13: 2-0-1
Going Heavy
4: 1-2-0
Going Soft
15: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 40 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run
AAP
Fresh. Winless since 8 Jun 2024. Issued decent challenge Coleraine Cup at Coleraine. Others carry more punch.
ILB
Hit the line well when 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Coleraine but facing stiffer opposition. Should get going late. Dropping weight. Has some claims.
RP
Close up third at Coleraine over 1m1f (handicap) six weeks ago; quite a while since he tasted success; others more appealing.
RSIS
Made considerable ground when 3rd beaten by 1L last time at Coleraine but racing against tougher rivals. Will be motoring home late. Goes down in weight. Watch the betting.
Career
28: 5-10-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-2-0
Track Sandown
4: 0-1-0
Track Geelong
4: 1-2-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1800m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-2-0
Going Good
21: 5-7-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Key Rider
Positive
Billy Egan 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 32% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Solid run Pinker Pinker Plate at Cranbourne 9 Oct. Worked home nicely in good form race at Flemington last start. Warrants plenty of attention.
ILB
Finished 7th last run at Flemington. Expected to rebound and has a positive barrier. Winning potential.
RP
This is her level and admirably consistent; wasn't beaten that far when seventh (beaten 1½l) at Flemington last month in a Group 3; has to be considered now dropping in class.
RSIS
Finished 7th last run at Flemington. Happy to forgive that run and gets a favourable stall. Will attract plenty of interest.
Career
14: 2-0-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Te Aroha
1: 1-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1440m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1
Going Good
7: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Never in the call at Caulfield for new trainer. Look for some inprovement here.
ILB
Started $151.00 and lost ground in the run home when 11th last run at Caulfield but racing over extra ground. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Entitled to be big odds.
RP
Been out of sorts of late; 11th of 12 at Caulfield over 7f (handicap) on first run for her current trainer last month; a lot on her plate here and easy enough to take on.
RSIS
Started 150/1 and faded to finish 11th last run at Caulfield but stepping up in distance. Tongue strap go on for the first time.
Career
19: 4-8-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-2-0
Second-up
3: 1-2-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-2-0
Track Caulfield
5: 1-1-1
Track Moe
1: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-2-1
Distance 1600m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
11: 2-4-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 2-3-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 34% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -40% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 41% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 7kg from LS run
AAP
Never sighted at Caulfield off long break. Will be fitter and more effective second-up. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last time at Caulfield. Likely to bounce back and suited by the weight drop. Likely to be well placed early. Racing against tougher rivals. Can take this out.
RP
Behind two of these three weeks ago when last at Caulfield over 1m½f (handicap); successful four times from 19 career runs; some claims with a bit more luck as excuses last time (crowded).
RSIS
Faded away to finish 10th last time at Caulfield. Expected to rebound and gets a reduction in weight. Has plenty of early pace. Matched against a stronger field. Good chance at a nice price.
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 8kg from LS run
AAP
Courageous effort in the 3yo+ (Bm80) at Caulfield when second-up. Should appreciate stepping up in distance. Stripping fitter, can play a role.
ILB
Ran home into 2nd last start at Caulfield but up against a more competitive field. Will benefit with the weight drop.
RP
Had a couple of these behind him when second at Caulfield over 1m½f (handicap) three weeks ago; a while since he's been in the winners' enclosure (last win in 2024).
RSIS
Did well to run 2nd beaten by 1L last time at Caulfield and carrying less weight this time. Facing stiffer opposition.
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Leader
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 47% lower than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 143%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 53% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Dictated terms in recording a gritty win in the (Bm80) at Morphettville. Right in this.
ILB
Led and controlled the pace when winning by 1/2L last time at Morphettville but rising in class. Jockey Teagan Voorham has a high strike rate on board.
RP
Narrow success in a handicap at Morphettville last month upped to this trip; has managed seven wins from 18 career runs; very interesting; held an entry at Morphettville Tuesday.
RSIS
Took charge of the race to win by a margin of 1/2L last start at Morphettville but racing in stronger company. Added confidence with Teagan Voorham doing the steering.
Career
56: 5-4-5
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
8: 0-0-0
Second-up
7: 2-0-0
Third-up
7: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
6: 2-0-0
Track Caulfield
6: 0-0-1
Track Hawera
1: 0-0-1
Track Albury
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
36: 5-1-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
17: 0-3-2
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 98%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 73%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 51% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 6.5kg from LS run
AAP
Sent out $3 when battled home to finish 4th at St Arnaud. Shapes as a rough place prospect.
ILB
Was $3.00 and came in 4th last time at St Arnaud and up against a higher level of opposition. Will appreciate the drop in weight.
RP
Not beaten that far in fourth (just under 5l) at St Arnaud last month upped to this distance; may have to settle for supporting role in what appears to be a competitive contest.
RSIS
Started 2/1 and ran 4th last run at St Arnaud and facing formidable competition. Suited by the weight drop.
Career
16: 2-3-2
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-1-0
Track Seymour
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
14: 1-2-2
Going Soft
2: 1-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 5kg from LS run
AAP
On a quick back-up. Great run at Seymour 11 Oct. Raced on the pace and went down in a thrilling stoush at Bendigo. Capable of making an impact if he gets the breaks.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Right in the mix last start at Bendigo but matched against a stronger field. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time and dropping weight. Slim chance.
RP
Ran well when beaten a short head at Bendigo over 1m4f (handicap) last Wednesday; has hit the frame in several recent runs.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Close to claiming the win last time at Bendigo but facing a stronger grade. Has early pace and positions nicely. Will benefit with the weight drop.
Career
6: 2-0-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murtoa
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1730m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1765m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run
AAP
Fair performance at Geelong over longer assignment at $21. Keener on others.
ILB
Odds of $21.00 and came in 6th last run at Geelong and up against tougher rivals. Dropping weight. Prefer others.
RP
Finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (4l) last month (Geelong) upped to 1m4f; it wouldn't be a surprise to see him return to the winners' enclosure and has a shout.
RSIS
Started 20/1 and finished 6th last run at Geelong and up against tougher opponents. Will benefit with the weight drop.