Kyneton (VIC) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 2:29 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Kyneton (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 4 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 4 NovKyneton (VIC)Change

Race 1 — Carlton Draught Mdn Plate 1103m · jumps Wed 4 Nov, 12:55 pm AEDT

Race preview

The Carlton Draught Mdn Plate kicks off at Kyneton in soft going on a rainy day, 1103 metres of Soft 7 going that should suit horses with genuine early pace. The maiden ranks are led by Sabrina in the market, followed by Jackpot Park and Valentina Girl. This is genuinely open three-year-old plus maiden country, where form tells a story but the narrative is still being written.

Jackpot Park is the form horse here. The gelding has run consecutive placings—thirds at Bendigo and Seymour—and returns after 25 weeks off his first campaign showing real clues. He was hitting the line at recent Flemington jump-outs and rated 86, and his jockey Billy Egan and trainer combo are firing well above odds. Egan is outperforming his career average by 28 per cent over his last 100 rides, and the M & L Cerchi stable is smashing market expectations by 132 per cent. From barrier 5, Jackpot Park sits midfield with horses of his ilk—Western Edge and Sabrina—and that's genuine racing room in a race where early speed could dominate. Valentina Girl leads the market and was heavily backed at Echuca on debut before battling to fourth. She's barrier 1 and drawn to hold up front from the gun, with Damian Lane aboard and a ratings edge at 93; however, her stable—T & C Mcevoy—is struggling at just 11 per cent strike-rate lately, a real cloud on the form.

Irish Eclipse and Pasatiempo are first-time starters and recent arrivals into the contest, while Assisi has early speed on a circuit that favours it, though she was well beaten last time. The showers and Soft 7 ground will separate the sheep from the goats. Jackpot Park's form line and the hot combo angle make him the logical play for our money.

Race notes

3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
SOFT7
Showers
7 runners

Shortest win price

Jackpot Park (1)

2.70

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offpace

3Western Edge
1Jackpot Park
5Assisi

Firststart

7Irish Eclipse

Backmarker

8Pasatiempo

Onpace

9Sabrina

Leader

10Valentina Girl

Jackpot Park · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Western Edge · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 53% lower than Career Avg.
Assisi · Positive
Early Splits
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Irish Eclipse · Positive
On Debut
First race start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Jackpot ParkJ: Billy Egan·T: M & L Cerchi559.5kg3 32: 0-0-2$2.70$1.45

Career

2: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-1
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Bendigo1100m13 May 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.3L
3Seymour1000m26 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT54.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 132%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 36%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 48%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (25-weeks). Indicated some potential placing at both his starts in first campaign. 4th & 2nd at recent Flemington jump-outs. Sound claims.

ILB

Racing fresh after a break. Showed a good turn of foot when 3rd beaten by 2 1/4L last time at Bendigo. Should go close.

Respectable effort at Bendigo in May; runs for a new trainer here; returns from a layoff; he shouldn't be far away.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Displayed good finishing pace when 3rd beaten by 2 1/4L last time at Bendigo. Will attract plenty of interest.

2Johnny TightlipsScratched4––––

Career

3: 0-3-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Kilmore
3: 0-3-0
Distance 1107m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Kilmore1107m1 June 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · HEAVY91L
2Kilmore1212m15 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT60.1L
2Kilmore1100m18 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L

Insights

Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (22-weeks). Highly competitive in debut campaign. Placed at Kilmore on debut last campaign. Key player fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First run back from a break. Did well to finish 2nd beaten by 1L last start at Kilmore and putting a tidy record together so far.

Beaten into second when 8-11 at Kilmore in June; returns from a layoff.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Managed to run into 2nd last time at Kilmore on a heavy track and good career start.

3Western EdgeJ: Melea Castle·T: C J Davis659.5kg6 7 7 10 912: 0-0-1$126.00$19.00

Career

12: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

9Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD311.55L
10Albury900m10 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD49.18L
7Bendigo1000m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD320.7L
7Echuca1000m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT79.2L
6Berrigan1100m22 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW6.1L
3Narrandera1000m15 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT64.2L
9Ballarat Synthetic1000m9 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC9.8L
9Albury1175m27 July 2026 · CGE MDN-SW · HEAVY98.1L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 53% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 80% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Finished out the back this track at a mammoth price. Keener on others.

ILB

Odds of $151.00 and mediocre display when 9th last start at this track. Still a maiden after 12 runs. Overlook from a betting angle.

Finished ninth, beaten 12l, last month upped to 6f; yet to open his account after 12 starts; this is competitive and others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Started 150/1 and average at best when 9th last time around here. Still in maiden grade after 12 runs.

4LonneganScratched6––––

Career

1: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Echuca1000m19 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 48%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

No match but ran on for the minors at Echuca on debut 19 Oct. Better for it. Worth a look.

ILB

Was strong late when 3rd beaten by just over 2 1/2L last run at Echuca and fitter for debut run.

Fair debut effort (5f, Echuca) with Valentina Girl just behind at 6-1 16 days ago; if building on promise shown first time out looks a contender.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the top three when 3rd last time at Echuca and fitter for debut run.

5AssisiJ: Declan Bates·T: Matthew Cumani356kg12 82: 0-0-0$20.00$5.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 975m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Swan Hill975m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.65L
12Caulfield1000m29 Nov 2025 · 2yo · SOFT66.5L

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (43-days). Sent out $8 when unable to threaten at Swan Hill at her second race start. Can play a role.

ILB

Back from a freshen up. Jumped at $8.00 and faded to finish 8th last start at Swan Hill. Possible place chance.

Finished eighth, beaten a fair way over 5f at Swan Hill (maiden) six weeks ago; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Back from a let up. Started 7/1 and gave away some ground when 8th last time at Swan Hill.

6Diamond HeistScratched4––––

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Ballarat1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD43.41L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 48%
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Reasonable debut performance when battled to line at Ballarat. Experience a positive. Can make her presence felt.

ILB

Started $4.20 and finished 6th last run at Ballarat but having second career run.

Respectable debut effort at Ballarat at 100-30 four weeks ago; couldn't rule out improvement although wouldn't get too carried away.

RSIS

Started 10/3 and ran 6th last time at Ballarat but was on debut last time.

7Irish EclipseJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Charlotte Littlefield756kg–$17.00$4.60

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

On Debut
Positive
First race start

Comments

AAP

Cost $140K. First foal to race out of the Preferment mare Limerick Flame. Jump-outs have been fair. Draw adds to challenge and one to watch at this stage.

ILB

3yo runner on debut by Lucky Vega for trainer Charlotte Littlefield. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Keep your eye on the market.

The only newcomer in the field; having first race; very interesting with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Debutant 3yo by Lucky Vega for Charlotte Littlefield. Interesting to see the tongue strap go on for the first time.

8PasatiempoJ: Beau Mertens·T: M Price & M Kent Jnr856kg1 21: 0-0-0$9.00$3.50

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

12Pakenham1000m23 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN SW · GOOD415.5L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -40% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 48%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (27-weeks). More developed now. Well down the track at Pakenham on debut at healthy odds. Better for it. Open to improvement.

ILB

First up after a 27 week break. Odds of $26.00 and faded away to finish 12th last time at Pakenham but was a debutant last start. Has ability but this is challenging.

Held on her debut in Pakenham maiden over 5f at 25-1 in April; returns from a break today; could improve from her debut but will need to.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 27 weeks. Was 25/1 and struggled with the pace when 12th last start at Pakenham but having second race start.

9SabrinaJ: Linda Meech·T: T & C Mcevoy256kg52: 0-0-0$2.75$1.45

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Ballarat1000m30 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD46.1L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 11%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 35%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

5 weeks since last run. Had a low-key debut at Ballarat 30 Sep. Experience a positive. Can build on that.

ILB

Odds of $9.00 and ran on into 5th last run at Ballarat and was on debut last time. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time and drawn nicely. Betting is the best guide.

Couldn't land a blow on her debut (5f, Ballarat) at 8-1 five weeks ago; should benefit for having a run under her belt.

RSIS

Odds of 8/1 and inched into 5th last start at Ballarat and having second career run. Blinkers go on for the first time and gets a favourable stall. Could be in the mix.

10Valentina GirlJ: Damian Lane·T: T & C Mcevoy156kg41: 0-0-0$4.00$2.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Echuca1000m19 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.6L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
T & C McEvoy striking at just 11%
Key Rider
Positive
Damian Lane 35% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%
Key Jockey
Positive
Damian Lane winning at 12% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run

Comments

AAP

Reasonable debut performance when battled to line at Echuca under heavy support. Better for the run. Has scope to improve and looks a live chance here.

ILB

At $2.00 tailed off to finish 4th last start at Echuca. Giving another chance here and fitter for debut run. Displays good tactical speed. Has the ideal barrier. Should go well.

Came up a bit short on her debut at Echuca (not far behind Lonnegan) at evens last month; could improve although needs to.

RSIS

Was Evens and weakened to finish 4th last time at Echuca. Should improve here and was a debutant last start. Drawn well. Strong winning chance.

Odds correct as at Wed 4 Nov, 1:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 20 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Thu 8 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races