Kyneton (VIC) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 1:33 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Kyneton (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 4 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 4 NovKyneton (VIC)Change

Race 2 — Macedon Ranges Glass - Emerging Stars Series Heat 1 Mdn Plate 1203m · jumps Wed 4 Nov, 1:25 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Kyneton for the Macedon Ranges Glass Emerging Stars Series Heat 1 Mdn Plate over 1203m, taking place on a Soft 7 track with showers about. Looking at the early win market order, Flyaway sits right at the top of calculations, followed closely by Mongol Heer, Bourne Legacy, and Front Page Edition in the betting setup.

Digging into the form behind those shorter prices, Bourne Legacy brings sound credentials for A & S Freedman with Michael Dee in the saddle from barrier 4, having finished second here over 1218m behind a tearaway winner off a spell, suggesting this distance will suit second-up. Meanwhile, Flyaway for C J Waller and Damian Lane has shown plenty of dash out wide in barrier 6, registering the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start when third at Sale over 1205m on a Heavy 8 surface.

Further down the order, Front Page Edition for C Maher and Beau Mertens from barrier 7 warrants respect after running on for third on debut at Cranbourne over 1000m, with the rise in trip expected to help. With speed coming from runners like Bourne Legacy mapped as the leader and Avedis on the pace, punters should look forward to an intriguing tactical battle across the Kyneton circuit.

Race notes

3Y MDN-SW,3yo,Maiden
SOFT7
Showers
9 runners

Shortest win price

Flyaway (4)

2.70

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

9Shamrock Prince
12Honeysuckle Hill

Backmarker

4Flyaway

Midfield

11Front Page Edition

Offpace

3Exploit
6Mongol Heer

Onpace

13Hurricane Girl

Leader

1Avedis
2Bourne Legacy

Avedis · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Bourne Legacy · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Exploit · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -40% POT in their L100 Races
Flyaway · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1AvedisJ: Jackson Radley·T: Liam Howley958kg6 1 3 3 112: 0-0-1$14.00$3.10

Career

2: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-1
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Seymour1200m11 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT511.4L
3Caulfield Heath1000m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.1L
3Echuca1009m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.65L
1Seymour1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.2
6Bendigo800m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)6.7L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 50%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Went out too hard and surrendered quickly at Seymour at second outing. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Didn't find the line when 11th last run at Seymour. Expecting to settle positively. Watch betting.

Finished towards the rear of 14 at Seymour three weeks ago; trainer going well a plus; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Faded away to finish 11th last run at Seymour. Expecting to settle positively. Betting is the best guide.

2Bourne LegacyJ: Michael Dee·T: A & S Freedman458kg1 5 7 2 24: 0-2-0$7.00$2.05

Career

4: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1218m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.25L
2Moe1208m18 June 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY91.3L
7Geelong1212m4 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY103.3L
5Caulfield Heath1000m20 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT63.2L
1Randwick1050m4 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.5

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Form to date sound. On pace, boxed away behind tearaway winner this course off spell. Fitter second-up. This looks a nice race for the gelding.

ILB

Claimed late when 2nd last start around here. Should muster plenty of early toe. Highly respected.

Touch disappointing to finish only second 15 days ago.

RSIS

Was found wanting late when 2nd last start at this venue. Likely to be well placed early. Expect a bold effort.

3ExploitJ: Jye Mcneil·T: C J Waller158kg9 4 8 6 43: 0-0-0$13.00$2.90

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Seymour1200m19 July 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY95.4L
6Geelong1212m4 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY103.2L
8Rosehill900m11 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.8L
4Canterbury893m1 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.9L
9Pakenham1000m9 Jan 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD38.4L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -40% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 26%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (15-weeks). 3rd & 1st at recent jump-outs. Look for improvement from last campaign.

ILB

Fresh today after a break. Jumped at $8.50 and came in 4th last time at Seymour but has drawn the rails. Competing as a gelding. Would be more keen on the chance of others.

Fourth of seven beaten 5½l (Seymour) in July; he can be taken on.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Started 15/2 and ran 4th last run at Seymour but drawn the rails. Has been gelded leading up to this.

4FlyawayJ: Damian Lane·T: C J Waller658kg3 4 32: 0-0-1$2.70$1.24

Career

2: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Sale
1: 0-0-1
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1205m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Sale1205m28 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY80.6L
4Bendigo1000m13 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT53.3L
3Caulfield Heath800m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Damian Lane 35% above market expected in L100 Rides
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 26%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 48%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (18-weeks). 2nd in a 1000m Flemington jump-out 23/10. Sound claims fresh in this affair.

ILB

Resuming from break. Finished strongly when 3rd last start at Sale. Might take a while to wind up but should be hitting top gear in the straight. Capable of winning this.

Went close when third at Sale four months ago upped to this distance; returning from a layoff here.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Came on strongly when 3rd beaten by 1/2L last start at Sale. Displays good closing pace. Solid claims.

5GanglandScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 13%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (12-weeks). Far from disgraced at Ballarat Synthetic on debut. Ballarat jump-out win 13/10. Can play a role fresh in this line-up if he gets the breaks.

ILB

Fresh from a spell. Started at $1.55 and faded to finish 6th last start Ballarat Synthetic but having second career run.

Favourite but beaten on his debut at Ballarat at 8-15 three months ago; couldn't rule out improvement although wouldn't get too carried away.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Started 4/7 and weakened to finish 6th last time Ballarat Synthetic but was a debutant last start.

6Mongol HeerJ: Thomas Stockdale·T: M W Walker358kg51: 0-0-0$3.30$1.32

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Pakenham1200m15 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT52.3L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (24-weeks). Maturity upside. Gave a sight on debut at Pakenham under sustained support 15 May. 4th & 1st at latest jump-outs. Warrants plenty of attention.

ILB

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Started $14.00 and hit the line well when 5th last start at Pakenham and having second race start. A demanding task.

Fair debut effort at Pakenham at 13-1 six months ago; returns from a layoff; if building on initial effort could go close.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Started at 13/1 and advanced late into 5th last time at Pakenham and was a debutant last start.

7Run Run WinScratched10––––

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Cranbourne1200m9 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD35.92L
5Sale1206m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.4L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Well back and never a factor at Cranbourne at second start. All the better, fringe place hope at best.

ILB

Underperformed when 9th last start at Cranbourne.

Not far behind See Three Pee Oh when last (Cranbourne) four weeks ago; new headgear needs to have a positive effect and may be vulnerable.

RSIS

Lacklustre showing when 9th last time at Cranbourne.

8See Three Pee OhScratched14––––

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Cranbourne1200m9 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD35.42L
6Caulfield Heath800m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6L

Insights

Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide

Comments

AAP

A very soft debut performance at Cranbourne at longer odds 9 Oct. Experience gained. Awkwardly drawn. Only for exotics.

ILB

Performed below standard when 8th last start at Cranbourne but having second career run.

Seemed to find life tough on his debut four weeks ago at Cranbourne; should improve with a run under his belt although it was only a modest start.

RSIS

Subpar when 8th last run at Cranbourne but having second career run.

9Shamrock PrinceJ: Luke Cartwright·T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes258kg–$41.00$4.80

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 59% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Phillip & Tommy Stokes striking at just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 31%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Luke Cartwright in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 51%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). Cost $10K. Out of a 4-time winning Mossman mare Miss Mossman. Recent jump-outs only fair. Good draw. Follow any betting leads.

ILB

3yo first starter by Shamus Award for Phillip Stokes & Tommy Stokes and gets a favourable alley. Watch the market.

This son of Shamus Award makes debut under rules; likely to be a contender.

RSIS

Phillip Stokes & Tommy Stokes 3yo by Shamus Award having first race appearance and drawn nicely.

10EngulfScratched2––––

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Ballarat1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.15L

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Beaten but by no means disgraced at career opener. Better for the run. Longer trip may help. Open to progression and this looks achievable.

ILB

Jumped at $7.50 and overtook some late when 5th last time at Ballarat and was a debutant last start. Has a good draw.

Creditable debut, finishing fifth, beaten just over 2l (5f, Ballarat) at 13-2 26 days ago; if stepping up from first effort looks a contender.

RSIS

At 13/2 made ground when closing off to finish 5th last time at Ballarat and was on debut last time. Has a positive stall.

11Front Page EditionJ: Beau Mertens·T: C Maher756kg31: 0-0-1$6.50$2.00

Career

1: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Cranbourne1000m16 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD34.5L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 48%
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

No match but ran on for the minors at Cranbourne on debut when firmed from $9.50 into $7 16 Oct. Experience a positive. Rise in distance should help. Right in this.

ILB

Came on strongly to finish 3rd last time at Cranbourne and having second career run. Competitive type.

Solid effort first time out at Cranbourne over 5f at 6-1 19 days ago; couldn't rule out improvement although wouldn't get too carried away.

RSIS

Came on strongly to finish 3rd when beaten by 4 1/2L last run at Cranbourne and having second race start. Competitive type.

12Honeysuckle HillJ: Melea Castle·T: G L Donaldson856kg–$34.00$4.40

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 53% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 57%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 64% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 80% in L100 rides
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

Dam retired as a maiden after four starts. Finished 2nd & 1st at the recent jump-outs. Odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

3yo by Cosmic Force racing as a debutant for trainer Graham Donaldson. Interesting gear change of winkers on first time. Watch early betting.

This daughter of Cosmic Force is having her first start under rules; by no means ruled out.

RSIS

Racing as a debutant 3yo by Cosmic Force for trainer Graham Donaldson. Cheekpieces go on for the first time.

13Hurricane GirlJ: Sarah Field·T: Dan O'Sullivan556kg2 9 4 3 85: 0-1-1$26.00$3.90

Career

5: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-1
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

8Ballarat1400m23 Oct 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD47.95L
3Kilmore1207m13 Oct 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD44.25L
4Ballarat1000m30 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD46L
9Caulfield Heath1100m16 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD47.36L
2Ballarat Synthetic1100m31 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC3.3L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On pace but soon under pressure and she knocked up badly at Ballarat. Drops back a notch in trip. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Jumped at $14.00 and looked outclassed when 8th last run at Ballarat. Likely to be well placed early. Remote chance at best.

Held in eighth at Ballarat over 7f (maiden) 12 days ago; seems to be improving based on last two runs; others more appealing.

RSIS

Started 13/1 and folded up in the straight when 8th last time at Ballarat. Has shown early pace in races to date.

14Storm BellaScratched12––––

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1207m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Kilmore1207m13 Oct 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD45.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 50%
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Stepping out for only the second time after battling home at Kilmore at double-figure odds 13 Oct. Has a tricky draw. Has work to do and others more fancied here.

ILB

Odds of $19.00 and peaked in the closing stages of the race when 4th last time at Kilmore and having second race start.

Finished just behind Hurricane Girl last month when fourth at Kilmore; will need to step up from her racecourse introduction.

RSIS

Odds of 18/1 and started to tire late when 4th last run at Kilmore and having second career run.

Odds correct as at Wed 4 Nov, 1:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 20 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Thu 8 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races