Shortest win price
Job Done (3)
2.00
Welcome to Kyneton for some Tuesday afternoon punting where the track is rated a Soft 7 and showers are around for this Benchmark 74 handicap over 1203m. It is a sharp little field assembling for race four at 2:35 pm AEDT, and the win market has the yard keeping Job Done tight at the head of affairs. Following Job Done closely in the betting order are Bacash, Attachments, Enna's Dream, and Arcandam rounding out the main chances in what shapes as a tactical battle on the damp turf.
Looking into the form behind those shorter prices, Job Done resumes here after twenty-four weeks away for trainers M Price & M Kent Jnr, with Damian Lane taking the steer from barrier two. This runner brings a sharp first-up record of two wins from two attempts and tuned up with some sound jump-outs. Meanwhile, Bacash jumps from barrier three for the Hayes stable with Daniel Stackhouse in the saddle, coming off a terrific effort when just shaded at Morphettville before a let-up. Enna's Dream also resumes after a seventeen-week spell from barrier five for Alexander Rae and Jamie Mott, boasting solid fresh credentials that suggest she can keep herself right in the mix.
Further down the form lines, speed maps have Bacash pushing forward to take up the running from the inside half, while Job Done looks to settle off the pace and Attachments finds a spot back in the field. Arcandam adds another dimension from gate four for trainer Daniel Bowman and jockey Billy Egan, completing a fascinating puzzle for punters hunting a winner on the quick back-up or looking for value in a tricky Kyneton test.
Shortest win price
Job Done (3)
2.00
Most career wins
Enna's Dream and Arcandam
4 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Bacash · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -68% POT in their L100 Races
Enna's Dream · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 12% lower than Career Avg.
Job Done · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Arcandam · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Career
17: 3-4-4
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-2-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 1-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
4: 1-0-2
Distance 1200m
7: 1-2-2
Distance 1250m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 1-1-0
Going Good
10: 2-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 1-1-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -68% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 39% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Terrific effort when just shaded at Morphettville 17 Oct. Sharper now, right in this.
ILB
Threw down a serious challenge last time at Morphettville. Should muster plenty of early speed. Will show up at the business end.
RP
A narrow second at 13-5 at Morphettville two weeks ago; recent effort was creditable so hard to dismiss.
RSIS
Close up last time at Morphettville. Shows good early pace. Definite claims for punters.
Career
27: 4-5-7
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-3
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-1
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
9: 2-2-2
Going Good
13: 0-2-4
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
12: 4-2-3
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 12% lower than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Alexander Rae in good form, out performing market 53%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 32% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (17-weeks). Fresh form solid without winning. Looks a top three chance fresh in this line-up.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. Jumped at $16.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last start at Flemington. Looking past the last run and competing in a less challenging grade. Good potential.
RP
Beaten 7l when seventh of ten over 7f at Flemington (handicap) in July; others are preferred.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Started at 15/1 and weakened to finish 7th last time at Flemington. Should improve from the last run and facing a weaker grade. Worth a serious look.
Career
9: 3-1-1
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 2-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Caulfield Heath
2: 2-0-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 2-1-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Damian Lane 35% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -50% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Damian Lane winning at 12% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 27%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 2 when resuming
AAP
First-up (24-weeks). 2nd & 3rd at recent jump-outs. Good enough to figure in the finish fresh.
ILB
Has multiple wins first up. Didn't attack the line when 9th last run at Flemington. Giving another go here and competing at a lower level of competition. Expected to be competitive.
RP
Close up behind Bacash when ninth (Flemington) in May; useful at this level; could be hard to beat if finding his best form.
RSIS
Has multiple wins first run back. Didn't find the line when 9th last start at Flemington. Happy to overlook that run and back in an easier grade. Tough competitor.
Career
8: 4-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 2-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 1-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 1-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 3-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
8: 4-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Billy Egan 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 195%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 33% Profit on Turnover
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 2 when resuming
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (27-weeks). Looks a top three chance fresh in this company.
ILB
First up and controlled the speed to win by a margin of 1L first up last preparation at Murray Bridge. Competing in an easier class. Not hopeless.
RP
Not beaten too far when tenth at Flemington over 7f (handicap) six months ago; he's an attractive contender as has more than one win to his name.
RSIS
Resuming and gave them all something to chase to win by 1L resuming last preparation at Murray Bridge. Jockey Billy Egan and trainer Daniel Bowman form a proven partnership.
Career
17: 4-2-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
3: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1100m
8: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 2-1-0
Going Good
11: 3-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -59% POT in their L100 Races
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
AAP
Well back and made some minor headway but passing mainly tired rivals at Seymour. Among the dangers.
ILB
Started $20.00 and outpaced some runners late when 5th last start at Seymour.
RP
Record shows she knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 4-17) but not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Cranbourne in February; not beaten that far in fifth (5l) over 5½f at Seymour (handicap) last month; others appeal more.
RSIS
Started at 19/1 and showed some merit late when 5th last run at Seymour.
Career
11: 3-2-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 1-1-1
Second-up
3: 2-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
10: 3-1-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
8: 2-2-1
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 27%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Competitive in metro company two back 16 Sep. Not far off them in the small field at Pakenham Synthetic. Rates among the better chances.
ILB
Started $4.40 and picked up some late ground when 4th last time at Pakenham Synthetic and can save some energy from the gate. Not dismissing.
RP
Admirable career strike-rate (three from 11 to date) and admirably consistent; solid run when fourth at Pakenham last month.
RSIS
Odds of 10/3 and inched into 4th last run at Pakenham Synthetic and drawn beautifully.
Career
8: 3-2-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 2-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 2-2-0
Going Good
3: 1-1-0
Going Soft
4: 2-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 43%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
AAP
First-up (20-weeks). Fresh winner at Cranbourne last campaign. Has early speed. At best, a place hope.
ILB
First up after 20 weeks and strong effort to the line to win first up last preparation at Cranbourne.
RP
Beaten a fair way when eighth at Pakenham over 7f (handicap) in June; this is her level.
RSIS
Resuming and picked up nicely to win resuming last preparation at Cranbourne.