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Kyneton (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Kyneton (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 4 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 4 NovKyneton (VIC)Change

Race 5 — 360 ONE Advisors & Accountants (Bm66) 1103m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Kyneton for this afternoon meeting where the track is rated a soft 7 and showers are around for the Benchmark 66 mares sprint over 1103m. The win market lines up with Lady Sadler sitting right at the top of calculations, followed closely by Tapo, Divine Empress, Mystic Reign, Packers Journey, and Brave Carol rounding out the pack. It sets up an intriguing tactical battle on the damp ground as the runners get ready for action.

Taking a look under the hood at the form, Lady Sadler is resuming from a twenty-four-week spell for trainer C W Mcdonald, steering from barrier 2 with Fred W Kersley in the saddle, boasting three wins from fourteen starts and a handy first-up record. Divine Empress jumps from barrier 3 with Damian Lane aboard for Jason Warren, coming off a gritty second at Bairnsdale on a soft 7 track where she stuck on bravely. Meanwhile, Mystic Reign returns fresh after a fifteen-week break from a new stable under C J Cassar, carrying top weight from barrier 6 with Sarah Field.

Down the line, Tapo draws barrier 5 for trainer Ms G Johnstone and rider Luke Cartwright, known as a pace influence who slogged away bravely for minor honours at Horsham last time out. With speed maps showing Mystic Reign and Tapo pressing forward as leaders while Lady Sadler works off the pace, punters have plenty of interesting form lines to weigh up in this competitive mares clash.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,Benchmark 66,F&M BM66,F&M BM66 HCP
  • SOFT7
  • Showers
  • 6 runners

Shortest win price

Lady Sadler (2)

2.50

Most career wins

Tapo

5-7-7 from 40 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 8Brave Carol

Midfield

  • 4Packers Journey
  • 6Divine Empress

Offpace

  • 2Lady Sadler

Leader

  • 1Mystic Reign
  • 3Tapo

  • Mystic Reign · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Lady Sadler · Positive

    Maps Well

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%

  • Tapo · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 59% in Last 100 Rides

  • Packers Journey · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 167%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Mystic ReignJ: Sarah Field·T: C J Cassar662kg6 5 7 5 69: 3-0-0$9.00$3.50

Career

9: 3-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1103m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 955m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 3-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Sandown1000m22 July 2026 · Benchmark 70 · SOFT63.6L
  2. 5Flemington1100m14 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L
  3. 7Cranbourne955m30 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.3L
  4. 5Flemington1100m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP F&M BM78 HCP · GOOD33.5L
  5. 6Flemington1000m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP F&M BM74 · GOOD31.7L
  6. 10Caulfield1100m26 July 2025 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · SOFT56.3L
  7. 1Flemington1100m8 Mar 2025 · Quality · GOOD4-1.25
  8. 1Moonee Valley1000m21 Feb 2025 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD3-1

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -35% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 54%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 60% Profit on Turnover

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (15-weeks). Ex G M Begg. Trained here now. Generally competitive fresh. Big watch under new trainer.

ILB

First run back from a break. Started $9.00 and looked outclassed when 6th last start at Sandown. Is capable of a resurgence. Should race on the speed. Has to be in the finish.

RP

Has winning form at this track; fair effort when beaten 3½l, finishing sixth of ten over 5f at Sandown (handicap) in July; representing new yard today; strong claims.

RSIS

Fresh from a break. Started 8/1 and folded up in the straight when 6th last start at Sandown. Expected to rebound. First start for a new trainer. Highly respected.

2Lady SadlerJ: Fred W Kersley·T: C W Mcdonald261kg2 1 2 1 414: 3-2-1$2.50$1.36

Career

14: 3-2-1

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ballarat

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    9: 2-1-1

Last starts

  1. 4Pakenham1600m15 May 2026 · 2UP BM66 · SOFT51.2L
  2. 1Pakenham1400m1 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD4-0.1
  3. 2Cranbourne1400m17 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M BM62 HCP · SOFT61.5L
  4. 1Cranbourne1300m27 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT6-1.8
  5. 2Cranbourne1200m31 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.8L
  6. 5Geelong1715m20 June 2025 · BM58 HCP · SOFT69L
  7. 6Caulfield1600m31 May 2025 · 3YF BM78 HCP · GOOD44.4L
  8. 7Caulfield1600m10 May 2025 · 3Y HCP · GOOD43L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (24-weeks). Won first-up at Cranbourne last campaign and backed it up with consistent efforts through the prep. Has had 2 recent unplaced jump-outs. Key player.

ILB

First up and ran on strongly to win first up last preparation at Cranbourne. Can find a nice position from the draw. Dropping back to a shorter trip. Significant value and can go close.

RP

Career record shows her ability to win (wins-runs record of 3-14); solid run when fourth over 1m at Pakenham (handicap) six months ago; has had some time off; she can make a bold bid.

RSIS

Resuming and flew home to win resuming last preparation at Cranbourne. Has a positive stall. Dropping in distance. Has to carry more weight this time. Good value.

3TapoJ: Luke Cartwright·T: Ms G Johnstone560kg7 5 5 4 340: 5-7-7$3.40$1.70

Career

40: 5-7-7

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 2-1-0

  • Second-up

    6: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    6: 1-1-2

  • Fourth-up

    6: 0-1-2

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Bendigo

    11: 0-1-1

  • Track Caulfield

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 975m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    9: 3-0-1

  • Distance 1010m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    13: 1-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    11: 0-2-3

  • Going Soft

    16: 4-3-2

Last starts

  1. 3Horsham1200m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.4L
  2. 4Bendigo1100m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.1L
  3. 5Bendigo1100m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52L
  4. 5Seymour1200m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY81.6L
  5. 7Bendigo1100m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP F&M BM66 HCP · HEAVY96L
  6. 3Echuca1200m24 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94.5L
  7. 4Bendigo1000m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY90.8L
  8. 5Swan Hill975m7 June 2026 · BM70 · SOFT53L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 59% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Luke Cartwright winning at 39% POT in last 100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

At the helm, outpointed late but slogged away for the minor spoils 3yo+ (Bm70) at Horsham. Pace influence. Not out of this.

ILB

Set a strong tempo before tiring to place 3rd beaten by close to 3 1/2L last time at Horsham and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Represents significant value.

RP

Finished third when beaten 3½l over 6f at Horsham (handicap) last month; all her winning form has come at Echuca (five successes).

RSIS

Applied plenty of pressure when 3rd beaten by just short of 3 1/2L last run at Horsham and showing improvement in recent outings. Likely to be well placed early. Stands out as good value.

4Packers JourneyJ: Alana Kelly·T: N J Dyer159.5kg1 4 5 1 619: 3-3-0$9.00$3.50

Career

19: 3-3-0

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1461m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1218m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Hamilton1100m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT63.7L
  2. 1Mildura1208m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT6-0.8
  3. 5Morphettville1400m22 Aug 2026 · F&M 0-68 · SOFT75.2L
  4. 4Sandown1200m2 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT72.4L
  5. 1Mildura1200m18 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD4-0.2
  6. 4Ballarat Synthetic1200m7 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC1.6L
  7. 2Ballarat Synthetic1200m26 June 2026 · Benchmark 56 · SYNTHETIC0.1L
  8. 1Donald1200m9 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT7-0.8

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 167%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (51-days). Never better than midfield in the 3yo+ (Bm56) at Hamilton. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Freshened up. At $3.80 finished 6th last time at Hamilton but drawn well. Alana Kelly is a plus but challenged by more formidable competitors. Place best.

RP

Not beaten that far in sixth (3½l) at Hamilton 51 days ago; she can be taken on with a number of her rivals in good nick.

RSIS

Let up. At 11/4 finished 6th last start at Hamilton but drawn the rails. Alana Kelly rates highly but rising in grade.

5The Birthday PartyScratched5––––

Career

6: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wodonga

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 975m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1008m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 2-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1
  2. 4Wodonga1100m15 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.75L
  3. 11Sale1008m17 May 2026 · 0-66 · GOOD48.3L
  4. 8Mornington1000m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.7L
  5. 9Yarra Valley1000m24 Mar 2026 · BM56 · SOFT54.5L
  6. 1Swan Hill975m28 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.3

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

Comments

AAP

Great win from the deep gate this venue. All the better, capable of figuring again.

ILB

Led and controlled the pace to win by 1L last start at this venue but up against stronger opponents.

RP

Belied odds of 14-1 when winning by 1l over 6f here (handicap) 15 days ago; definitely of interest.

RSIS

Was much too pacey in front to win by 1L last start here but challenged by a tougher grade.

6Divine EmpressJ: Damian Lane·T: Jason Warren357kg2 1 5 7 27: 1-2-0$4.40$2.10

Career

7: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1006m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 2Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT70.75L
  2. 7Sale1006m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD419.2L
  3. 5Cranbourne1300m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.1L
  4. 1Yarra Valley1200m15 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.1
  5. 2Kyneton1218m27 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · SOFT61.5L
  6. 5Sale1006m11 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.3L
  7. 4Benalla1212m2 Sept 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT57.8L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Damian Lane 35% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Jason Warren in good form, out performing market 98%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 76% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent forward and stuck to the task bravely in choppy conditions in the 3yo+ (Bm56) at Bairnsdale second-up. On pacer. Placed only other run at Kyneton. Warrants attention.

ILB

Showed strength on the speed initially before fading at the end 2nd last start at Bairnsdale but facing formidable rivals. Slim chance.

RP

Beaten three-quarters of a length over 5f at Bairnsdale (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Ran out of steam towards the end when 2nd last run at Bairnsdale but facing formidable rivals.

7Bliss BombScratched8––––

Career

8: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Seymour

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 2Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31L
  2. 5Kilmore1207m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 · GOOD44.65L
  3. 6Ballarat Synthetic1200m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.9L
  4. 3Ballarat Synthetic1100m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC2.25L
  5. 10Sandown1000m15 July 2026 · 3Y BM64 · HEAVY99.7L
  6. 2Ballarat Synthetic1000m26 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC1.8L
  7. 1Seymour1100m16 Jan 2025 · Maiden · GOOD4-1.5
  8. 3Morphettville1000m26 Dec 2024 · Set Weights plus Penalties · GOOD42.47L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 34% lower than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -77% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 41% in L100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent forward, outgunned late but boxed on this track. Leads, handy. This looks very achievable.

ILB

Honest race when 2nd last start at this track and showing improvement in recent outings. Up against tougher competition. Goes down in weight.

RP

Behind The Birthday Party here over 6f (handicap) when second (sent off 13-8) 15 days ago.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the placings when 2nd last time here but matched against a stronger field. Form has been improving over recent runs. Gets some weight taken off.

8Brave CarolJ: Jett Stanley·T: John Keane456kg7 10 7 5 517: 2-0-3$15.00$4.20

Career

17: 2-0-3

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Tatura

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    6: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    6: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    7: 2-0-1

  • Going Good

    9: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 5Ballarat1100m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD44.4L
  2. 5Tatura1100m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.75L
  3. 7Ballarat Synthetic1100m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC7.75L
  4. 10Ballarat Synthetic1200m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.1L
  5. 7Ballarat Synthetic1000m14 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.66L
  6. 1Ballarat Synthetic1100m16 June 2026 · Benchmark 56 · SYNTHETIC-1
  7. 3Kyneton1106m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · GOOD44.3L
  8. 8Ballarat1200m14 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD45.1L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 427%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 48%

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Sent out $14 when unable to threaten at Ballarat. Has to lift considerably.

ILB

At $14.00 came in 5th last time at Ballarat. Always seems to find the line well. Not at all out of this race.

RP

Generally modest form since handicap success at Ballarat five months ago; not disgraced when fifth of eight at Ballarat 26 days ago; others more appealing as this could be a hot race.

RSIS

At 13/1 came in 5th last run at Ballarat. Has a nice turn of foot.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Tue 20 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Thu 8 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races