Shortest win price
Our Red Ripper (3)
1.75
Coffs Harbour's fourth race this afternoon is the Remembering Gae Palmer Maiden Handicap over 1000 metres on a SOFT6 track under fine conditions, jumping at 3:35 pm AEDT. The maiden ranks are well represented here, and the win market has settled with Our Red Ripper as the shortest-priced runner, followed by Sideact and Prestige Blue. The speed map suggests I'm Guessing will lead from barrier six, while Our Red Ripper is mapped to sit off the pace from barrier three. There's a genuine mix of trial form and previous racing experience across the field, which should make for an interesting contest.
Our Red Ripper arrives with an intriguing profile: the jockey-trainer combination of Andrew Mallyon and Renita Beaton is performing 48 per cent above market expectations, and Beaton's stable runners have struck at 14 per cent in their last 100 runners. The form itself is built on trial work—a win at Beaudesert (1050m, SOFT5) by a narrow margin and a fifth-place finish at Gold Coast (1000m, SOFT6)—so there's genuine racing rhythm here. Rating 87, with a dam that won three races, this runner offers the hot combo angle punters often follow. Sideact, meanwhile, sits second in the market despite being first-up after 18 weeks out. The IRD rating of 99 stands out, and the AAP commentary suggests this runner "gave a sight" on debut at Taree before taking lessons away. Daniel Smith, the jockey, has switched in today, which is flagged as a negative rider change, yet Sideact's barrier one is a golden gate in a 1000-metre race on soft ground.
Prestige Blue rounds out the three shortest-priced hopes, second campaign after 33 weeks away, with a reasonable debut showing here at Coffs before a trial at Ballina. The Lee stable turns runners out at 10 per cent profit, and Siabh Rigley's partnership with that stable is striking at 26 per cent. I'm Guessing, at long odds but worth watching, is trained here now and showed late improvement in recent trials; Ben Looker is outperforming his career average by 23 per cent in his last 100 rides. The runner sits as the early leader and rates at 81, which hints at genuine fitness returning from 39 weeks out.
Shortest win price
Our Red Ripper (3)
1.75
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Firststart
Midfield
Leader
Cerano Magic · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Omaha Bart · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Our Red Ripper · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Sideact · Negative
Trainer SR
Robert Agnew striking at just 9%
Career
3: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Not disgraced in rain affected going at Taree off long spell at $3.20. Building fitness. Warrants attention.
ILB
Was $3.20 and well beaten when 8th last start at Taree. Expecting improvement. Stamps its reason for consideration.
RP
Only finished eighth of 14 despite odds of 11-5 in a maiden at Taree three weeks ago; some promise; closest he has come to winning after three starts was a third; passed over.
RSIS
Odds of 11/5 and didn't attack the line when 8th last start at Taree. Should improve here. Good winning chance.
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 31%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
On Debut
Positive
First race start
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-0). Dam placed at only career start. Asked for little in lead-up trials. Good draw. Look to market for a further guide.
ILB
Chris Manson trained 4yo by Omaha Beach having first race start. Interesting gear change of tongue tie on first time. Unplaced in multiple barrier trials. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Already a gelding; this son of Omaha Beach makes first rules appearance; definite chance.
RSIS
4yo first starter by Omaha Beach for trainer Chris Manson. Interesting to see the tongue strap go on for the first time. Unplaced in all trials.
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
AAP
Trials (4:1-2-0). Dam won three races. Was an earlier trial winner on the Beaudesert track. Nice gate. Betting may provide a clearer picture.
ILB
Renita Beaton trained 4yo by Sweynesse having first start. Success in a barrier trial at Aquis Beaudesert on May 8th. Follow the money.
RP
New Zealander bred; first rules outing for this four-year-old son of Sweynesse; difficult to oppose as some good aspects to his profile; held 2.0 alternative entries Tuesday.
RSIS
First start at the races 4yo by Sweynesse for trainer Renita Beaton. Won a trial at Aquis Beaudesert on May 8th. Respect the betting.
Career
3: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
AAP
Second campaign (28-weeks). Early form reasonable. In the minors on debut last campaign while trialling well in the lead-up. Can build on that foundation. Big watch.
ILB
First up and came in 3rd first up last preparation at Port Macquarie. Ran 2nd in a trial at Hawkesbury on Oct 20th but dropping in distance. Very capable of taking this out.
RP
Possibilities; held an entry at Muswellbrook Tuesday.
RSIS
Resuming and competitive effort when 3rd resuming last preparation at Port Macquarie. Placed 2nd in a trial at Hawkesbury on Oct 20th but coming back in trip. Gets a chance against these.
Career
1: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
99
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Taree
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Robert Agnew striking at just 9%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (18-weeks). Gave a sight on debut at Taree 30 Jun. Took valuable lessons. Trialled quietly at Port Macquarie. Big show fresh in this company.
ILB
Fresh after a break. Ran home into 2nd beaten by 1L last time at Taree and fitter for debut run. Should come to hand quickly. Drawn nicely. Should put in a decent effort.
RP
Went down by 1l when runner-up at the first time of asking at Taree at 8-1 four months ago; returns from a layoff here; progress needed on this second career run.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Managed to run into 2nd last time at Taree and having second career run. Shows good early pace. Will go close here.
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer SR
Negative
Paddy Cunningham striking at just 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-0). Dam won twice. Two modest trials leading in. Look to market for a further guide.
ILB
3yo debutant by Love Conquers All for trainer Paddy Cunningham. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Has not placed in multiple trials. Watch early betting.
RP
Gelded already; first start under rules for this three-year-old son of Love Conquers All; needs considering with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
First race appearance 3yo by Love Conquers All for Paddy Cunningham. Blinkers go on for the first time. Has not placed in all trials.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Back for second campaign (33-weeks). Ex Jordan Lee in NSW. Reasonable debut performance when battled to line this course. Since trialled at Ballina.
ILB
Fresh after a 33 week break. Started $9.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last time at Grafton but was on debut last time. Will need to find a few more lengths.
RP
Sixth but beaten only 3½l on his debut at Grafton at 8-1 in March; returning from a layoff here; progress needed on this second career run.
RSIS
First run back from a 33 week break. Was 8/1 and looked outclassed when 6th last time at Grafton but having second race start.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 60%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 60%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 46% POT in L100 Runners
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 991 day break (> 300 days)
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (141-weeks). Ex Owen Glue in NSW. Well down the track this venue on debut as a despised outsider. Further experience gained from 2 trials.
ILB
First up from a 141 week spell. Looked outclassed when 7th last start at Grafton but having second career run. Change in trainer. Would be more keen on the chances of others.
RP
Never landed a blow on her debut when seventh of 14 over 5½f at Grafton at 100-1 in 2024; first start for new trainer; must make above-average progress to figure.
RSIS
Resuming after a break of 141 weeks. Couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last run at Grafton but was on debut last time. First start for a new trainer.
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). $30k purchase. Out of a three-quarter-sister to the stakes winner Shakespearean. Will clearly need to improve on lone trial offering at Grafton. Gets a soft draw. Follow betting leads.
ILB
On a quick back up. Started $15.00 and not competitive when 5th last run at Ballina but fitter for debut run. Will appreciate a good draw.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Odds of 14/1 and struggled when 5th last run at Ballina but was a debutant last start. Can save some energy from the draw.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
3: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1040m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1120m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Ben Looker 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 29% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Ben Looker in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 29%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
First-up (39-weeks). Ex Jason Reilly. Trained here now. Went close in Maiden company first-up last campaign. Latest suggested improvement.
ILB
First up after a 39 week break. At $10.00 was found wanting late when 4th last time at Grafton. First start for a new trainer. Looking at others.
RP
Best she's managed so far is fourth from four career starts; disqualified in a maiden (Grafton) when producing a respectable effort in February; runs for a new yard here.
RSIS
First run back from a 39 week break. Was 9/1 and faded in the run home when 4th last time at Grafton. Blinkers go off for the first time.
Career
9: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
2: 0-0-1
Track Grafton
5: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1015m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1310m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Violet Soulsby current POT is 39% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 61% in L100 rides
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (58-days). Ex Stephen & Jordan Lee. Trained here now. Ordinary performance in small field this course over longer test. Prefer to see.
ILB
Freshened for this. At $61.00 appeared lacklustre when 6th last time at Grafton and down in trip. First race for a new trainer. Highly unlikely it will trouble the judge.
RP
Not disgraced when sixth (Grafton) two months ago in a maiden; yet to open her account after nine starts; first run for stable; others appeal more.
RSIS
Back from a let up. Odds of 60/1 and not up to standard when 6th last start at Grafton and dropping in distance.
Career
9: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
3: 0-0-0
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1190m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1310m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Not Trustworthy
Negative
May be competing at this level for some time
AAP
Resuming (32-weeks). Form to date uninspiring. Prefer to see.
ILB
Fresh from a spell of 32 weeks. Started at $81.00 and mediocre attempt when 4th last run at Ballina on a heavy track and down in distance. Unplaced in career. Difficult to warm to at present.
RP
Tailed off at Ballina over 7f (maiden) in March; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at nine; layoff to overcome; others more likely.
RSIS
First run back after a break of 32 weeks. Was 80/1 and uncompetitive when 4th last run at Ballina on a heavy surface and back in trip.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
1: 0-0-0
Track Casino
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -64% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 50%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 61% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 37%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Let-up (55-days). Big prices and modest returns in early runs. Needs to show more.
ILB
Back from a let up. Started at $151.00 and didn't find the line when 12th last run at Lismore. Considering others.
RP
Tailed off (Lismore) in a maiden.
RSIS
Freshened for this. At 150/1 tailed off to finish 12th last run at Lismore.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Promising Headwater 4-year-old. Winner packed too many punches but he kept on bravely at Gold Coast Poly second-up. Drops back a notch in trip. Key player.
ILB
On a short back up. Looked good when 3rd last start at Gold Coast Poly. In good condition this campaign.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Came in 3rd last time at Gold Coast Poly. Looking sharp on the track since resuming from a break.