Shortest win price
Magarten (1)
3.30
Welcome to Pioneer Park for the Swank Shoes Hcp (70) over the 1600m trip. The track is rated good and the weather is fine, with the race having jumped at 5:40 pm AEDT. Looking at how the win market has shaped up, Magarten heads the betting as the shortest runner, closely followed by Grinzinger Lass, Matron Samsing, and Mr Jones rounding out the leading quartet in the order.
Magarten brings strong claims on a quick back-up for trainer Ms K Petrick, having recently recaptured winning form with a strong victory at this venue over 1400m under claiming apprentice Lek Maloney. Grinzinger Lass is another major player for Ray Viney, coming off a close third in a BM76 here after being run down in the shadows of the post, with Jessica Booth taking the reins again. Matron Samsing is also in the mix for the Petrick stable, having just missed at Pioneer Park previously when finishing not far away.
Further down the form lines, speed maps point to a potential early pace battle up front with Mummsie and Okesutora listed in the leader speed group, while backmarker Cours Vite will be looking to capitalise if the tempo is genuine. Punters weighing up the form line have plenty to ponder in this competitive restricted handicap.
Shortest win price
Magarten (1)
3.30
Most career wins
Taipan Tommy
12-6-8 from 74 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Magarten · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Grinzinger Lass · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides
Matron Samsing · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Mr Jones · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Career
44: 5-7-9
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
6: 0-2-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 1-1-2
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-1
Track Fannie Bay
4: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-1
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
18: 3-2-5
Distance 1800m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
27: 3-4-7
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
14: 2-3-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 2%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
AAP
Backing up quickly. Recaptured winning form with a strong victory this venue. Claiming apprentice engaged again.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Snagged a narrow win last time here but has more weight to carry. Should get going late. Good chance in this.
RP
Had Grinzinger Lass, Matron Samsing and Mr Jones behind him here over 7f (handicap) when getting the job done by a short head last week; others more appealing despite that win last time.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Snagged a narrow win last run at this venue but hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Will be trying to topple them late. Definite winning chance.
Career
33: 8-5-6
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Wodonga
2: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Alice Springs
30: 8-5-6
Distance 1100m
8: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
11: 4-3-0
Distance 1400m
10: 3-0-5
Going Good
33: 8-5-6
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 56%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
AAP
On a short back-up. Run down in the shadows this venue.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Was competitive when 3rd last start here. Jessica Booth and Ray Viney are a strong team. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Strong claims.
RP
Just over 1l behind the winner, Magarten, here over 7f (handicap) when on the premises, finishing third at 14-5 last week; achieved eight wins at this venue; plenty of appeal.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Nice run when 3rd last start at the track. Displays good tactical pace. Jockey Jessica Booth and trainer Ray Viney work well together. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.
Career
25: 5-4-5
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
15: 3-2-4
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
23: 4-3-5
Going Synthetic
2: 1-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a short back-up. Just missed at Pioneer Park 10 Oct. Got back and wasn't totally disgraced this track.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Jumped at $9.50 and came in 5th last time at this venue but has minimal work to do from the draw. Expected to be flashing home. Place hope.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten just over 3l in fifth) over 7f here (handicap) when behind Magarten last Saturday; a prolific winner over this C&D; looks likely to go well.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. At 17/2 finished 5th last time here but drawn well. Will be hitting the line strongly.
Career
59: 8-6-9
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
9: 2-2-1
Second-up
8: 0-0-3
Third-up
8: 1-0-2
Fourth-up
6: 0-0-1
Track Terang
1: 0-0-0
Track Fannie Bay
8: 1-0-0
Track Kangaroo Island
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1215m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1218m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
44: 8-5-6
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-1-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 106%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track And Dist
Positive
Excels at this track and trip
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a quick back-up. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge this venue.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Odds of $3.80 and below expectations when 7th last time at this venue. Expected to rebound. Paul Denton takes the reins today. Has every chance.
RP
No threat to winner, Magarten, here a week ago (finished seventh) over 7f (handicap) when beaten just over 5l; multiple course winner; don't write him off; a winner two starts ago so one to consider.
RSIS
On a short back up. Was 11/4 and performed below standard when 7th last time here. Likely to bounce back. Good to see Paul Denton is jumping on. Expect support.
Career
34: 3-6-2
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Dunkeld
1: 0-0-0
Track Penshurst
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1215m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
13: 0-5-0
Going Good
26: 2-5-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 20% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Stan Tsaikos 25% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Key Jockey
Positive
Stan Tsaikos winning at 15% POT in last 100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Fresh. Ordinary performance in small field this course.
ILB
Jumped at $3.70 and weakened to finish 4th last start at this venue. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Must respect.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten just under 5l in fourth) over 7f here (handicap) last month; easy enough to take on as meeting a number of horses who are in good form.
RSIS
Started 11/4 and struggled with the pace when 4th last time at this track. Expecting to settle positively. Solid claims.
Career
34: 4-5-4
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-2-0
Track Sunshine Coast
4: 0-1-2
Track Albury
1: 0-0-1
Track Seymour
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2040m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2221m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2460m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
23: 2-4-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
9: 2-1-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Barry Cooke striking at just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -58% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 47%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 55% Profit on Turnover
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 6kg from LS run
AAP
On a quick back-up. Positive ride but emptied late this course. Has early speed.
ILB
On a quick back up. Started at $10.00 and not in contention when 8th last start at this venue but gets some weight relief. Should muster plenty of early toe. Peak required to upset this field.
RP
Finished eighth but wasn't beaten too far (just under 4l) over 7f here (handicap) when he was behind several of these rivals last Saturday; others are preferred as this is competitive.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. At 9/1 tailed off when 8th last start at this venue but dropping weight. Has early pace and positions nicely.
Career
74: 12-6-8
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
7: 1-0-1
Second-up
6: 1-0-0
Third-up
6: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
6: 2-0-0
Track Balaklava
2: 0-0-0
Track Port Augusta
9: 0-0-2
Track Tennant Creek
3: 2-0-1
Distance 1250m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1360m
5: 0-0-1
Distance 1396m
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
65: 10-6-8
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
8: 1-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Negative
Shuichi Terachi current POT is 6% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 77% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On a quick back-up. Solid performance in defeat in the Hcp (58) this course.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Tidy run when 3rd last run here. Likely to get back. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.
RP
Specialist here with seven wins; finishing third was a good effort last week over 7f here (handicap) when ahead of a couple of these; should give it a bold bid as latest run was an encouraging one.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Finished 3rd last run at this venue. Likely to settle back in the field.
Career
41: 3-7-5
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Pukekohe
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 0-0-2
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 0-1-0
Going Good
30: 3-6-4
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep
AAP
Backing up quickly. Ran on late from the back this track.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Jumped at $12.00 and finished 5th last start here but gets a favourable draw. Looking sharp on the track since resuming from a spell. Suggest watching.
RP
A while since his last success; respectable fifth over 7f here (handicap) splitting Taipan Tommy, Sheer Reward and Okesutora last Saturday; facing a testing assignment and is passed over.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Started at 11/1 and came in 5th last run at this venue but has a positive draw. In a purple patch of form lately.
Career
44: 3-5-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Alice Springs
22: 2-4-1
Track CurrentTrack
22: 2-4-1
Track Bairnsdale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1203m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
35: 3-4-2
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
5: 0-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -47%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 47%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 55% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On a short back-up. Gave solid chase in a good effort this track as an outsider.
ILB
On a quick back up. Jumped at $61.00 and average effort when 7th last time here. Take on trust.
RP
Split a number of these rivals posting a creditable effort to finish seventh last week upped to 7f; a few throw outs since his success in a handicap at Pioneer Park four months ago; this looks a fair heat so hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Was 60/1 and lacked competitiveness when 7th last run at the track.