Next2Go logo

Hawkesbury (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Hawkesbury (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 7 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 7 NovHawkesbury (NSW)Change

Race 8 — Airmakers (Bm64) 1500m · jumps

Race preview

The Airmakers Benchmark 64 handicap at Hawkesbury on Monday, 5:54 pm AEDT, is a 1500-metre contest across a Good 4 track with fine conditions. This is a competitive field where the win market tells the tale: Rolling Home sits shortest, with Showmara next, followed by Awesome Artist and Famoso. The race shapes up as a genuine puzzle, with leaders and off-pace types vying for room in a field that looks genuinely spread.

Rolling Home has won at Scone and Muswellbrook on the back-up—a pattern that speaks to her readiness here. The mare led and responded strongly in a small field second-up; the comment suggests she can push up again from the deep barrier 11 draw. Her jockey, Heavelon Van Der Hoven, is outperforming career average by 15 per cent in the past 100 rides. Showmara, meanwhile, is holding form after winning this very track over this very distance in a Soft 7. The gate at 2 is kind, and the form line suggests a repeat isn't out of the question. Awesome Artist knuckled down from the back half to win at Nowra and draws barrier 1, though she's been raced harder here before. Both Showmara and Rolling Home carry ratings of 91; Awesome Artist sits at 87.

Famoso, rated 100 by IRD, won at Canberra fresh and knuckled down from midfield to do it. The form is sharp, and the comment notes she can play a role with even breaks. Wandjad, an off-midfield runner with the fastest finishing sectionals last start, hails from a stable striking at 22 per cent POT over the past 100 runners—a serious angle. The two leaders will likely dominate early, but punters eyeing an upset might find value in Famoso's recent fitness or Wandjad's closing profile as a contrarian play in a field where the structural advantage runs to the shorter prices.

Race notes

  • BM64,BM64 HCP,Benchmark 64
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 11 runners

Shortest win price

Rolling Home (2)

2.20

Most career wins

Wandjad

6-0-2 from 23 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 1Wandjad

Midfield

  • 4Showmara
  • 7Too Hot To Handle
  • 6Famoso
  • 8Ziggy Rose
  • 9Maximum Ride

Offpace

  • 5Cash Me
  • 10More Mischief
  • 11Miss Graysea

Onpace

  • 3Awesome Artist

Leader

  • 2Rolling Home
  • Wandjad · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rolling Home · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides

  • Awesome Artist · Negative

    Trainer SR

    David Pfieffer striking at just 13%

  • Showmara · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1WandjadJ: Andrew Gibbons·T: W T Wilkes560.5kg7 5 1 1 123: 6-0-2$11.00$2.75

Career

23: 6-0-2

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Randwick

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Corowa

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    3: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1850m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    17: 4-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Muswellbrook1500m19 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD4-0.33
  2. 1Muswellbrook1450m5 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD4-2.54
  3. 1Tuncurry1400m11 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD3-0.2
  4. 5Newcastle1350m25 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT62.8L
  5. 7Scone1100m10 July 2026 · CTRY CL3 · SOFT75.5L
  6. 9Randwick1600m20 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.7L
  7. 5Randwick Kensington1800m5 Dec 2025 · 4UP BM64 HCP · GOOD42.3L
  8. 3Newcastle1600m15 Nov 2025 · 3UP C3 HCP · GOOD41.6L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 22% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • In Form

    Positive

    Racing in top form recently

Comments

AAP

Racing in great heart. Bided his time at the back and let down smartly at Muswellbrook over this trip. Back to prov level with another big impost but stays under strong notice.

ILB

Ran on strongly to win last time at Muswellbrook. Undefeated last 3 runs. Will be trying to topple them late. Andrew Gibbons does know the horse very well. Good chance of taking this out.

RP

Landed a narrow success in a handicap at Muswellbrook 19 days ago; successful six times from 23 career runs and looking to complete a four-timer; much respected.

RSIS

Picked up late to win last start at Muswellbrook. Can't knock the form winning 3 on the trot. Andrew Gibbons has been successful previously. Expected to be flashing home. Capable type.

2Rolling HomeJ: Heavelon Van Der Hoven·T: Annabel & Rob Archibald1159.5kg2 2 1 1 16: 2-1-2$2.20$1.20

Career

6: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Scone

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1280m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-1-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Scone1300m23 Oct 2026 · CL1 · SOFT5-2.04
  2. 1Muswellbrook1280m5 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD4-0.6
  3. 1Tamworth1000m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-2.4
  4. 2Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.6L
  5. 2Randwick Kensington1400m13 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD43L
  6. 4Kembla Grange1300m29 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.2L
  7. 3Muswellbrook1280m20 Apr 2026 · CGE MDN-SW · GOOD41L
  8. 3Warwick Farm1300m1 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN · SOFT52.6L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Heavelon Van Der Hoven winning at 6% POT in last 100 rides

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Good Form

    Positive

    Very competitive in recent runs

Comments

AAP

Striving for hat-trick. Led, responded strongly to score in small field at Scone second-up. Can push up again from the deep draw. Profiles well.

ILB

Controlled the pace when winning by a margin of 2L last run at Scone. Looks very sharp this preparation with 2 wins from 2 runs. Respect the betting.

RP

Has shown some recent improvement and attempts to land a hat-trick; got the job done by 2l at Scone over 6½f (handicap) last month; warrants respect.

RSIS

Gave them all something to chase when winning by a margin of 2L last start at Scone. Hasn't put a foot wrong lately with 2 wins from as many starts. Not at all out of this race.

3Awesome ArtistJ: Jean Van Overmeire·T: David Pfieffer159kg10 10 9 3 17: 2-0-1$6.50$2.05

Career

7: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1890m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Nowra1400m18 Oct 2026 · BM58 · GOOD4-0.1
  2. 3Warwick Farm1200m28 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.4L
  3. 9Warwick Farm1208m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L
  4. 10Flemington2800m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD325.1L
  5. 10Caulfield2400m11 Apr 2026 · 3Y-SWP · SOFT76.2L
  6. 1Canberra2000m25 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-1.2
  7. 3Hawkesbury2000m7 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT50.7L
  8. 7Newcastle1890m14 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.1L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    David Pfieffer striking at just 13%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Knuckled down strongly from back half to salute at Nowra. Good draw. Clearly harder here but placed only other run at Hawkesbury. Can play a role.

ILB

Picked up late to win last run at Nowra and has drawn the rails. Should muster plenty of early speed. Up against a higher level of opposition. Some hope in this event.

RP

Landed a narrow success in a handicap back down to 7f three weeks ago at Nowra on debut for this trainer; despite that Nowra success, looks risky.

RSIS

Was eating up the ground late when winning last start at Nowra and can save some energy from the draw. Should be going forward early. Taking on stronger opponents.

4ShowmaraJ: Keagan Latham·T: Alexandre Lemarie259kg7 8 1 2 120: 4-2-1$3.90$1.40

Career

20: 4-2-1

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track Terang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 2-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 2-2-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 2-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Hawkesbury1500m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT7-0.17
  2. 2Nowra1600m20 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD40.5L
  3. 1Mudgee1400m30 Aug 2026 · BM58 · SOFT7-1.6
  4. 8Hawkesbury1300m20 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT69.3L
  5. 7Gosford1200m6 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD43.6L
  6. 9Werribee1429m12 Jan 2026 · BM56 · GOOD38.2L
  7. 8Terang1600m16 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD38.4L
  8. 8Mornington1500m27 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD43.5L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 216%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 52%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

Comments

AAP

Holding form. Brave display holding on this track over this trip. Decent alley. Has claims for a repeat.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Started $6.50 and came in 4th last time at Gosford but can find a nice position from the draw. Not at all out of this race.

RP

C&D has proven suitable before; useful in this grade; finished fourth on Thursday albeit only beaten 1½l over 1m (handicap) at Gosford; could be dangerous as he knows how to get his head in front.

RSIS

On a short back up. At 11/2 ran 4th last time at Gosford but can find a nice position from the draw. Has some claims.

5Cash MeJ: Jeff Penza·T: J M Austin958.5kg6 11 7 5 428: 5-4-2$41.00$5.50

Career

28: 5-4-2

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    5: 3-0-1

  • Third-up

    5: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Track Beaudesert

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Rockhampton

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Canterbury

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1500m

    5: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1650m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1900m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    20: 5-3-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 4Warwick Farm1200m30 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.1L
  2. 5Warwick Farm821m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.4L
  3. 7Randwick Kensington1800m13 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.6L
  4. 11Newcastle1500m23 Apr 2026 · BM68 HCP · SOFT56.3L
  5. 6Warwick Farm1600m1 Apr 2026 · BM72 · SOFT58.5L
  6. 6Hawkesbury1300m17 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD47.9L
  7. 6Warwick Farm795m16 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial2.4L
  8. 9Hawkesbury1500m8 Nov 2025 · BM64 · GOOD45.7L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Jeff Penza 21% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (25-weeks). Raced below best ratings last campaign but brought on with two trial hitouts and is a first-up winner. Look to markets.

ILB

Back from a break. Started at $91.00 and below par performance when 7th last start at Randwick Kensington. Has not placed in multiple barrier trials. Entitled to be a big price.

RP

Seventh of ten beaten 7l at Randwick in May upped to 1m1f; a winner over this C&D; useful at this level; has had some time off; warrants respect.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Was 90/1 and only fair when 7th last start at Randwick Kensington. Yet to place in multiple trials.

6FamosoJ: Brodie Loy·T: Rob Potter1058.5kg2 7 5 2 121: 3-5-2$7.00$2.15

Career

21: 3-5-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1080m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    17: 2-5-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Canberra1400m23 Oct 2026 · CL2-SW · GOOD4-0.83
  2. 2Canberra1300m9 Oct 2026 · CTRY CL2-SW · GOOD42.38L
  3. 5Canberra1300m18 Sept 2026 · CL2-SW · GOOD32.81L
  4. 7Wyong1200m4 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD45.6L
  5. 2Canberra1080m21 Aug 2026 · CL2-SW · GOOD30.6L
  6. 6Canterbury1100m5 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L
  7. 3Canberra1280m24 July 2026 · CL2-SW · GOOD31.9L
  8. 5Canberra1080m26 June 2026 · Open · GOOD32.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Knuckled down well from midfield to salute at Canberra. Super fit from racing, can again play a role with even breaks.

ILB

Charged home to win last time at Canberra and form has been improving over recent runs. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.

RP

Scored narrowly in a conditions race at Canberra last month; despite that Canberra success, others more persuasive.

RSIS

Charged home to win last time at Canberra and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Commands respect.

7Too Hot To HandleJ: Mitchell Bell·T: G Portelli855.5kg8 8 2 4 15: 1-0-0$41.00$5.50

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Wagga

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Orange

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Gosford

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Orange1300m19 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.32
  2. 4Goulburn1100m6 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT62.68L
  3. 2Warwick Farm819m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.3L
  4. 8Warwick Farm792m3 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.6L
  5. 8Wagga1200m1 May 2026 · 2Y SW · GOOD410.3L
  6. 5Warwick Farm1200m15 Apr 2026 · 2YCG MDN · GOOD43.4L
  7. 5Gosford1100m14 Mar 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT53.1L
  8. 5Warwick Farm792m16 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial4.9L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 34%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Just got there in the Mdn Plate at Orange when second-up. First try at 1500m and this is clearly stronger but one for wider exotics.

ILB

Charged home to win last time at Orange but facing formidable competition. On an upward trajectory in recent races. Highly unlikely to feature here.

RP

Has arguably shown improved form the last twice; registered first success at the fifth time of asking scoring narrowly at Orange over 6½f (maiden) last month; stepping up in trip and others make more appeal.

RSIS

Flew home to win last time at Orange and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Racing against tougher rivals.

8Ziggy RoseJ: Pierre Boudvillain·T: Danielle Seib655.5kg1 7 5 6 516: 3-3-1$20.00$3.80

Career

16: 3-3-1

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gundagai

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wagga

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    7: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 2-2-0

Last starts

  1. 5Hawkesbury1000m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.7L
  2. 6Kembla Grange800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L
  3. 5Wagga2000m21 June 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY107.8L
  4. 7Canterbury1900m27 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT76.9L
  5. 1Parkes1600m17 May 2026 · CL2 · SOFT6-0.2
  6. 4Wagga1400m30 Apr 2026 · CTRY CL2 · GOOD41.7L
  7. 4Wagga1000m8 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L
  8. 5Canberra2000m5 Dec 2025 · BM65 · SOFT54.3L

Insights

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (19-weeks). Close in Class 2 company at Wagga first-up last campaign. Among the dangers fresh in this affair.

ILB

Fresh today after a break. Was $8.00 and improved late to finish 5th last start at Wagga on a heavy surface but down in trip. Gets some weight taken off. Keep safe.

RP

Finished fifth, beaten a fair way over 1m2f at Wagga (handicap) in June; returns from a break here; this line-up contains some strong opposition so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.

RSIS

Resumes after a break. At 7/1 made up ground when 5th last time at Wagga on a heavy rated track but down in distance. Gets a reduction in weight. Watch betting.

9Maximum RideJ: Braith Nock·T: D Lane755kg12 6 2 1 1120: 2-3-1$81.00$8.50

Career

20: 2-3-1

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Taree

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 1-3-1

Last starts

  1. 11Tamworth1400m12 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT53.19L
  2. 1Wellington1400m15 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SOFT6-0.68
  3. 2Tamworth1400m25 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT50.99L
  4. 6Hawkesbury1300m11 Aug 2026 · CL1 HCP · SOFT54.8L
  5. 12Wyong1200m4 July 2026 · BM64 · SOFT76.7L
  6. 6Wyong845m17 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)10L
  7. 9Dubbo1600m15 Mar 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD45.6L
  8. 4Scone1400m24 Feb 2026 · CL1 · SOFT56.1L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Damien Lane striking at just 5%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Performance just fair at Tamworth and leaning towards others here.

ILB

Was $31.00 and not competitive when 11th last time at Tamworth and racing against tougher rivals. Priced to finish behind most.

RP

Finished towards the rear of 13 over 7f at Tamworth (handicap) last month; others have more pressing claims with this looking like a hot contest.

RSIS

Started 30/1 and average effort when 11th last start at Tamworth and challenged by more formidable competitors.

10More MischiefJ: Molly Bourke·T: Ms A Turner455kg4 5 8 3 648: 3-2-9$34.00$4.60

Career

48: 3-2-9

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Hawkesbury

    8: 0-1-2

  • Track CurrentTrack

    8: 0-1-2

  • Track Kembla Grange

    11: 0-1-1

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    30: 3-1-8

  • Going Heavy

    7: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    11: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Nowra1600m18 Oct 2026 · BM58 · GOOD43.2L
  2. 3Nowra1600m20 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD40.7L
  3. 8Goulburn1600m11 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD42.7L
  4. 5Nowra1600m10 Aug 2026 · BM66 · SOFT74.6L
  5. 4Wyong1600m23 July 2026 · BM64 · SOFT71.2L
  6. 3Nowra1600m15 June 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY81.1L
  7. 10Kembla Grange1500m16 May 2026 · BM64 · SOFT56.7L
  8. 6Kembla Grange1400m29 Apr 2026 · BM64 · GOOD45.3L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Amanda Turner striking at just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -42%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 50% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Long time since last saluted but not disgraced at Nowra and goes into wider exotics.

ILB

At $8.00 finished 6th last start at Nowra and facing stiffer opposition. Gets some weight relief. Hard to have.

RP

A while since his last success; didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Nowra (beaten just over 3l) over 1m (handicap) three weeks ago; this looks a decent race so others are preferred.

RSIS

Odds of 7/1 and came in 6th last time at Nowra and racing in stronger company. Carrying less weight this time.

11Miss GrayseaJ: Grant Buckley·T: Edward Cummings355kg3 3 9 7 1120: 1-2-3$126.00$13.00

Career

20: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Taree

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Casino

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 805m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-1-1

  • Going Good

    10: 0-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Nowra1600m18 Oct 2026 · BM58 · GOOD46.5L
  2. 7Bathurst1400m17 Aug 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY88.8L
  3. 9Canberra1206m24 July 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD38.5L
  4. 3Canberra1080m8 July 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD31.2L
  5. 3Hawkesbury1000m29 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)2.3L
  6. 10Randwick1050m12 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)13.7L
  7. 5Coffs Harbour1315m13 Dec 2025 · BM50 · HEAVY83L
  8. 9Coffs Harbour1212m4 Dec 2025 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD38.5L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 27% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 36% in L100 rides

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Sent out $41 when unable to threaten at Nowra. Needs a form spike.

ILB

Was $41.00 and looked outclassed when 11th last run at Nowra and competing in a more challenging class. Others much better.

RP

Finished last of 11 over 1m at Nowra (handicap) when not far behind More Mischief three weeks ago; just the one victory on her CV; not hard to turn elsewhere as a few rivals look in good form.

RSIS

Odds of 40/1 and weakened to finish 11th last run at Nowra and competing at a higher level of competition.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Tue 27 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Thu 15 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Thu 8 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Thu 24 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
  • Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races