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Hawkesbury (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Hawkesbury (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 7 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 7 NovHawkesbury (NSW)Change

Race 2 — Fowler Civil Contracting Pty Ltd Mdn Plate 1400m · jumps

Race preview

Hawkesbury plays host to a Maiden Plate for the mares and fillies over 1400 metres on a Good 4 track in fine conditions at 1:55 pm AEDT. The market opener sits with Koibito as the shortest-priced runner, followed by Michonne's Katana and Billapaloola. This is a wide-open affair where form and fitness will count for plenty. Koibito has early speed and maps as the leader from barrier 4, giving the favourite a structural advantage on a circuit where early splits matter. She ran 2nd at Newcastle 19 September when just missed over the mile, and led before giving away the final stages at Warwick Farm second-up, suggesting she has the credentials to put last start behind her with better fortune.

Michonne's Katana, second in the market, came home with a wet sail to grab second in a 3yo+ F&M Maiden at Newcastle first up at odds of $6, and her form rating sits at 88. Though awkwardly drawn at barrier 11, she's on a learning curve and capable of mixing it. Billapaloola, third shortest, put in a game effort at Kembla Grange second-up and forms at rating 78, with the comment suggesting all the better and capable of making an impact. Explosive Express, fourth in the market, showed ordinary form at Warwick Farm at second start but had a city placing on debut, rated 85, and enjoys a better barrier at 3 this time. The Waller runner steps up to 1400 metres for the first time.

Billapaloola and Michonne's Katana occupy similar territory in the midfield speedGroup, which comprises six runners all battling for middle order positioning. Koibito stands alone as leader and will set the tone. Of those further down the market, Moordyup presents an interesting angle—jockey Jeff Penza is outperforming his career average by 24% over his last 100 rides and winning at 9 per cent of odds in that stretch, which adds a layer of intrigue to a horse that shapes with reasonable form figures. The tale here is form meeting fitness; punters will back those whose recent runs stack up.

Race notes

  • F&M MDN-SW,Maiden
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 13 runners

Shortest win price

Koibito (2)

1.75

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 10Envious

Offmidfield

  • 14Wild Yarn

Midfield

  • 1Fierce Critic
  • 3Legsliketwiggy
  • 4Let's Be Honest
  • 6Michonne's Katana
  • 9Billapaloola
  • 7Moordyup

Offpace

  • 13Wave Blaster

Onpace

  • 5Llantarnam
  • 11Explosive Express

Firststart

  • 8Ballerdena

Leader

  • 2Koibito

  • Fierce Critic · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races

  • Koibito · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races

  • Legsliketwiggy · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Let's Be Honest · Positive

    Trainer ROI

    Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Fierce CriticJ: Grant Buckley·T: Matthew Smith158kg2 10 4 4 75: 0-1-1$21.00$3.90

Career

5: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Nowra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 7Nowra1200m18 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD44.1L
  2. 4Hawkesbury1000m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.1L
  3. 4Rosehill900m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5L
  4. 10Warwick Farm1600m4 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT715.3L
  5. 2Hawkesbury1500m19 Feb 2026 · Maiden · GOOD40.8L
  6. 3Canberra1400m6 Feb 2026 · MDN · GOOD41L
  7. 5Kembla Grange1300m22 Jan 2026 · Maiden · SOFT73.3L
  8. 5Rosehill900m2 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial3.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure after lengthy absence at Nowra. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Jumped at $13.00 and came in 7th last start at Nowra but gets a favourable draw. Respect the betting.

RP

Some promise; closest she has come to winning after five starts was a second; not beaten too far when seventh at Nowra (dropped to 6f) last month in a handicap; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and ran 7th last run at Nowra but has the ideal stall. Not at all out of this race.

2KoibitoJ: L P Beuzelin·T: G Waterhouse & A Bott458kg2 4 6 2 75: 0-3-0$1.75$1.10

Career

5: 0-3-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1550m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-2-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Warwick Farm1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3UP SUPER MDN HCP · SOFT62.92L
  2. 2Newcastle1250m19 Sept 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · GOOD40.23L
  3. 6Randwick1045m28 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2.7L
  4. 4Randwick1040m14 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.3L
  5. 2Canterbury1550m10 Sept 2025 · 3UP MDN HCP · HEAVY90.1L
  6. 2Warwick Farm1300m20 Aug 2025 · 3yo · HEAVY103.9L
  7. 4Randwick1100m26 July 2025 · 2Y HCP · SOFT62.3L
  8. 1Randwick1050m11 July 2025 · Barrier Trial-0.5

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 33 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Just missed at Newcastle 19 Sep. Led, gave away final stages at Warwick Farm second-up. Can put last run behind her.

ILB

Started $3.60 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last start at Warwick Farm. Likely to bounce back and solid career start. Displays good tactical speed. Will go close today.

RP

Not far behind Palm Tree when seventh in a handicap at Warwick Farm five weeks ago upped to 1m; has shown some recent improvement.

RSIS

Was 13/5 and weakened to finish 7th last start at Warwick Farm. Has the ability to turn things around and showing consistent performance in races. Shows good early pace. Winning chance.

3LegsliketwiggyJ: Adam Farragher·T: Robert Quinn1258kg1 11 2 6 53: 0-1-0$126.00$13.00

Career

3: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1280m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 5Canberra1200m23 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD41.59L
  2. 6Warwick Farm1207m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)11.3L
  3. 2Canberra1280m24 July 2026 · MDN · GOOD30.9L
  4. 11Canberra1280m8 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD310.9L
  5. 1Warwick Farm1209m26 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)-0.3

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 26%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ran on late from the back at Canberra first up. Harder this time but has scope.

ILB

Jumped at $17.00 and got going late when 5th last start at Canberra. Interesting to see the ear muffs go on for the first time. Simply cannot have.

RP

Creditable effort to finish fifth, beaten 1½l (Canberra) 15 days ago in a handicap; shown she can be competitive fairly recently and looks interesting.

RSIS

Was 16/1 and hit the line well when 5th last time at Canberra. Interesting gear change of hood on first time.

4Let's Be HonestJ: William A Stanley·T: John Thompson958kg7 7 5 4 210: 0-1-2$51.00$6.00

Career

10: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 0-1-2

Last starts

  1. 2Kembla Grange1200m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD47L
  2. 4Kembla Grange800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L
  3. 5Randwick740m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.7L
  4. 7Kembla Grange1500m2 June 2026 · MDN · HEAVY86.5L
  5. 7Kembla Grange1400m9 May 2026 · MID MDN-SW · GOOD43.3L
  6. 3Goulburn1500m27 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.8L
  7. 8Newcastle1500m11 Apr 2026 · Maiden · GOOD48.4L
  8. 4Newcastle1250m31 Mar 2026 · MDN HCP · GOOD41.4L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

Comments

AAP

Winner too strong but ran on for the minors at Kembla Grange first run back. Fitter here.

ILB

Attacked the line when 2nd last time at Kembla Grange. Not at all out of this race.

RP

Comfortably beaten finishing second (7l) at Kembla Grange over 6f (maiden) when dropped in distance 14 days ago; has taken a step forward the last twice but still winless and defeats stacking up (ten on the bounce).

RSIS

Ran on when 2nd last run at Kembla Grange. Watch the betting.

5LlantarnamJ: Jean Van Overmeire·T: David Pfieffer858kg7 7 31: 0-0-1$13.00$3.20

Career

1: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Newcastle1250m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.99L
  2. 7Hawkesbury1000m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.8L
  3. 7Warwick Farm815m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)5.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 13%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 28% Profit on Turnover

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

Comments

AAP

Highly encouraging debut performance at Newcastle 17 Oct. Took valuable lessons and should come on again in this company.

ILB

Ran well when 3rd last run at Newcastle and having second career run. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Went close on her debut over 6f at Newcastle at 11-1 three weeks ago; could improve from her debut but will need to.

RSIS

Looked good when 3rd last start at Newcastle and was a debutant last start. Expecting to settle positively. Could be in the mix.

6Michonne's KatanaJ: Mitchell Bell·T: G Ryan & S Alexiou1158kg5 4 3 4 25: 0-1-1$4.60$1.60

Career

5: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Bathurst

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Newcastle1250m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.47L
  2. 4Rosehill1030m2 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.5L
  3. 3Bathurst1400m16 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY91.8L
  4. 4Kembla Grange1200m16 May 2026 · F&M MDN · SOFT57L
  5. 5Canterbury896m1 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.3L
  6. 5Rosehill900m17 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.8L
  7. 7Kembla Grange1300m15 Nov 2025 · F&M MDN · GOOD43.5L
  8. 4Kembla Grange1200m25 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.1L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

On a learning curve. Came home with a wet sail to grab second 3yo+ F&M Mdn at Newcastle first up at odds of $6. Awkwardly drawn but in the mix.

ILB

Close up last time at Newcastle and form has been improving over recent runs. Genuine claims.

RP

Has taken a step forward the last twice; had a couple of these behind her when second at Newcastle in a handicap last month.

RSIS

Missed by a narrow margin last start at Newcastle and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Should go very close.

7MoordyupJ: Jeff Penza·T: Joseph Pride1358kg3 6 7 6 58: 0-1-1$31.00$4.40

Career

8: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Kembla Grange

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 5Kembla Grange1400m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP SUPER MDN HCP · GOOD41.6L
  2. 6Kembla Grange1400m26 Sept 2026 · F&M MDN · GOOD44.7L
  3. 7Warwick Farm816m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.9L
  4. 6Warwick Farm789m3 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.2L
  5. 3Hawkesbury1600m26 Mar 2026 · Maiden · GOOD41.4L
  6. 7Newcastle1600m12 Mar 2026 · Maiden · GOOD46.4L
  7. 2Newcastle1600m28 Feb 2026 · MDN · SOFT50.6L
  8. 10Wyong1350m10 Feb 2026 · Maiden · GOOD46L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Jeff Penza winning at 9% POT in last 100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced at Kembla Grange second-up. Has an adverse draw but blinkers on. Include.

ILB

Jumped at $5.50 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last time at Kembla Grange. Would rather look at others.

RP

Split Billapaloola (third) and Wave Blaster (seventh) last month when fifth beaten 1½l (Kembla Grange) in a handicap; yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at eight and form has been a bit mixed lately; this line-up contains some strong opposition so looks an unlikely winner.

RSIS

Odds of 9/2 and crept into 5th last start at Kembla Grange.

8BallerdenaJ: Keagan Latham·T: Michael Freedman656.5kg5 8 6 9$34.00$4.60

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 9Rosehill900m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.7L
  2. 6Randwick740m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)3.7L
  3. 8Rosehill900m10 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)8.1L
  4. 5Warwick Farm818m26 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)1.8L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 14% in Last 100 Rides

  • Still Learning

    Negative

    No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (4:0-0-0). Soft trial work. Several key gear additions for debut. Follow betting leads.

ILB

Noverre 3yo having first start for trainer Michael Freedman. Yet to place in multiple barrier trials. Watch betting.

RP

New Zealander bred; related to 1m2f winner The Bambino; newcomers from this trainer regularly hit the target; sole debutant in the line up; respected with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Noverre 3yo trained by Michael Freedman having first race start. Yet to place in all trials.

9BillapaloolaJ: Louise Day·T: R J Quinton556.5kg7 4 3 6 33: 0-0-1$10.00$2.65

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Kembla Grange1400m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP SUPER MDN HCP · GOOD40.9L
  2. 6Hawkesbury1300m8 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.26L
  3. 3Randwick1050m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2L
  4. 4Randwick1050m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L
  5. 7Warwick Farm1100m20 May 2026 · 2yo · HEAVY87.5L
  6. 5Randwick740m4 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.4L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Louise Day current POT is 55% below Career Avg.

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 64% in L100 rides

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Game effort at Kembla Grange second-up. All the better, capable of making an impact.

ILB

Amongst the placegetters when 3rd last start at Kembla Grange. Questions at this level.

RP

Found two too strong when beaten less than a length in a handicap at Kembla Grange last month (had two of these rivals behind); career is progressing; can be on the premises.

RSIS

Showed a good turn of foot when 3rd last run at Kembla Grange.

10EnviousJ: Lee Magorrian·T: C J Waller256.5kg7 9 6 5 51: 0-0-0$51.00$6.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Kembla Grange1200m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD49L
  2. 5Warwick Farm813m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)6.2L
  3. 6Rosehill900m30 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)3.7L
  4. 9Rosehill900m19 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.2L
  5. 7Rosehill900m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)6.7L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

With leading trainer but a very soft debut performance at Kembla Grange under betting interest 24 Oct. Had support there. Possible improver second time out.

ILB

Jumped at $6.50 and showed some merit late when 5th last time at Kembla Grange and was on debut last time. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Others are better.

RP

Close up behind Let's Be Honest last month when fifth over 6f at Kembla Grange; could improve from her debut but will need to.

RSIS

At 11/2 ran on into 5th last start at Kembla Grange and having second career run. Gets back and needs luck. Has a good draw.

11Explosive ExpressJ: Rory Hutchings·T: C J Waller356.5kg2 3 5 3 42: 0-0-1$9.00$2.60

Career

2: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Warwick Farm

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Warwick Farm1300m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD46.29L
  2. 3Randwick1050m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)4.1L
  3. 5Rosehill900m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.1L
  4. 3Warwick Farm1100m3 June 2026 · 2YF MDN · SOFT71.6L
  5. 2Rosehill900m22 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.1L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 12% better than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field at Warwick Farm at her second race start. Better draw. Hope on debut city placing.

ILB

Jumped at $8.00 and finished 4th last start at Warwick Farm. Could feature here.

RP

Fourth beaten 6l over 6½f at Warwick Farm (maiden) two weeks ago; may be involved as shown some ability on occasion and had excuses last time (hampered).

RSIS

Started 7/1 and came in 4th last start at Warwick Farm. Watch betting.

12Palm TreeScratched8––––

Career

3: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Illawarra Grange

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Rosehill900m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2L
  2. 4Warwick Farm1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3UP SUPER MDN HCP · SOFT61.39L
  3. 2Illawarra Grange1450m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L
  4. 6Canterbury1250m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT76.6L
  5. 3Warwick Farm1208m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.4L
  6. 8Warwick Farm786m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.2L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 33 days

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Form to date sound. Knuckled down with purpose in soft going at Warwick Farm. Big show.

ILB

Jumped at $8.50 and made ground when closing off to finish 4th last time at Warwick Farm but hoping that the added weight won't hurt.

RP

Winless in three starts but has shown promise with second her top showing; far from disgraced (beaten 1½l) over 1m at Warwick Farm (handicap) just ahead of Koibito 33 days ago.

RSIS

Odds of 15/2 and pushed past some when 4th last time at Warwick Farm but goes up in weight.

13Wave BlasterJ: Jess Taylor·T: T J Bartley1056.5kg7 2 8 6 76: 0-0-0$81.00$8.50

Career

6: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Rosehill

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Kembla Grange1400m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP SUPER MDN HCP · GOOD45.1L
  2. 6Newcastle1300m6 Oct 2026 · Maiden · GOOD47.11L
  3. 8Warwick Farm1200m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT57.1L
  4. 2Wyong1000m10 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.6L
  5. 7Gosford800m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)12.2L
  6. 7Rosehill1200m14 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD46.5L
  7. 9Rosehill1100m21 Feb 2026 · 2yo · GOOD439.3L
  8. 4Rosehill1100m17 Jan 2026 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY82.7L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Tracey Bartley in good form, out performing market 24%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $9 when unable to threaten at Kembla Grange over today's trip. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Was $9.00 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last run at Kembla Grange. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Will be a difficult test.

RP

Attempting to open her account at the seventh time of asking; beaten 5l when seventh of ten two weeks ago at Kembla Grange in a handicap; others more likely given this looks a decent race.

RSIS

Was 8/1 and faded away to finish 7th last start at Kembla Grange. Blinkers go off for the first time.

14Wild YarnJ: Matt Kirk·T: R J Quinton756.5kg8 6 3 7 42: 0-0-0$126.00$14.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Newcastle1250m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.86L
  2. 7Kembla Grange1400m26 Sept 2026 · F&M MDN · GOOD47.5L
  3. 3Randwick1050m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.4L
  4. 6Randwick742m28 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)7.4L
  5. 8Randwick745m20 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)11.9L
  6. 6Randwick740m16 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.2L
  7. 6Randwick736m5 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.3L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Ran on soundly from midfield at Newcastle at second start. Sound latest effort but will need to lift again in this affair.

ILB

At $41.00 picked up some ground to run 4th last start at Newcastle. Likely to get back in the field. Matt Kirk takes a large claim. Hard to have.

RP

Respectable display to finish fourth, beaten just under 3l (Newcastle) three weeks ago in a handicap.

RSIS

Odds of 40/1 and made up ground when 4th last start at Newcastle. Likely to settle back in the field. Matt Kirk takes a large claim.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Tue 27 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Thu 15 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Thu 8 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Thu 24 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
  • Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races