Shortest win price
Rebel Rhapsody (1) and Viipuri (4)
4.00
Welcome to Hawkesbury for the All Aspects Roofing Midway BM64 over the 1300m journey. The track is rated a Good 4 under fine skies, setting up a cracking afternoon of racing for punters on course and at home. Looking at how the win market is shaping up, Rebel Rhapsody leads the way as the shortest runner in commission. Chilly Charlie sits next in the betting order, closely followed by Viipuri and Kitty Okay rounding out the top markers in the early boards.
Unpacking the form behind those at the head of the market, Rebel Rhapsody resumes after a nineteen-week break for trainer Nacim Dilmi carrying 60.5kg from barrier 5 with Lee Magorrian in the saddle. This seventeen-start winner boasts three victories and showed enough in recent trials, including a win over 800m at Newcastle, to suggest a competitive fresh showing is on the cards. Viipuri is another catching the eye for David Pfieffer from barrier 3 with Jean Van Overmeire steering, looking to bounce back from an unplaced run in stronger grade at Randwick last time out.
Further down the page, there are plenty of intriguing angles among the speed groups and remaining runners. Rebel Rhapsody and Chilly Charlie share the on-pace speed group, while Kitty Okay and Ahellbenda are expected to roll forward as leaders. Chilly Charlie comes in fresh for Sara Ryan after a twenty-one-week spell, partnered by Keagan Latham from barrier 6, bringing a handy trial placing under the belt and looking like a key player for exotics in this competitive Hawkesbury line-up.
Shortest win price
Rebel Rhapsody (1) and Viipuri (4)
4.00
Most career wins
Rebel Rhapsody and Viipuri
3 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Rebel Rhapsody · Negative
Jockey Booking
Lee Magorrian current POT is 30% below Career Avg.
Kitty Okay · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Viipuri · Negative
Trainer SR
David Pfieffer striking at just 13%
Ahellbenda · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 159%
Career
17: 3-2-3
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Tamworth
1: 1-0-0
Track Scone
1: 1-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 1-2-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 2-1-1
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-2
Jockey Booking
Negative
Lee Magorrian current POT is 30% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 145%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 32% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Resuming (19-weeks). Can pull out a run fresh while showing enough in recent trials. Has speed and capable of playing a key role.
ILB
Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Was $4.20 and came in 5th last time at Newcastle. Has the ability to turn things around. Strong prospects.
RP
Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Newcastle (beaten 3½l) over 7f (handicap) four months ago; returning from a layoff here; others more persuasive.
RSIS
Resumes after a break. At 10/3 finished 5th last time at Newcastle. Likely to bounce back. Lee Magorrian and Nacim Dilmi make a formidable team. Expecting to settle positively. Has strong claims.
Career
2: 2-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 2-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 2-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Unbeaten gelding facing acid test. Ran home nicely to win after settling handy at Newcastle at second appearance. Capable of figuring again.
ILB
Charged home to win last time at Newcastle.
RP
On a hat-trick after last win; won a handicap by 1½l upped to this trip at Newcastle last month; much respected.
RSIS
Bold effort when winning last time at Newcastle.
Career
10: 2-2-0
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
2: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
5: 2-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 2-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 65%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 65% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
AAP
Found a spot back off the pace but went backwards when the whips were cracking at Kembla Grange after lengthy absence. Strips in better shape. Prefers cut in the track. Commands attention here.
ILB
Was $9.00 and ran 7th last time at Kembla Grange. Should be going forward early. Large claim helps. Has some claims.
RP
This is her level; fair effort when beaten 4½l, finishing seventh of 14 over 6f at Kembla Grange (handicap) last month; easy to see her making an impression based on the pick of her form; also engaged in race 2 at Rosehill.
RSIS
Was 8/1 and came in 7th last time at Kembla Grange. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Large claim helps. Betting is the best guide.
Career
10: 3-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 2-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1
Trainer SR
Negative
David Pfieffer striking at just 13%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 6kg more than LS
AAP
Sent out $31 when never got into the race at Randwick second-up. Better placed this level and nicely drawn to figure.
ILB
Folded up in the straight when 11th last start at Randwick. Capable of bouncing back and goes down in class. Hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Expect support.
RP
Towards the rear of 14 over 6f at Randwick (handicap) 14 days ago; successful three times from ten career runs; no surprise to see him go well despite defeats on last two starts as he scored three runs back.
RSIS
Weakened under pressure when 11th last time at Randwick. Can show a better performance this time and up against a less competitive field. Going up in weight. Tough competitor.
Career
12: 2-2-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-1-0
Track Warwick Farm
2: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 2-1-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 2-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jeff Penza 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -43% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jeff Penza in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 21%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
AAP
Freshened. Sent out $41 when unable to threaten in soft going at Warwick Farm over longer assignment. Mixing efforts but respect back from city test.
ILB
Was well beaten when 6th last start at Warwick Farm but up against a less competitive field. Will be dropping in distance.
RP
Held in sixth over 1m at Warwick Farm (handicap) 33 days ago; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Lost ground in the run home when 6th last run at Warwick Farm but up against weaker rivals. Back to a shorter trip.
Career
18: 2-2-3
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
7: 0-2-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 2-2-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 159%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Richard Litt in good form, out performing market 41%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 22% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Got back and wasn't totally disgraced in choppy conditions this course off long break. Fitter second-up. Warrants attention.
ILB
At $8.00 basic showing when 6th last start around here. Shows good early pace. Commands respect.
RP
Not disgraced in sixth when close behind Bright Promise last month; easy enough to take on; also engaged in race 2 at Rosehill.
RSIS
Was 7/1 and not competitive when 6th last run at the track. Should muster plenty of early toe. Genuine claims.
Career
26: 2-3-6
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 2-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
2: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1700m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1850m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 1-3-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 1-0-2
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 14% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 52%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
AAP
Resuming (21-weeks). In the minors at Kembla Grange first-up last campaign while trialling 2 times ahead of return. Pace influence. One for exotics fresh in this line-up.
ILB
First up and tidy effort when 3rd first up last preparation at Kembla Grange. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Placed in all trials. Watch the betting.
RP
Beaten a long way at Gosford over 1m (handicap) in June; infrequent winner; returns from an absence here; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Resuming and looked good when 3rd resuming last preparation at Kembla Grange. Won't be far away during the run. Has placed in all trials but coming back in distance. Watch the betting.
Career
11: 2-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 1-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 43%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Not disgraced in choppy conditions this venue over this journey. Needs the breaks. Has some claims.
ILB
Jumped at $6.00 and ran 4th last start at the track. Tracking very well this campaign. Entitled to be big odds.
RP
Has maintained her consistent level of form; a C&D winner; respectable fourth; closely matched with Ahellbenda on that running last month.
RSIS
Was 5/1 and finished 4th last start at the track. Very competitive in recent runs.
Career
4: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Narromine
1: 0-0-0
Track Wellington
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Freshened. Never sighted at Kembla Grange when second-up. Only for multiples.
ILB
Lost ground in the run home when 12th last time at Kembla Grange but gets the perfect draw. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Not had much racing - fifth outing here; last of 12 at Kembla Grange over 6f (handicap) 28 days ago; first-time blinkers now tried; by no means ruled out given there is limited recent form on offer in this race and has proved she knows how to win.
RSIS
Couldn't stay in touch when 12th last time at Kembla Grange but has a nice advantage with a good draw. Blinkers go on for the first time. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
25: 2-5-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-2-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 0-2-0
Distance 1190m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
15: 1-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
9: 1-2-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Long time since last saluted. Sent out $31 when unable to threaten in soft going at Port Macquarie when second-up. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Jumped at $31.00 and ran 6th last time at Port Macquarie but drawn nicely. Expected to settle towards the rear. Looks too tough.
RP
Not beaten too far when sixth of 11 over 6f at Port Macquarie (handicap) two weeks ago; infrequent winner and generally struggled of late; others are preferred.
RSIS
Started 30/1 and ran 6th last time at Port Macquarie but drawn nicely. Will be giving the leaders a big start.
Rating · IRD
20
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Performance just fair at Tamworth at $31. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Not up to standard when 11th last start at Tamworth.
RSIS
Underwhelming when 11th last run at Tamworth.
Career
28: 4-1-5
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Taree
3: 0-0-0
Track Inverell
2: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1010m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1410m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1509m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 3-0-4
Going Heavy
6: 0-0-1
Going Soft
9: 1-1-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Donna Grisedale striking at just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Battled home into 6th in the small field at Nowra at longer odds. Better conditioned. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Didn't find the line when 6th last run at Nowra but has a positive draw. Jon Grisedale has been successful aboard previously.
RP
Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Nowra (beaten just under 4l) over 6f (handicap) last month; probably unlikely to trouble the principals; also engaged in race 2 at Rosehill.
RSIS
Didn't threaten when 6th last run at Nowra but will try to take advantage of the draw. Jon Grisedale has been successful aboard previously.