Hawkesbury (NSW) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:04 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Hawkesbury (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 7 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 7 NovHawkesbury (NSW)Change

Race 3 — Blakes Marine Super Mdn Plate 1800m · jumps Sat 7 Nov, 2:34 pm AEDT

Race notes

3yo+,Maiden,SUPER MDN-SW
GOOD4
Fine
8 runners

Shortest win price

Moon Flash (5)

2.50

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

3Dance With Destiny
4Miss Binman

Midfield

6What She's Having
7Andelise

Offpace

1Chief Wild Eagle
8Rocks Or Diamonds

Leader

5Moon Flash
9Spalpeen

Chief Wild Eagle · Negative
Maps Poorly
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Dance With Destiny · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Miss Binman · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Moon Flash · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 14% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Chief Wild EagleJ: Kacie Adams·T: Darren Treacy659kg8 3 9 3 33: 0-0-2$20.00$3.30

Career

3: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1313m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Port Macquarie1800m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL1-SW · SOFT61.47L
3Port Macquarie1500m10 Oct 2026 · MDN HCP · GOOD41.27L
9Taree1313m22 Sept 2026 · MDN · SOFT611.66L
3Taree1000m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)4.1L
8Taree1000m3 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)13.6L

Insights

Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sound performance in small field at Port Macquarie over this trip but harder here and looks a safer place proposition.

ILB

Did well to place 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Port Macquarie and showing consistent performance in races. Showing great form this campaign. Modest contender.

Not disgraced when third in a conditions race upped to this trip (Port Macquarie) two weeks ago; looks likely to be involved.

RSIS

Did well to place 3rd last start at Port Macquarie and solid career start. Putting up notable efforts since coming back from a break.

2AlmaazScratched9––––

Career

7: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

11Wyong1625m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD48.56L
5Illawarra Grange1400m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.2L
7Rosehill900m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.7L
8Hawkesbury1600m8 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN HCP · GOOD43.4L
3Wyong1625m18 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.2L
2Rosehill1500m25 Feb 2026 · Maiden · GOOD40.2L
3Wyong1350m10 Feb 2026 · Maiden · GOOD43.1L
5Canterbury1250m23 Jan 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN HCP · SOFT54.4L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Jeff Penza 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 47%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Jeff Penza winning at 9% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Never in the call at Wyong second-up. Has a few lengths to find. Hope for exotics only.

ILB

Average performance when 11th last run at Wyong.

Winless in seven starts but has shown promise with second her top showing; 11th of 12 (Wyong) last week upped to 1m.

RSIS

Disappointing outing when 11th last start at Wyong.

3Dance With DestinyJ: Jean Van Overmeire·T: J G Sargent157kg2 8 6 2 310: 0-3-1$3.20$1.22

Career

10: 0-3-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
3: 0-2-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-2-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Kembla Grange1600m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP MID MDN HCP · GOOD43.5L
2Newcastle1500m6 Oct 2026 · 4Y+MDN-SW · GOOD42.78L
6Randwick1050m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2.4L
8Randwick1050m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.2L
2Kembla Grange2000m2 June 2026 · MDN · HEAVY83.5L
2Newcastle2200m23 May 2026 · 3UP CL1-SW · HEAVY91L
5Newcastle1900m2 May 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.6L
6Randwick2400m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD410.3L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

Rarely far away. Sound effort without troubling winner at Kembla Grange second-up. Suited by the longer assignment now and high on the shortlist.

ILB

Zipped home into 3rd last start at Kembla Grange and drawn the rails. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts this campaign. Can go through the gears. Strong winning hope.

Seems to be improving based on last two runs; better was expected when beaten 3½l (Kembla Grange) 14 days ago in a handicap.

RSIS

Finished strongly when 3rd last time at Kembla Grange and has the ideal stall. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts of late. Displays good closing pace. Prime contender.

4Miss BinmanJ: Glenn Cahill·T: Mark Sues457kg4 4 5 6 211: 0-1-1$51.00$4.60

Career

11: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-1
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Queanbeyan1460m26 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT63.03L
6Canberra1300m9 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD410.97L
5Newcastle1900m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.7L
4Wyong1600m16 Aug 2026 · CL1 · GOOD45.9L
4Newcastle1600m13 Aug 2026 · MID MDN · GOOD43.6L
3Muswellbrook1750m26 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43L
4Gosford1600m18 July 2026 · 2&3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY92.5L
8Newcastle1400m27 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT76.4L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 33% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Mark Sues in good form, out performing market 62%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 47% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Glenn Cahill winning at 7% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early

Comments

AAP

Kept grinding away for the minors in small field at Queanbeyan. New to Hawkesbury but has placed this trip and claim helps. Value for exotics.

ILB

Good run when finishing 2nd beaten by more than 3L last run at Queanbeyan. Expected to settle towards the tail. Large claim helps. Prefer to watch.

Seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice but gone 11 races without a win; fair form when 3l second at Queanbeyan over 7½f (maiden) 12 days ago.

RSIS

Managed to run 2nd beaten by more than 3L last start at Queanbeyan. Gets back and needs luck. Glenn Cahill provides some weight relief.

5Moon FlashJ: Keagan Latham·T: David Payne257kg5 6 7 4 211: 0-2-1$2.50$1.14

Career

11: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
8: 0-2-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

2Kembla Grange1600m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP MID MDN HCP · GOOD40.5L
4Kembla Grange1500m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.9L
7Warwick Farm1200m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.83L
6Hawkesbury1100m10 Sept 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · GOOD43.9L
5Hawkesbury1100m20 Aug 2026 · Maiden · SOFT64.1L
6Rosehill1030m7 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.9L
3Wyong1100m18 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT61.4L
2Rosehill1030m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 14% in Last 100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Led and fought on bravely for second at Kembla Grange. First try at 1800m. Well into preparation now, not out of it.

ILB

Peaked on the run when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last time at Kembla Grange and has a positive draw. Displays good tactical speed. Nice chance at a very tempting price.

Good effort when close up over 1m at Kembla Grange (handicap, had Dance With Destiny (third) and Andelise (eighth) behind) last month; signs of improvement on last two runs but still without a win after 11 starts; has to prove this longer trip is what she wants and others more appealing.

RSIS

Claimed late when 2nd last start at Kembla Grange and has a good draw. Likely to be well placed early. Getting better in recent performances. Definite claims.

6What She's HavingJ: Andrew Calder·T: Matthew Smith557kg5 5 5 5 39: 0-1-1$14.00$2.70

Career

9: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
2: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
7: 0-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Hawkesbury1800m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.32L
5Hawkesbury1800m8 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.11L
5Newcastle1850m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1-SW · GOOD34.6L
5Kembla Grange1600m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.1L
5Kembla Grange1600m15 Aug 2026 · Maiden · GOOD41.5L
8Wyong1630m2 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD410.3L
6Goulburn1500m17 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT64.9L
4Warwick Farm1202m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)2.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -55% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Solid rally into the placings this course over this distance at longer odds. Super fit from racing, can make her presence felt.

ILB

Produced an eye catching run when 3rd last time around here. Can go close.

Didn't run badly when 25-1 third last month; has kicked on in her last couple of races but gone nine races without a win.

RSIS

Solid effort to run into 3rd beaten by 3 1/4L last start here. Could go close.

7AndeliseJ: Jess Taylor·T: Marc & Mitchell Conners755kg6 7 10 9 84: 0-0-0$101.00$7.00

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
3: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Kembla Grange1600m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP MID MDN HCP · GOOD49.9L
9Kembla Grange1500m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD412.1L
10Illawarra Grange1400m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD416.1L
7Warwick Farm792m3 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.4L
6Warwick Farm815m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.4L
10Kembla Grange1300m29 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD412.4L
4Warwick Farm798m13 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.7L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 46%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 42% Profit on Turnover
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Well down the track all 4 runs to date and unfancied in all runs. Facing an uphill task.

ILB

Jumped at $101.00 and mediocre performance when 8th last run at Kembla Grange. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.

First-time blinkers no help in a handicap when beaten 10l (eighth of ten) at Kembla Grange last month; major player.

RSIS

Odds of 100/1 and ordinary performance when 8th last run at Kembla Grange.

8Rocks Or DiamondsJ: Louise Day·T: J G Sargent855kg5 1 5 3 63: 0-0-1$3.50$1.24

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-1
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

6Randwick1600m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo · GOOD49.01L
3Kembla Grange1200m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.1L
5Randwick Kensington1150m9 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD45.2L
1Randwick1045m28 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-1.4
5Randwick1040m14 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.1L
1Randwick1045m21 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1
5Randwick1050m27 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial1.5L
8Randwick1050m15 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial7.6L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 55% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 64% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Solid run 3yo+ Midway Mdn at Kembla Grange 10 Oct. Ridden cold and never in the picture at Randwick latest outing. Back from Stakes level. Profiles well.

ILB

Finished 6th last start at Randwick but stepping down to a lower level. Sound chance.

Sixth of ten beaten 9l in a Group 3 last month at Randwick upped to 1m; three-race maiden but has managed to finish third; this is a step down in class but there are better alternatives here.

RSIS

Ran 6th last start at Randwick but matched against less formidable competition.

9SpalpeenJ: Molly Bourke·T: J G Sargent355kg7 5 7 7 83: 0-0-0$14.00$2.75

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Randwick1600m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo · GOOD410.75L
7Kembla Grange1200m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.1L
7Randwick1050m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2.8L
5Randwick740m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.3L
7Hawkesbury1100m14 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT74.9L
4Randwick1050m4 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.7L
6Canterbury898m10 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.6L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Randwick when second-up at cricket score odds. Big drop from Stakes company and should relish the rise in distance. Can show up.

ILB

Jumped at $201.00 and struggled with the pace when 8th last start at Randwick but competing in an easier class. Shows good early pace. Hard to recommend.

Not far behind Rocks Or Diamonds when eighth in a Group 3 (Randwick) last month upped to 1m; dropping in class a definite plus and likely to be involved.

RSIS

Started 200/1 and weakened under pressure when 8th last time at Randwick but competing in a less challenging grade. Will be pushing for a forward position early.

Odds correct as at Sat 7 Nov, 2:40 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 27 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Thu 15 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Thu 8 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Thu 24 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races