Hawkesbury (NSW) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:04 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Hawkesbury (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 7 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 7 NovHawkesbury (NSW)Change

Race 5 — Performance Access Resources Conditional (Bm68) 2000m · jumps Sat 7 Nov, 3:54 pm AEDT

Race preview

Hawkesbury hosts a Benchmark 68 sprint for the three-year-old and older brigade over 2000 metres on a Good 4 track under fine skies at 3:54 pm AEDT. The win market is headed by Serpico from Falcon Lair, Valentiago, and Due Calzini, a quartet split between on-pace runners and off-pace types that suggests a properly open affair. The form line is genuinely competitive—no runaway favourite, no obvious dud, just the kind of mid-week puzzle that keeps punters honest.

Serpico sits shortest and brings recent third place on the quick back-up at Wyong in smaller grade, a performance the commentary describes as sound. The David Payne camp is posting 13 per cent POT across their last 100 runners, and Keagan Latham has been 14 per cent better than his career average of late, so there is genuine edge here. Falcon Lair, though drawn in barrier 9, has Heavelon Van Der Hoven aboard—a rider up 15 per cent on career expected value in his last 100 rides. He won this track and distance previously and the Archibald stable think him sharper now, not out of it. Valentiago, rated 98, was third here over 2000 metres on a soft track and backs that with a second on the quick turnaround over 1800 metres, both at Hawkesbury; Peter Snowden's horse clearly knows the way home.

Due Calzini strikes as the narrative play. A wire-to-wire winner last start at Canberra over 1600 metres, the form comment flags that he closed strongly from inside midfield in a staggered finish—a sign of class and timing. Stepping to 2000 metres should suit, and barrier 2 is gold in an onpace speed group that includes Valentiago and Ivy Legend. The ratings place him at 98, matching Valentiago, yet Due Calzini has the fresh-up momentum. Canny Queen brings a 27 per cent POT combo with trainer Danielle Seib and jockey Claire Ramsbotham, though the booking note suggests less suitability on this occasion, a hint of caution worth heeding. The leaders, Danish Fortune and Astrogazer, will fight for the jump and early tempo, but the onpace brigade has every chance to dictate a true test over the trip.

Race notes

3yo+,Benchmark 68,COND BM68,COND BM68 HCP
GOOD4
Fine
9 runners

Shortest win price

Serpico (6)

3.00

Most career wins

Danish Fortune

8-10-7 from 72 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

10Dance Dance Dance

Midfield

6Serpico

Offpace

1Falcon Lair
2Canny Queen

Onpace

3Due Calzini
4Valentiago
7Ivy Legend

Leader

5Danish Fortune
9Astrogazer

Falcon Lair · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides
Canny Queen · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Due Calzini · Positive
Solid Run LS
Won last start
Valentiago · Negative
Slow Early LS
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Falcon LairJ: Heavelon Van Der Hoven·T: Annabel & Rob Archibald960.5kg9 9 3 8 413: 2-1-6$3.70$1.38

Career

13: 2-1-6

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-2
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-2
Track Newcastle
3: 0-1-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2020m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 2-1-5
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

4Newcastle1900m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.17L
8Newcastle1300m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP COND BM68 HCP · GOOD49.05L
3Tamworth1200m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.1L
9Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.8L
9Eagle Farm2400m30 May 2026 · 3yo · SOFT510.5L
10Doomben2000m16 May 2026 · 3yo · SOFT75.9L
5Doomben1000m7 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2.3L
3Doomben2020m11 Apr 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD40.9L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Heavelon Van Der Hoven 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Heavelon Van Der Hoven winning at 6% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 5kg now

Comments

AAP

Tough run when out of the placings but still acquitted himself well at Newcastle second-up. Winner at track and distance. Sharper now, not out of this.

ILB

At $13.00 ran 4th last start at Newcastle. Expecting improvement here but up in weight. Must be considered here.

Creditable effort to finish fourth, beaten just over 1l over 1m1½f at Newcastle (handicap) three weeks ago; likes this combination of C&D; should go close as shown he can get his head in front.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and came in 4th last time at Newcastle. Capable of bouncing back but hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Good prospects.

2Canny QueenJ: Claire Ramsbotham·T: Danielle Seib659kg1 5 7 4 518: 4-1-0$9.00$2.45

Career

18: 4-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 2-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 2-0-0
Going Good
7: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Canberra1600m23 Oct 2026 · BM85 · GOOD43.03L
4Warwick Farm1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM72 · SOFT65.38L
7Warwick Farm1600m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.99L
5Kembla Grange1600m12 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41.4L
1Kembla Grange1400m8 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD4-0.1
10Moruya1200m19 June 2026 · BM74 · SOFT52.6L
16Doomben2000m24 May 2025 · 3yo · GOOD415.03L
4Gold Coast1800m10 May 2025 · 3yo · HEAVY1013.4L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Warming into it late at Canberra. Placed only other run at Hawkesbury. Well into preparation now, can play a role.

ILB

Started at $10.00 and outpaced some runners late when 5th last start at Canberra and up against a less competitive field. Large claim helps. Could feature here.

Finished fifth but wasn't beaten too far (3l) over 1m at Canberra (handicap) last month; successful four times from 18 career runs; plenty of appeal if replicating best previous efforts; also engaged in race 4 at Rosehill.

RSIS

Started 9/1 and picked up some ground to run 5th last time at Canberra and will find this grade more suitable. The large claim from Claire Ramsbotham helps. Betting is the best guide.

3Due CalziniJ: Pierre Boudvillain·T: Danielle Seib259kg8 8 7 4 129: 5-6-3$7.00$2.15

Career

29: 5-6-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Narrandera
1: 1-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1900m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2000m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 2100m
3: 1-1-0
Going Good
18: 2-4-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
9: 3-1-3

Last starts

1Canberra1600m23 Oct 2026 · BM85 · GOOD4-0.17
4Corowa1600m14 Sept 2026 · BM82 · GOOD46.6L
7Kembla Grange1400m29 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD44.9L
8Canberra Action900m7 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC6.1L
8Gosford2100m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP COND BM68 HCP · GOOD46.4L
2Wyong2100m10 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L
12Rosehill2000m29 Nov 2025 · 4UP SW · GOOD45.2L
5Rosehill1800m12 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD34.7L

Insights

Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Closed strongly from inside midfield to prevail in final bounds at Canberra. Should appreciate stepping up in distance and poised to deliver another big performance.

ILB

Was eating up the ground late to win last time at Canberra and will appreciate the drop in grade. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Win will not surprise.

Not fancied in the betting (16-1) when a narrow winner over 1m at Canberra (handicap) last month, returning to winning ways; can give it a good shot.

RSIS

Bold effort when winning last run at Canberra and competing in a less challenging grade. Should be going forward early. Pierre Boudvillain does know the horse very well. Can take this out.

4ValentiagoJ: Jean Van Overmeire·T: Peter Snowden458kg1 7 3 2 316: 2-6-2$5.50$1.85

Career

16: 2-6-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-3-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
3: 1-1-1
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
10: 1-5-1
Going Soft
6: 1-1-1

Last starts

3Hawkesbury2000m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT77.31L
2Hawkesbury1800m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.47L
3Wyong1350m4 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD44.2L
7Rosehill1030m21 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.5L
1Hawkesbury1800m14 May 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT7-0.1
2Newcastle1890m11 Apr 2026 · BM64 · GOOD44.8L
1Orange1600m22 Mar 2026 · Maiden · GOOD4-2.4
4Newcastle1600m12 Mar 2026 · Maiden · GOOD41.5L

Insights

Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Form hard to knock. Great run at Hawkesbury 24 Sep. Secured third in a staggered finish this course over this trip. Makes a strong case in this company.

ILB

Started off strong but faded towards the end when 3rd last time at this venue. Should muster plenty of early speed. Great chance.

Held in third 23 days ago; has winning track form; mostly consistent recently; brings winning form to the table and could be in the shake up.

RSIS

Was outmatched at the end of the race when 3rd last run here. Has early pace and positions nicely. Has run into the money all attempts recently. One of the punters top hopes.

5Danish FortuneJ: Gabrielle Johnston·T: Joel Wilkes157kg7 8 6 12 672: 8-10-7$14.00$3.30

Career

72: 8-10-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
7: 1-2-0
Second-up
6: 1-1-0
Third-up
5: 1-0-2
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-2
Track Port Macquarie
2: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
8: 1-1-2
Track Randwick
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1550m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
18: 2-3-1
Distance 1800m
6: 0-2-0
Going Good
36: 1-6-7
Going Heavy
10: 2-2-0
Going Soft
26: 5-2-0

Last starts

6Scone1600m23 Oct 2026 · BM82 · SOFT56.32L
12Taree1600m16 Oct 2026 · HCP · SOFT617.55L
6Bathurst1800m13 Sept 2026 · BATH CUP MBM78 · SOFT56.6L
8Tuncurry1500m24 Aug 2026 · CUP PREL BM85 · SOFT74.4L
7Coffs Harbour1600m7 Aug 2026 · COFFS CUP · SOFT58.9L
6Warwick Farm1600m15 July 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L
1Muswellbrook1500m12 June 2026 · BM82 · SOFT7-2.3
13Scone1400m15 May 2026 · Benchmark 84 · GOOD410.3L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 8% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 205%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 57%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 47% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Yielded after showing pace in the small field at Scone. Pace influence. Needs a form reversal.

ILB

Was $21.00 and weakened under pressure when 6th last run at Scone but taking on a lower class of opponents. Has plenty of early speed. Drawn beautifully. Not threatening these.

A few throw outs since his success in a handicap at Muswellbrook in June and will need to improve upon some moderate recent runs; beaten 6l (sixth) at Scone over 1m (handicap) two weeks ago; this looks a fair heat so others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Odds of 20/1 and faded away to finish 6th last time at Scone but dropping in class. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned.

6SerpicoJ: Keagan Latham·T: David Payne756kg5 4 4 11 319: 2-1-2$3.00$1.32

Career

19: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-1-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-1-2

Last starts

3Wyong2125m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD41.61L
11Randwick1800m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · SOFT66.53L
4Canterbury1550m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.15L
4Gosford1600m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP MID BM68 HCP · SOFT53.1L
5Hawkesbury1300m20 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT66.2L
2Scone1700m16 May 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD42.4L
7Hawkesbury1500m2 May 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD42.4L
1Gosford1600m9 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD4-0.4

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sound performance in small field at Wyong. Void of early speed and needs the breaks to fall his way but deep into his campaign and warrants attention.

ILB

Improved to place when 3rd last run at Wyong. Must respect.

Fair effort when beaten 1½l at Wyong over 1m2½f (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Produced an eye catching run when 3rd last time at Wyong. Must respect.

7Ivy LegendJ: Mitchell Bell·T: L J Bridge555kg7 3 6 9 417: 2-2-1$15.00$3.40

Career

17: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 1-2-1

Last starts

4Hawkesbury1800m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP MID BM64 HCP · GOOD41.77L
9Randwick Kensington1800m7 Oct 2026 · 5UP BM72 HCP · SOFT67.39L
6Illawarra Grange1450m17 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD47.2L
3Hawkesbury1800m20 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.7L
7Randwick Kensington1550m29 July 2026 · 3UP F&M BM72 HCP · SOFT513.5L
8Randwick1800m11 July 2026 · 3&4Y BM78 · HEAVY923.9L
1Gosford1600m11 June 2026 · BM64 · SOFT5-1
9Canterbury1900m27 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT711.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Closed off late from the tail this venue. First real test of stamina here. Meets a higher standard here.

ILB

Odds of $13.00 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last run at this track. Betting is the best guide.

Fair effort here over 1m1f (handicap) last week; makes limited appeal with this looking like a hot contest.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and advanced late into 4th last run around here.

8KosukeScratched10––––

Career

21: 2-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
3: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
11: 2-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-3-0

Last starts

3Bathurst2000m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.34L
11Newcastle2300m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD434.22L
7Gosford2070m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · SOFT514.8L
9Rosehill1500m15 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT58L
6Newcastle1000m24 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)8.7L
4Kempsey1900m7 Nov 2025 · BM74 · GOOD36.4L
8Eagle Farm1810m18 Oct 2025 · 3UP CL3-SW · GOOD44.5L
7Kembla Grange1600m4 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.1L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 6kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Long winning drought but got back and closed the race off solidly at Bathurst over this journey. Meets a deeper race but one for exotics.

ILB

Displayed good finishing speed when 3rd last time at Bathurst and gets some weight taken off.

Creditable effort to finish third (Bathurst, dropped to this distance) last month.

RSIS

Was strong late when 3rd last time at Bathurst and suited by the weight drop.

9AstrogazerJ: Louise Day·T: David Pfieffer855kg7 3 2 5 116: 3-2-3$23.00$3.90

Career

16: 3-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-2
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-1
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1750m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-2-2

Last starts

1Newcastle2100m26 Oct 2026 · BM66 · SOFT5-0.49
5Nowra1600m18 Oct 2026 · BM58 · GOOD42.2L
2Goulburn1600m6 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT60.81L
3Muswellbrook1750m8 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD42.3L
7Scone1700m17 Aug 2026 · BM58 · SOFT57.4L
7Goulburn1600m3 Aug 2026 · BM58 · GOOD44.9L
7Hawkesbury1300m19 July 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT65.2L
5Hawkesbury1000m29 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)4.6L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Louise Day current POT is 55% below Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 13%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 28% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 64% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start

Comments

AAP

Posted a hard fought win in the (Bm66) at Beaumont and looks primed to give another strong account.

ILB

Dashed home to win last time at Newcastle. Has early speed and positions nicely. Could be in the mix.

Narrow winner of a handicap at Beaumont upped to 1m2½f last month; despite that Beaumont success, easy to oppose.

RSIS

Picked up nicely to win last run at Newcastle. Should jump out and bowl along. Can't leave out of your calculations.

10Dance Dance DanceJ: Kacie Adams·T: Darren Treacy355kg10 10 3 10 424: 2-0-3$61.00$6.50

Career

24: 2-0-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 2-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1808m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
8: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 2-0-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Newcastle1900m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.02L
10Port Macquarie2000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP · GOOD48.13L
3Port Macquarie1808m27 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 82 · GOOD41.51L
10Newcastle1500m18 Sept 2026 · 5UP BM64 HCP · GOOD34.71L
10Grafton1400m7 Sept 2026 · BM66 · GOOD45L
6Newcastle1600m1 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 68 · SOFT57.5L
3Grafton1610m12 July 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD41.9L
14Rosehill1500m27 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT610.1L

Insights

Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Long winless run. Unhurried early and only battled home 3yo+ (Bm64) at Newcastle. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Odds of $18.00 and kept chasing when 4th last time at Newcastle. Might be ridden for luck. Will be a difficult test.

Creditable effort (went off 16-1) to finish fourth over 1m1½f at Newcastle (handicap) last week; makes limited appeal as running in what looks to be a hot race.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Was 17/1 and edged past some when finishing 4th last time at Newcastle. Expected to settle towards the tail.

11Sound And VisionScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Insights

Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Grafton winner then gave good account at Beaumont. Hard fit but this is a bit stronger. Each way.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Winner by nearly 3L last time at Kempsey.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Was all too good winning by close to 3L last time at Kempsey.

Odds correct as at Sat 7 Nov, 4:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 27 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Thu 15 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Thu 8 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Thu 24 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races