Shortest win price
Princess Sakiko (8)
3.40
Welcome to Mortlake for the Banquet Angus benchmark 56 handicap over 2000m on a soft 5 surface with overcast skies, jumping at 5:26 pm AEDT. The win market lines up with Princess Sakiko sitting at the head of affairs, followed closely in the order by Kingsford, Semper Fortis, and Julep rounding out the early fancies in what looks a tactical middle-distance battle.
Princess Sakiko brings solid recent credentials after a determined win at Avoca over 1860m, and despite rising in weight, the stable combination teams up strongly here with Linda Meech steering from barrier 2. Kingsford drops back to a much more suitable class after going around at Horsham and Warrnambool, and the inside gate gives Zac Moore every chance to stalk the speed. Julep is another coming off a fresh victory on the quick back-up, breaking through at St Arnaud over this exact 2000m trip with Dean Yendall retaining the mount.
Further down the order, Semper Fortis arrives race-fit following a honest placing at Avoca and could offer some cheek at odds from barrier 9 for Symon Wilde and Neil Farley. Speed maps suggest Julep will look to take up the running early from out wide, while runners like Unamerican and Bell's Bighouse will likely drift back and look to flash home late in the yarn.
Shortest win price
Princess Sakiko (8)
3.40
Most career wins
Unamerican
9-5-3 from 63 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Kingsford · Positive
Nice Barrier
Well drawn from gate 1
Last Raider · Negative
Jockey Booking
Christine Puls current POT is 64% below Career Avg.
La Reel Deal · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Semper Fortis · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Career
15: 2-2-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Terang
1: 1-0-0
Track Horsham
1: 0-0-0
Track Colac
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1700m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
4: 1-0-1
Going Good
7: 2-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-2-2
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Went home just tamely at Horsham at $8. Can make his presence felt.
ILB
Started $8.00 and crept into 5th last run at Horsham and taking on easier opposition. Zac Moore provides some weight relief and can save some energy from the alley. Good chance at a nice price.
RP
Has struggled to factor since winning a handicap at Colac in February; not disgraced when fifth of 11 over 1m1f at Horsham (handicap) two weeks ago; this looks a fair heat so passed over.
RSIS
Was 7/1 and showed some merit late when 5th last run at Horsham and up against a less challenging field. Large claim helps and drawn well. Definite claims for punters.
Career
17: 2-2-6
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Coleraine
1: 1-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2200m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 2240m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2600m
2: 0-0-2
Going Good
13: 2-2-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Christine Puls current POT is 64% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 75% in L100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Failed to threaten at Avoca off long spell at healthy odds. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Gave away some ground when 9th last start at Avoca. Serious contender.
RP
Form has been a bit mixed lately and quite a while since he tasted success; behind Princess Sakiko at Avoca over 1m1f (handicap) when beaten 9l 14 days ago; others appeal more given this looks a decent race.
RSIS
Faded away to finish 9th last run at Avoca. Looks a nice proposition.
Career
6: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Murtoa
1: 0-0-0
Track Camperdown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1860m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Avoca. Others with stronger claims.
ILB
Jumped at $21.00 and faded away to finish 8th last start at Avoca. Very unlikely.
RP
Was held in eighth two weeks ago at Avoca upped to 1m1f; has raised his game the last twice; unexposed in handicaps with this his second start in this company; despite defeat last time, won a maiden on penultimate start; in with a shout.
RSIS
Started 20/1 and weakened to finish 8th last time at Avoca.
Career
41: 6-7-2
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
9: 1-1-1
Second-up
7: 1-2-0
Third-up
6: 1-2-0
Fourth-up
6: 0-1-0
Track Gosford
2: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Coleraine
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1860m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1900m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 2350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 2-2-2
Going Heavy
7: 1-2-0
Going Soft
17: 3-3-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 35% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Solid performance in defeat in the 3yo+ (Bm56) at Avoca. Fit from racing, could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Displayed good finishing speed when 3rd last run at Avoca. Could be in the mix.
RP
Went down by just under 2l when third over 1m1f at Avoca (handicap) two weeks ago; the trainer has enjoyed plenty of winners of late; every chance if replicating most recent run.
RSIS
Finished well when 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last start at Avoca. Could be in the mix.
Career
63: 9-5-3
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
9: 1-0-0
Second-up
8: 0-0-0
Third-up
8: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-1
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1741m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2350m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
14: 3-2-0
Going Soft
19: 3-1-1
Going Good
30: 3-2-2
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Settled back and didn't come on at Warrnambool. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Started $31.00 and fairly underwhelming when 11th last time at Warrnambool but has been racing in stronger company. Does take a while to get into stride. Can't have.
RP
Finished 11th of 12 at Warrnambool over 1m½f (handicap) 30 days ago; he can be competitive at this level; no surprise to see him go well if reproducing form of his win three starts back.
RSIS
Started 30/1 and unsatisfactory performance when 11th last time at Warrnambool but competing in a lower grade. Gets back and needs luck.
Career
38: 3-8-5
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-2-1
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-2-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
10: 1-2-1
Track Sale
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1447m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
4: 0-0-2
Distance 1525m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
15: 1-3-1
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
17: 2-5-2
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -43% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
Long winless run. Settled back and didn't figure for new stable in the 3yo+ (Bm56) at Mornington. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Was $31.00 and came in 7th last run at Mornington but back to an increased distance. Rough hope.
RP
Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Mornington (beaten 4½l) over 7½f (handicap) on first run for current trainer last week; not the most consistent of horses lately and an infrequent winner; this line-up contains some strong opposition so hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Started 30/1 and ran 7th last run at Mornington but stepping back up in trip.
Career
16: 1-4-0
Rating · IRD
99
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Casterton
2: 0-1-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Track Chukyo
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1900m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-2-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Darryl Horner in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 12%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Solid performer. Raced midfield, let down powerfully at Hamilton. Drops to shorter trip. Can challenge again.
ILB
Narrowly denied victory last time at Hamilton. Has strong claims.
RP
Ran well when beaten a neck at Hamilton over 1m3f (handicap) three weeks ago; he can be taken on as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.
RSIS
Narrowly denied victory last time at Hamilton. Chance and can measure up.
Career
10: 2-2-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
2: 0-0-1
Track Kilmore
1: 0-1-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 44%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
AAP
Delivered a steely performance to score 3yo+ (Bm56) at Avoca. Up in weight for that win but doubt that will be enough to prevent another bold performance.
ILB
Charged home to win last time at Avoca and has a good draw. Tongue tie go on for the first time and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Should go very close.
RP
Got the job done by 1½l over 1m1f at Avoca (handicap) two weeks ago when four of these were in arrears; definitely of interest.
RSIS
Ran over the top of them when winning last run at Avoca and can find a nice position from the draw. Getting better in recent performances. Has definite claims.
Career
42: 5-2-6
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 0-0-2
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 2-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-0
Track Sale
6: 1-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
10: 2-0-3
Distance 1600m
8: 2-0-0
Going Good
21: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
5: 2-1-1
Going Soft
15: 2-0-3
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 6.5kg now
AAP
Failed to flatter at St Arnaud over this trip. New to Mortlake. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Was $51.00 and underperformed when 7th last time at St Arnaud but competing in a lower grade. Might be ridden for luck. Slim hope.
RP
Was seventh of eight, beaten 8l, at St Arnaud last Saturday; not really built on success in a handicap two months ago at Echuca; facing a testing assignment and one to tread carefully with.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Started at 50/1 and below par performance when 7th last time at St Arnaud but dropping in grade. Expected to settle towards the rear.
Career
10: 1-3-0
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1860m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2000m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-2-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 239%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Backing up quickly. Finally got the monkey off her back winning at St Arnaud. Yendall on again. Major player here.
ILB
On a quick back up. Finished with purpose when winning last run at St Arnaud and showing improvement in recent outings. Should come to hand quickly. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Has taken a step forward the last twice; landed a narrow success in a maiden when off the mark at St Arnaud a week ago; despite that St Arnaud success, others are preferred.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Ran on hard when winning last time at St Arnaud and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Will be positive in the run early. Respect the betting.
Career
14: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
2: 0-0-1
Track Murtoa
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1856m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-1-2
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%
AAP
Winner too strong but ran on for the minors at Echuca. Deep into her campaign, one for multiples.
ILB
Picked up late ground when 2nd beaten by 4 1/4L last start at Echuca.
RP
Ran a solid race finishing second at Echuca over 1m2½f (handicap) 12 days ago; has hit the frame in several recent runs; trainer has been going through a quiet spell.
RSIS
Picked up late ground when 2nd beaten by 4 1/4L last run at Echuca.
Career
54: 2-6-5
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Track Orange
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1560m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1750m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
26: 2-2-3
Going Heavy
9: 0-1-1
Going Soft
19: 0-3-1
Hot Trainer
Positive
Jamie Barry in good form, out performing market 67%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%
AAP
Failed to threaten in choppy conditions at Warrnambool over longer test at cricket score odds. Hard to warm to.
ILB
Didn't attack the line when 8th last start at Warrnambool and will be dropping in distance. Struggling this preparation.
RP
Useful at this level; tailed off at Warrnambool over 1m7½f (handicap) four weeks ago.
RSIS
Didn't find the line when 8th last start at Warrnambool on a heavy track and back in trip. Struggling recently.
Career
73: 8-5-8
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
8: 3-0-0
Second-up
7: 1-1-1
Third-up
7: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
6: 0-0-0
Track Jerilderie
1: 0-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1660m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2460m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
23: 3-0-2
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 54%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%
AAP
Backing up quickly. Seasoned performer. Went home tamely at St Arnaud over this journey at $7.50. A few runs under his girth this campaign, one for multiples.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Was $7.50 and ran 6th last run at St Arnaud.
RP
Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at St Arnaud (beaten just over 4l) last Saturday.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Started 13/2 and came in 6th last run at St Arnaud.
Career
83: 6-7-7
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
8: 0-1-0
Second-up
7: 0-0-2
Third-up
7: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
7: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
5: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
2: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
15: 4-1-1
Distance 1618m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
10: 0-0-0
Distance 2040m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
40: 0-3-4
Going Heavy
20: 2-2-2
Going Soft
19: 3-1-1
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
Ridden back and never a factor at Warrnambool. Wet track helps but never won second-up and needs a sharp form reversal.
ILB
Weakened under pressure when 12th last start at Warrnambool but facing weaker opposition.
RP
Finished towards the rear of 13 over 1m½f at Warrnambool (handicap) two weeks ago; useful at this level.
RSIS
Folded up in the straight when 12th last start at Warrnambool but facing weaker opposition.