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Toowoomba (QLD) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Toowoomba (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 31 OctToowoomba (QLD)Change

Race 2 — Sherrin Rentals (Bm70) 1110m · jumps

Race notes

  • BM70,BM70 HCP,Benchmark 70
  • SOFT5
  • Overcast
  • 5 runners

Shortest win price

Provance (3)

1.90

Most career wins

Galway Hussler

9-4-9 from 40 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 6Fighting Idol

Offmidfield

  • 3Provance
  • 4Jemeldi

Onpace

  • 2Treporti

Leader

  • 5Galway Hussler

  • Treporti · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

  • Provance · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jemeldi · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.

  • Galway Hussler · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1GitalongScratched6––––

Career

31: 7-8-3

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-3-1

  • Second-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    4: 1-3-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Gladstone

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Thangool

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Dingo

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    15: 5-4-0

  • Distance 1010m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1075m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Unknown

    5: 3-0-2

  • Going Good

    15: 4-4-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 0-4-1

Last starts

  1. 2Toowoomba1010m3 Oct 2026 · BM70 · GOOD41.05L
  2. 10Moree950m6 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD46.9L
  3. 1Dingo900m22 Aug 2026 · Open-3.7
  4. 3Thangool1075m18 July 2026 · HCP1L
  5. 1Roma1000m11 July 2026 · HCP-3.8
  6. 1Roma900m20 June 2026 · BM60 · GOOD-0.3
  7. 1Gladstone1000m9 May 2026 · 3yo+-2.7
  8. 2Toowoomba870m25 Apr 2026 · BM62 · GOOD40.9L

Insights

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Pressed on early and stuck on well following a market drift this track. Can lead or take a sit. Among the dangers again.

ILB

Peaked on the run when 2nd beaten by 1L last run at this track. Cheryl Rogers is a key engagement. Has plenty of early speed. Very competitive this preparation.

RP

Admirable career strike-rate (seven from 31 to date) and been running well without managing to get his head in front; solid run when second at 16-1 here over 5f (handicap) finished just ahead of Jemeldi four weeks ago; a major contender as recent performance was encouraging; also engaged in race 5 at Rockhampton and race 5 at Yeppoon.

RSIS

Ran a solid race on the pace before weakening to finish 2nd last start at this venue. Should be going forward early. Good to see Cheryl Rogers is jumping on.

2TreportiJ: Kelsey Lenton·T: H R Richardson361.5kg2 4 3 6 243: 4-7-7$5.50$2.20

Career

43: 4-7-7

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    9: 0-2-3

  • Second-up

    7: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Ipswich

    7: 0-2-1

  • Track Toowoomba

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1113m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    12: 2-1-3

  • Distance 1300m

    6: 1-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    8: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    34: 4-7-6

Last starts

  1. 2Toowoomba650m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)0.6L
  2. 6Ipswich1350m20 Feb 2026 · CL4 · GOOD44.3L
  3. 3Eagle Farm1400m28 Jan 2026 · CL4 · GOOD42.4L
  4. 4Ipswich1350m10 Jan 2026 · BM78 · GOOD46L
  5. 2Ipswich1350m17 Dec 2025 · HCP · GOOD41.1L
  6. 3Gold Coast1200m6 Dec 2025 · CL5 · GOOD41.3L
  7. 10Doomben1350m25 Oct 2025 · CG&E CL6 · GOOD44.8L
  8. 5Eagle Farm1400m11 Oct 2025 · BM78 · GOOD31.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (36-weeks). In the minors at Ipswich first-up last campaign. Can have a major say fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up and attacked the line when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L first up last preparation at Ipswich. Back in trip. Should go well.

RP

Not beaten too far when sixth at Ipswich over 6½f (handicap) in February; back from an absence here; he can be taken on.

RSIS

Resuming and caught the eye when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L resuming last preparation at Ipswich. Will be facing a significant drop in distance. Well respected contender.

3ProvanceJ: Jaden Lloyd·T: Kristie Clark-Peoples259kg6 4 6 4 227: 5-3-2$1.90$1.18

Career

27: 5-3-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ipswich

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    7: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    6: 2-0-1

  • Distance 1050m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    13: 3-2-1

  • Going Good

    13: 2-1-1

Last starts

  1. 2Toowoomba1050m17 Oct 2026 · BM70 · SOFT51.74L
  2. 4Sunshine Coast Poly Track850m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.9L
  3. 6Doomben1110m12 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 78 · GOOD47.3L
  4. 4Ipswich1200m2 Sept 2026 · CL5 · SOFT51.6L
  5. 6Doomben1110m22 Aug 2026 · BM70 · GOOD43.5L
  6. 6Eagle Farm1000m8 Aug 2026 · NMW · GOOD42.6L
  7. 5Sunshine Coast1000m29 Mar 2026 · CL5 · SOFT67.9L
  8. 7Gold Coast1100m14 Mar 2026 · BM78 · SOFT74L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 30%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 38% in L100 rides

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Solid finish from the tail this course. Drawn favourably. Commands attention here.

ILB

Amongst the placegetters when 2nd beaten by 1 3/4L last start at this track and gets a favourable alley. Will be trying to topple them late. Should feature prominently.

RP

Track has proven suitable before; finishing second was a good effort 14 days ago over 5f (handicap); encouragement to be gleaned from latest effort so has a competitive shout.

RSIS

Caught the eye when 2nd last start at this venue and can find a nice position from the draw. Will be hitting the line strongly. Winning chance.

4JemeldiJ: Leslie Tilley·T: P J Minter458.5kg1 2 6 3 564: 8-6-10$4.60$1.90

Career

64: 8-6-10

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 3-1-0

  • Second-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    6: 2-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    5: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    9: 0-2-2

  • Track Beaudesert

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 870m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 950m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    22: 3-3-2

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    35: 4-3-6

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Toowoomba1050m17 Oct 2026 · BM70 · SOFT54.78L
  2. 3Toowoomba1010m3 Oct 2026 · BM70 · GOOD42.44L
  3. 6Ipswich1100m9 Sept 2026 · BM68 · GOOD43.1L
  4. 2Toowoomba1000m22 Aug 2026 · BM70 · GOOD41L
  5. 1Dalby1000m11 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD4-2.8
  6. 1Gatton1100m30 July 2026 · BM62 · GOOD4-0.4
  7. 5Toowoomba1050m18 July 2026 · BM70 · SOFT53.3L
  8. 3Gatton1100m10 July 2026 · BM65 · GOOD43.7L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 52%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Seasoned performer. Ordinary performance in small field this venue. Rates among the better chances.

ILB

Jumped at $7.50 and lacked competitiveness when 5th last start at this venue. Can go through the gears. Definite contender.

RP

Not beaten too far when fifth of six over 5f here (handicap) behind Provance, two weeks ago; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Odds of 13/2 and appeared lacklustre when 5th last run at this venue. Will be motoring home late. Represents significant value.

5Galway HusslerJ: Kayla Barker·T: Corey & Kylie Geran157.5kg8 1 8 8 940: 9-4-9$5.00$2.00

Career

40: 9-4-9

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-0-4

  • Second-up

    5: 0-2-1

  • Third-up

    5: 2-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Track Nanango

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Eidsvold

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Doomben

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 800m

    2: 0-0-2

  • Distance 870m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1075m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 3-1-3

  • Going Unknown

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    27: 5-3-5

Last starts

  1. 9Eidsvold1350m3 Oct 2026 · HCP7.94L
  2. 8Warwick1200m24 Sept 2026 · BM68 · GOOD32.96L
  3. 8Toowoomba1300m29 Aug 2026 · BM75 · GOOD45.9L
  4. 1Nanango1000m8 Aug 2026 · HCP-0.1
  5. 8Toowoomba1300m14 Mar 2026 · BM70 · GOOD422.4L
  6. 13Doomben1350m7 Feb 2026 · Benchmark 70 · GOOD39.1L
  7. 1Dalby1400m30 Jan 2026 · BM70 · GOOD3-0.2
  8. 6Toowoomba1300m3 Jan 2026 · BM70 · GOOD313.1L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Kayla Barker 21% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Failed to threaten at Eidsvold. Course suits. Forgive latest. In the mix.

ILB

Was $16.00 and performed below standard when 9th last run at Eidsvold but drawn the rails. Should come to hand quickly. Kayla Barker takes a large claim. Value runner at good odds.

RP

Knows how to win here; finished last of nine over 6½f at Eidsvold (handicap) four weeks ago; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

At 15/1 subpar when 9th last run at Eidsvold but has the ideal draw. Should jump out and bowl along. The large claim from Kayla Barker helps. Can feature in this event.

6Fighting IdolJ: Aidan Keeley·T: Neil Hocking557kg5 3 11 6 638: 6-6-2$14.00$3.60

Career

38: 6-6-2

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ipswich

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    15: 4-3-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1050m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    22: 4-4-0

  • Going Soft

    16: 2-2-2

Last starts

  1. 6Sunshine Coast1000m9 Oct 2026 · BM68 · GOOD43.78L
  2. 6Deagon1050m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)6.8L
  3. 11Sunshine Coast1200m4 July 2026 · BM70 · SOFT614.3L
  4. 3Kilcoy1200m20 June 2026 · BM65 · SOFT51.5L
  5. 5Deagon1050m9 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)6L
  6. 8Toowoomba1100m23 May 2026 · BM70 · GOOD45.2L
  7. 5Sunshine Coast1000m10 May 2026 · BM58 · SOFT51.5L
  8. 4Deagon650m14 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.6L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 39% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 1%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Aidan Keeley 61% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 76%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 80% Profit on Turnover

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Aidan Keeley winning at 50% POT in last 100 rides

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Sunshine Coast first up. Fitter second-up. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Jumped at $31.00 and struggled when 6th last start at Sunshine Coast. Expected to settle towards the tail. Prefer to watch.

RP

Finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (just under 4l) over 5f at Sunshine Coast (handicap) 22 days ago; he can be competitive at this level.

RSIS

Started 30/1 and below par when 6th last time at Sunshine Coast. Likely to get back in the field.

7FaginScratched4––––

Career

35: 4-4-1

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Toowoomba

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    8: 0-3-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    25: 4-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 10Ipswich1350m9 Sept 2026 · 0 - 65 · GOOD411.67L
  2. 6Toowoomba1000m22 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD44.6L
  3. 1Toowoomba925m28 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.2
  4. 7Canterbury1900m30 Jan 2026 · BM64 · GOOD415.2L
  5. 12Cowra1700m18 Jan 2026 · COWRA CUP BM83 · GOOD412.9L
  6. 9Canberra1300m28 Dec 2025 · HCP · GOOD49.2L
  7. 7Moonee Valley2040m9 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT67.6L
  8. 6Warwick Farm2200m30 July 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT711.6L

Insights

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

Comments

AAP

Let-up (52-days). Third run now in new stable/region. Winless since 24 Jan 2025. Finished a long way from the action Hcp (65) at Ipswich.

ILB

Back from a let up. Looked outclassed when 10th last time at Ipswich and dropping in distance.

RP

Last of ten at Ipswich over 6½f (handicap) last month; he can be competitive at this level; has to be considered.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Lost ground in the run home when 10th last start at Ipswich and dropping back to a shorter trip.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
  • Sat 3 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
  • Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races
  • Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 6 races
  • Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races