Grafton (NSW) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Grafton (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 20 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 20 OctGrafton (NSW)Change

Race 1 — Graftontickets.com.au Mdn Plate 1725m · jumps Tue 20 Oct, 1:15 pm AEDT

Race notes

MDN-SW,Maiden
HEAVY10
Showers
7 runners

Shortest win price

Queen Of Thinking (8)

1.55

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offpace

2Armoury
6Sarmat

Firststart

3Jieba

Backmarker

4Mission Strike

Leader

5Royston
1Arabian Legacy
8Queen Of Thinking

Arabian Legacy · Negative
Limited
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Armoury · Positive
Ready To Strike
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Jieba · Negative
Market Watch
Keep eye on betting moves
Mission Strike · Negative
Long Break
Resumes from a 321 day break (> 300 days)

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Arabian LegacyJ: Danny Peisley·T: S J Bennett559kg4 9 6 8 613: 0-0-0$91.00$16.00

Career

13: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
4: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
4: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1526m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1536m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Grafton1400m13 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY88.57L
8Ballina1300m4 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD38.45L
6Lismore1526m25 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT56.35L
9Grafton1015m21 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD47.01L
4Lismore1536m10 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT54.1L
10Grafton1700m3 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD49L
4Grafton1708m25 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.9L
7Ballina1300m16 Jan 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD36.4L

Insights

Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Not Trustworthy
Negative
May be competing at this level for some time

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Many starts with little to show. Failed to threaten in choppy conditions this course at a mammoth price. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Was $151.00 and ran 6th last run at the track. Looks hopeful.

Finished just behind Royston when sixth here over 7f (maiden) a week ago; largely been out of sorts and long-term maiden (0-13); passed over.

RSIS

On a short back up. Odds of 150/1 and finished 6th last start at this track.

2ArmouryJ: Zac Wadick·T: Colt Prosser259kg2 7 6 5 49: 0-0-0$34.00$8.50

Career

9: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
3: 0-0-0
Track Warren
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Grafton1700m13 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY83.93L
5Grafton1720m21 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.42L
6Coffs Harbour1412m3 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD48.2L
7Taree1000m14 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD45L
2Port Macquarie1006m31 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.5L
8Tamworth1400m7 Aug 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT711.4L
7Scone1400m14 July 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD410.9L
8Tamworth1200m4 July 2025 · MDN HCP · SOFT714.8L

Insights

Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Had Chances
Negative
Still in maiden grade after several runs

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Plenty of runs with little to show. Unable to make an impression in rain affected going this venue. Others rate stronger.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. At $61.00 mediocre attempt when 4th last time at the track on a heavy surface but will try to take advantage of the alley. This won't be easy.

Yet to win, defeats are stacking up; not disgraced in fourth last Tuesday; easy to oppose.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Odds of 60/1 and appeared lacklustre when 4th last time at the track but can find a nice position from the draw.

3JiebaJ: Noriyuki Masuda·T: D Chujo659kg3$9.00$3.70

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

3Ballina1000m4 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)4.5L

Insights

Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-1). Out of an unraced half-sister to the stakes winner English Channel. Winner packed too many punches but ran on well enough to place in Ballina trial. Noriyuki Masuda stays aboard for debut. Betting.

ILB

4yo first starter by Street Boss for trainer Daiki Chujo. Watch early betting.

Makes first racecourse appearance; sire can produce useful types; he's worth a go with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Daiki Chujo 4yo runner on debut by Street Boss. Watch the betting.

4Mission StrikeJ: N.r·T: Adam Duggan759kg2 9 9 5 1010: 0-1-1$2.20$1.40

Career

10: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Happy Valley
6: 0-1-1
Track Sha Tin
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
6: 0-1-1
Going Good
8: 0-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Happy Valley2200m3 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD4.5L
5Happy Valley1800m2 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD3.3L
9Sha Tin1800m19 Oct 2025 · 3UP CL4 RTG 60-40 HCP · GOOD5.3L
9Sha Tin1600m21 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT4.5L
2Conghua1600m12 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial · GOOD0.1L
8Conghua1200m29 Aug 2025 · Barrier Trial · GOOD5L
9Happy Valley1800m4 June 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT6L
5Happy Valley1800m30 Apr 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD1.8L

Insights

Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 321 day break (> 300 days)

Comments

AAP

First-up (45-weeks). Ex Mark Newnham in Hong Kong. Given two soft trials. HK form was around this distance. Check markets.

ILB

Resuming after a spell of 45 weeks. At $13.00 folded up in the straight when 10th last start at Happy Valley. Likely to bounce back but down in distance. Solid chance.

Didn't offer much on his debut at Muswellbrook sporting blinkers at 16-1 yesterday; came up short in overseas starts; makes limited appeal; was entered at Muswellbrook Monday.

RSIS

Back from a break of 45 weeks. Started 12/1 and was well beaten when 10th last start at Happy Vstall. Happy to forgive that run. Nice value bet.

5RoystonJ: Ben Looker·T: Samantha Mcguren159kg4 5 5 7 513: 0-0-0$11.00$3.90

Career

13: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
4: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1181m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Grafton1400m13 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY87.9L
7Grafton1181m29 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT610.44L
5Toowoomba1890m2 May 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT56.8L
5Toowoomba2000m25 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD45.7L
4Toowoomba1890m11 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.1L
11Ipswich1680m6 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD45.1L
8Toowoomba1625m27 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD413.14L
4Warwick1350m10 Mar 2026 · CG&E MDN-SW · GOOD42.34L

Insights

Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Limited
Negative
Yet to break through after 13 starts

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Got back when beat tired horses home this track when second-up. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Backing up quickly. At $81.00 came in 5th last time at this venue but has the ideal alley. Has plenty of early speed. Looks optimistic.

Fifth of 11 beaten 8l here over 7f (maiden) a week ago.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Started at 80/1 and came in 5th last start here but has minimal work to do from the draw.

6SarmatJ: Grady Spokes·T: B J Dodson359kg3 5 4 4 124: 0-0-1$3.40$1.80

Career

4: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Lismore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1181m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

12Port Macquarie1500m10 Oct 2026 · MDN HCP · GOOD49.43L
4Lismore1526m25 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT51.82L
4Grafton1200m7 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.1L
5Grafton940m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)10L
3Grafton1181m19 Feb 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD41.2L
3Lismore1020m10 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial2.3L
5Taree1000m12 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial6.4L
7Taree1000m23 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial8.7L

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Off pace, only battled home at Port Macquarie when fancied. Has placed here. Can play a more positive role here.

ILB

Started $2.50 and was ordinary when 12th last run at Port Macquarie. Looking past the last run. Winning chance.

Finished towards the rear of 14 (sent off 6-4) in a handicap at Port Macquarie ten days ago; shown he can be competitive fairly recently and definite chance.

RSIS

Started 6/4 and subpar when 12th last time at Port Macquarie. Should bounce back. Good winning chance.

7Final PretenceScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Ballina at double-figure odds. Has her first look at 1725m here. Hard to make a case beyond the minors.

ILB

Weakened to finish 7th last start at Ballina but going up in distance. Expecting to settle positively. Has struggled so far this preparation.

RSIS

Looked outclassed when 7th last time at Ballina but going up in distance. Should be going forward early. Struggling lately with no placings from 6 attempts.

8Queen Of ThinkingJ: Benjamin Osmond·T: K A Lees455kg7 6 8 8 22: 0-1-0$1.55$1.18

Career

2: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Ballina1590m4 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD30.35L
8Newcastle1400m18 Sept 2026 · F&M MDN · GOOD33.89L
8Newcastle1000m3 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L
6Newcastle850m24 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)9.7L
7Scone800m11 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7L

Insights

Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Let down late into the placings at Ballina at second start. Among the dangers again.

ILB

Threw down a serious challenge last start at Ballina. Absolutely right in this.

Lightly raced (this just her third race); just touched off at Ballina 16 days ago in a handicap; is respected.

RSIS

Right in contention last run at Ballina. Well respected contender.

Odds correct as at Tue 20 Oct, 7:30 am AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 13 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
Tue 29 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Mon 21 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Mon 7 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races