Grafton (NSW) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Grafton (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 20 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 20 OctGrafton (NSW)Change

Race 2 — Book A Christmas Party @ Crjc Country Boosted Maiden Handicap 1020m · jumps Tue 20 Oct, 1:50 pm AEDT

Race notes

CTRY MDN,CTRY MDN HCP,Maiden
HEAVY10
Showers
11 runners

Shortest win price

Overabundant (4)

1.50

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

7Veloce Vixen

Offpace

8Glowing Mist

Onpace

3Universal Energy
5Parting The Seas
12Dellucy

Firststart

1Mama Tried
2Omaha Bart
4Overabundant
10Sienna Of Brighton
11Sunny Side Street

Leader

9I'm Guessing

Mama Tried · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Omaha Bart · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Universal Energy · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -47% POT in their L100 Races
Overabundant · Positive
On Debut
First race start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Mama TriedJ: Grady Spokes·T: Sally Taylor859kg3 2$4.40$1.80

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

2Grafton946m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.9L
3Grafton940m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.3L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-1-1). Has trialled well enough but the race looks deep for first outing. G Spokes on from trials. Market watch advised.

ILB

Sally Taylor 4yo by I Am Immortal having first race appearance. Has placed in all barrier trials. Respect the betting.

First time on the track; already a gelding; this doesn't look easy against experienced rivals so this one is best watched.

RSIS

Initial appearance 4yo by I Am Immortal for trainer Sally Taylor. Has placed in all trials.

2Omaha BartJ: Grace Palmer·T: C R Manson259kg7$26.00$4.20

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

7Casino1000m8 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)11.2L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-0). Dam placed at only start. Not asked to do much in trials. Good draw. Follow betting leads.

ILB

Chris Manson 4yo by Omaha Beach on debut. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Unplaced in all barrier trials. The large claim from Grace Palmer should help. Keep your eye on the market.

First start under rules for this four-year-old son of Omaha Beach; respected as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

4yo debutant by Omaha Beach for Chris Manson. Interesting to see the tongue strap go on for the first time. Has not placed in all trials.

3Universal EnergyJ: Ben Looker·T: J D Shelton1158.5kg6 41: 0-0-0$5.00$2.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1015m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Grafton1015m21 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD42.23L
6Coffs Harbour800m24 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)11.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -47% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Ben Looker in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 14%
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Wasn't all that far from the action on debut this track when supported 21 Sep. Wiser for experience. Draw makes the job harder. Hope for exotics only.

ILB

Started at $3.70 and tired in the run home when 4th last start around here and having second race start. Has the speed to overcome the wide draw. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

Second favourite but beaten on his debut here (11-4) four weeks ago; closely matched with Dellucy on that result; could improve from his debut but will need to.

RSIS

Started 11/4 and couldn't stay in touch when 4th last start at this track and fitter for debut run. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Definite claims for punters.

4OverabundantJ: Andrew Mallyon·T: M J Dunn756.5kg3 2$1.50$1.12

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed50%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

2Gold Coast1000m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.1L
3Beaudesert900m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.6L

Insights

On Debut
Positive
First race start

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-1-1). $25k purchase. Out of a half-sister to Listed winner Glows. Consistent trial form gives some confidence heading into debut. Can hit the ground running.

ILB

Exceedance 3yo having first start for trainer Matthew Dunn. Has placed in all trials. Watch the market.

Stable does well here with debutants; not ruled out with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

First start at the races 3yo by Exceedance for Matthew Dunn. Placed in all trials. Betting is the best guide.

5Parting The SeasJ: Zac Wadick·T: J D Shelton356.5kg6 4 11 7 46: 0-1-0$4.40$1.80

Career

6: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-1-0
Track Grafton
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1048m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Grafton1006m29 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT62.55L
7Lismore1120m10 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.1L
11Grafton1048m25 Jan 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD46L
4Inverell1050m1 Jan 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD44.8L
6Canberra1000m27 Sept 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.1L
2Queanbeyan1000m9 Sept 2025 · MDN · GOOD40.8L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 108%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced in soft going this venue off long spell. Better conditioned. Drawn to get a soft run. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Odds of $6.00 and was found wanting late when 4th last time at this venue. Has early speed and positions nicely. Will be fighting out the finish.

Six-race maiden though does have a second place to his name; respectable effort when fourth in a maiden last month.

RSIS

Started at 5/1 and faded at the finish when 4th last run around here. Displays good tactical pace. Will be competitive.

6AyakaScratched2––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Signalled some ability on debut this track 29 Sep. Experience a positive. Can challenge again.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Started $5.00 and uncompetitive when 7th last time at Lismore but will try to take advantage of the draw.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Started 4/1 and appeared lacklustre when 7th last time at Lismore but will try to take advantage of the draw.

7Veloce VixenJ: Daniel Smith·T: P J Cunningham956kg5 91: 0-0-0$71.00$8.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warren
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Warren1000m21 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT59.5L
5Scone900m19 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial8.1L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 63%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (13-weeks). Ex David J Smith in NSW. A very soft debut performance at Warren as an outsider 21 Jul. Must show more this time in and hard to entertain without market support.

ILB

First up today. Jumped at $41.00 and well beaten when 9th last run at Warren but fitter for debut run. Change in trainer. Might be ridden for luck. Form will be tested here.

Finished ninth of ten on her debut at Warren at 40-1 in July; runs for a new trainer here; might be better for the experience although not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

First run back from a break. At 40/1 was ordinary when 9th last time at Warren but having second race start. First appearance for a new trainer.

8Glowing MistJ: Matthew Palmer·T: Aiden St Vincent155kg10 122: 0-0-0$71.00$8.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1004m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1014m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

12Port Macquarie1004m27 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD416.22L
10Coffs Harbour1014m13 Sept 2026 · Maiden · GOOD424.1L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Well beaten in two runs to date. Really needs to raise her game.

ILB

At $151.00 tailed off to finish 12th last time at Port Macquarie but gets a favourable draw. In a lot of trouble.

Finished last of 12 in a maiden at Port Macquarie three weeks ago; lightly raced (running for just the third time); makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Started 150/1 and lost ground in the run home when 12th last time at Port Macquarie but gets the perfect draw.

9I'm GuessingJ: Mikayla Weir·T: Shane Everson555kg9 9 4 4 34: 0-0-0$11.00$3.20

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1040m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Grafton940m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)1.5L
4Grafton1040m3 Feb 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD42L
4Grafton1120m20 July 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT78.5L
9Grafton1006m13 July 2025 · MDN HCP · GOOD44.3L
9Coffs Harbour1005m20 June 2025 · MDN-SW · HEAVY817.1L
1Grafton970m9 June 2025 · Barrier Trial-3.4
6Casino1000m3 May 2025 · Barrier Trial12.3L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 250%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Resuming (37-weeks). Ex Jason Reilly. Trained here now. Went close in Maiden company first-up last campaign. Encouraging signs latest.

ILB

Back from a spell of 37 weeks. Was $10.00 and didn't find the line when 4th last run at this track. Blinkers go off for the first time. Slim chance.

Creditable fourth in February in a maiden; lightly raced (this just her fifth race); now running for a new stable; returns from an absence here.

RSIS

Resumes after a 37 week break. Started 9/1 and was found wanting late when 4th last run at this track. Blinkers go off for the first time.

10Sienna Of BrightonJ: Karl Zechner·T: Scott Henley1055kg7$41.00$6.00

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

7Grafton940m19 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.8L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Karl Zechner current POT is 39% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 48% in L100 rides
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). $30k purchase. Out of a three-quarter-sister to the stakes winner Shakespearean. Never gave a yelp in her only trial outing at Grafton. Sticky gate but follow betting leads.

ILB

3yo debutant by Palace Pier for Scott Henley. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Finished 7th in a trial at this track on July 19th. Watch betting.

First start under rules for this three-year-old daughter of Palace Pier; one to take seriously.

RSIS

Scott Henley 3yo by Palace Pier having first race start. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time.

11Sunny Side StreetJ: Noriyuki Masuda·T: D Chujo455kg3$14.00$3.70

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

3Gold Coast1000m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)5.5L

Insights

Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 43%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 30% POT in L100 Runners
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-1). $35k purchase. Dam won two races. Winner packed too many punches but ran on well enough to place in Gold Coast trial. Might be one to watch at this stage.

ILB

3yo first starter by Sun City for trainer Daiki Chujo. Placed 3rd in a barrier trial at Aquis Park Gold Coast on Oct 6th. Market as guide.

First racecourse start; related to Got Gumption (winner from 5f up to 1m); capable of going well.

RSIS

3yo by Sun City racing as a debutant for trainer Daiki Chujo. Finished 3rd in a trial at Aquis Park Gold Coast on Oct 6th.

12DellucyJ: N.r·T: G N Nielsen655kg2 12 6 5 421: 0-3-0$16.00$3.80

Career

21: 0-3-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-1-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1015m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
12: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0

Last starts

4Ballina1000m4 Oct 2026 · Maiden · GOOD34.26L
5Grafton1015m21 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD42.6L
6Coffs Harbour1218m3 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY1014.4L
12Scone1300m15 May 2026 · Maiden · GOOD46L
2Taree1262m5 May 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · HEAVY80.4L
2Grafton1100m19 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD32.2L
4Grafton1180m7 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD45.7L
4Ballina1000m23 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY107.8L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -52% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 52% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Found a spot back off the pace but went backwards when the whips were cracking at Ballina when second-up. Only for the minors here.

ILB

Odds of $81.00 and came in 4th last time at Ballina. Yet to break maiden status after 21 starts. Rough chance today.

Proving a little expensive to follow; not beaten too far when fourth at Ballina two weeks ago.

RSIS

Started at 80/1 and ran 4th last run at Ballina. Still in maiden grade after 21 starts.

13EncontreScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Comments

AAP

In top yard and form to date sound. Issued decent challenge Super Mdn at Ballina at his second race start. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Nice run when 3rd last time at Lismore and promising career start. In a purple patch of form since returning from a spell.

RSIS

On a short back up. Tidy run when 3rd last run at Lismore and good career start. In fine form since coming back from a break.

Odds correct as at Tue 20 Oct, 7:30 am AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 13 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
Tue 29 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Mon 21 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Mon 7 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races