Shortest win price
Hellfighter (1)
1.80
Moruya: Welcome to the Poppa Joe Memorial Showcase Mdn Plate over 1650m on a Soft 5 surface with showers about. This maiden contest has already jumped at 12:58 pm AEST, so the yarn has played out on the track. Looking at the win market order, punters have zeroed in on Hellfighter sitting right at the head of affairs, followed closely by Morosini, Isotropic, and Reveillon rounding out the top four in betting.
The form line for the market elect Hellfighter reads exceptionally well for a breakthrough here, having kept on racing strongly with a game second at Wagga before a solid third at Queanbeyan over 1600m under Coriah Keatings for Matthew Kelley. Morosini carries plenty of interest coming out of the stable of Luke Pepper, having previously raced for C Maher in NSW and putting in an honest effort at Canberra over 1300m with Jean Van Overmeire in the saddle.
Digging deeper into the race data, Reveillon maps on-pace for Michael Gatty and has been knocking on the door with consistent minor placings at Moruya over shorter trips, while Isotropic comes here on a quick back-up after a placing in a Queanbeyan Country Boosted Maiden. With Hellfighter and Morosini sharing the speed map as early leaders, the setup offered plenty of intrigue for punters tracking this Moruya program.
Shortest win price
Hellfighter (1)
1.80
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Hellfighter · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Rawano · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Harlem Tickle · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Icon Dream · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 60% lower than Career Avg.
Career
13: 0-5-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-1-0
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1410m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1600m
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
5: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-2-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-2
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Keeps racing well. Great run at Wagga 27 Aug. Kept coming and just fell short at Queanbeyan. High on the shortlist.
ILB
Was strong late when 3rd beaten by 1L last start at Queanbeyan and facing a weaker grade. Looking sharp on the track this campaign. The testing material.
RP
Just denied when favourite last month at Queanbeyan in a conditions race; running consistently and has kicked on in his last couple of races; has to be taken seriously if reproducing most recent effort.
RSIS
Zipped home into 3rd last start at Queanbeyan and has been racing in stronger company. In good form of late. Good chance today.
Career
35: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
3: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
3: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
16: 0-0-1
Distance 1460m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
15: 0-0-1
Going Good
16: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 22%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
AAP
Continues to race without success. Ordinary performance in small field at Nowra. Usually gets back. Rough place prospect only.
ILB
Was $14.00 and subpar when 6th last run at Nowra and will have to carry more weight. Still a maiden after 35 starts. Likely to get back. Rather have another day.
RP
Finished last of six over 7f at Nowra (handicap) last month; one of his best runs so far came when runner-up here in May but without a win after 35 runs; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.
RSIS
Started at 13/1 and performed below standard when 6th last time at Nowra and carrying more weight than last time. Yet to break through after 35 starts.
Career
12: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bathurst
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1405m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Close up in sound performance Showcase Mdn Plate at Bathurst. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
At $31.00 made up ground when 4th last time at Bathurst and gets a favourable alley. Still in maiden grade after 12 starts. Making up the numbers.
RP
Produced several respectable runs lately; posted respectable effort when beaten 1½l at Bathurst over 7f (maiden) last month; latest effort was encouraging so has to be taken seriously.
RSIS
Started 30/1 and pushed past some when 4th last run at Bathurst and drawn nicely. Yet to break maiden status after 12 starts.
Career
24: 0-4-1
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
4: 0-1-0
Distance 2000m
7: 0-2-0
Distance 2200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1405m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 0-1-0
Going Good
14: 0-3-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 60% lower than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 69%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 69% in L100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Placed 3yo+ Plate (C1) at Gosford 9 Jan. Ridden back, battled home without threatening at Wagga for new trainer. Strips fitter. Can make her presence felt.
ILB
Odds of $14.00 and average effort when 7th last time at Wagga. Possesses very good finishing speed. Has strong claims.
RP
Not beaten too far when seventh of eight at Wagga over 7f (maiden) 13 days ago on debut for this trainer; best form so far in last two starts; easy to oppose.
RSIS
At 13/1 average effort when 7th last start at Wagga. Shows very good closing pace. Represents value.
Career
13: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-2
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -52% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 42%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
AAP
On a quick back-up. Queanbeyan Country Boosted Mdn placegetter 8 Sep. Lacked early speed and turn of foot at Wagga last outing. Can bounce back.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Was $4.40 and ran 7th last start at Wagga. Place claims at best.
RP
Not beaten too far when seventh at Wagga in a handicap four days ago; has displayed improved form on last two starts.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Started at 10/3 and came in 7th last start at Wagga.
Career
18: 0-1-6
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
12: 0-1-3
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 222%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
AAP
Consistent type knocking on the door. Edged out late after making the pace this track. Has early speed. Can make her presence felt if she gets the breaks.
ILB
Big effort to finish 2nd last start at this track. Has early speed and positions nicely. Poppie Gorton takes a large claim. Should not be far away.
RP
Series of good efforts to her name and has found improvement of late; went close when runner-up here over 7f (maiden) two weeks ago; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so she can be taken on.
RSIS
Was strong on the pace before fading to finish 2nd beaten by 1/2L last run here. Expecting to settle positively. Poppie Gorton provides some weight relief. Follow the money.
Career
14: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Wagga
2: 0-0-0
Track Wellington
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1175m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
8: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dale Cole 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 45%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
AAP
Sent out $101 when never got into the race at Goulburn. New to Moruya. Others with stronger claims.
ILB
On a short back up. Jumped at $101.00 and below standard effort when 9th last run at Goulburn but going up in distance. Needs significant improvement.
RP
Recent form leaves something to be desired and attempts to score at the 15th time of asking; beaten 6l into ninth at Goulburn (dropped to 6f) a week ago in a handicap; passed over.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Started 100/1 and well beaten when 9th last start at Goulburn but going over more ground. Trying to win after 14 runs.
Career
4: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
2: 0-0-1
Track Bathurst
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 49% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Jean Van Overmeire 58% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jean Van Overmeire in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 58%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ex C Maher in NSW. Ran an honest race and not beaten far at Canberra following market easing. Can play a role.
ILB
Odds of $13.00 and weakened to finish 6th last start at Canberra but drawn beautifully. First start for a new trainer. Watch betting.
RP
Solid effort over 6½f at Canberra (maiden) last month; starts out for new trainer; likely to be thereabouts as has bits and pieces of decent form.
RSIS
Was 12/1 and faded away to finish 6th last time at Canberra but drawn the rails. First start for a new trainer.