Shortest win price
Czech Me (3)
1.16
Moruya's fourth race is a country maiden handicap over 1010 metres in soft conditions with showers falling at 2:45 pm AEST. The race has already jumped. Czech Me is shortest in the market, followed by De Razilly, then Rebel Terra and Aerialize. This is a tight affair across the top few in the betting, which tells you the form is bunched and there's genuine scope for a well-backed outsider.
Czech Me profiles as the obvious candidate at shortest odds. The Luke Pepper runner maps perfectly from barrier 1 on pace and has shown early speed that suits this circuit—a genuine advantage on Moruya. Last start at Hawkesbury, it ran second on debut over 1000 metres, finishing close enough to suggest the step to 1010 metres will suit. The form line from that run reads promising for a second-up maiden. De Razilly, resuming after 71 weeks, has earned plenty of market respect and for good reason. Coriah Keatings is a jockey running 27 per cent above market expectations in their last 100 rides, and at Sapphire Coast last campaign, De Razilly was placed at both runs—including a near miss over this exact distance in similar soft ground. The Naroomi track record should favour a fresh horse with that pedigree coming back.
Aerialize sits fourth-up in the market but runs for trainer A L Mcrae and jockey Damon Budler, a combination outperforming market expectations by 45 per cent. The barrier draw at 3 sets up the Leader beautifully against a small field, and a narrow miss at Corowa suggests scope for another crack. Rebel Terra, despite no race form, has family credentials worth noting—half-brother to Knights Reign, a Launceston maiden winner—and trialled respectably at Goulburn. Worth watching the betting moves there.
Shortest win price
Czech Me (3)
1.16
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Leader
Deel Head · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 84% in Last 100 Rides
Dubai Jorge · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Czech Me · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
De Razilly · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 84% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Jess Taylor 93% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jess Taylor in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 93%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (24-weeks). Ex Robert Quinn. Trained here now. Well down the track at Goulburn on debut. Plenty of improvement needed and would need a strong market push.
ILB
Resuming after a break. At $31.00 weakened under pressure when 10th last start at Goulburn but was on debut last time. Blinkers go on for the first time. Others are better.
RP
Comfortably beaten into last on his debut at Goulburn over 7f at 28-1 six months ago; now running for a new stable; returns from a break today; could improve but still hard to see him winning here.
RSIS
Fresh after a break. Started 30/1 and looked outclassed when 10th last time at Goulburn but was a debutant last start. Blinkers go on for the first time.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Returns for second campaign (38-weeks). Ex Daniel Nickson. Trained here now. A long way off them this venue on debut when firmed a little in the betting. Happy to risk at this stage.
ILB
First run back from a 38 week spell. Started $18.00 and was nothing special when 9th last start at this track but having second race start. Lines up against a competitive field.
RP
Comfortably beaten first time out in January over C&D; layoff to overcome; first run for trainer; will need to progress to get off the mark.
RSIS
Fresh after break of 38 weeks. Started 17/1 and ordinary performance when 9th last run at this venue but having second career run. Coming to a new trainer.
Career
2: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Hawkesbury 3yo Super Mdn placegetter on debut 5 Sep. Finished well held at Canterbury at second outing. Stripping fitter, profiles well.
ILB
Started at $13.00 and weakened to finish 8th last run at Canterbury. Happy to overlook that run and gets a favourable gate. Won't be far away during the run. Rates highly.
RP
Held when eighth of nine at Canterbury last month in a maiden; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
At 12/1 didn't attack the line when 8th last start at Canterbury. Overlooking the last run and drawn beautifully. Won't be far away during the run. Expect support.
Career
2: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1007m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Coriah Keatings 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now
AAP
Resuming (71-weeks). Been supported at each run. Placed at Sapphire Coast on debut last campaign while brought on by a single Goulburn trial. Warrants attention fresh in this line-up.
ILB
First up and was amongst the placegetters when 2nd beaten by 1/2L first up last preparation at Sapphire Coast. Finished 4th in a trial at Goulburn on Sept 11th. Can take this out.
RP
Beaten 6l (sixth) at Sapphire Coast last May in a maiden; has a long absence to overcome; makes limited appeal; also engaged in race 4 at Dubbo.
RSIS
Resuming and strong effort to run into 2nd resuming last preparation at Sapphire Coast. Ran 4th in a trial at Goulburn on Sept 11th and gets a favourable draw. Strong claims.
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Firststart
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 49% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jean Van Overmeire 58% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -67% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). Dam won six races. Half brother to Mogo Magic. Never gave a yelp in his only trial outing at Goulburn. Follow betting leads.
ILB
3yo by Acrobat having initial appearance for Matthew Dale. Finished 7th in a barrier trial at Goulburn on May 7th. Watch the market.
RP
Already a gelding; first rules outing for this three-year-old son of Acrobat; competitive shout as some good aspects to his profile and the current yard form is another tick.
RSIS
3yo by Acrobat having first race appearance for Matthew Dale. Finished 7th in a trial at Goulburn on May 7th.
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Firststart
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-1). Dam won five races. Half brother to Launceston mdn winner Knights Reign. Winner packed too many punches but ran on well enough to place in Goulburn trial. Market watch advised.
ILB
Racing as a debutant 3yo by Rebel Dane for Pat Murphy. Placed 3rd in a trial at Goulburn on Sept 24th. Watch early betting.
RP
From the same family as Knights Reign, a winner over 7f; sire's progeny have shown a preference for softer goings; a major contender as some good aspects to his profile.
RSIS
Career debut 3yo by Rebel Dane for trainer Pat Murphy. Placed 3rd in a trial at Goulburn on Sept 24th.
Career
3: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Corowa
1: 0-0-1
Track Narromine
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 45%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Shown promise in limited runs. Narrow miss in the Mdn Plate at Corowa 14 Sep. Can have a major say.
ILB
Was agonizingly close last run at Corowa and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Strong claims in this.
RP
Went down by a head over 4½f at Corowa (maiden) two weeks ago.
RSIS
Close to claiming the win last start at Corowa and showing improvement in recent outings. Shows good early pace. Win will not surprise.
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Firststart
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (1:0-1-0). Dam won five races. Kicks off here after going down narrowly in her only trial assignment at Moruya. Poppie Gorton on from trials. Looks to have some promise. Follow betting.
ILB
Debutant 3yo by Cosmic Force for Rodney Howes. Placed 2nd in a barrier trial here on Sept 15th. Poppie Gorton provides some weight relief. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Related to 4½f winner Airfield; running in first race; hard to ignore.
RSIS
3yo by Cosmic Force having initial appearance for Rodney Howes. Placed 2nd in a trial around here on Sept 15th. The large claim from Poppie Gorton should help.
Career
13: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bombala
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
2: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 38% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Failed to threaten at Canberra as a despised outsider. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Was $101.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last time at Canberra. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 13 starts. Overlook from a betting angle.
RP
Still winless and defeats stacking up (13 on the bounce); finished just behind Steffiewah when eighth at Canberra two weeks ago; easy to oppose.
RSIS
Started 100/1 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last start at Canberra. Still in maiden grade after 13 starts.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (1:0-1-0). Cost $600. Dam won a Ballarat maiden. Makes debut after a handy Goulburn trial. Benefit of decent alley. Can make an immediate impact.
ILB
Dubious 3yo trained by Matthew Dale having first start. Respect the betting.
RP
Sire's progeny generally enjoy some ease in the ground; racing education begins here for this daughter of Dubious; interesting as some good aspects to her profile and the trainer is hot at the moment.
RSIS
Dubious 3yo trained by Matthew Dale having first start.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 46% lower than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
AAP
Trials (1:0-1-0). Dam won twice in WA. First foal to race. Encouraging performance in most recent barrier trial. Alley makes it tough but look to market for a further guide.
ILB
North Pacific 3yo having first race start for Keith Dryden & Libby Snowden. Keep your eye on the market.
RSIS
3yo debutant by North Pacific for trainer Keith Dryden & Libby Snowden.
Career
9: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Gundagai
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 1%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 84%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 89% Profit on Turnover
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Limited
Negative
Yet to break through after 9 starts
AAP
Shown little in nine starts. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Canberra. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Jumped at $101.00 and average at best when 7th last time at Canberra. Has early speed and positions nicely. Yet to fire a shot in 9 attempts. Rough chance today.
RP
Beaten a fair way when seventh (Canberra) 14 days ago; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at nine; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Was 100/1 and unsatisfactory performance when 7th last time at Canberra. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Hasn't fired a shot in 9 starts.