Shortest win price
Think I Do (6)
3.00
Welcome to Moruya for the Andy Quill Memorial Showcase Benchmark 74 over 1650m on a Soft 7 surface with showers overhead. Punters looking at the win market order find Think I Do heading the betting lines, closely followed by Miss Stalwart, Rileycat, and Oneforian rounding out the leading fancies in a competitive country clash.
Taking a look at the form lines behind those shorter prices, Think I Do comes here after sitting midfield and failing to land a blow over 1900m at Canterbury, though switching back in trip to the 1650m looks a key pointer. Miss Stalwart brings plenty of mileage as an experienced campaigner, having gone close at Canberra over 1600m when prominent before feeling the pinch late. Rileycat tackles this after heading to Canterbury for a 3yo plus BM72 assignment where she failed to threaten, but her prior third at the same track points to a strong case in this company. Oneforian is another on-pacer who got the wobbles and faded out of the placings over 1600m at Kembla Grange, but is worth keeping an eye on.
Further down the race book and speed maps, we note the early speed distribution with runners like Think I Do, Brannum, and Beauer listed among the leaders, while Oneforian, Miss Stalwart, and Peruno push forward on-pace. Gatchan operates off-pace and drops back to a suitable class with a hot jockey and trainer combination boasting strong profit metrics in recent outings. Meanwhile, backmarker Revoke is part of a stable combination showing positive market over-performance, adding plenty of intrigue to a fascinating Moruya yarn.
Shortest win price
Think I Do (6)
3.00
Most career wins
Miss Stalwart
8-6-2 from 52 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Gatchan · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are winning 33% POT in their L100 Races
Oneforian · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Rileycat · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Miss Stalwart · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Career
92: 6-7-9
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
8: 1-0-0
Second-up
7: 0-0-2
Third-up
6: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
6: 1-1-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1080m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-0-1
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
44: 5-2-2
Going Heavy
12: 1-1-0
Going Soft
36: 0-4-7
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4.5kg now
AAP
Well back and made limited headway at Bathurst. One for exotics.
ILB
On a quick back up. Right up there last time at Illawarra Grange but coming back in trip. Has to carry more weight this time.
RP
Encouraging effort when second over 1m2f at Illawarra Grange (handicap) yesterday; produced several respectable runs lately; was entered at Illawarra Grange Thursday.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Competed in a tight contest last time at Illawarra Grange but back to a shorter distance. Has more weight to carry.
Career
48: 5-9-5
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 0-1-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Canberra
20: 3-3-2
Track Goulburn
1: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1613m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
30: 3-7-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
17: 2-2-2
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 33% POT in their L100 Races
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Ordinary performance in small field at Canberra second-up. New to Moruya. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Gave away some ground when 6th last time at Canberra. Possible place chance.
RP
Finished last of six when close behind Miss Stalwart upped to this trip (Canberra) last month; others appeal more.
RSIS
Couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last start at Canberra.
Career
22: 5-2-4
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 3-1-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
7: 1-0-3
Track Gundagai
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1208m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
2: 1-0-1
Going Good
14: 4-2-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Coriah Keatings 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Got the wobbles and faded out of the placings at Kembla Grange. On pacer. Worth a look.
ILB
At $17.00 weakened to finish 9th last run at Kembla Grange. Happy to forgive that run. Coriah Keatings rates highly. Will run close.
RP
Resume shows that he is a proven winner (seeking a sixth career win); not beaten that far at Kembla Grange last month; reunited with Coriah Keatings, the pair have built a good partnership; warrants plenty of respect.
RSIS
Started at 16/1 and looked outclassed when 9th last time at Kembla Grange. Should improve here. Good to see Coriah Keatings is jumping on. Will go close today.
Career
23: 5-3-4
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
5: 3-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1550m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 1-0-3
Going Good
13: 4-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 1-2-2
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Solid run 3yo+ (Bm72) at Canterbury 26 Aug. Failed to threaten at Canterbury. Makes a strong case in this company.
ILB
Jumped at $18.00 and underperformed when 10th last time at Canterbury but going down in grade. Nick Heywood rates highly aboard and gets a favourable gate. Goes up in weight. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Beaten a fair way when tenth over 7½f at Canterbury (handicap) last month; has achieved five wins from 23 career runs; cannot be ignored.
RSIS
At 17/1 not up to scratch when 10th last time at Canterbury but will find this grade easier. Nick Heywood takes the reins today and has a good draw.
Career
52: 8-6-2
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-2-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 3-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
18: 2-2-1
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
22: 4-1-0
Going Heavy
6: 1-0-0
Going Soft
24: 3-5-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Experienced campaigner. Went close at Canberra 4 Sep. Prominent but just felt the pinch over concluding stages at Canberra. Well into preparation now, can play a role.
ILB
Jumped at $3.70 and was well beaten when 4th last time at Canberra. Can make a comeback. Genuine claims.
RP
Has been fairly consistent lately and useful at this level; not disgraced when fourth at Canberra last month; certainly not out of it if replicating most recent run.
RSIS
Started 11/4 and weakened to finish 4th last run at Canberra. Happy to overlook that run. Gets a chance against these.
Career
17: 3-4-3
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-3-0
Third-up
3: 2-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Moruya
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-0
Track Forbes
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2010m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2400m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1400m
5: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
8: 1-2-3
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 10%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 55%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 31% Profit on Turnover
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Stationed midfield and never landed a blow at Canterbury 16 Sep. Switching to 1650m. Key contender.
ILB
At $17.00 didn't find the line when 8th last start at Canterbury. Should improve from the last run and has drawn the rails. Expecting to settle positively. Great chance.
RP
Despite a poor last run, she had been running well previously; beaten 8l when eighth of ten over 1m1½f at Canterbury (handicap) two weeks ago; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Started at 16/1 and didn't find the line when 8th last run at Canterbury. Happy to forgive that run and drawn the rails. Should jump out and bowl along. Capable of winning this.
Career
21: 2-4-3
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Canberra
2: 0-0-1
Track Goulburn
3: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1435m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1660m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
5: 0-1-1
Going Soft
9: 1-2-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Started $41 when safely held in Benchmark 66 company at Nowra. Well into preparation now, could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Lost ground in the run home when 6th last start at Nowra. Should be going forward early. Low-key chance.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten just over 4l in sixth) over 7f at Nowra (handicap) when dropped in distance 12 days ago; hasn't really fired since his success in a handicap at Moruya in June and recent form leaves something to be desired; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Struggled with the pace when 6th last start at Nowra. Should muster plenty of early toe.
Career
53: 6-3-8
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1435m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
23: 2-1-4
Going Good
27: 3-2-4
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 42% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 51% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Won a 2010m Benchmark 58 at Moruya two back. On pace but found little at the business end this course. Has some claims.
ILB
Started at $8.00 and was getting tired late when 5th last time around here. Amy Mclucas is a suitable booking. Rather have another day.
RP
C&D has proven suitable before; not beaten too far when fifth here (dropped back to this trip) last month; warrants respect.
RSIS
Was 7/1 and outsprinted when 5th last start here. Amy Mclucas is a key booking.
Career
27: 2-1-3
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 2-0-1
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Going Good
19: 2-1-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 49% better than Career Avg.
Hot Trainer
Positive
Paul Murray in good form, out performing market 34%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Jean Van Overmeire winning at 43% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Winless since 1 Feb 2025. Went home tamely at Hawkesbury at $71. Can lead or take a sit. Distant place hope only.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Odds of $71.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last start at Hawkesbury. Should race on the speed. Hard to see it being good enough.
RP
Does not win very often and largely found things tough going of late; could not manage better than sixth at Hawkesbury over 1m1f (handicap) last week; others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
On a short back up. At 70/1 gave away some ground when 6th last run at Hawkesbury. Will be pushing for a forward position early.
Career
16: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1020m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-0-1
Going Good
9: 0-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 222%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Effort tapered late after showing pace in the small field this venue. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Jumped at $41.00 and finished 4th last time at this venue. Likely to get back in the run. Large claim helps. Can't entertain a bet.
RP
Finished fourth but wasn't beaten too far (just over 3l) here over 7f (handicap) two weeks ago; track has proven suitable before; others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Was 40/1 and came in 4th last start here. Likely to get back. Large claim helps.