Shortest win price
Teylu (2)
3.10
Welcome to Moruya for the Coastal Auto Group Moruya Mustang Showcase Handicap over the short 1010m dash on a Soft6 surface with showers about. It is a sharp Open Benchmark 89 contest where the win market is headed by Teylu, Keikoku, Gunroom, and Donwon, with Fangela, One Destiny, and Selhurst Park rounding out the rest of the runners as punters sort out the early yarn.
Teylu opens as the elect for G P Vella, returning here after a twelve-week break with Coriah Keatings in the saddle from barrier 7, bringing strong metropolitan form including a narrow placing in Open company at Randwick. Keikoku sits next in the market order for Luke Pepper and Brodie Loy from barrier 6, coming off a tenacious win at Canberra where it flashed home from the back half. Gunroom and Donwon also command respect from the form lines, with Donwon having a prior win at this track under its belt.
Looking further through the speed maps and insights, Teylu and Gunroom map as the natural leaders to take up the running, while Keikoku likes to get back and unleash late sectionals. Fangela brings a hot jockey and trainer combination that has been outperforming market expectations, making this a fascinating country sprint where several runners hold genuine claims.
Shortest win price
Teylu (2)
3.10
Most career wins
Fangela
11-8-8 from 54 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Fangela · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 46%
Teylu · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Keikoku · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
One Destiny · Negative
Jockey Booking
Rebecca Bronett Prag current POT is 32% below Career Avg.
Career
54: 11-8-8
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
9: 2-2-1
Second-up
8: 1-1-1
Third-up
6: 3-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-1-1
Track Wagga
3: 1-1-0
Track Moruya
3: 1-0-1
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1080m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
9: 0-2-1
Going Good
26: 6-5-3
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
21: 5-3-3
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 46%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 32%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Started $31 when safely held in Open company at Canberra. Keener on others.
ILB
Jumped at $31.00 and ran 6th last run at Canberra but competing at a lower grade. Up in weight. Entitled to be big odds.
RP
Not disgraced when sixth (Canberra) last month 4l behind Keikoku; has won previously at this course; grade looks suitable; must go on the shortlist.
RSIS
Started 30/1 and finished 6th last start at Canberra but lining up against easier rivals. Up in weight.
Career
19: 6-7-3
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 1-3-0
Second-up
3: 0-2-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 2-0-1
Track Canberra
10: 3-4-1
Track Goulburn
1: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
10: 3-4-2
Distance 1065m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1080m
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
10: 5-3-1
Going Soft
8: 1-3-2
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Coriah Keatings 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (12-weeks). Missed by a bee's lip in Open company at Canberra first-up last time in. Bold first-up showing anticipated.
ILB
First up from a break of 12 weeks and just shy of the win first up last preparation at Canberra. Has shown early pace in races to date. Definite claims.
RP
Creditable effort (went off 18-1) to finish fifth over 5½f at Rosehill (handicap) three months ago; record shows he knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 6-19) and has been consistent of late; strong claims.
RSIS
Resuming and just short of the win resuming last preparation at Canberra. Will be positive in the run early. Has a credible chance.
Career
45: 5-9-7
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
7: 3-1-1
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1418m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
24: 0-5-5
Going Good
19: 5-4-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 5kg weight here
AAP
Responded well from back half to get the prize at Canberra first up. Cops more weight for last win this grade but can do it again.
ILB
Dashed home to win last time at Canberra and facing a weaker group of contenders. Possesses very good finishing speed. Demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Looks like a winning chance.
RP
Narrow success in a handicap (Canberra) when accounting for two of these 14 days ago; not a great record on second run back after a layoff and unlikely to do better than a supporting role.
RSIS
Rocketed home when winning last start at Canberra and has been racing in stronger company. Possesses good finishing pace. Demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Rises in weight. Key player.
Career
63: 10-4-8
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
8: 1-0-0
Second-up
6: 1-1-0
Third-up
6: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
2: 1-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
3: 0-1-1
Track Rosehill
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
22: 4-1-2
Going Heavy
16: 4-3-3
Going Soft
25: 2-0-3
Jockey Booking
Negative
Rebecca Bronett Prag current POT is 32% below Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Scott Collings striking at just 7%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 134%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 43% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 40% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
AAP
Seasoned performer. Never sighted at Canberra off extended spell. Strips in better shape. Key contender.
ILB
At $16.00 lost ground in the run home when 10th last time at Canberra but matched against a less competitive field. Can save some energy from the draw. A demanding task.
RP
Could not compete with Keikoku when tenth (Canberra) last month; useful at this level; should not be far away if replicating the best of his form.
RSIS
Odds of 15/1 and weakened under pressure when 10th last time at Canberra but facing weaker opposition. Drawn by the rails. Has more weight to carry.
Career
36: 6-0-8
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
7: 1-0-2
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
5: 1-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
11: 2-0-1
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
13: 2-0-3
Going Soft
13: 2-0-3
Going Good
17: 3-0-3
Going Heavy
6: 1-0-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Really good run coming from the back in Midway (Bm64) at Hawkesbury first up. Will be fitter second-up. Not out of this.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Close up last start at Illawarra Grange but facing a stronger grade. Has run into the placings all attempts this preparation.
RP
Third yesterday, only beaten a neck, over 5½f (handicap) at Illawarra Grange; been struggling to get his head in front recently so hard enough to fancy; was due to run at Illawarra Grange Thursday.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Close to claiming the win last run at Illawarra Grange but up against a more competitive field.
Career
13: 2-3-2
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-2-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 49% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Jean Van Overmeire 58% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 69%
Key Jockey
Positive
Jean Van Overmeire winning at 43% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 5kg from LS run
AAP
Well back and never a factor at Newcastle. Worth a look back in a country Open.
ILB
Started at $8.50 and came in 6th last start at Newcastle. Can make a comeback but racing against tougher rivals. Gets some weight taken off. Can go close.
RP
Has proven competitive in a race of this nature; not beaten too far when sixth at Newcastle when close behind Donwon over 4½f (handicap) last month; one to consider if duplicating the form of his most recent win and had excuses last time (inconvenienced).
RSIS
At 15/2 finished 6th last time at Newcastle. Should bounce back but matched against a stronger field. Likely to be well placed early. Gets a reduction in weight. Capable type.
Career
21: 2-3-5
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-2-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
5: 0-2-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-1
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
5: 1-1-1
Distance 1100m
8: 1-2-0
Going Good
9: 0-2-2
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-2
Going Soft
9: 1-1-1
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Made some headway without troubling at Newcastle. Won only other time at Moruya. Very fit, back to a country Open and warrants attention.
ILB
Jumped at $12.00 and hit the line well when 4th last time at Newcastle and gets a favourable draw. Competing in a higher grade. Seems very unlikely.
RP
Not beaten too far when fourth of ten at Newcastle over 4½f (handicap) with Gunroom just behind two weeks ago; has winning track form; this looks a fair heat so looks risky.
RSIS
Odds of 11/1 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last start at Newcastle and has a good draw. Racing in stronger company.
Career
57: 4-10-11
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
8: 1-3-0
Second-up
7: 1-1-2
Third-up
6: 1-0-3
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Wyong
2: 0-1-0
Track Moruya
28: 3-5-7
Distance 920m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1010m
10: 0-1-2
Distance 1100m
8: 0-4-2
Going Good
18: 2-3-3
Going Heavy
10: 1-1-5
Going Soft
29: 1-6-3
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 222%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
AAP
5 weeks since last run. In touch and fought on dauntlessly this course. Could get into the placings.
ILB
Picked up late to win last time here but testing ability against stronger contenders. In strong racing shape since coming back from a break. Facing a difficult task.
RP
Scored by a slim margin in a handicap 35 days ago; C&D has proven suitable before; despite that Moruya success, others more likely.
RSIS
Rounded them up to win last time at this track but competing in a more challenging grade. Has been a model of consistency since returning from a break.