Shortest win price
Shapenapit (3)
2.70
Corowa's serving up a Class 1 sprint at 1400m in the rain on a Soft 6 track, and the market's got a few interesting stories brewing. Shapenapit sits shortest in the odds, with Palladium next cab off the rank, then Forrest Gump rounding out the trio. It's the kind of race where a wet surface and early speed can tell the tale, and there's genuine intrigue in how the field shapes around the pace-setters.
Forrest Gump's got Brittany Button in the saddle, a jockey outperforming her career average by 29 over the last ton, and the data suggests she's got early split advantage on this circuit—handy traits at Corowa. The form line shows consistency through her last prep, with a couple of narrow misses at Wangaratta and Echuca on heavy going. She's been given trial work for this comeback and rates 93, so there's genuine case to oppose the short money early. Palladium's a different beast, resuming after 19 weeks with two trials under the belt. The Ledger stable's firing and the jockey combo with Brodie Loy is outperforming the market by 155 percent. He broke his maiden at Echuca over 1612m and's got a first-up placing on the record, so fresh in this company he might just make his presence felt.
Shapenapit carries the highest rating at 100 and landed a minor spoil at Bendigo fresh-up over 1300m on Soft 6, but the camp's been scratchy with just 5 percent strike rate lately, and the jockey combo's down 100 points in their last hundred. Forrest Dancer lurks further down the market at odds worth a look—he's got early runs at Wagga suggesting he relishes the track, and the Jake Duffy and Sackman combo are outperforming by 46 percent. First crack at 1400m's a question mark, but his price might reward punters willing to take the roughie.
Shortest win price
Shapenapit (3)
2.70
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Forrest Gump · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Palladium · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 155%
Shapenapit · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Without Fail · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Career
7: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-1-0
Track Wangaratta
2: 0-0-1
Track Wodonga
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (13-weeks). Consistent through last prep. Just missed in Maiden company at Wangaratta first-up last campaign while given some soft trial work for return.
ILB
First up and right in the mix first up last preparation at Wangaratta on a heavy track. Shows good early pace. Should give this a shake.
RP
Out of the money, beaten just over 1l, when fourth over 1m at Wangaratta (handicap) in July; remains lightly raced; knocking at the door recently.
RSIS
Resuming and close to claiming the win resuming last preparation at Wangaratta on a heavy track. Has early pace and positions nicely. Well respected contender.
Career
8: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1612m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1620m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 155%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 84%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 67% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (19-weeks). Broke his maiden over 1612m at Echuca last campaign. Brought on with two trial hitouts and has placed first-up. Can make his presence felt fresh in this line-up with even luck.
ILB
Back from a break. Started $41.00 and weakened to finish 8th last run at Flemington but going down in grade. Brodie Loy consistently performs well for this stable. Watch the betting.
RP
Beaten 9l into eighth over 1m at Flemington (handicap) in June; returning from a layoff here; he can be taken on.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Started 40/1 and struggled with the pace when 8th last time at Flemington but facing a weaker group of contenders. Could feature here.
Career
8: 1-4-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 1-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-2-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1100m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
5: 0-3-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 53%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 46% Profit on Turnover
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
At the helm, outpointed late but slogged away for the minor spoils 3yo+ Hcp (C1) at Bendigo for new stable. Can figure.
ILB
Put together a strong on-speed performance when 2nd beaten by 2L last time at Bendigo and dropping in grade. Exhibiting good form this preparation and gets a favourable alley. Entitled to be respected in betting.
RP
Went down by 2l when runner-up at Bendigo over 6½f (handicap) last month on debut for this trainer; consistent performer; one to note.
RSIS
Was in the race for a long way when 2nd beaten by 2L last start at Bendigo and challenged by weaker competitors. Attracts support.
Career
7: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Track Gundagai
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
AAP
Sent out $10 when battled home to finish 4th this track. Sharper now, could add some value to exotics.
ILB
Freshened for this. Started $10.00 and ran past a few when 4th last time at the track. Strong prospects in this race.
RP
Not beaten too far when fourth here in a conditions race 49 days ago; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Freshened up. Odds of 9/1 and hit the line well when 4th last time at the track. Must respect.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 43%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Battled home okay at Wagga second-up. Added journey should assist. Stripping fitter, expecting a stronger showing.
ILB
Jumped at $3.60 and came in 6th last start at Wagga.
RSIS
Started 13/5 and ran 6th last run at Wagga.
Career
7: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
5: 1-0-0
Track Cootamundra
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 46%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Sent out $16 when never got into the race at Wagga second-up. First try at 1400m. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Started at $16.00 and ordinary performance when 10th last start at Wagga but gets the perfect draw. Could feature here.
RP
Beaten tenth of 11 over 6f at Wagga (handicap, just behind Oubaitori) last month; leading claims if finding his best form.
RSIS
Started 15/1 and performed below standard when 10th last run at Wagga but can save some energy from the stall. Watch betting.
Career
2: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 1-0-0
Track Bathurst
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Finished well held at Bathurst at second outing. Looks up against it.
ILB
Jumped at $13.00 and faded away to finish 8th last run at Bathurst.
RP
Not beaten that far in eighth (just under 5l) at Bathurst over 6½f (handicap) last month; this just his third race; this only his second start in handicap company; capable if in the mood so has to be taken seriously.
RSIS
At 12/1 couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last start at Bathurst.
Career
17: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
2: 0-1-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1590m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1612m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run
AAP
Broke maiden at Wagga 19 Sep. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Wodonga. One for exotics.
ILB
Started $15.00 and weakened under pressure when 9th last time at Wodonga but dropping weight. Looks hopeful.
RP
Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Wodonga (beaten 4½l) last month; improved form the last twice; others more persuasive.
RSIS
Started 14/1 and didn't threaten when 9th last run at Wodonga but will appreciate the drop in weight.
Career
10: 1-2-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Narrandera
1: 1-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-2-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Broke maiden at Narrandera 13 Jun. Comfortably beaten at Wagga off spell. Will be fitter second-up. Right in the mix.
ILB
Couldn't stay in touch when 9th last run at Wagga.
RP
Was ninth of 11, beaten just over 5l, over 6f at Wagga (handicap) 16 days ago; has raised her game the last twice; others are preferred.
RSIS
Looked outclassed when 9th last start at Wagga.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
First-up (28-weeks). Ex Matthew Dale in NSW. Wasn't extended in latest Wangaratta trial 7 Oct. At best, a place hope.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Finished 2nd last start at Berrigan.
RSIS
On a short back up. Claimed a spot in the placings when 2nd last time at Berrigan.
Career
9: 1-0-3
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-2
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Echuca
3: 0-0-1
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1170m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
9: 1-0-3
Trainer SR
Negative
Sylvia Thompson striking at just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 34%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Failed to threaten at Echuca second-up at healthy odds. Since trialled at Albury 24 Oct. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Jumped at $21.00 and gave away some ground when 12th last time at Echuca but going over extra ground. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Was tailed off over 5f at Echuca (handicap) last month; fitted with blinkers for the first time; capable of going well as shown she can be competitive fairly recently.
RSIS
Was 20/1 and faded to finish 12th last run at Echuca but stepping up in trip. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time.
Career
24: 1-1-3
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Albury
6: 0-0-1
Track Wagga
7: 0-0-0
Track Clare
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1175m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
8: 1-1-2
Going Good
13: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-2
Going Soft
5: 0-1-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 8% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 98%
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Sent out $16 when unable to threaten at Wagga. Has a tricky draw. Switching to 1400m. Needs to lift.
ILB
Odds of $16.00 and folded up in the straight when 8th last run at Wagga. Needs to improve.
RP
Not disgraced in eighth over 1m at Wagga (handicap) last month; has raised her game the last twice; others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
At 15/1 lost ground in the run home when 8th last time at Wagga.
Career
7: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Wodonga
2: 0-1-0
Track Narrandera
2: 0-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 42% in Last 100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Cory Parish winning at 32% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run
AAP
Comfortably beaten at Wodonga over this distance. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Jumped at $11.00 and looked outclassed when 7th last start at Wodonga but will benefit with the weight drop. Should jump out and bowl along. Remote chance at best.
RP
Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Wodonga (beaten 4½l) last month; has raised his game the last twice; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Started 10/1 and weakened to finish 7th last time at Wodonga but suited by the weight drop. Has shown early pace in races to date.