Shortest win price
Wambeen (7)
3.30
Corowa's sixth race at 4:35 pm AEDT is a benchmark 58 handicap over 1600 metres on a soft track in the rain. It's shaping up as a tactical affair with genuine tempo. Wambeen sits shortest in the market, followed by Belnera, Salina Special, Strummer, and Ferrari Man. The track is wet enough to separate the honest horses from the chancers, and this field has enough mixed form that the race could be run to suit either an early leader or a patient finisher. The racing yarn here is all about redemption and timing — a couple of these runners have had poor recent outings but carry live chances if conditions and pace align.
Wambeen comes into this with momentum after a dominant display at Wodonga over a similar trip on good ground, prevailing by a length. Cory Parish has been riding hot form, outperforming market expectations by 57 per cent of late, and the gelding's speed map as a leader suggests a natural edge in getting a sweet run from barrier 1. The comment notes honest racing in good heart, which punters love to hear. Down the order, Belnera is worth respecting — rated at 100 by IRD and with the fastest finishing sectionals last start at Wagga over this exact 1600 metres, only a length off the winner. Carly Frater's mount shapes as a key player if the tempo allows a sneak run from midfield. Salina Special grabbed a commanding win from midfield at Wodonga second-up and has the gearing for the added journey. The filly's rapid finishing sectionals last time out suggest real polish, though Alice Kennedy's recent change in colours is a small concern.
Strummer presents a roughie narrative with form that interests — a valiant third at Wangaratta just over a fortnight ago on good ground, and the AAP assessment reckons he's stripping fitter and shapes as a rough place prospect. Nick Heywood has less suitably suited booking here, but the horse carries a career strike rate of 3 wins from 19 starts and maps to race on pace from barrier 9. Ferrari Man, shortest priced among the old brigade, holds a hot jockey-trainer combination with Glenn Cahill and Andrew Bourke outperforming market by 47 per cent, though Bourke's 5 per cent strike rate overall is a sobering red flag. On the quick back-up over this distance after a recent Wagga campaign, Ferrari Man's recent form is lumpy. The opinion leans toward Wambeen as the sensible choice, with Belnera and Salina Special as the alternatives if the wet track produces a sloppy pace.
Shortest win price
Wambeen (7)
3.30
Most career wins
Ferrari Man
8-11-7 from 67 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Doc March · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Strummer · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 23% lower than Career Avg.
Ferrari Man · Negative
Trainer SR
Andrew Bourke striking at just 5%
Desert Opal · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Career
24: 3-7-2
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Canberra
4: 1-1-0
Track Narrandera
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1600m
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1800m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
7: 0-1-0
Going Good
15: 3-5-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Sent out $6 when never got into the race at Wagga first up. Fitter and second-up form generally better. Can play a role.
ILB
Started at $6.00 and mediocre attempt when 6th last time at Wagga. Price in this race is tempting to get involved.
RP
This is his grade; not disgraced in sixth when close behind Belnera (Wagga) 16 days ago; shown he can win fairly recently and some hopes.
RSIS
Was 5/1 and appeared lacklustre when 6th last time at Wagga. Nice chance at a very tempting price.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Form At Track
Positive
3 time winner here at Corowa
AAP
Led them up but melted under pressure at Kyneton. Has speed. Has some claims.
ILB
On a quick back up. Finished 2nd last run at Wycheproof.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Ran well when 2nd last start at Wycheproof.
Career
19: 3-3-4
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 2-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-2
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Wangaratta
4: 0-0-2
Track Corowa
1: 1-0-0
Track Gundagai
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1590m
4: 0-0-2
Distance 1600m
6: 0-1-0
Distance 1606m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Going Unknown
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
15: 2-2-2
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 23% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 29% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
AAP
Was a valiant but vanquished third in the 3yo+ (Bm56) at Wangaratta when second-up. Stripping fitter, shapes as a rough place prospect.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Solid run on the pace before weakening to finish 3rd beaten by just over 2 1/2L last time at Wangaratta. Should be going forward early. Watch the betting.
RP
Ran encouragingly when 2½l third at Wangaratta a week ago; track has proven suitable before; has been fairly consistent of late.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Was strong on the pace before fading to finish 3rd beaten by just over 2 1/2L last time at Wangaratta. Respect the betting.
Career
67: 8-11-7
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Leader
First-up
9: 1-1-2
Second-up
8: 0-2-0
Third-up
8: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
6: 2-1-0
Track Forbes
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
4: 0-0-1
Track Queanbeyan
9: 2-3-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1620m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
31: 6-3-2
Going Heavy
11: 1-3-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Andrew Bourke striking at just 5%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 47%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 33%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 45% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Experienced campaigner. Terrific from the wide gate at Orange over this journey. Can lead or take a sit. Right in this.
ILB
Made all to win by a margin of 3/4L last time at Orange. Has early speed and positions nicely. One of the punters top hopes.
RP
Narrow winner of a handicap at Orange last month; should get involved.
RSIS
Controlled the pace to win by a margin of 3/4L last time at Orange. Will be positive in the run early. Will go close.
Career
24: 3-4-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-0
Track Narrandera
2: 0-0-0
Track Gundagai
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
11: 1-2-1
Distance 1500m
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
15: 0-4-2
Going Heavy
5: 3-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 44%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 5.5kg more than LS
AAP
In the minor spoils but still well held at Albury over longer test. Switching to 1600m. Harder to warm to here.
ILB
Displayed a strong effort throughout the race when 3rd beaten by just over 3 1/2L last start at Albury but dropping back to a shorter trip. Rises in weight. Rough hope.
RP
Not beaten that far in third (3½l) at Albury over 1m2f (handicap) last month; easy to see him making an impression as he knows how to get the job done.
RSIS
Ran out of steam towards the end when 3rd last run at Albury but will be facing a significant drop in distance. Will have to carry more weight.
Career
7: 2-1-1
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Towong
1: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 1-0-0
Track Deniliquin
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1209m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot Trainer
Positive
J & C Ledger in good form, out performing market 84%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 67% POT in L100 Runners
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Imposing win from midfield in the 3yo+ (Bm52) at Wodonga second-up. Added journey should assist.
ILB
Charged home to win last start at Wodonga. Should get going late. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Won a handicap by just over 2l at Wodonga last month; strong contender.
RSIS
Reeled them in to win last time at Wodonga. Should get going late. Has some claims.
Career
29: 3-4-2
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 2-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 1-0-0
Track Kilmore
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2520m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
8: 2-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 1-4-2
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 42% in Last 100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Cory Parish in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 57%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Honest, racing in good heart. Delivered in dominant style at Wodonga. Maps to get a sweet run. Harder now but sure to have supporters.
ILB
Was much too speedy in front when winning by a margin of 1L last time at Wodonga and has drawn the rails. Displaying improvement over the past few runs. Strong claims.
RP
Got the job done by 1l (Wodonga) two weeks ago; may have to settle for supporting role despite that win last time.
RSIS
Controlled the pace to win by 1L last time at Wodonga and gets the perfect stall. Jockey Cory Parish and trainer Neil Girvan form a proven partnership. Can win.
Career
30: 2-6-8
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 0-2-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
4: 0-2-2
Distance 1175m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
7: 0-1-3
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 2-4-6
Going Heavy
6: 0-1-0
Going Soft
7: 0-1-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
AAP
Midfield, let down intently into the placings at Wagga over this trip. Key player.
ILB
Improved to place when 2nd last time at Wagga and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Can go through the gears. Gets a solid chance here.
RP
Produced a good effort to finish runner-up at Wagga last month; infrequent winner and shown all winning form at Wagga (two successes); easy to oppose as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.
RSIS
Finished with intent when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last run at Wagga and showing improvement in recent outings. Possesses very good closing pace. Good winning chance.
Rating · IRD
20
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
AAP
Prominent and fought on determinedly in the Mdn at Wagga over this journey. Has early speed.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Brave effort to win narrowly last run at Wagga and going down in class. Made it 2 wins in succession.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Secured the win by a slim margin last run at Wagga and goes down in class. Made it 2 wins on the trot.
Career
29: 2-3-4
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-2
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
3: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1454m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 0-2-2
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 2-1-2
Trainer SR
Negative
Marita Lawson striking at just 7%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Winless since 22 Apr 2025. Not disgraced at Wodonga when second-up. Meets a higher standard here.
ILB
Started at $9.00 and inched into 5th last time at Wodonga. Likely to get back in the run. Facing a difficult task.
RP
Fair effort when 2½l fifth to Wambeen at Wodonga two weeks ago; infrequent winner and has not been firing consistently; this looks a decent race so may be vulnerable.
RSIS
Started 8/1 and overtook some late when 5th last start at Wodonga. Likely to get back in the field.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Ran on okay without troubling at Echuca. Awkwardly drawn. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Was $9.00 and picked up some late ground when 4th last run at Echuca and strong form at the distance.
RSIS
Odds of 8/1 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last time at Echuca and proven performer at this distance.
Career
33: 5-3-4
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Grenfell
1: 1-0-0
Track Warracknabeal
1: 0-0-0
Track Lockhart
2: 0-0-1
Distance 2500m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2753m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 1-1-0
Going Soft
9: 2-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 545%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 10kg from LS run
AAP
Sent out $6 when unable to threaten at Harden. Been racing at the picnics.
ILB
At $3.40 came in 5th last run at Harden but will try to take advantage of the gate. Respect the betting.
RP
Has won here previously; slumped a bit since winning a handicap at Corowa two months ago; not disgraced in fifth over 7f at Harden (handicap) last month; this looks a fair heat so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.
RSIS
Started 12/5 and finished 5th last time at Harden but drawn nicely. Can't leave out of your calculations.