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Ballina (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ballina (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 2 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 2 NovBallina (NSW)Change

Race 6 — Ballina RSL (Bm58) 1250m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Ballina for the Ballina Rsl (Bm58) over 1250m on a Soft7 track with fine weather overhead. The punters have sized up this Benchmark 58 affair nicely, installing Bellarata at the head of the win market order. Chasing closely in the early betting are Maurraqa and Toroness, with Vetoed and Calvary rounding out the main fancies for what shapes as an intriguing afternoon yarn on the NSW circuit.

Taking a closer look at the form behind the shorter prices, market leader Bellarata brings solid credentials from a recent third at Ipswich over 1100m in Benchmark 60 grade, where the mare put in a long run from the back. That followed a class win at Lismore over 1210m on soft ground, suggesting Andrew Mallyon can steer her into the thick of it for trainer M J Dunn. Meanwhile, Toroness sits right there in the market conversation after flying home to score at Lismore first-up over 1120m on a Soft7 surface. Trained by Billy Healey and ridden by William Galloway from barrier 4, that fast-finishing effort marks Toroness as a genuine threat despite a heavy track query hanging over the campaign.

Further down the race profile, speed groups point to Maurraqa and Calvary pushing forward to dictate terms from their leader mapping lanes, while Toroness and Bellarata look to stalk from the midfield. For punters digging deeper into the form, Vetoed brings a backmarker map profile for D W Dwane and Zac Wadick, looking to bounce back after a fifth at Lismore over 1320m in similar grade. With a tricky Soft7 surface to navigate and tactics playing a crucial role, it is all set up for a cracking contest.

Race notes

  • BM58,BM58 HCP,Benchmark 58
  • SOFT7
  • Fine
  • 5 runners

Shortest win price

Bellarata (3)

2.40

Most career wins

Toroness and Vetoed

4 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 11Vetoed

Midfield

  • 3Bellarata
  • 1Toroness

Leader

  • 2Maurraqa
  • 7Calvary
  • Toroness · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Maurraqa · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 10% better than Career Avg.

  • Bellarata · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 12%

  • Calvary · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 77%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1ToronessJ: William Galloway·T: Billy Healey461.5kg2 7 2 4 122: 4-4-2$6.00$2.45

Career

22: 4-4-2

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Beaudesert

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ipswich

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1120m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    9: 0-2-1

  • Going Good

    16: 2-3-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 2-1-1

Last starts

  1. 1Lismore1120m18 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT7-0.84
  2. 4Deagon1050m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.8L
  3. 2Sunshine Coast Poly Track850m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.3L
  4. 7Toowoomba1300m23 May 2026 · BM60 · GOOD48.5L
  5. 2Toowoomba1200m2 May 2026 · BM60 · SOFT50.36L
  6. 4Beaudesert1400m25 Apr 2026 · CL4 · HEAVY84.2L
  7. 9Ipswich1200m6 Apr 2026 · CL4 · GOOD42.7L
  8. 5Sunshine Coast Poly Track850m31 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)5.1L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 38% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

Comments

AAP

Off midfield when flew home to score at Lismore first up. Soft tick, heavy query. Sterner test awaits but retains plenty of appeal.

ILB

Finished with purpose when winning last time at Lismore. Will relish the track conditions with 2 wins from 5 attempts on a rain affected track. Should go close.

RP

Got home in front by less than a length over 5½f at Lismore (handicap) last month; chance.

RSIS

Rocketed home when winning last start at Lismore. Proven performer on soft ground. William Galloway takes a large claim. Should go close.

2MaurraqaJ: Ashley Butler·T: M J Dunn160.5kg5 9 2 5 104: 1-0-0$3.30$1.50

Career

4: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Macquarie

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballina

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1305m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Port Macquarie1200m9 Oct 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD48.36L
  2. 5Beaudesert1050m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.2L
  3. 2Lismore1010m10 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.1L
  4. 9Eagle Farm1300m2 May 2026 · 3Y-QLTY HCP · HEAVY83.2L
  5. 5Gold Coast1200m18 Apr 2026 · CL2 · SOFT55.3L
  6. 5Gold Coast1000m27 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.7L
  7. 6Grafton940m15 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.9L
  8. 1Ballina1305m14 Nov 2025 · CTRY MDN · HEAVY8-3.7

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 10% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 12%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 24%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Port Macquarie after lengthy absence. Building fitness. Won only other time at Ballina. Worth another look.

ILB

Odds of $4.20 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last run at Port Macquarie. Giving another chance here and can save some energy from the draw. Highly respected.

RP

Not had much racing - fifth outing here; has won here; first-time blinkers no help when last of ten (Port Macquarie) last month; definitely of interest with a bit more luck as excuses last time (checked) and has proved he knows how to win.

RSIS

At 10/3 didn't attack the line when 10th last time at Port Macquarie. Looking past the last run and drawn the rails. Should jump out and bowl along. Can put away most of these.

3BellarataJ: Andrew Mallyon·T: M J Dunn360kg5 2 6 1 38: 2-1-2$2.40$1.32

Career

8: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Grafton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Lismore

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1210m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 3Ipswich1100m15 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 60 · GOOD41.41L
  2. 1Lismore1210m25 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SOFT5-0.36
  3. 6Grafton1200m7 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD42.1L
  4. 2Murwillumbah1200m21 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51.2L
  5. 5Deagon1050m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2L
  6. 4Grafton956m24 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)3.5L
  7. 7Nowra1400m22 Feb 2026 · BM66 · SOFT55.5L
  8. 1Nowra1400m8 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY9-1.3

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 12%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Put in a long run from the back at Ipswich. Right in this.

ILB

Improved to place when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Ipswich. Tracking very well this campaign. One of the punters top hopes.

RP

Turned in a solid effort in defeat 18 days ago, when third at Ipswich over 5½f (handicap); can have a big say.

RSIS

Did well to run 3rd last time at Ipswich. Showing positive results since resuming from a break. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

4ClubhouseScratched3––––

Career

38: 3-7-6

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Lismore

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast Poly

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    6: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1410m

    2: 0-2-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    19: 1-4-1

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 4Lismore1320m18 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT73.15L
  2. 2Sunshine Coast1300m2 Oct 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD41.21L
  3. 9Ipswich1350m27 Aug 2026 · C · SOFT53.5L
  4. 6Ipswich1350m7 Aug 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD43.25L
  5. 5Ipswich1350m16 July 2026 · CG&E 0 - 58 · GOOD43.3L
  6. 3Ballina1590m21 June 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY1015L
  7. 3Ipswich1350m4 June 2026 · 0 - 58 · SOFT50.5L
  8. 2Ipswich1350m4 May 2026 · 0 - 58 · SOFT51.9L

Insights

  • Long Prep

    Negative

    Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

Fair performance without threatening in choppy conditions at Lismore at $6. Shapes as a rough place prospect.

ILB

Started $6.00 and hit the line well when 4th last run at Lismore.

RP

Track has proven suitable before; form has been a bit up and down of late; not beaten that far in fourth (just over 3l) over 6½f at Lismore (handicap) finished just ahead of Stoinka last month; a few rivals look in good form so looks opposable.

RSIS

At 5/1 picked up some late ground when 4th last time at Lismore.

5ExcessorScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed20%

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Competitive in Restricted 58 12 Sep. On pace but folded up quickly at Gold Coast. Among the dangers back at country level.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Was $7.50 and average performance when 8th last run at Gold Coast.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. At 13/2 moderate showing when 8th last time at Gold Coast.

6InquisitorScratched2––––

Career

20: 2-5-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast Poly

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Armidale

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1300m

    4: 0-2-0

  • Going Good

    13: 1-3-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Sunshine Coast1200m16 Oct 2026 · 0 - 58 · HEAVY103.35L
  2. 4Sunshine Coast1300m2 Oct 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD42.85L
  3. 8Beaudesert1100m17 Sept 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD35.4L
  4. 10Sunshine Coast1200m6 Sept 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD48L
  5. 10Gold Coast1300m21 Mar 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD47.1L
  6. 10Grafton1410m19 Feb 2026 · BM58 · GOOD45.6L
  7. 2Toowoomba1300m7 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.2L
  8. 9Murwillumbah1550m1 Feb 2026 · BM58 · GOOD36.1L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 11%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    2 time winner here at Ballina

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Battled home okay in choppy conditions at Sunshine Coast. Void of early speed and needs the breaks to fall his way. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Jumped at $8.50 and chased well when 4th last time at Sunshine Coast and drawn nicely.

RP

Yet to taste defeat at this track, winning on two visits; finished fourth but wasn't beaten too far (3½l) at Sunshine Coast two weeks ago; meeting some horses in good form and easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Was 15/2 and ran on into 4th last run at Sunshine Coast and gets a favourable stall.

7CalvaryJ: Adin Thompson·T: Ms M Brosnan257.5kg1 4 7 5 129: 3-4-4$7.50$2.90

Career

29: 3-4-4

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Coffs Harbour

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballina

    5: 0-0-2

  • Track CurrentTrack

    5: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    8: 1-1-2

Last starts

  1. 1Kilcoy1200m6 Oct 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD4-1.62
  2. 5Gold Coast1200m26 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD45.31L
  3. 7Beaudesert1100m17 Sept 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD34.52L
  4. 4Beaudesert1400m21 Aug 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD42.5L
  5. 1Kilcoy1200m10 Aug 2026 · 0 - 55 · SOFT6-0.6
  6. 3Gatton1100m30 July 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD44.2L
  7. 4Coffs Harbour1405m28 June 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY1012.6L
  8. 7Ballina1590m21 June 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY106.3L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 77%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 27 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Strong win from just off the leaders at Kilcoy. Goes into wider exotics.

ILB

Was eating up the ground late when winning last run at Kilcoy and has a good draw. Displays good tactical speed. Showing improvement in recent outings. Watch the betting.

RP

Scored by 1½l (Kilcoy) last month; despite that Kilcoy success, has questions to answer.

RSIS

Charged home to win last start at Kilcoy and has a positive draw. Adin Thompson usually performs well for the Maryann Brosnan stable. Likely to be well placed early.

8Gold PumaScratched5––––

Career

17: 1-4-4

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Casino

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballina

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1181m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1320m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    6: 1-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 0-2-2

Last starts

  1. 3Lismore1320m18 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT75.58L
  2. 2Grafton1420m21 Sept 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD40.85L
  3. 10Lismore1310m10 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT57.4L
  4. 6Grafton1181m29 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51.9L
  5. 13Grafton1100m19 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT58.4L
  6. 5Casino1010m25 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)4.9L
  7. 4Murwillumbah1550m12 Dec 2025 · BM58 HCP · GOOD45.7L
  8. 3Ballina1415m25 Nov 2025 · BM66 · GOOD41L

Insights

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 59% in L100 rides

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

Comments

AAP

Outgunned but did enough for third at $5.50 at Lismore. Not fancied.

ILB

Solid effort to run into 3rd last run at Lismore.

RP

Been a while since she managed only win; comfortably beaten finishing third (6l) at Lismore over 6½f (handicap) when ahead of a couple of these last month.

RSIS

Nice run when placing 3rd beaten by just over 5 1/2L last run at Lismore.

9GlamScratched6––––

Career

11: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Grafton

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Lismore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1115m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1190m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1320m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Lismore1320m18 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT76.13L
  2. 7Gold Coast1200m3 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD37.12L
  3. 9Grafton1015m21 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD48.21L
  4. 2Beaudesert900m27 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.9L
  5. 9Grafton1115m16 May 2026 · BM50 · HEAVY103.7L
  6. 1Ballina1260m11 Apr 2026 · CL1 · SOFT5-0.7
  7. 6Ballina1250m23 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY106.2L
  8. 6Grafton1190m5 Mar 2026 · CL1 · GOOD44L

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On pace but found little at the business end at Lismore. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Started at $14.00 and peaked on the run when 4th last start at Lismore.

RP

Has won at this track; split a number of these rivals at Lismore over 6½f (handicap) when beaten 6l last month; shown she can get her head in front so one to consider.

RSIS

Odds of 13/1 and started to tire late when 4th last start at Lismore.

10StoinkaScratched1––––

Career

53: 5-4-8

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballina

    5: 1-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    5: 1-0-1

  • Track Gold Coast

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    6: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1015m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    12: 2-1-0

  • Going Firm

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    18: 2-0-3

  • Going Heavy

    6: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Lismore1320m18 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT74.47L
  2. 10Lismore1310m25 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT58.8L
  3. 4Lismore1310m10 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT54L
  4. 9Murwillumbah1100m21 Aug 2026 · BM58 HCP · SOFT55.3L
  5. 7Casino1000m8 Aug 2026 · BM58 · GOOD45.4L
  6. 6Grafton1200m24 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD32.7L
  7. 8Gold Coast1000m11 July 2026 · BM65 · GOOD44.9L
  8. 11Grafton1205m6 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT67.8L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 32% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Luke Rolls 50% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Luke Rolls in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 50%

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Long winless run. On pace but found little at the business end at Lismore. Has early speed. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Came in 5th last run at Lismore but drawn the rails. Yet to fire this campaign with no placings from 11 runs.

RP

Has won at this course; not disgraced when fifth over 6½f at Lismore (handicap) last month; this is competitive and others appeal more.

RSIS

Came in 5th last run at Lismore but can save some energy from the stall. Struggling recently.

11VetoedJ: Zac Wadick·T: D W Dwane556kg8 4 5 7 536: 4-7-2$5.50$2.35

Career

36: 4-7-2

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-3-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballina

    12: 2-4-0

  • Track Doomben

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murwillumbah

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    4: 1-2-0

  • Distance 1320m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1420m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    14: 0-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    7: 2-2-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 2-3-0

Last starts

  1. 5Lismore1320m18 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT76.63L
  2. 7Lismore1310m25 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT53.47L
  3. 5Grafton1200m7 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD42.1L
  4. 4Ballina1250m11 Aug 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY102L
  5. 8Grafton1400m15 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD45.3L
  6. 1Ballina1250m21 June 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY10-2.1
  7. 5Coffs Harbour1205m8 May 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY105.3L
  8. 5Murwillumbah1550m12 Dec 2025 · BM58 HCP · GOOD46.4L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Never got into the race in rain affected going at Lismore but hard fit, can make her presence felt in this line-up with even breaks.

ILB

Started $3.80 and improved late to finish 5th last run at Lismore. Might take a while to wind up but should be hitting top gear in the straight. Watch betting.

RP

Has scored over C&D; hasn't really fired since her success in a handicap at Ballina in June; split a number of these rivals at Lismore over 6½f (handicap) when beaten 7l (fifth of nine) two weeks ago; makes limited appeal with this looking like a hot contest.

RSIS

Started 11/4 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last run at Lismore. Has a great burst of pace late. Could be in the mix.

12RephraseScratched8––––

Career

21: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Grafton

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Lismore

    5: 0-0-0

  • Track Casino

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1005m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    6: 1-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    5: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Lismore1320m18 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT77.85L
  2. 3Ballina1250m4 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD31.99L
  3. 11Grafton1420m21 Sept 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD48.67L
  4. 8Grafton1181m29 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53.8L
  5. 8Grafton1005m7 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD47.9L
  6. 4Ballina1000m23 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(10)8L
  7. 6Lismore1310m10 Nov 2025 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT73.1L
  8. 8Lismore1526m19 Oct 2025 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD45.9L

Insights

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

Comments

AAP

Long winning drought and was never in the call at Lismore. Lacks early speed and needs the breaks to fall her way. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Mediocre display when 6th last start at Lismore.

RP

Was sixth of nine, beaten 8l, over 6½f at Lismore (handicap), finishing behind three of these rivals last month; is passed over as this could be a hot race.

RSIS

Ordinary performance when 6th last run at Lismore.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 4 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races