Shortest win price
Do It For You (2)
2.25
Welcome to Ballina for the Cnw Ballina Benchmark 82 over 1300m, run on a Soft 7 track with fine weather overhead. The betting boards have sorted the race with Do It For You sitting at the head of the win market, closely followed by Pareto, Swifties, and Tonneofgrit, while Barello and Silent Call round out the order as we get set for a fascinating tactical battle at 3:40 pm AEDT.
Looking at the form behind those shorter prices, the top-elect Do It For You comes in from barrier four for trainers Stephen & Jordan Lee with Siabh Rigley aboard, looking to bounce back after being safely held in sloppy conditions at Eagle Farm over this distance, though crucially ticking the track and distance win box. Meanwhile, Pareto starts from barrier six with Danny Peisley steering for D A McColm, bringing a proven wet track record and a win at their only other start here at Ballina following an even effort at the Gold Coast.
Further down the line, Swifties is worth a mention from barrier five for M J Dunn and Andrew Mallyon, having gone to the line tamely in rain-affected going at the Gold Coast last time out but holding soft-track credentials that suggest they can hit back. In the early speed department, Silent Call is marked as the leader from barrier two, while Do It For You and Pareto look to settle on-pace, setting up a proper test for the punters trying to unravel the yarn.
Shortest win price
Do It For You (2)
2.25
Most career wins
Do It For You
7-2-1 from 33 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Tonneofgrit · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Do It For You · Negative
Tricky Map
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Pareto · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 79%
Swifties · Negative
Trainer SR
Matthew Dunn striking at just 12%
Career
41: 5-8-6
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
7: 0-0-0
Second-up
6: 1-2-0
Third-up
5: 1-1-2
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Moonee Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
4: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
4: 0-1-2
Distance 1350m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
18: 3-3-3
Going Heavy
4: 0-2-1
Going Soft
15: 3-3-3
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 35% Profit on Turnover
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Great run at Toowoomba 26 Sep then went home just tamely at Doomben at $19. Major player here despite big impost.
ILB
Was $19.00 and picked up some ground to run 5th last run at Doomben. Shows good finishing speed. Large claim helps. Expect support.
RP
Can be a player at this level; finished fifth but wasn't beaten too far (4l) at Doomben over 6f (handicap) two weeks ago; should not be far away as pick of form offers some encouragement and had excuses last time (crowded).
RSIS
Odds of 18/1 and advanced late into 5th last start at Doomben. Has very good finishing pace. William Galloway takes a large claim. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.
Career
33: 7-2-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 2-0-0
Second-up
5: 3-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
6: 0-0-1
Track Lismore
9: 3-1-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1410m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1590m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
13: 3-0-0
Going Heavy
7: 2-1-0
Going Soft
13: 2-1-1
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 5kg more than LS
AAP
Safely held in sloppy conditions at Eagle Farm over this distance but ticks the track and distance win box and can bounce back in this.
ILB
Odds of $7.50 and ran 6th last time at Eagle Farm. Should improve. Will be positive in the run early. The large claim from Siabh Rigley helps. Should give plenty of sight.
RP
Beaten 7l in sixth (Eagle Farm) back down to this trip last month; boasts winning form over C&D.
RSIS
Started 13/2 and finished 6th last start at Eagle Farm. Likely to bounce back. Shows good early pace. The large claim from Siabh Rigley should help. Will go close here.
Career
21: 4-5-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 2-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-2
Third-up
2: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Ballina
1: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
4: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
5: 0-2-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
8: 2-2-0
Going Heavy
5: 2-1-0
Going Soft
9: 2-2-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 79%
Key Jockey
Positive
Danny Peisley winning at 3% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kept on evenly at Gold Coast. Proven record wet/track. Winner at only other start at Ballina. Could spring a surprise.
ILB
Started $6.00 and came in 4th last start at Gold Coast. Should improve from the last run. Good to see Danny Peisley is jumping on. Should go very close.
RP
Has winning form at this track; can be a player at this level; fair effort when beaten 4l, finishing fourth of 11 over 6f at Gold Coast (handicap) two weeks ago; must go on the shortlist if finding his best form.
RSIS
Odds of 5/1 and ran 4th last run at Gold Coast. Can show a better performance this time. Danny Peisley is a plus. Winning potential.
Career
13: 4-0-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 2-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 3-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Matthew Dunn striking at just 12%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely in rain affected going at Gold Coast. Soft proven, heavy unknown. Can hit back hard here.
ILB
Started $8.50 and came in 6th last start at Gold Coast. Has the talent to rebound quickly. Prefers the sting out of the track. Could go close.
RP
Successful four times from 13 career runs; not beaten that far when close behind Pareto at Gold Coast over 6f (handicap) last month; every chance.
RSIS
Odds of 15/2 and came in 6th last run at Gold Coast. Should improve here. 3 wins from 6 starts have been on soft going.
Career
14: 3-3-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 2-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-1
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 2-2-2
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 10% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 24%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 27%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 33 days
AAP
4 weeks since last run. No threat as a $151 chance in (Bm78) at Doomben. Leads, handy but lift needed.
ILB
Jumped at $151.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last time at Doomben but gets a favourable barrier. Should be going forward early. Will be a difficult test.
RP
Proven that he knows how to get his head in front (seeking a fourth career win); finished last of nine upped to this distance at Doomben 33 days ago; latest efforts leave a lot to be desired so has questions to answer.
RSIS
Odds of 150/1 and weakened to finish 9th last start at Doomben but has a positive draw. Likely to be well placed early.
Career
22: 4-2-3
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
4: 2-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1318m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1115m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 3-1-2
Going Soft
9: 1-1-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
4 weeks since last run. Narrowly beaten in the small field this venue over this trip. Fits well against this opposition.
ILB
Was agonizingly close last run at this track and has drawn the rails. Has very good finishing speed. Competing at a higher grade. Significant value and can go close.
RP
Has been consistent of late; beaten narrowly last month.
RSIS
Close up last run at this track and drawn nicely. Might take a while to wind up but should be hitting top gear in the straight.
Career
30: 3-5-6
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-0
Track Grafton
4: 0-0-0
Track Murwillumbah
2: 1-0-0
Track Dalby
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1640m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
18: 3-3-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-2-2
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 7kg from LS run
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Ran on okay without troubling this venue. Leads, handy. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Odds of $4.20 and was well beaten when 7th last start at the track and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Will benefit with the weight drop.
RP
Respectable effort when seventh over 1m here (handicap) 29 days ago; passed over as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
At 10/3 gave away some ground when 7th last run at this track and back in trip. Carrying less weight this time. Competing at a higher grade.