Shortest win price
Trooper (4)
2.75
Corowa hosts a Benchmark 66 handicap over the mile on a soft track with rain falling, jumping at 3:20 pm. The win market opens with Trooper as the clear leader, followed by Jugiong, Marine Girl, and Before The War. All four carry form credentials, though this is a tricky field on the quick back-up from strong efforts at their last starts.
Trooper rates the standout proposition here. The four-year-old won at Moruya last campaign and trialled over at Canberra before today's return from a 21-week break. Trainer Natalie Jarvis and jockey Damon Budler are out-performing market expectations by 63 per cent, a combo firing on all cylinders. Trooper carries the high rating (100 IRD) and maps to lead from barrier three, which suits a natural pace-setter. The question is whether those legs have sharpened sufficiently over the break. Jugiong sits next in the betting despite a 13-week spell but has run well fresh before—the mare won at track and distance previously and shapes as a genuine first-up contender. Pierre Boudvillain takes the ride, though Sylvia Thompson's strike rate sits at just five per cent, worth noting. Before The War is the value angle. Resuming after 23 weeks, the gelding won at Wagga in soft ground last time and has been primed with a Wangaratta trial. Alice Kennedy replaces the rider from that win, a negative swap, yet the form line suggests solid preparation. The fast-finishing sectionals at Wagga hint at something cooked.
Marine Girl deserves respect off the map. Drawn in two and positioned onpace, the filly ran respectable fourths at Bathurst and Cootamundra in recent BM66 starts on good tracks—the transition to soft might suit better. Pretty Panther is one to respect late if the pace genuinely runs, though the debut win is a slender form reference. The rails barrier, a long lead-up, and conditions on the turn of the term make this a race for horses ready to fire off the back of their trials.
Shortest win price
Trooper (4)
2.75
Most career wins
Before The War
6-5-5 from 27 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Before The War · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jugiong · Negative
Trainer SR
Sylvia Thompson striking at just 5%
Zemgrinda · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 42% better than Career Avg.
Trooper · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 8% in Last 100 Rides
Career
27: 6-5-5
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Wodonga
3: 1-0-0
Track Echuca
5: 1-3-1
Track Narrandera
1: 0-1-0
Distance 975m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1009m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1065m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 2-2-2
Going Good
16: 4-3-3
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 84%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 67% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 18%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Resuming (23-weeks). Form solid last time in. In the minors at Wangaratta first-up last campaign while prepared for return with a Wangaratta trial. Harder now but sure to have supporters.
ILB
Back from a break. Ran on hard when winning last run at Wagga but carrying more weight than last time. Highly unlikely it will trouble the judge.
RP
Career record shows his ability to win (wins-runs record of 6-27); won by just under 2l over 6f at Wagga Riverside (handicap) in May; returns from a layoff here; others have more pressing claims despite that win last time.
RSIS
Back after a break. Dashed home to win last time at Wagga but goes up in weight. Ran 2nd in a trial at Sportsbet-wangaratta on Oct 7th.
Career
14: 3-2-2
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 2-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-1-0
Track Bendigo
5: 1-1-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
4: 1-1-0
Going Good
7: 2-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-1-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Sylvia Thompson striking at just 5%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 18%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 3 when resuming
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (13-weeks). Has run well fresh. Winner at track and distance. Key contender fresh in this company.
ILB
First up and reeled them in to win first up last preparation at this venue. Should get going late. Competing in a lower grade. Coming back in distance. Capable of winning this.
RP
A C&D winner; respectable effort (beaten 2l) over 7f at Sandown (handicap) three months ago; this line-up contains some strong opposition so he can be taken on.
RSIS
Resuming and ran home strongly to win resuming last preparation at the track. Always seems to find the line well. Dropping in grade. Dropping back to a shorter trip. Good potential.
Career
28: 5-4-3
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 1-2-0
Second-up
3: 2-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Seymour
2: 0-0-1
Track Stawell
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1125m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1130m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1170m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
18: 4-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
7: 1-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 42% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Cory Parish 57% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 62% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Cory Parish in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 57%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 43%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
AAP
Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Hamilton off extended spell. Fitter second-up. Among the dangers.
ILB
Was $101.00 and appeared lacklustre when 8th last start at Hamilton and has to cope with a weight increase. Need a lot of luck to be close to winning this.
RP
Not beaten too far when eighth at Hamilton over 5½f (handicap) 23 days ago; this is competitive and may be vulnerable.
RSIS
Was 100/1 and mediocre attempt when 8th last run at Hamilton and has more weight to carry.
Career
12: 3-1-1
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Bathurst
1: 1-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1440m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 2-0-1
Going Soft
6: 1-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 8% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 63%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (21-weeks). Placed at Geelong first-up last campaign while cruising through a winning trial at Canberra. On pacer.
ILB
First up and applied plenty of pressure when 3rd first up last preparation at Geelong. Damon Budler is in form for this stable. Should muster plenty of early speed. Definite claims for punters.
RP
Disappointed when sixth of 11 over 6f at Sapphire Coast (handicap) in June; record shows he knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 3-12); returns from a break today; likely to be in contention despite defeat last time as he was successful two runs ago.
RSIS
Resuming and gave a strong sight when 3rd resuming last preparation at Geelong. Jockey Damon Budler and trainer Natalie Jarvis can't be overlooked. Likely to be well placed early. Capable type.
Career
21: 3-4-6
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-2
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-2
Track Moe
2: 0-1-1
Track Narrandera
2: 0-0-1
Track Gundagai
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1114m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 3-2-4
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
7: 0-1-2
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4.5kg now
AAP
Responded strongly to score in small field at Balranald for new trainer. Repeat would surprise.
ILB
Bold effort to win by 2L last time at Balranald. Shows good early pace. Very capable of taking this out.
RP
First success for some time when in front by just over 2l at Balranald on her debut for this trainer last month.
RSIS
Handy enough when winning by 2L last time at Balranald. Won't be far away during the run. Great chance.
Career
26: 4-3-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Benalla
2: 1-0-0
Track Seymour
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1429m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 0-0-0
Distance 1065m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
21: 3-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-2-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 21% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Debbie Delphin striking at just 6%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Battled home okay at Wagga over this trip. Can make his presence felt with even breaks.
ILB
Started at $10.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last run at Wagga. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Rough hope.
RP
This is his grade; not beaten that far at Wagga last month; likely to be involved.
RSIS
At 9/1 tailed off to finish 6th last run at Wagga. Should jump out and bowl along.
Career
1: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 118%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 41%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 52% Profit on Turnover
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Showed speed and knuckled down with purpose in rain affected going to score at Tatura on debut at wide odds. Has claims for a repeat.
ILB
Let up. Rounded them up when winning last run at Tatura and having second career run. Expecting to settle positively. Up against a more competitive field. Hard to see it being good enough.
RP
Caused a surprise when landing a maiden over this trip first time out at Tatura at 66-1 two months ago; every chance.
RSIS
Freshened up. Finished with purpose when winning last time at Tatura and having second career run. Should muster plenty of early toe. Stepping up to a higher level.
Career
13: 2-1-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
2: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (24-weeks). Drawn to get an economic trail. Could give some cheek at odds fresh in this affair.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. Started $11.00 and struggled with the pace when 8th last time at Albury but drawn the rails. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Prefer others.
RP
Held in eighth at Albury over 7½f (handicap) six months ago; returns from a break here; a few rivals look in good form so hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
First run back. Was 10/1 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last run at Albury but will appreciate a good stall. Should come to hand quickly.
Career
16: 3-1-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 1-1-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Track Cootamundra
1: 0-0-0
Track Corowa
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1250m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 2-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 1-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
AAP
Didn't quite finish it off the last bit in Benchmark 66 company at Bathurst. Drawn favourably. Commands attention here.
ILB
Started $11.00 and ran 4th last time at Bathurst. Has the talent to rebound quickly and drawn nicely. Coriah Keatings is a plus. Should come to hand quickly. Well respected contender.
RP
Slumped a bit since winning a handicap at Queanbeyan in February; not disgraced when fourth over 5½f at Bathurst (handicap) two weeks ago; others appeal more as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
At 10/1 ran 4th last time at Bathurst. Capable of a strong comeback and can find a nice position from the draw. Coriah Keatings is a key engagement. Will go close.