Shortest win price
Brass Monkeys (1)
3.00
Welcome to Goulburn for the Aureum Finance Hcp (Class 1) over 1200m on a good four surface with fine weather overhead. The local yarn points us toward a fascinating betting landscape, where the win market sees Jimmy's Ready heading up calculations from Brass Monkeys and Nefradite sitting right alongside Hillbily Kynection. Punters looking to dissect this race have plenty to chew on as the field prepares for battle at 4:58 pm AEDT.
Looking deeper into the form behind those shorter prices, Jimmy's Ready for trainer J M Cleary returns here following an effort at Nowra over 1200m where he got back and wasn't totally disgraced off a spell. With Nick Heywood booked, the step up second-up suggests he can play a key role if the breaks go his way. Meanwhile, Brass Monkeys switches to the Anita Walder stable and arrives off a game effort at Bombala over 1100m. Holding a win over this exact distance previously, Emma Ly takes the reins with solid recent riding metrics, and the partnership commands respect in this grade.
For those hunting value further down the line, Kathleen's Prayer starts from barrier two as the speed map leader under Rebecca Bronett Prag for trainer N F Gardner, boasting a hot jockey and trainer combination that outperforms market expectations. On the flip side, Nefradite maps midfield for G P Vella but has battled mixed fortunes on soft going here previously, though a return to a firmer track might spark improvement. Punters weighing up the speed groups will note that Brass Monkeys and Helen's Crown are expected to punch forward early, setting up a proper test over the 1200m trip.
Shortest win price
Brass Monkeys (1)
3.00
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Brass Monkeys · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 43% better than Career Avg.
Jimmy's Ready · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Kathleen's Prayer · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%
Nefradite · Negative
Maps Poorly
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%
Career
13: 1-2-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gundagai
3: 0-0-1
Track Bathurst
2: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-2-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 43% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Anita Walder striking at just 5%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Emma Ly 43% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 47%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Emma Ly in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 43%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 18%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
AAP
Game effort at Bombala for new stable. Only win to date was this distance. Has some claims.
ILB
Right up there last run at Bombala and dropping weight. Strong winning hope.
RP
Went down by a neck over 5½f at Bombala (handicap) on debut outing for new trainer last month; if he is able to build on his most recent effort then prospects.
RSIS
Competed in a tight contest last run at Bombala and gets a reduction in weight. This race suits.
Career
7: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
3: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1080m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 24%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Nowra off spell. Will be fitter second-up. Key player if he gets the breaks.
ILB
Started $8.00 and finished 7th last start at Nowra. Finishes off strongly. Slim chance.
RP
Far from disgraced (beaten 3l, Nowra) last month; needs considering if replicating the best of his form.
RSIS
At 7/1 finished 7th last run at Nowra. Expected to be flashing home.
Career
2: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 1-0-0
Track Gundagai
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (19-weeks). Good debut at Nowra 15 Jun. Had a quiet trial at Canberra. Will be in mix.
ILB
First up after 19 weeks and finished with purpose when winning first up last preparation at Nowra on a heavy surface. Winning potential.
RP
Not disgraced when seventh over 5½f at Gundagai (handicap) in June; just her third outing so still early days; returns from a break today; this only her second start in handicap company; big player if replicating the best of her form.
RSIS
Resuming and ran over the top of them when winning resuming last preparation at Nowra on a heavy rated track. Ran 6th in a trial at Canberra on Oct 23rd. Expected to be competitive.
Career
12: 1-3-1
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 1-0-0
Track Canberra
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-0-1
Going Good
9: 0-3-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 32 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Unable to make an impression in soft going this venue. Usually gets back. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Didn't threaten when 6th last run around here. Keep safe.
RP
Last of six over 7f here (handicap) last month; has struggled to factor since winning a maiden at Sapphire Coast last December; she can be taken on; also engaged in race 6 at Goulburn.
RSIS
Didn't attack the line when 6th last start at the track. Keep safe.
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Leader
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 52%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
AAP
Backing up quickly. Just missed at Bombala 17 Oct. Found enough to place in small field at Mansfield over today's trip. Chance.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Tidy run when 3rd last start at Mansfield and will appreciate a good draw. Has run into the money 3 from 3 attempts this preparation.
RSIS
On a short back up. Claimed a spot in the placings when 3rd last run at Mansfield and gets a favourable stall. In the placings at every start of late.
Career
4: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
2: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-0
Track Orange
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1080m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Ordinary performance in small field at Queanbeyan over this trip. Needs a form spike.
ILB
Jumped at $17.00 and struggled with the pace when 7th last start at Queanbeyan. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Few miles on the clock with this her fifth race; finished last of seven at Queanbeyan last month; is of interest as shown she can win fairly recently.
RSIS
Started at 16/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last run at Queanbeyan. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
23: 1-2-3
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Forbes
1: 1-0-0
Track Narrandera
1: 0-0-0
Track Leeton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 0-0-1
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 1-0-1
Going Good
9: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-1
Going Soft
9: 1-1-1
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Dropped out to last and never sighted at Canberra second-up. Others more persuasive.
ILB
At $71.00 tailed off to finish 10th last run at Canberra but has a good draw. Has to have a lot go its way.
RP
Last of ten (Canberra) last month; form lately has been a mixed bag and only once has she got into the winners' enclosure; others more persuasive.
RSIS
Started 70/1 and weakened to finish 10th last time at Canberra but can find a nice position from the draw.
Career
22: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Armidale
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Kempsey
3: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 1-0-1
Distance 1100m
6: 0-1-1
Going Good
12: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
6: 1-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 33 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Winless since 31 May 2025. Failed to threaten at Muswellbrook as an outsider. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Was $81.00 and gave away some ground when 8th last start at Muswellbrook. Prefer in something a lot easier.
RP
Finished last of eight over 5f at Muswellbrook (handicap) last month; you have to go back a fair way to find her only win; passed over.
RSIS
Odds of 80/1 and tailed off to finish 8th last time at Muswellbrook.
Career
28: 1-2-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 1-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-2-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 42% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 60% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 9kg from LS run
AAP
Last success was 5 May 2025. Finished it off only fairly at Harden. Coming back in distance. Back from picnics.
ILB
Odds of $17.00 and had difficulty when 5th last run at Harden. Should race on the speed. Unlikely to go close.
RP
Managed just one success in his career to date; respectable fifth over 7f at Harden (handicap) last month.
RSIS
Started at 16/1 and not up to standard when 5th last run at Harden. Expecting to settle positively.
Career
18: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
2: 0-0-0
Track Berrigan
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1065m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
5: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 1%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 59%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Long winning drought. Last at turn, ran on late at Yarra Glen. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Was $71.00 and moved ahead of some to finish 5th last start at Yarra Valley. Needs a mighty effort to win this.
RP
Creditable effort (went off 66-1) to finish fifth over 5f at Yarra Glen (handicap) two weeks ago; achieved just the one win.
RSIS
Started at 70/1 and outpaced some runners late when 5th last start at Yarra Vstall.