Shortest win price
Scartoon (9)
4.00
Welcome to Ipswich for our evening dash over the lightning-fast 800m scamper on a Good 3 track under fine skies, scheduled for 6:08 pm AEDT. The win market lines up with Scartoon holding top billing, closely followed by Belle Affair, Igotmymindonyou, and Hello Punters shaping as the main fancies in early discussions. It is a sharp Class 3 handicap where early speed usually tells the tale, and punters are zeroing in on a handful of interesting form lines to sort out the jigsaw puzzle.
Scartoon catches the eye at the head of calculations for the A & T Sweeney yard, bringing a recent runner-up effort at Toowoomba over 870m where it pressed forward and stuck on bravely, complemented by a solid placing at Gatton prior. Belle Affair represents David Murphy and resumes here after a thirty-six-week break, having put together an honest campaign last time in that featured a first-up win at the Sunshine Coast and consistent efforts thereafter from a handy barrier. Meanwhile, Igotmymindonyou comes out of the Nick Keal stable with plenty of early toe, boasting back-to-back victories at Gatton and Toowoomba that suggest this sharp circuit will suit its racing style nicely.
Looking a bit further down the speed map, the early pace looks like it will be driven aggressively by the likes of Scartoon and Igotmymindonyou from their respective low and mid draws, while Mishani Devine looms as a potential backmarker trying to flash home late after recording the fastest finishing sectionals last start. While the jockey and trainer combinations present a mixed bag of stats across the field, the early burn over this 800m trip will provide plenty of theatre for the punters before they sort out the placings.
Shortest win price
Scartoon (9)
4.00
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Sea Admiral · Negative
Trainer SR
Jackson Morris striking at just 4%
Hidden Nugget · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Igotmymindonyou · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 267%
Belle Affair · Negative
Jockey Booking
Georgina Cartwright current POT is 39% below Career Avg.
Career
10: 3-0-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 2-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 2-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Jackson Morris striking at just 4%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Ordinary performance in small field in rain affected going at Eagle Farm for new trainer. Switching to 800m.
ILB
Started at $10.00 and didn't attack the line when 5th last start at Eagle Farm and back to a shorter trip. Will have to carry more weight. Could feature here.
RP
Beaten 6l in fifth at Eagle Farm over 5f (handicap) on debut for this trainer last month; has managed three wins from ten career runs; a likely player.
RSIS
Started 9/1 and didn't threaten when 5th last time at Eagle Farm and will be dropping in distance. Has to carry more weight this time. Watch betting.
Career
11: 3-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
3: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
2: 1-0-0
Track Dalby
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1015m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 2-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Kayla Barker 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 34 days
AAP
Freshened. Unable to make an impression at Sunshine Coast.
ILB
Faded away to finish 6th last run at Sunshine Coast. Can show a better performance this time but down in distance. The large claim from Kayla Barker should help. Should put in a decent effort.
RP
Beaten just over 5l when sixth of seven at Sunshine Coast last month in a conditions race; unbeaten over this C&D after two runs; in with a big shout despite defeats on last two starts as he scored three runs back.
RSIS
Weakened to finish 6th last start at Sunshine Coast. Likely to bounce back but dropping in distance. The large claim from Kayla Barker helps. Solid chance.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
AAP
Mid-division, well held by winner but good through line at Gatton at $2.60.
ILB
Flashed home late into 3rd beaten by just short of 2 1/2L last start at Gatton but taking on stronger rivals. Very competitive this campaign.
RSIS
Strong effort when placing 3rd last time at Gatton but competing in a higher grade.
Career
18: 3-4-1
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Toowoomba
5: 2-2-0
Track Gatton
2: 1-0-0
Track Dalby
1: 0-0-1
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 860m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 870m
3: 2-0-0
Going Good
15: 1-4-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 267%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
All honours in the small field at Toowoomba.
ILB
Ran on hard when winning last run at Toowoomba on a heavy rated track. Made it 2 wins in succession. Jockey Kyle Wilson Taylor usually performs well for this stable. Peak required to upset this field.
RP
Out to complete a hat-trick; won by just over 1l over 4½f at Toowoomba (handicap) two weeks ago; despite that Toowoomba success, easy to oppose.
RSIS
Charged home to win last time at Toowoomba. Won last 2 in succession. Has shown early pace in races to date.
Career
9: 2-1-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 2-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
8: 2-1-1
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
8: 2-1-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 2-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Georgina Cartwright current POT is 39% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -39%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 54% in L100 rides
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 3 when resuming
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
AAP
Resuming (36-weeks). Form honest through last campaign. Won first-up at Sunshine Coast last campaign and backed it up with consistent efforts through the prep. Gets the gun run.
ILB
First up after 36 weeks and ran over the top of them when winning first up last preparation at Sunshine Coast. Has a positive draw. Back to a shorter distance. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Finished fourth in February albeit only beaten just under 3l (Sunshine Coast) over 5f (handicap); string of consistent efforts of late but achieved each of her two career wins at Sunshine Coast; returns from a layoff; a few rivals look in good form so not one to rely on.
RSIS
Resuming and rounded them up to win resuming last preparation at Sunshine Coast. Will try to take advantage of the stall. Back to a shorter trip. Betting is the best guide.
Career
10: 1-3-2
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilcoy
1: 0-1-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
5: 1-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 800m
4: 0-2-1
Going Good
8: 1-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -50% POT in their L100 Races
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (21-weeks). Broke his maiden over 1000m at Gold Coast last campaign. Latest trial was pipe-opener.
ILB
Back from a break. Jumped at $31.00 and looked outclassed when 10th last run at Gold Coast but drawn well. Coming back in distance. Gets some weight relief. Looks hopeful.
RP
Finished last of ten at Gold Coast over 5f (handicap) in June; returns from an absence here; meeting some horses in good form and has questions to answer.
RSIS
First run back today. Started at 30/1 and gave away some ground when 10th last start at Gold Coast but has minimal work to do from the draw.
Career
24: 3-4-2
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
2: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Inverell
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 850m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 2-3-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-1-1
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fresh. Great run at Thangool 12 Sep. Led and fought on bravely for second at Gatton. Can lead or take a sit.
ILB
Close to claiming the win last start at Gatton but competing in a more challenging class. Amongst the placegetters at every start this preparation. Do not dismiss entirely.
RP
Finished in front of Scartoon and Igotmymindonyou over 4½f at Gatton (handicap) last month when not beaten far; form has been up and down of late; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so others make more appeal.
RSIS
Close up last time at Gatton but racing against tougher rivals. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts of late.
Career
15: 3-2-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-1
Third-up
2: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Rockhampton
3: 1-1-1
Track Toowoomba
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1050m
5: 1-1-1
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 800m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 2-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-2-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (18-weeks).
ILB
Back from a break. At $41.00 mediocre display when 8th last start at Kilcoy and competing in a higher grade. Goes down in weight. Prefer others.
RP
Finished last of eight dropped back in distance at Kilcoy four months ago; returns from a layoff; facing a testing assignment and not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Was 40/1 and performed below standard when 8th last start at Kilcoy and rising in grade. Dropping weight.
Career
9: 1-3-1
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-2-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-1-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 860m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 870m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Pressed on early and stuck on well at Toowoomba. Usually prominent.
ILB
Maintained a solid pace but eventually weakened to finish 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Toowoomba. Likely to be well placed early. Definite contender.
RP
Behind Igotmymindonyou over 4½f at Toowoomba (handicap) last month when a respectable second; admirably consistent; recent display was promising so must be considered.
RSIS
Ran out of steam towards the end when 2nd last run at Toowoomba on a heavy track. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Good prospects.
Career
3: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 1-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 860m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 870m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 15% better than Career Avg.
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (22-weeks).
ILB
First up after a break. Got the upper hand late when winning by a long neck last time at Gatton and promising career start. Challenged by more formidable competitors. Strong claims.
RP
Off the mark at the third time of asking when winning by a neck at Gatton five months ago in a maiden; returning from a layoff here; the stable is going well; enters calculations.
RSIS
Fresh today after a break. Was fighting out the finish when winning last start at Gatton and promising career start. Getting better in recent performances. Up in grade. Genuine claims.
Career
9: 1-1-4
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
3: 0-0-2
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-2
Track Gatton
2: 0-1-0
Distance 860m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-3
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Anthony Allen 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Anthony Allen in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 24%
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 484 day break (> 300 days)
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming after a (69-weeks) spell. Ex Donna Stanbridge. Trained here now. Latest trial work was solid.
ILB
First up and displayed good finishing speed when 2nd first up last preparation at Gatton. First start for a new trainer but coming back in trip. Will need to find a new peak.
RP
This is her level; last of nine over 5½f here (handicap) last July; not seen for some time now; first start for stable.
RSIS
Resuming and came on strongly to finish 2nd resuming last preparation at Gatton. Change in trainer but coming back in distance. Success in a trial at Deagon on Oct 30th.
Career
34: 4-4-6
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
7: 0-2-1
Second-up
6: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Bowraville
1: 0-0-1
Track Wellington
2: 0-0-0
Track Bourke
1: 1-0-0
Distance 800m
6: 2-0-1
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 1-3-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 1-0-2
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 39 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 9kg from LS run
AAP
5 weeks since last run. Ex Connie Greig. Trained here now. Got the wobbles late after leading at Dubbo second-up. Leads, handy.
ILB
Odds of $9.50 and lost momentum when 4th last time at Dubbo and suited by the weight drop. Racing for a new trainer and has a good draw.
RP
She meets the required standard ability wise; far from disgraced (beaten just over 2l) in a conditions race (Dubbo) five weeks ago; first start for new trainer.
RSIS
Odds of 17/2 and got tired late when 4th last start at Dubbo and suited by the weight drop. First start for a new trainer and gets a favourable stall.
Career
17: 1-3-4
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-1
Track Stony Creek
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1115m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 860m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-3-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 27% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Now 5 weeks between runs. Accounted for rivals smartly at Gatton.
ILB
Charged home to win last time at Gatton but matched against a stronger field.
RP
Has found improvement of late; landed a narrow success in a maiden (Gatton) last month to get off the mark.
RSIS
Stormed home to win last start at Gatton but stepping up to a higher level.
Career
20: 2-1-1
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Dalby
2: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
1: 0-0-0
Track Glen Innes
1: 0-0-0
Distance 860m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 870m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1070m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1
Going Good
15: 2-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 83%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 83%
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (34-weeks). Latest trial was solid enough.
ILB
First up after a break of 34 weeks. Mediocre performance when 9th last time at Warwick and racing in stronger company.
RP
Finished just behind I Am A Winner when ninth at Warwick in March; returns from a layoff.
RSIS
First run back after a break of 34 weeks. Below standard effort when 9th last time at Warwick and up against a higher level of opposition.