Ipswich (QLD) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 1:59 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ipswich (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 5 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Thu, 5 NovIpswich (QLD)Change

Race 3 — TAB Hcp (C1) 1350m · jumps Thu 5 Nov, 3:47 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Ipswich for the Tab Hcp Class 1 over 1350m on a Good 4 track under fine skies. Punters looking at the win market see Astern Effort sitting right at the head of affairs, followed closely by Star Of Paris, Kadesky, Bent Bridge, and Ablesheeba rounding out the early betting order for this intriguing afternoon test set to jump at 3:47 pm AEDT.

Taking a closer look at the form for our market principals, Astern Effort brings a solid profile for R G Lipp with Angela Jones in the saddle from barrier 5, having broken his maiden at Doomben before a reasonable fourth in heavy ground at Eagle Farm. Star Of Paris is another catching the eye from barrier 2 for Desleigh Forster and Daniel Moor, coming off a gritty maiden win over this exact track and distance where she let down with a raking drive in the final bounds. Meanwhile, Kadesky for C J Waller and Ben E Thompson drops back from a handy third over 1666m here last month and maps to get every chance from the inside alley.

Digging deeper into the yarn, Bent Bridge handles the leader role for Beau Gorman from barrier 4, though his heavy track run at Eagle Farm last time out suggests he might prefer things a fraction easier, while James Healy's Ablesheeba sits in the offmidfield lane with a hot trainer and jockey combination behind him. With speed runners like Bent Bridge likely to dictate terms early and backmarkers like Kadesky wanting them to roll along, this 1350m scamper shapes up as a proper tactical puzzle for punters looking to land a winner.

Race notes

CL1,CL1 HCP,Class 1
GOOD4
Fine
5 runners

Shortest win price

Astern Effort (1)

2.25

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

7Star Of Paris
9Ablesheeba

Midfield

1Astern Effort

Offpace

2Kadesky

Leader

4Bent Bridge

Astern Effort · Negative
Early Sectionals
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Kadesky · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Bent Bridge · Negative
Jockey Booking
Georgina Cartwright current POT is 39% below Career Avg.
Star Of Paris · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Astern EffortJ: Angela Jones·T: R G Lipp559kg4 1 1 1 414: 1-4-3$2.25$1.26

Career

14: 1-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Eagle Farm
6: 0-1-1
Track Doomben
5: 1-2-1
Track Ipswich
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-3-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0

Last starts

4Eagle Farm1300m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 65 · HEAVY101.7L
1Doomben1200m5 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.85
1Toowoomba925m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)-1.9
1Toowoomba925m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-7.9
4Warwick800m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L
3Eagle Farm1400m8 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · GOOD43.4L
2Doomben1350m11 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT60.6L
3Ipswich1350m12 Feb 2026 · MDN · GOOD40.9L

Insights

Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Broke maiden at Doomben 5 Oct. Reasonable effort without seriously threatening in the slosh at Eagle Farm. Sharper now, commands attention here.

ILB

Jumped at $3.90 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last start at Eagle Farm on a heavy surface and competing in a less challenging grade. Has the ratings to win this.

Not beaten too far (1½l) at Eagle Farm two weeks ago; signs of improvement on last two runs and he can be competitive at this level.

RSIS

Started 3/1 and overtook some late when 4th last run at Eagle Farm and lining up against easier rivals. Strong claims.

2KadeskyJ: Ben E Thompson·T: C J Waller158kg4 4 3 3 311: 1-0-4$4.20$1.80

Career

11: 1-0-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
3: 0-0-2
Going Good
8: 1-0-4
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Ipswich1666m8 Oct 2026 · 3&4Y BM65 · GOOD40.78L
3Ipswich1350m9 Sept 2026 · 0 - 65 · GOOD41.8L
3Ipswich1350m19 Aug 2026 · CG&E CL1 · GOOD40.8L
4Doomben1000m28 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)9L
4Gold Coast1000m14 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.8L
5Eagle Farm1600m6 May 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53.49L
5Doomben1350m22 Apr 2026 · CG&E CL1 · GOOD43.91L
1Eagle Farm1400m8 Apr 2026 · MDN SW · GOOD4-0.5

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Form reads well for this. Placed Hcp (65) at Ipswich 9 Sep. Solid finish from the tail this course over longer test.

ILB

Finished amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by 3/4L last time at this venue and drawn the rails. Has not missed the placings this preparation in 3 attempts. Value runner at good odds.

Normally pretty consistent; third last month, only beaten three-quarters of a length, upped to 1m½f; his best form stacks up so one to take seriously.

RSIS

Hit the line well when 3rd beaten by 3/4L last time here and has the ideal stall. In the placings at every start lately but coming back in distance. Worthy of strong consideration.

3Star Of AscotScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Insights

Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

Comments

AAP

Won in dominant fashion at Toowoomba. Good draw. Key contender.

ILB

Assumed control from the start to win by 1 1/4L last time at Toowoomba and showing improvement in recent outings. Going well this preparation.

RSIS

Controlled the pace to win by 1 1/4L last start at Toowoomba and showing improvement in recent outings. Performing impressively of late.

4Bent BridgeJ: Georgina Cartwright·T: Beau Gorman456.5kg3 5 2 3 716: 1-4-3$9.00$3.20

Career

16: 1-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-2-0
Track Ipswich
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-2-0
Distance 1015m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
11: 1-3-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Eagle Farm1300m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 65 · HEAVY106.96L
3Eagle Farm1200m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.29L
2Doomben1110m30 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.95L
5Eagle Farm1200m19 Sept 2026 · 3&4Y BM70 · GOOD44.11L
3Toowoomba1015m5 Sept 2026 · 3 & 4Y HCP · GOOD42.7L
3Beaudesert1100m21 Aug 2026 · 3&4Y BM60 · GOOD42.1L
5Warwick1500m10 Mar 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD47.5L
1Ipswich1350m26 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD4-0.2

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Georgina Cartwright current POT is 39% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 54% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On pace but folded up quickly at Eagle Farm. Trained on track but has a tricky draw. Form sound this level without winning. Outside place prospect at best.

ILB

Was $18.00 and weakened under pressure when 7th last start at Eagle Farm on a heavy surface. Looking past the last run and facing less formidable opponents. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

In good form prior to backwards step last time out; can boast winning form over this C&D; could not manage better than seventh at Eagle Farm (behind Astern Effort) 12 days ago; passed over as has a lot on his plate here.

RSIS

Was 17/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last time at Eagle Farm. Should improve here and facing a weaker group of contenders. Should jump out and bowl along. Expecting a strong showing.

5TulongScratched1––––

Career

20: 1-4-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
4: 0-1-2
Track Doomben
3: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
5: 0-2-0
Going Good
15: 1-4-4
Going Soft
5: 0-0-1

Last starts

2Ipswich1350m8 Oct 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD41.33L
5Doomben1640m16 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD46.35L
4Gold Coast1800m5 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.7L
3Ipswich1680m19 Aug 2026 · CL2 · GOOD45.22L
10Ipswich1666m7 Aug 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD43.9L
8Ipswich1350m24 July 2026 · CG&E CL1 · SOFT54.2L
6Ipswich1350m3 July 2026 · CL1 · GOOD43.1L
3Deagon1050m9 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)6.3L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Handily placed and gave his all this course over this trip under sustained support. Gets the gun run. One for exotics.

ILB

Caught the eye when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last run at this venue and has minimal work to do from the draw.

On the premises when runner-up of 11 four weeks ago; subpar record of 1-20; record suggests he is usually one to take on for win purposes so may be vulnerable.

RSIS

Good performance to run into 2nd last time at this venue and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.

6BrumalScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 13% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Tahlia Fenlon 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Tahlia Fenlon in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 27%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Ipswich
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Courageous effort in the (Bm62) this track second-up. Others with more appeal.

ILB

On a quick back up. Ordinary performance when 13th last run at Sunshine Coast.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Well beaten when 13th last start at Sunshine Coast.

7Star Of ParisJ: Daniel Moor·T: Desleigh Forster256kg2 3 5 4 15: 1-2-1$2.90$1.36

Career

5: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
4: 1-1-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

1Ipswich1350m8 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.42
4Beaudesert1100m17 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD30.83L
5Doomben1000m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.8L
3Beaumont1000m28 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial3.6L
2Newcastle1300m27 Nov 2024 · Maiden · GOOD40.63L
3Hawkesbury1300m12 Nov 2024 · Maiden · GOOD40.74L
2Newcastle1200m19 Oct 2024 · Maiden · SOFT50.06L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 83%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Daniel Moor winning at 8% POT in last 100 rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Third run now in new stable/region. Let down with a raking drive to get up in final bounds this track when second-up. Warrants attention.

ILB

Romped home to win last start at the track and has a good draw. Putting a tidy record together so far. Strong chance.

Has found improvement of late and has not had much racing; narrow success in a maiden when opening her account at the fifth time of asking upped to this trip last month; the trainer has enjoyed plenty of winners of late; should be involved.

RSIS

Finished hard to win last time at this venue and has a good draw. Good career start. Has to be in the finish.

8Encrypted FeelingScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Started $4.40 when safely held in Restricted 55 company at Gatton off spell. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Started $4.40 and struggled with the pace when 8th last time at Gatton but goes down in weight.

RSIS

Started 10/3 and struggled with the pace when 8th last run at Gatton but dropping weight.

9AblesheebaJ: Tiffani Brooker·T: J W Healy354.5kg3 8 3 1 410: 1-0-3$23.00$4.80

Career

10: 1-0-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-1
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 1-0-1

Last starts

4Sunshine Coast Poly Track850m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.5L
1Rockhampton1600m11 July 2026 · MDN · SOFT5-0.9
3Beaudesert1400m26 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT74.4L
8Ipswich1710m4 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT58.39L
3Ipswich1690m21 May 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY92.1L
3Sunshine Coast Poly Track1400m1 May 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC1.3L
4Sunshine Coast1400m19 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.4L
7Doomben1200m1 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT55.8L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 90%
Hot Trainer
Positive
James Healy in good form, out performing market 36%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (16-weeks). Broke his maiden over 1600m at Rockhampton last campaign. Fair recent tune-up at the trials. Finally got the monkey off his back winning at Rockhampton.

ILB

Back from a break. Finished with purpose when winning last time at Rockhampton and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Gets some weight relief. Pass at this stage.

Landed a narrow success in a handicap four months ago at Rockhampton to get off the mark; seems to be improving based on last two runs; should figure.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Flew home to win last start at Rockhampton and form has been improving over recent runs. Gets some weight relief.

Odds correct as at Thu 5 Nov, 3:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Thu 22 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
Thu 15 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Thu 8 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Wed 9 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Wed 2 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races