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Ipswich (QLD) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ipswich (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 5 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Thu, 5 NovIpswich (QLD)Change

Race 2 — Barrier Reef Pools Hcp (C5) 1200m · jumps

Race notes

  • CL5,CL5 HCP,Class 5
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 7 runners

Shortest win price

Irama (3)

3.70

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 2Estrondo

Offpace

  • 3Irama
  • 5Blakemore Avenue
  • 7Capital Heart

Onpace

  • 6Greyzous
  • 4Yoshino

Leader

  • 1Alpha Bravo
  • Alpha Bravo · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Chelsea Baker current POT is 39% below Career Avg.

  • Estrondo · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Robert Heathcote striking at just 8%

  • Irama · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides

  • Yoshino · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Alpha BravoJ: Chelsea Baker·T: D J Bougoure360kg3 1 2 3 223: 5-5-3$6.00$2.65

Career

23: 5-5-3

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 2-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 2-0-0

  • Track Doomben

    9: 1-3-1

  • Track Gold Coast

    5: 0-1-2

  • Track Ipswich

    4: 3-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1015m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    11: 4-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-3-2

Last starts

  1. 2Gold Coast1000m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.4L
  2. 3Gold Coast1200m13 June 2026 · CL5 · HEAVY84.9L
  3. 2Doomben1200m27 May 2026 · BM78 · HEAVY80.5L
  4. 1Ipswich1100m13 May 2026 · 3&4Y BM68 · SOFT6-0.6
  5. 3Beaudesert1050m8 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.3L
  6. 1Doomben1200m18 Mar 2026 · 3&4Y BM70 · GOOD4-1.1
  7. 9Doomben1200m21 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.1L
  8. 4Doomben1110m7 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Chelsea Baker current POT is 39% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 41%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 50% in L100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

  • 1st Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 2 from 4 when resuming

Comments

AAP

Resuming (20-weeks). Solid last campaign including multiple wins. Strong first-up performer while showing enough in recent trials. Big show fresh in this affair.

ILB

Goes well first up. Worked hard to place 3rd beaten by just short of 5L last time at Gold Coast. Chelsea Baker is a suitable booking. Hard to warm to.

RP

Three wins from four runs here; out of the frame (beaten just under 5l in third) at Gold Coast five months ago; returns from an absence here; easy to see him making an impression as he has won after a similar break before.

RSIS

Has multiple wins when resuming. Faded at the finish when 3rd beaten by close to 5L last time at Gold Coast. Chelsea Baker rates highly.

2EstrondoJ: Michael Rodd·T: R L Heathcote559.5kg4 3 5 8 430: 4-4-2$4.20$2.05

Career

30: 4-4-2

Rating · IRD

97

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    4: 2-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    6: 3-1-1

  • Track Toowoomba

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1110m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    16: 2-3-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 1-1-2

Last starts

  1. 4Doomben1200m17 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 78 · GOOD44.04L
  2. 8Toowoomba1200m26 Sept 2026 · BM80 · GOOD43.84L
  3. 5Sunshine Coast1000m6 Sept 2026 · CL4 · GOOD44.8L
  4. 3Doomben1000m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.6L
  5. 4Doomben1000m11 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6.5L
  6. 6Eagle Farm1200m25 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 78 · HEAVY84.7L
  7. 5Doomben1110m11 Apr 2026 · BM80 · GOOD41.9L
  8. 2Doomben1200m28 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 78 · GOOD40.7L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Robert Heathcote striking at just 8%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 62%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 4%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Trimmed margin late at Doomben over this journey. Usually gets back. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Crept into 4th last time at Doomben and competing at a lower grade. Has a great burst of speed late. Strong prospects in this race.

RP

Fair effort when beaten 4l, finishing fourth of 11 (Doomben) last month; useful in this grade.

RSIS

Edged past some when finishing 4th last time at Doomben and will appreciate the drop in grade. Expected to be flashing home. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

3IramaJ: Ben E Thompson·T: Nick Keal757.5kg8 2 1 3 1025: 5-6-4$3.70$1.90

Career

25: 5-6-4

Rating · IRD

95

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Doomben

    5: 0-1-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Mackay

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    4: 1-2-1

  • Distance 1400m

    6: 1-2-1

  • Going Good

    18: 3-5-3

  • Going Soft

    7: 2-1-1

Last starts

  1. 10Doomben1200m17 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 78 · GOOD413.73L
  2. 3Toowoomba1300m26 Sept 2026 · BM72 · GOOD41.22L
  3. 1Toowoomba1200m12 Sept 2026 · BM70 · GOOD4-2
  4. 2Toowoomba1300m29 Aug 2026 · BM75 · GOOD40.9L
  5. 8Eagle Farm1400m8 Aug 2026 · NMW · GOOD43.6L
  6. 1Toowoomba1200m25 July 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.8
  7. 4Toowoomba925m23 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.5L
  8. 7Toowoomba1625m9 May 2026 · BM65 · GOOD43.4L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Solid run (Bm72) at Toowoomba 26 Sep. No threat as a $19 chance in E&G (Bm78) at Doomben. Placed only other run at Ipswich. Commands attention here.

ILB

Started $19.00 and tailed off to finish 10th last time at Doomben. Has the ability to turn things around and suited at this distance in the past. Expecting a strong showing.

RP

Beaten tenth of 11 (Doomben, behind Estrondo) last month; this is competitive and there are better alternatives here.

RSIS

Odds of 18/1 and struggled with the pace when 10th last time at Doomben. Looking past the last run and strong performer at this distance. Racing consistently in recent runs. Commands respect.

4YoshinoJ: Mark Du Plessis·T: G Heinrich & B Rodgers157kg8 7 6 4 432: 5-2-5$18.00$5.00

Career

32: 5-2-5

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 1-0-3

  • Second-up

    6: 2-1-0

  • Third-up

    6: 2-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Rosehill

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    10: 2-0-0

  • Going Good

    17: 1-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    11: 3-1-1

Last starts

  1. 4Gold Coast Poly1150m7 Oct 2026 · BM70 · SYNTHETIC9.78L
  2. 4Doomben1000m22 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.6L
  3. 6Gold Coast1400m13 June 2026 · HCP · HEAVY88L
  4. 7Gold Coast1400m22 May 2026 · BM78 · SOFT63.4L
  5. 8Gold Coast1400m9 May 2026 · BM78 · GOOD45L
  6. 7Gold Coast1400m18 Apr 2026 · HCP · SOFT56.1L
  7. 3Doomben1350m1 Apr 2026 · CL5 · SOFT51.4L
  8. 1Gold Coast1400m7 Mar 2026 · CL4 · SOFT5-0.3

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 37% Profit on Turnover

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh since resuming. Safely held but not totally disgraced (wide draw) at Gold Coast Poly as an outsider. Back on turf. One for exotics.

ILB

Came in 4th last start at Gold Coast Poly but has a nice advantage with a good draw. Carrying less weight this time. Hard to see it being competitive today.

RP

Beaten fourth of ten (Gold Coast, dropped back to this trip) last month; can be in the thick of things as shown some signs of promise and recent run should have blown away any cobwebs.

RSIS

Finished 4th last start at Gold Coast Poly but can save some energy from the stall. Will appreciate the drop in weight.

5Blakemore AvenueJ: Tiffani Brooker·T: J W Healy256kg1 4 9 6 316: 5-1-1$7.00$3.00

Career

16: 5-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Beaudesert

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Doomben

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    9: 3-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 2-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Sunshine Coast1000m9 Oct 2026 · BM68 · GOOD42.16L
  2. 6Eagle Farm1000m5 Sept 2026 · CL6 · SOFT55L
  3. 9Doomben1200m22 Aug 2026 · NMW · GOOD46.1L
  4. 4Eagle Farm1200m25 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 78 · HEAVY81.2L
  5. 1Sunshine Coast1200m12 Apr 2026 · BM70 · SOFT5-2.5
  6. 1Eagle Farm1200m25 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 65 · GOOD4-0.1
  7. 1Sunshine Coast1100m13 Mar 2026 · CL2 · HEAVY10-4
  8. 2Gold Coast1000m28 Feb 2026 · 0 - 60 · HEAVY80.2L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 90%

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Gave a good sight making the frame at Sunshine Coast. Good gate helps. Rates highly.

ILB

Managed to run into 3rd last time at Sunshine Coast and gets a favourable draw. Jockey Tiffani Brooker has a high strike rate on board and dropping weight. Capable of winning this.

RP

Proven that she knows how to get her head in front (seeking a sixth career win); went down by just over 2l when third over 5f at Sunshine Coast (handicap) last month; strong claims.

RSIS

Ran on when 3rd last time at Sunshine Coast and will try to take advantage of the draw. Tiffani Brooker has a high strike rate on board. Strong prospects.

6GreyzousJ: Kyle Wilson-Taylor·T: A J Edmonds655.5kg–$3.80$1.95

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Top Stable

    Positive

    Toby Edmonds performing 20% above market expectation

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Outgunned but did enough for third at $3.70 at Gold Coast when second-up. Has early speed. Could pop up at fair odds.

ILB

Was quite a handful for the competition when 3rd last run at Gold Coast. Good chance and definitely has claims.

RP

Solid third at Gold Coast last month.

RSIS

Gave a strong sight when 3rd beaten by nearly 4L last run at Gold Coast. Can measure up against these.

7Capital HeartJ: Tahlia Fenlon·T: Chris & Corey Munce454.5kg1 5 6 5 633: 5-5-4$10.00$3.70

Career

33: 5-5-4

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 3-0-0

  • Second-up

    6: 0-3-0

  • Third-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Gold Coast

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1425m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    22: 4-3-4

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Eagle Farm1200m21 Oct 2026 · BM68 · SOFT74.14L
  2. 5Sunshine Coast1000m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL5-SW · GOOD44.39L
  3. 6Doomben1000m22 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.5L
  4. 5Gold Coast1200m22 May 2026 · BM68 · SOFT64.2L
  5. 1Doomben1200m22 Apr 2026 · BM68 · GOOD4-0.2
  6. 2Sunshine Coast1200m12 Apr 2026 · BM70 · SOFT52.5L
  7. 1Ipswich1100m26 Mar 2026 · CL2 · GOOD4-1.5
  8. 8Moruya1435m16 Sept 2025 · BM82 · GOOD45.6L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 51%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 12% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Tahlia Fenlon winning at 12% POT in last 100 rides

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Comfortably beaten in rain affected going at Eagle Farm when second-up. Won only other time at Ipswich. Sharper now, rough exotics hope.

ILB

Jumped at $26.00 and basic showing when 6th last time at Eagle Farm but gets some weight taken off. Needs significant improvement.

RP

Finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (just over 4l, Eagle Farm) last month; has won here before; facing a testing assignment and looks an unlikely winner.

RSIS

Started 25/1 and had difficulty when 6th last run at Eagle Farm but gets some weight relief.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Thu 22 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
  • Thu 15 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Thu 8 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Wed 9 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
  • Wed 2 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races