Shortest win price
Commedia (5)
4.00
Welcome to Moree for the McGowan Ac & Electrical & Geoff Peachey Mdn Plate over the sharp 950m sprint trip. The track is rated a Soft 7 under fine skies, setting up an intriguing battle for the early speed. Looking at the win market order, punters have zeroed in on Points For Effort as the early elect, closely followed by Commedia, Tease The Breeze, and Tous rounding out the leading fancies in the betting yarn.
The market leaders bring some fascinating form lines to this track. Points For Effort resumes here for Troy Pascoe after a let-up, coming off a brave third at Ballarat Synthetic where the winner packed too many punches, though sectionals suggest this galloper goes hard early. Meanwhile, Commedia maps as a leader and showed plenty of fight when finishing third in a Country Boosted Maiden at Port Macquarie for trainer T G Payne, with Ashley Butler taking the reins. Tous is another catching the eye further down the market for Sally Torrens, having improved sharply last start with a sound third at Tamworth over 1000m.
There are plenty of intriguing angles deeper into the field for punters looking for value. S I Singleton sends out debutant Tease The Breeze from barrier 5, a runner backed by a stable operating with a profitable 26 percent profit on turnover across their last 100 runners, with trial form hinting at recent progress. With speed maps suggesting plenty of early pressure from leaders like Commedia and Not So Wrong, this 950m dash should provide a cracking contest for punters looking to kick off the card on a winning note.
Shortest win price
Commedia (5)
4.00
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Leader
Long Live · Negative
Trainer SR
Kieren Hazelton striking at just 7%
Not So Wrong · Negative
Trainer SR
Holly Williams striking at just 7%
Points For Effort · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Commedia · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.
Career
8: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Armidale
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 56%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 31% in L100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (30-weeks). Sparingly raced 5yo with just the one Walcha placing to his credit. Steps out for third run new stable/region. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
First up from a break of 30 weeks and placed 2nd first up last preparation at Walcha. Should race on the speed. Gets a favourable barrier.
RP
Seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice; behind Not So Wrong in a handicap at Armidale when beaten 16l in March; returns from a break today; this is competitive and not one to rely on.
RSIS
Resuming and looked good when 2nd resuming last preparation at Walcha. Displays good tactical pace. Will appreciate a good stall.
Career
8: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Quirindi
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Kieren Hazelton striking at just 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4kg weight here
AAP
Ex J C Deamer in NSW. In the minor spoils but still well held at Newcastle. Big show with even luck.
ILB
Nice effort to run into 3rd beaten by over 5L last start at Newcastle but bit of extra work to do with more weight. First appearance for a new trainer. Definite claims for punters.
RP
Came home third, beaten 5l, three weeks ago at Newcastle in a handicap; signs of improvement on last two runs; first start for new stable; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Made considerable ground when 3rd last run at Newcastle but has to cope with a weight increase. First start for a new trainer. Will not be far away.
Career
11: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Bathurst
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Holly Williams striking at just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -53%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 38%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (15-weeks). Can mix form but in well with claim and draw and placed only other time this track and distance. Check markets.
ILB
Back after a spell. Jumped at $7.50 and tailed off to finish 7th last start at Quirindi. Shows good early pace. Large claim helps. Entitled to be big odds.
RP
Finished just behind Long Live when seventh at Quirindi in July; appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs but has lacked consistency of late; meeting some horses in good form and not easy to fancy.
RSIS
Racing fresh today after a break. At 13/2 gave away some ground when 7th last time at Quirindi. Should be going forward early. Large claim helps.
Career
9: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
3: 0-1-1
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 0-2-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
3: 0-1-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (82-days). Ex Anthony Chibnall in Victoria. Winner packed too many punches but he kept on bravely at Ballarat Synthetic. Sound claims fresh in this affair.
ILB
Fresh after a break. Finished with intent when 3rd beaten by 3L last start Ballarat Synthetic. Tongue tie go off for the first time. Coming to a new trainer. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Shown recent signs of improvement; went down by 3l when third at Ballarat three months ago; starts out for new trainer.
RSIS
Resumes from a break. Good effort to finish 3rd last time Ballarat Synthetic. Should muster plenty of early pace. Change in trainer. Tongue strap go off for the first time. Betting is the best guide.
Career
10: 0-3-1
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
2: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1014m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1015m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
7: 0-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Ashley Butler 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Ashley Butler winning at 22% POT in last 100 rides
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Made all, no answer to winner but showed some fight in the Country Boosted Mdn at Port Macquarie for new trainer. Fitter second-up and a key contender if she gets the breaks.
ILB
Claimed late when 3rd last time at Port Macquarie. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Should go close.
RP
Wasn't disgraced when third of 12 at Port Macquarie three weeks ago on debut for this trainer; best form so far in last two starts.
RSIS
Was outmuscled when 3rd last run at Port Macquarie. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Strong prospects in this race.
Career
15: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
2: 0-0-0
Track Coonabarabran
1: 0-0-1
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a quick back-up. Dictated speed, boxed away at Coonabarabran for new trainer. Not as well drawn this time but can make her presence felt with even breaks.
ILB
On a quick back up. Good result placing 3rd last start at Coonabarabran.
RP
Ran a solid race finishing third on Sunday at Coonabarabran on debut for this trainer; signs of improvement on last two runs but winless after 15 races.
RSIS
On a short back up. Although peaking on the run still placed 3rd last start at Coonabarabran.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
3: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (56-days). Ex M S Minervini in NSW. Form doesn't leap off the page and failed to threaten at Wyong second-up but this easiest test to date. Check betting.
ILB
Back from a freshen up. Started $21.00 and gave away some ground when 5th last run at Wyong and will be down in distance. Change in trainer. Will need a big effort to win this.
RP
Missed the frame (beaten 7l into fifth) at Wyong 56 days ago upped to 6½f; not had much racing - fifth outing here; first start for new stable; definitely of interest.
RSIS
Back from a freshen up. Was 20/1 and didn't find the line when 5th last run at Wyong and will be facing a significant drop in distance.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 9% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 169%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Second campaign (19-weeks). Unremarkable debut performance at Tamworth at longer odds 15 Jun. Tuned up by recent trial but clearly needs to improve and would need a strong betting push.
ILB
First up after a break. Started $21.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last start at Tamworth but was on debut last time. Needs significant improvement.
RP
Didn't offer much on her debut at Tamworth at 20-1 in June; returns from a layoff here; has to be taken seriously.
RSIS
Fresh today. Was 20/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last run at Tamworth but was on debut last time. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned.
Career
4: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 138%
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
AAP
Form to date sound. Pressed on early and stuck on well at longer odds at Tamworth. Profiles well.
ILB
Ran out of steam towards the end when 3rd last time at Tamworth. Could be in the mix.
RP
Respectable effort finishing third (beaten half a length) at Tamworth on debut for new trainer two weeks ago; lightly raced (running for just the fifth time).
RSIS
Claimed late when 3rd last time at Tamworth. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warren
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 63%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Returns for second campaign (14-weeks). Ex David J Smith in NSW. Found the debut assignment beyond him at Warren as an outsider 21 Jul. Experience gained. Could show more here.
ILB
Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Odds of $41.00 and unsatisfactory performance when 9th last time at Warren but fitter for debut run. Couldn't have in this.
RP
Held on her debut at Warren at 40-1 three months ago; representing new trainer today; capable of making an impact.
RSIS
Back after a break. Started 40/1 and below par performance when 9th last run at Warren but was a debutant last start. Racing for a new trainer.
Rating · IRD
20
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-0). Hasn't set the world on fire in two trial outings. May need more experience but monitor market moves.
ILB
Career debut 3yo by Love Conquers All for Paddy Cunningham. Follow the money.
RSIS
Debutant 3yo by Love Conquers All for Paddy Cunningham.
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Firststart
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 36%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 37 days
On Debut
Positive
First race start
AAP
Trials (3:0-0-0). Dam won twice. Trial form was modest but latest hinted at progress. In astute hands and creates interest on debut.
ILB
3yo by Flying Artie having first start for Scott Singleton. Yet to place in all barrier trials. Watch betting.
RP
The only newcomer; sire gets his share of decent sorts; trainer has a healthy record with newcomers; strong claims as some good aspects to her profile and the stable is hot at the moment.
RSIS
Scott Singleton trained 3yo by Flying Artie having first race appearance. Finished 4th in a trial at Muswellbrook on Apr 22nd. Market as guide.