Shortest win price
Post Mark (12)
2.05
Welcome to Moree for the David Marshall Plumbing Mdn Plate over 1400m on a Soft 5 track with fine weather overhead. Looking at how the win market has shaped up, Post Mark sits at the very top of the order, closely followed by Dekka's Latest, Hard Shell, and Silver Dream rounding out the early fancies in this maiden contest.
Taking a closer look at the form lines behind those shorter prices, Post Mark comes in from the S I Singleton stable after running a solid second on debut over 1280m at Muswellbrook where they ran on nicely for the minors and took plenty of race experience away. Dekka's Latest from the D J Hatch yard is another one building fitness, coming off a third at Muswellbrook where they recorded the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start. Meanwhile, Silver Dream drops back to a suitable class for trainer Lou Mary after finishing down the track at Tamworth.
Punters hunting further down the order might look at runners like Gunna Wannabe drawing barrier 5 for the A & T Sweeney combination with a hot jockey-trainer combo boasting solid market expectations. With Hidden Detail maped as the lone leader from barrier 1 and speed runners like Freeman Fury and Zouman up on the pace, this 1400m test sets up as an intriguing tactical battle where race fitness and barrier manners will tell the ultimate yarn.
Shortest win price
Post Mark (12)
2.05
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Firststart
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Akuma · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 21% lower than Career Avg.
Dekka's Latest · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Freeman Fury · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.
Hard Shell · Negative
Needs To Imp
Finished towards the tail last start
Career
17: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-0
Track Moree
2: 0-1-0
Track Tamworth
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
7: 0-1-0
Going Good
12: 0-1-1
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 21% lower than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 40% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 5kg now
AAP
Well back and made some minor headway but passing mainly tired rivals at Coonamble. Placed this track and trip earlier this prep. Keep safe.
ILB
Jumped at $71.00 and advanced late into 5th last time at Coonamble. Trying to win after 17 runs. The large claim from Anna Weatherlake helps. Entitled to be a big price.
RP
Still searching for his first win after 17 attempts; held in fifth (Coonamble) 19 days ago in a handicap; this looks a fair heat so may be vulnerable.
RSIS
Started 70/1 and edged past some when finishing 5th last time at Coonamble. Yet to break maiden status after 17 runs. Anna Weatherlake takes a large claim.
Career
4: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-1
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 136%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Still learning his craft. Relinquished lead but did enough to place in the Country Boosted Mdn at Muswellbrook. Better for the outing.
ILB
Was competitive when 3rd last start at Muswellbrook. Will be motoring home late. Definite winning chance.
RP
Close up behind Post Mark when third over 6½f at Muswellbrook (maiden) last week.
RSIS
Claimed a spot in the top three when 3rd last run at Muswellbrook. Will be trying to topple them late. Forward showing expected.
Career
17: 0-2-2
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Nanango
1: 0-1-0
Track Tara
1: 0-0-0
Track Wandoan
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
10: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Billy Cray 25% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Billy Cray in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 25%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 7kg weight here
AAP
Ridden cold and never in the picture at Gold Coast. Has his first look at 1400m here. Keener on others.
ILB
Started $101.00 and mediocre display when 8th last time at Gold Coast and has to carry more weight this time. Won't be far away during the run. Rough hope.
RP
Winless after 16 races; finished eighth, beaten 9l, over 6f at Gold Coast (handicap) 13 days ago; a lot on his plate here and others appeal more.
RSIS
At 100/1 sub-standard effort when 8th last start at Gold Coast and has more weight to carry. Should be going forward early.
Career
8: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Not Trustworthy
Negative
May be competing at this level for some time
AAP
Resuming (17-weeks). Ex Ross McConville in NSW. Yet to place but blinkers and tongue on for first outing under new trainer. Check betting.
ILB
First up after a break. Odds of $26.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last run at Hawkesbury. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. A difficult test here.
RP
Came home eighth, beaten 13l, over 1m at Hawkesbury (maiden) in July; returns from a layoff here; first start for current yard; others have more pressing claims with this looking like a hot contest.
RSIS
Back from break. Started 25/1 and looked outclassed when 8th last run at Hawkesbury. Blinkers go on for the first time. First start for a new trainer.
Career
6: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Armidale
1: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
5: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
AAP
Had chance but didn't go on with it at Tamworth over today's trip. Better for recent exposure this trip and rates highly in this company.
ILB
Odds of $21.00 and didn't threaten when 5th last start at Tamworth but has the ideal draw. Should come to hand quickly. Large claim helps. Can run into the placings.
RP
Has raised his game the last twice; out of the frame when fifth at Tamworth two weeks ago; others appeal more given many of his rivals are in good form.
RSIS
Was 20/1 and lost ground in the run home when 5th last start at Tamworth but has a nice advantage with a good draw. Should come to hand quickly.
Career
9: 0-0-4
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Goondiwindi
2: 0-0-2
Track Kerang
1: 0-0-1
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-2
Going Good
5: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Barry Sheppard striking at just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 50%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fresh. Settled back and didn't come on at Warwick. Look for an improved effort here.
ILB
At $10.00 just average when 6th last time at Warwick. Has some claims.
RP
Could not manage better than sixth over 5½f at Warwick (maiden, behind Freeman Fury) last month; has taken a step forward the last twice and in good form before making a backwards step last time out; others have more pressing claims as this is competitive.
RSIS
At 9/1 not up to scratch when 6th last start at Warwick. Has some claims.
Career
6: 0-0-3
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1887m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 0-0-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 96%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (30-weeks). Ex E & D Browne in Victoria. Can hit the ground running for new stable off long lay-off.
ILB
Fresh after break of 30 weeks. Was $21.00 and tailed off to finish 7th last start at Pakenham and dropping back to a shorter trip. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Finished tailed off over 1m4½f at Pakenham (maiden) in April; has raised his game the last twice; returns from a layoff; first start for new trainer; warrants respect.
RSIS
First run back from a break of 30 weeks. Odds of 20/1 and weakened to finish 7th last run at Pakenham and back to a shorter distance. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
6: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 9% better than Career Avg.
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Failed to threaten (outside alley) in soft going at Gatton over this distance at cricket score odds. Facing an uphill task.
ILB
Jumped at $101.00 and folded up in the straight when 9th last start at Gatton. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Few more classier types in this race.
RP
Winless in six starts but has shown promise with second his top showing; finished ninth, beaten 10l, at Gatton 14 days ago; may have to settle for supporting role in what appears to be a competitive contest.
RSIS
Started at 100/1 and didn't attack the line when 9th last start at Gatton. Has the pace to overcome the wide draw.
Career
10: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
2: 0-0-1
Track Warra
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Came home hot on their heels to grab third Mdn Plate at Gatton over today's trip. New to Moree. This looks more demanding.
ILB
Ran on when 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Gatton. Yet to break maiden status after 10 starts. Overlook from a betting angle.
RP
Creditable effort when 20-1 third at Gatton two weeks ago; seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice but long-standing maiden.
RSIS
Made considerable ground when 3rd beaten by 1L last start at Gatton. Yet to break through after 10 runs.
Career
2: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 115%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (15-weeks). Fair debut at Toowoomba then just battled home at Ipswich. Looker rides. Has scope.
ILB
First up after 15 weeks and displayed good finishing speed when 3rd first up last preparation at Toowoomba. Might have to make up considerable ground. Prefer in something a lot easier.
RP
Was held in seventh (Ipswich) in July; can give it a good shot with a bit more luck as excuses last time (hit rail) and he has shown bits and pieces of promise.
RSIS
Resuming and made considerable ground when 3rd resuming last preparation at Toowoomba. Likely to get back in the field.
Rating · IRD
99
Speed map
Offpace
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 50%
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Encouraging debut performance on a soft deck at Narromine 17 Oct. Benefits from the experience. Not out of it.
ILB
Caught the eye when 2nd last time at Narromine and having second race start. Should muster plenty of early speed.
RP
Didn't run too badly on his debut at Narromine at 10-1 two weeks ago; he's worth a go.
RSIS
Ran on strongly when 2nd beaten by almost 3 1/2L last run at Narromine and having second race start. Won't be far away during the run.
Career
1: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Firststart
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Hot Trainer
Positive
Scott Singleton in good form, out performing market 36%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
In good hands. No match but ran on for the minors at Muswellbrook on debut 19 Oct. Took valuable lessons. Top chance to go one better.
ILB
Honest race when 2nd last run at Muswellbrook and having second career run. Jockey Izzy Neale is in top form for this stable. Has a good draw. Strong prospects.
RP
Ran encouragingly on his debut when runner-up at Muswellbrook over 6½f at 14-1 11 days ago; the yard is going well; progress needed on this second career run.
RSIS
Nice run when 2nd last run at Muswellbrook and was on debut last time. Izzy Neale and Scott Singleton show promise as a combination. Has a good draw. One of the punters top hopes.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Track Narromine
1: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Settled back and passed a few late in the Country Boosted Mdn at Tamworth when second-up. Stripping fitter, sound claims.
ILB
Was $16.00 and came in 6th last run at Tamworth. Should improve. Should put in a decent effort.
RP
Not disgraced in sixth (Tamworth) two weeks ago in a handicap; no surprise to see her go well.
RSIS
Started 15/1 and came in 6th last run at Tamworth. May see an upturn in form. Will go close today.