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Kilmore (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Kilmore (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 30 OctKilmore (VIC)Change

Race 8 — Stephen King Memorial (Bm56) 1612m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Kilmore for the Stephen King Memorial, a Benchmark 56 test over the 1612m journey on a Soft5 track under fine skies. As punters eye off the card, the win market has put Mahmudah right at the top of calculations, holding down the shortest quote ahead of Left Hook, Pomah, and Monsun's Pride rounding out the early fancies.

Digging into the form lines of the market principals, Mahmudah comes into this via a brave effort when fighting to the wire in a fillies and mares benchmark 56 at this very track. She has featured in both starts at Kilmore, and while she handles give in the ground, a heavy query remains if it gets too wet. Pomah sits further down the betting order and was safely held at Kyneton last time out, but has shown a liking for heavy conditions previously and rates respect. Monsun's Pride showed early pace on this course last time out before finding little at the business end, leaving some doubts.

Looking at the map and speed groups, we see Olympiad, Dance Lady, Mahmudah, and Toronova designated to push forward on the pace, while Monsun's Pride takes up the mantle as the solo leader. Left Hook, positioned in the midfield group, is another worth keeping an eye on as a value runner for the minors, having previously shown a liking for some give in the track despite failing to threaten at Cranbourne. It shapes as an intriguing yarn for punters looking to unravel a tricky country race.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM56,BM56 HCP,Benchmark 56
  • SOFT5
  • Fine
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Mahmudah (6)

3.20

Most career wins

Cable De Vega

7-3-8 from 48 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 2Cheron Finale

Midfield

  • 7Pomah
  • 10Pro Velocity

Offpace

  • 1Olympiad
  • 3Dance Lady
  • 9Left Hook
  • 11Toronova

Onpace

  • 5Cable De Vega
  • 6Mahmudah

Leader

  • 4Monsun's Pride
  • Olympiad · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Luke Currie current POT is 43% below Career Avg.

  • Cheron Finale · Negative

    Tricky Map

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%

  • Dance Lady · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%

  • Monsun's Pride · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1OlympiadJ: Luke Currie·T: T & C Mcevoy361.5kg3 1 4 3 78: 1-0-2$11.00$3.00

Career

8: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Horsham

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-0-2

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Echuca2100m11 May 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT53.35L
  2. 3Horsham2100m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.75L
  3. 4Stawell2000m17 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD46.4L
  4. 1Kyneton1862m13 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD4-0.35
  5. 3Werribee1618m1 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.8L
  6. 7Seymour1300m15 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD34.3L
  7. 13Echuca1400m10 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT69.2L
  8. 5Ballarat Synthetic1100m22 July 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC5L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Luke Currie current POT is 43% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 13%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 50% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (24-weeks). Broke his maiden over 1862m at Kyneton last campaign. Goes into wider exotics fresh in this affair.

ILB

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. At $10.00 lost ground in the run home when 7th last time at Echuca and down in distance. Hard to recommend with any confidence.

RP

Not beaten too far when seventh at Echuca over 1m2½f (handicap) in May; back from an absence here; this looks a decent race so is passed over.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Started at 9/1 and didn't threaten when 7th last start at Echuca and coming back in distance.

2Cheron FinaleJ: Linda Meech·T: D M Noonan160kg3 7 5 1 48: 1-0-2$18.00$3.70

Career

8: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1717m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1746m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Caulfield Heath1400m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2L
  2. 1Sale1746m19 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.3
  3. 5Pakenham2000m26 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY97.3L
  4. 7Warrnambool2350m9 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD412L
  5. 3Stony Creek2100m15 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD412L
  6. 3Sale1717m1 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.8L
  7. 9Burrumbeet1800m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD419.6L
  8. 7Pakenham Synthetic1600m14 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.1L

Insights

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (27-weeks). Ex Jason Warren in Victoria. Broke her maiden over 1746m at Sale last campaign. Tuned up by recent trial.

ILB

Back from a 27 week break. Rocketed home when winning last run at Sale and has minimal work to do from the barrier. First start for a new trainer. Will find this tough.

RP

Shed maiden status at the seventh time of asking at Sale over 1m½f (maiden) in April, scoring by just over 1l; has shown some recent improvement; returns from a layoff here; representing new yard today; big player.

RSIS

Back after a 27 week break. Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last time at Sale and has the ideal draw. First start for a new trainer.

3Dance LadyJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Simon Zahra960kg9 7 10 1 711: 2-1-0$7.50$2.40

Career

11: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1203m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 2-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Kilmore1607m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD46.8L
  2. 1Kilmore1600m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD4-2
  3. 10Wangaratta1590m23 Aug 2026 · BM56 · SOFT74.9L
  4. 7Pakenham Synthetic1400m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.4L
  5. 9Ballarat2000m10 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.7L
  6. 4Ballarat1600m14 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD48L
  7. 5Geelong1425m20 Jan 2026 · Benchmark 62 · GOOD32L
  8. 1Stawell1300m4 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.1

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Simon Zahra in good form, out performing market 40%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 2%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

Comments

AAP

On pace but folded up quickly this venue. On pacer. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

At $5.00 tailed off to finish 7th last start at this track. The wide gate shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Close up behind Monsun's Pride when seventh two weeks ago; has won here previously; she can be competitive at this level; successful in a handicap last month and one to watch out for.

RSIS

Started 4/1 and folded up in the straight when 7th last time here. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall.

4Monsun's PrideJ: Mitchell Aitken·T: Chris Calthorpe560kg10 5 3 7 49: 1-0-2$7.50$2.40

Career

9: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tatura

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Kilmore1607m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD44.2L
  2. 7Tatura1450m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.4L
  3. 3Ballarat Synthetic2100m2 July 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC3.3L
  4. 5Pakenham Synthetic2200m15 June 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC4L
  5. 10Bendigo2200m29 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD44.27L
  6. 5Ballarat1600m10 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT65.8L
  7. 1Werribee1625m24 Apr 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.3
  8. 3Werribee1400m11 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT51.3L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Chris Calthorpe striking at just 2%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 54%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Mitchell Aitken winning at 14% POT in last 100 rides

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%

Comments

AAP

On pace but found little at the business end this course when second-up. Has early speed. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Started at $18.00 and faded in the late stages when 4th last start at this venue. Has early speed and positions nicely. Chance and can measure up.

RP

Out of the frame (beaten just over 4l in fourth) two weeks ago; a few rivals look in good form so may be vulnerable.

RSIS

Started at 17/1 and faded away late when 4th last start at this track. Displays good tactical pace. Competitive type.

5Cable De VegaJ: Jack Martin·T: Michael Huglin459.5kg5 3 3 7 148: 7-3-8$17.00$3.70

Career

48: 7-3-8

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    5: 0-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Track Kilmore

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Manangatang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tatura

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    7: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    33: 6-2-7

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Moe1600m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD3-0.3
  2. 7Bairnsdale1600m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD34.1L
  3. 3Kilmore1600m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.4L
  4. 3Berrigan1600m22 Aug 2026 · BM500.5L
  5. 5Ballarat Synthetic1400m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC4L
  6. 8Pakenham2000m26 Feb 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD46L
  7. 4Stony Creek2100m15 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.2L
  8. 4Great Western1950m24 Jan 2026 · 3UP HCP · SOFT52.2L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 64%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 71% Profit on Turnover

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Emerged from midfield to get up in final strides at Moe. Super fit from racing, capable of figuring again.

ILB

Dashed home to win last time at Moe. Going well this campaign. Modest hope.

RP

Narrow success in a handicap (Moe) two weeks ago; in the mix.

RSIS

Ran over the top of them when winning last start at Moe. Tracking very well of late.

6MahmudahJ: Brittany Button·T: Ms H Powell859.5kg1 2 7 8 214: 1-3-2$3.20$1.36

Career

14: 1-3-2

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Albury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tatura

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1425m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    11: 0-2-2

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · GOOD41.25L
  2. 8Tatura1450m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.65L
  3. 7Corowa1300m14 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD44.1L
  4. 2Seymour1425m21 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT61.8L
  5. 1Seymour1300m26 Apr 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT5-0.8
  6. 7Caulfield1400m11 Apr 2026 · CL3-SW · SOFT72.8L
  7. 2Ballarat1400m20 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD30.2L
  8. 3Kilmore1450m6 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.9L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fought bravely to the wire in the 3yo+ F&M (Bm56) this track. Soft tick, heavy query. Featured both times here. Can have a major say with even breaks.

ILB

Made some ground late when 2nd last start at the track. Should be rolling forward early from the wide barrier. Could be in the mix.

RP

Finished runner-up when beaten just over 1l over 7f here (handicap) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Flashed home late into 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last run around here. Should be rolling forward early from the wide stall. Respect the betting.

7PomahJ: John Allen·T: D T O'Brien259.5kg5 1 2 7 68: 1-2-1$4.60$1.70

Career

8: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tatura

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1454m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-2-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 6Kyneton1454m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT55.91L
  2. 7Tatura1450m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.31L
  3. 2Tatura1450m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.4L
  4. 1Geelong1225m14 Aug 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · HEAVY8-1.8
  5. 5Sale1400m29 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT66.9L
  6. 2Sale1427m1 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT60.1L
  7. 3Ballarat1200m19 Sept 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD42.8L
  8. 4Geelong1212m22 Aug 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.5L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 12%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -51% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Started $9 when safely held in Benchmark 56 company at Kyneton. Proven on heavy. Right in this.

ILB

At $9.00 faded to finish 6th last start at Kyneton. Overlooking the last run and drawn nicely. Good winning chance.

RP

Beaten 6l in sixth over 7f at Kyneton (handicap) three weeks ago; can be a player at this level; shown she can get her head in front so one to be interested in.

RSIS

Odds of 8/1 and tailed off to finish 6th last time at Kyneton. Has the potential to improve sharply and has a positive stall. Should go close.

8Share The StarsScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

Comments

AAP

Raced on the pace and went down in a thrilling stoush at Warrnambool. Placed only other run at Kilmore. Key contender.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Started at $3.90 and ran 5th last time at Warrnambool.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Odds of 3/1 and ran 5th last time at Warrnambool.

9Left HookJ: Thomas Stockdale·T: M Price & M Kent Jnr1058.5kg2 7 2 6 913: 1-3-0$5.50$2.00

Career

13: 1-3-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-2-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Cranbourne1600m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW HCP · GOOD37.16L
  2. 6Sale1732m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44L
  3. 2Sale1717m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT61L
  4. 7Geelong1700m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT73.7L
  5. 2Bairnsdale1600m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT70.8L
  6. 10Kilmore1457m1 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY918.3L
  7. 7Cranbourne1600m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.5L
  8. 1Pakenham1600m21 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT6-0.4

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 2%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Cranbourne at healthy odds. Likes some give in the track. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Started at $20.00 and was ordinary when 9th last run at Cranbourne. Should improve from the last run and facing weaker opposition. Will go close.

RP

Finished ninth of 12 (Cranbourne) three weeks ago; form has an uneven look to it and low strike-rate of 1-13; this line-up contains some strong opposition so hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Started at 19/1 and not up to scratch when 9th last start at Cranbourne. Capable of a strong comeback and going down in class. Will be fighting out the finish.

10Pro VelocityJ: Chelsea Thompson·T: G C Strang756.5kg9 2 7 11 627: 2-2-2$41.00$6.00

Career

27: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Bathurst

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    6: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    13: 2-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 6Alexandra1540m24 Oct 2026 · Open · GOOD35.21L
  2. 11Kyneton1856m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT516.65L
  3. 7Bairnsdale2200m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD37.75L
  4. 2Kilmore2000m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.3L
  5. 9Wangaratta2000m23 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT710.3L
  6. 4Moe1600m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY107L
  7. 7Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.8L
  8. 10Pakenham Synthetic1400m20 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.2L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Gordon Strang striking at just 2%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 61%

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 2%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Unable to make an impression at Alexandra for new trainer. Been racing at the picnics.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Started at $11.00 and subpar when 6th last time at Alexandra. Does take a while to get into stride. Tough race will need luck.

RP

Last of six over 7½f at Alexandra (handicap) on her first start for this trainer at the weekend; infrequent winner; this looks a decent race so makes little appeal.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Started 10/1 and mediocre display when 6th last start at Alexandra. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Large claim helps.

11ToronovaJ: Liana Wood·T: I M Pankhurst655kg6 7 4 6 1180: 4-6-3$31.00$4.80

Career

80: 4-6-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tatura

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Stony Creek

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1217m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    22: 1-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    14: 0-2-1

  • Going Soft

    30: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 11Cranbourne1600m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW HCP · GOOD317.66L
  2. 6Moe2069m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86L
  3. 4Seymour1600m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY84.1L
  4. 7Seymour1600m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT75.1L
  5. 6Merton1900m1 Jan 2026 · Open4.8L
  6. 5Drouin1775m26 Dec 2025 · Open2.8L
  7. 7Stony Creek2100m7 Dec 2025 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY108.6L
  8. 2Woolamai2008m29 Nov 2025 · Open12L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Liana Wood 22% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 18% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 14%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Finished well down the track in 3yo+ (Bm62) at Cranbourne last outing. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Odds of $151.00 and gave away some ground when 11th last run at Cranbourne but competing in a less challenging grade. Liana Wood provides some weight relief. Very unlikely to cause an upset.

RP

11th of 12 when dropped in distance (Cranbourne) 21 days ago; not won for some time now; facing a testing assignment and is passed over.

RSIS

At 150/1 looked outclassed when 11th last run at Cranbourne but competing in a lower grade. The large claim from Liana Wood helps.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Tue 13 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Mon 28 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Sun 13 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races