Kilmore (VIC) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Kilmore (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 30 OctKilmore (VIC)Change

Race 7 — Eric Buttler Memorial (Bm56) 1462m · jumps Fri 30 Oct, 5:00 pm AEDT

Race preview

The Eric Buttler Memorial at Kilmore on Tuesday shapes as a tricky puzzle in the Benchmark 56 ranks over 1462 metres. The track is running at Soft 5 under fine conditions, and the win market has Crimson Miss and Smash Blue sharing top billing, with Queen Of Tuscany next in line and Ostrica making up the early order. The speed map suggests Queen Of Tuscany will probe hard up front, while Testing The Cugat leads from barrier 7, meaning early tempo figures to be spirited. Most of the field sits in the offpace or midfield brigade, so there's potential for a genuine sprint finish.

Queen Of Tuscany comes with a strong recent record—a Wodonga win two starts back showed genuine speed, and the Stephanie Hateley and Brad Cunningham combination is currently performing 144 per cent above market expectations despite the trainer's modest career record of 2 per cent. From barrier 1, the mare should dictate, though a Ballarat third on her last outing suggests she was battled out at longer range. Smash Blue took out a Restricted 56 affair at Bendigo most recently and holds a Rating 100 (IRD), which ties her with Crimson Miss on form. Her fastest finishing sectionals last start and first-up record of one win from three attempts speak to genuine prowess early in a preparation. However, Luke Oliver's yard strikes at just 5 per cent, a worry for longevity.

Crimson Miss heads the market despite working with a new trainer and riding a run in soft going at Bendigo where she ran third. The Declan Bates booking is neutral, yet her Rating 99 and placed record in tighter grades suggest she has claims stepping into this field. The J/T combination has shed POT heavily, though, a caution flag. Looking elsewhere, Darating from barrier 3 has managed just one win from 12 starts, and Titan Of Choice in from the widest gate on the offpace angle figures to need luck navigating. The yarn here tilts toward Queen Of Tuscany's speed advantage and proven recent form, though the Smash Blue alternative holds genuine appeal if she settles kindly from barrier 5 and unleashes late.

Race notes

3yo+,BM56,BM56 HCP,Benchmark 56
SOFT5
Fine
10 runners

Shortest win price

Crimson Miss (7)

4.60

Most career wins

Queen Of Tuscany and Titan Of Choice

6 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

3Darating

Offmidfield

5Ostrica

Midfield

4Smash Blue
7Crimson Miss
8Savethebesttillast

Offpace

2Titan Of Choice
6Royal Heritage
1Queen Of Tuscany

Leader

9Testing The Cugat
10First Tosen

Queen Of Tuscany · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Titan Of Choice · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Darating · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Smash Blue · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Queen Of TuscanyJ: Stephanie Hateley·T: Brad Cunningham162.5kg9 7 3 1 639: 6-7-4$5.50$2.05

Career

39: 6-7-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 0-1-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-1
Third-up
5: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
5: 2-1-1
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham Synthetic
5: 1-1-1
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1017m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
22: 5-5-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
10: 0-1-1

Last starts

6Ballarat1600m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD43.75L
1Wodonga1400m15 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.02
3Pakenham Synthetic1400m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC1.6L
7Pakenham Synthetic1400m3 Aug 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC3.4L
9Pakenham Synthetic1400m20 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC7L
9Moe1208m18 June 2026 · Benchmark 62 · HEAVY910.7L
10Pakenham1400m23 Jan 2026 · 3UP F&M BM70 HCP · GOOD315.15L
11Geelong1400m3 Jan 2026 · 3UP F&M BM74 HCP · GOOD39.1L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 144%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 43%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 8kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Wodonga winner two back. Battled home okay at Ballarat. Can challenge.

ILB

Jumped at $21.00 and finished 6th last run at Ballarat but drops back to a suitable class. Gets the perfect alley. Hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Better to look elsewhere.

This is her grade; fair effort when beaten just under 4l, finishing sixth of 11 over 1m at Ballarat (handicap) three weeks ago; her best form stacks up so looks interesting.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and came in 6th last time at Ballarat but up against weaker rivals. Drawn by the rails. Will have to carry extra weight.

2Titan Of ChoiceJ: Chelsea Thompson·T: Ben Brisbourne1062.5kg1 3 7 6 665: 6-5-12$7.50$2.40

Career

65: 6-5-12

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 1-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 1-0-2
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-1
Track Sale
3: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
5: 0-0-2
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1457m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
16: 2-1-3
Going Good
37: 5-2-9
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
18: 0-3-1

Last starts

6Bendigo1300m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.81L
6Wodonga1200m15 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.76L
7Pakenham Synthetic1400m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC5.2L
3Pakenham Synthetic1400m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC2.5L
1Pakenham Synthetic1400m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC-1.3
6Pakenham Synthetic1400m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC1.6L
8Pakenham Synthetic1100m29 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC4.8L
6Pakenham Synthetic1200m15 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC3.4L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 5.5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely at Bendigo. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Major player here despite big impost.

ILB

Couldn't stay in touch when 6th last start at Bendigo. Likely to bounce back and facing a weaker group of contenders. Large claim helps. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

Has proven competitive in a race of this nature; out of the frame (beaten just under 5l in sixth) over 6½f at Bendigo (handicap) two weeks ago; shown he can win fairly recently and no surprise to see him go well.

RSIS

Didn't attack the line when 6th last start at Bendigo. Giving another chance here and up against a less competitive field. Large claim helps. Gets a chance against these.

3DaratingJ: John Allen·T: V L Malady361kg11 5 6 1 712: 1-0-0$11.00$3.10

Career

12: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
2: 0-0-0
Track Camperdown
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1203m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Kyneton1203m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT54.3L
1Stawell1600m5 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.1
6Kyneton1459m13 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.6L
5Horsham1400m24 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.5L
11Camperdown1400m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD37.3L
4Stawell1300m4 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.2L
11Ararat1300m25 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.8L
9Warrnambool1200m30 Oct 2025 · 3-5yo · GOOD33.9L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Kyneton off long spell. Fitter second-up. Can play a role.

ILB

At $31.00 ran 7th last start at Kyneton. Not without a chance.

Out of the frame (beaten just over 4l in seventh) at Kyneton over 6f (handicap) three weeks ago; improved form the last twice; this just his second run in a handicap; meeting some horses in good form and there are better alternatives here.

RSIS

Started 30/1 and ran 7th last start at Kyneton.

4Smash BlueJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Luke Oliver560kg9 6 8 6 111: 2-3-1$5.00$1.90

Career

11: 2-3-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Seymour
1: 1-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-1-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 975m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
6: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
4: 0-2-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Bendigo1400m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD3-0.02
6Tatura1100m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.25L
8Moe1200m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY1012L
6Wangaratta1000m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY93.8L
9Pakenham Synthetic1000m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.9L
3Pakenham1000m29 Jan 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD41.2L
2Cranbourne1000m3 Jan 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD30.8L
1Seymour1000m18 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.4

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
Luke Oliver striking at just 5%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Teodore Nugent 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -65% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 41%
Key Jockey
Positive
Teodore Nugent winning at 1% POT in last 100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start

Comments

AAP

Handy and dug deep to bag a Restricted 56 win at Bendigo. Deep into her campaign, has claims for a repeat.

ILB

Ran on strongly to win last time at Bendigo. Interesting gear change of winkers on first time. Gets a chance against these.

Back in the winners' enclosure when winning by a nose two weeks ago at Bendigo upped to 7f; wears first-time cheekpieces; could be in the mix.

RSIS

Stormed home to win last run at Bendigo. Cheekpieces go on for the first time. Rates as one of the key chances.

5OstricaJ: Luke Currie·T: Shawn Mathrick459.5kg9 1 12 75: 1-0-0$9.00$2.70

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1221m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Mildura1400m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.17L
12Bendigo1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.23L
1Mildura1408m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT6-2.3
9Geelong1221m5 Dec 2024 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD36.95L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 44% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 47%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 50% in L100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely at Mildura at $7. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Was $7.00 and below standard effort when 7th last start at Mildura and will have to carry more weight. Hard to warm to.

This just her fifth race; came home seventh, beaten 6l, at Mildura over 7f (handicap) three weeks ago; much respected despite defeats on last two starts as she scored three runs back.

RSIS

Started 6/1 and mediocre display when 7th last time at Mildura and bit of extra work to do with more weight.

6Royal HeritageJ: Neil Farley·T: N A Blackiston259.5kg1 8 5 9 58: 1-0-0$7.00$2.35

Career

8: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Kilmore1207m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP CG&E BM56 HCP · GOOD44.9L
9Hamilton1400m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT67.7L
5Echuca1400m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT72.2L
8Ballarat Synthetic1200m11 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.7L
1Mildura1200m17 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.1
6Ballarat Synthetic1000m30 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC5.3L
6Warrnambool1200m11 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD32.4L
5Werribee1000m7 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.7L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 65%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Raced midfield, couldn't match it but not disgraced this venue. Handles soft, untested heavy. Not out of this.

ILB

Odds of $5.50 and finished 5th last time at this venue but has a good draw. Ear muffs go on for the first time. Betting is the best guide.

Not beaten that far over 6f here (handicap) two weeks ago; generally modest form since maiden success at Mildura in July; a few rivals look in good form so passed over.

RSIS

Was 9/2 and finished 5th last run at this track but has a positive stall. Interesting to see the hood go on for the first time. Could be in the mix.

7Crimson MissJ: Declan Bates·T: W Morrissey659kg2 5 5 4 311: 1-3-2$4.60$1.75

Career

11: 1-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Goulburn
2: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-1

Last starts

3Bendigo1300m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · SOFT63L
4Hamilton1100m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT63.4L
5Goulburn1600m22 Mar 2026 · BM74 · SOFT76.3L
5Hawkesbury1500m7 Mar 2026 · CL1 · SOFT56.6L
2Goulburn1300m12 Feb 2026 · BM66 · GOOD42.3L
9Kembla Grange1400m3 Jan 2026 · BM64 · GOOD46.2L
3Hawkesbury1300m7 Dec 2025 · CL1 · GOOD41L
7Randwick1550m16 July 2025 · 3UP F&M BM72 HCP · SOFT612.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -67% POT in their L100 Races
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 6kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Gave a good sight in soft going making the frame at Bendigo second-up at longer odds. Sharper now, not out of this.

ILB

Managed to run into 3rd last time at Bendigo and competing in an easier class. On an upward trajectory in recent races. Goes up in weight. Should be in the finish.

Sound effort when 25-1 third over 6½f at Bendigo (handicap) four weeks ago.

RSIS

Finished strongly when 3rd beaten by 3L last run at Bendigo and dropping in grade. Showing improvement in recent outings. Has to cope with a weight increase. Has strong claims.

8SavethebesttillastJ: Chelsea Taylor·T: S A Lake958.5kg4 2 2 3 828: 2-5-6$18.00$3.70

Career

28: 2-5-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Dubbo
2: 0-1-0
Track Scone
2: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
8: 1-1-3
Distance 1412m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1450m
4: 0-1-2
Going Good
17: 2-3-3
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-1-1

Last starts

8Bendigo1400m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.43L
3Tatura1450m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.25L
2Echuca1412m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41L
2Tatura1450m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.5L
4Echuca1400m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT71.8L
2Berrigan1400m22 Aug 2026 · BM500.8L
3Wodonga1400m17 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY83.8L
10Bendigo1500m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY94.8L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Winless since 14 Feb 2025. Not disgraced at Bendigo at $20. Has an adverse draw. Others rate stronger.

ILB

At $20.00 came in 8th last start at Bendigo. Best to watch and see.

Not disgraced when eighth at Bendigo over 7f (handicap) 13 days ago 3½l behind Smash Blue; does not win very often; may have to settle for supporting role with a few rivals in good form.

RSIS

Started 19/1 and finished 8th last run at Bendigo.

9Testing The CugatJ: Olivia East·T: Tyson Barton756kg9 6 1 12 348: 3-4-7$8.00$2.50

Career

48: 3-4-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 0-1-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Benalla
3: 0-1-0
Track Wagga
13: 2-1-1
Track Wangaratta
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2150m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-2

Last starts

3Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM52 HCP · GOOD41.75L
12Bairnsdale2200m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY813L
1Kilmore2007m1 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY9-1
6Wodonga2050m16 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD410.7L
9Kilmore2000m4 May 2026 · 0-56 · HEAVY911.47L
7Albury2000m23 Apr 2026 · BM58 · GOOD45.6L
3Grenfell2150m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+3.8L
3Tullibigeal1600m28 Mar 2026 · 3yo+1.6L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 26%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent forward, outgunned late but boxed on this venue off spell. Better for the outing and takes a 2kg claim. Has speed. Can play a role.

ILB

Peaked on the run when 3rd last run around here and will appreciate the drop in weight. Expecting to settle positively. Tough ask.

Decent effort when 20-1 third two weeks ago; has winning track form; he can be taken on as poor record running for the second time after an absence.

RSIS

Big effort to finish 3rd last run at this track and suited by the weight drop. Should be going forward early.

10First TosenJ: Nathan Punch·T: G C Strang854kg7 13 4 5 534: 1-1-5$81.00$9.00

Career

34: 1-1-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
7: 0-0-1
Second-up
6: 0-1-3
Third-up
6: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-0
Track Alexandra
3: 0-0-1
Track Dederang
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
7: 0-0-2
Going Good
16: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

5Alexandra1300m24 Oct 2026 · Restricted · GOOD31.67L
5Yea1200m17 Oct 2026 · Open · GOOD33.11L
4Lockhart930m2 Oct 2026 · 3yo+7.92L
13Geelong1700m22 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT512.7L
7Wodonga2050m16 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD416.2L
11Wangaratta2000m3 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY814.5L
10Werribee1425m24 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD416.3L
7Seymour1600m13 Apr 2026 · BM56 · SOFT59.2L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Gordon Strang striking at just 2%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 61%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 64% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Last win was 19 Nov 2023. Not far off them in the small field at Alexandra. Been racing at the picnics.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Underwhelming when 5th last start at Alexandra. Might be ridden for luck. This looks a tough assignment.

Creditable effort to finish fifth, beaten 1½l over 6½f at Alexandra (handicap) at the weekend; just the one victory on his CV; meeting some horses in good form and others appeal more.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Struggled when 5th last time at Alexandra. Likely to get back.

Odds correct as at Fri 30 Oct, 5:10 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 13 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Mon 28 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Sun 13 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races