Shortest win price
Akari Spirit (1)
3.30
Welcome to Kilmore for the Bet365 Top Finishes Mdn Plate over the 1612m trip on a Soft 5 track with fine weather overhead at 2:00 pm AEDT. Looking at the early win market order for punters, Latassa holds the mantle as the shortest runner, closely followed by Akari Spirit, Southpole, and Wavelets rounding out the top echelon of this maiden field. Let us dive into the form behind these main fancies to see how the yarn unfolds on the track today.
Latassa lines up from barrier 4 for trainers M Price & M Kent Jnr with Linda Meech in the saddle, boasting a solid form line that includes a valiant second in a maiden plate over 1600m on the synthetic surface. Akari Spirit jumps from barrier 7 with Luke Currie riding for Ben, Will & Jd Hayes, bringing a strong rating of 93 into the race after a game effort when finishing second at Bendigo over 1600m. Meanwhile, Southpole represents the same stable as the favourite, coming off a 32-day gap and a sound Cranbourne jumpout following barrier trials at Warwick Farm, adding plenty of intrigue for those watching the market closely.
Further down the speed maps, we find runners like Hansard and Latassa positioned to lead the early charge, while Wavelets settles back in the field and others like Enticement show handy early speed from barrier 5. While multiple runners search for their maiden breakthrough, the form suggests the leaders and seasoned placegetters will take plenty of catching on this circuit.
Shortest win price
Akari Spirit (1)
3.30
Back left · leaders right
Firststart
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Akari Spirit · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Ghaluge · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.
Hansard · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rat Pack · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Career
7: 0-3-1
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-1
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2025m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2450m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 0-3-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 47% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
AAP
Primed to strike. Game effort at Bendigo. Placed only other time here. Placed to effect here.
ILB
Just missed last start at Bendigo. Has run into the money 3 from 3 attempts this campaign. Will be there at the business end.
RP
Has taken a step forward the last twice and in decent heart at present; not beaten far at Bendigo two weeks ago; not been able to get his head in front lately so easy to oppose.
RSIS
Right up there last time at Bendigo. Been in the placings each start of late. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Firststart
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 134%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 80% in L100 rides
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). $7,000 purchase. Dam won four races. Showed improvement in latest jumpout at Seymour but would need a strong market lead.
ILB
Ghaiyyath 4yo trained by Nelson Smyth having first start. Watch the betting.
RP
First start under rules for this son of Ghaiyyath; every chance with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Nelson Smyth trained 4yo by Ghaiyyath having first race start.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Shown little to date. Ridden cold and never in the picture at Mornington second-up. Underwhelming record and needs a major turnaround.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Started $151.00 and faded to finish 10th last time at Mornington. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide alley. Peak required to upset this field.
RP
Yet to get off the mark in five attempts (fifth his best finish); last of ten (Mornington) last Thursday upped to 7½f; shown nothing recently so unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Started 150/1 and looked outclassed when 10th last run at Mornington. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide draw.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1525m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Teodore Nugent 43% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 68%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 72% Profit on Turnover
Hot Jockey
Positive
Teodore Nugent in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 43%
AAP
Moderate form profile overall. In touch but couldn't find anything when pressured at Bendigo. Not fancied.
ILB
Was $31.00 and looked outclassed when 7th last time at Bendigo. Can't possibly entertain.
RP
Not disgraced when seventh of 12 at Bendigo two weeks ago, behind Akari Spirit; others more likely.
RSIS
At 30/1 struggled with the pace when 7th last run at Bendigo.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
3: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 37%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fresh. Shown little to date. Failed to threaten at Ballarat at huge odds. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Odds of $151.00 and didn't threaten when 11th last run at Ballarat but has a positive alley. Seems unlikely.
RP
Towards the rear of 13 over 7f at Ballarat (maiden) last month; yet to finish better than sixth in her four races; has to prove this longer trip is what she wants and hard to recommend.
RSIS
Started 150/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last start at Ballarat but gets a favourable stall.
Career
4: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Looks a handy type judging by early form. Was a valiant but vanquished second in the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Pakenham Synthetic second-up. All the better, primed to go one better.
ILB
Ran 2nd last run at Pakenham Synthetic and form has been improving over recent runs. Has early speed and positions nicely. Terrific hope.
RP
Turned in a solid effort in defeat three weeks ago, when runner-up (Pakenham); career is progressing; should be thereabouts.
RSIS
Competitive effort when 2nd last run at Pakenham Synthetic and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Has every chance.
Career
6: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
4: 0-0-1
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1307m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 50%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Back for second campaign (24-weeks). Finished 2nd in a Ballarat jumpout. Rise to 1612m a new challenge. Worth a look fresh in this line-up.
ILB
Back from a break. Odds of $2.35 and chased well when 4th last time at Ararat and has minimal work to do from the alley. Shows good closing speed. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Best form so far in last two starts; somewhat disappointing when finishing fourth (11-8) at Ararat over 6½f (maiden) six months ago; returns from a layoff; steps into the unknown over new trip and one to tread carefully with.
RSIS
Back after a break. Was 11/8 and chased well when 4th last time at Ararat and drawn the rails. Always seems to find the line well. Respect the betting.
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 32 days
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-0). $120k purchase. Half-brother to the stakes-winning Soaring Ambition. Latest jumpout at Cranbourne was sound. Market watch advised.
ILB
3yo first starter by The Autumn Sun for trainer Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr). Watch the market moves.
RP
There's hope from the pedigree that he has some ability; related to 6f winner Tango And Cash; gelded already; trainer can prepare one to win first time out; likely to be a threat with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Career debut 3yo by The Autumn Sun for Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr).
Career
2: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1457m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 44%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 62%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Beaten a few lengths but found enough to fill the minors this venue at second outing. Stepping up in ground may help. All the better, capable of making an impact.
ILB
Improved to place when 2nd beaten by 2 3/4L last run at this track.
RP
Turned in a solid effort in defeat two weeks ago, when second over 7f (maiden).
RSIS
Flashed home late into 2nd beaten by 2 3/4L last start at this track.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Wasn't all that far from the action on debut at Ballarat at longer odds 9 Oct. Experience a positive. Extra ground may help. Sound claims.
ILB
Showed some merit late when 5th last run at Ballarat and having second career run. Could feature here.
RP
Far from disgraced, finishing fifth, on her debut at Ballarat at 20-1 21 days ago; may be involved if confirming promise shown first time up.
RSIS
Was making up some late ground when 5th last run at Ballarat and was a debutant last start. Could feature here.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 68%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 72% Profit on Turnover
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Bendigo. Looks a safer place proposition.
ILB
Was $71.00 and made ground when closing off to finish 4th last time at Bendigo. Hard to recommend.
RP
Solid effort when beaten 3l to finish fourth at Bendigo 13 days ago.
RSIS
Was 70/1 and got going late when 4th last start at Bendigo.