Shortest win price
Superstock (1)
3.20
Shortest win price
Superstock (1)
3.20
Most career wins
Superstock
5-3-5 from 41 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Superstock · Negative
Slow Early LS
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Stuntman · Negative
Jockey Booking
Luke Currie current POT is 43% below Career Avg.
She's Stargazing · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Vespasian · Positive
Trainer Form
In form stable, out performing market expectations 62%
Career
41: 5-3-5
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
7: 1-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-1
Track Flemington
4: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Moonee Valley
4: 1-0-0
Distance 2040m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 2100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1419m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
19: 5-1-2
Going Good
18: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-1
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4kg more than LS
AAP
Backing up quickly. Sound effort without troubling winner at Cranbourne. Winner at only other start at Kilmore. Worth a look.
ILB
On a short back up. Finished with intent when 3rd last start at Cranbourne but will have to carry more weight. All 5 wins have been on soft going. Solid prospects.
RP
Has won here before; solid third upped to this distance at Cranbourne last Friday.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Good effort to place 3rd last start at Cranbourne but going up in weight. All 5 wins have been with the cut in the ground. Strong prospects in this race.
Career
6: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-2-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Luke Currie current POT is 43% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 13%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 50% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
AAP
Let-up (42-days). Just missed at Geelong 11 Sep. Run down in the shadows at Ballarat. Can challenge.
ILB
Freshened for this. Was $8.50 and outmatched in the run home when 4th last start at Ballarat and drawn the rails. Very capable of taking this out.
RP
Has been fairly consistent lately; fair effort when beaten just over 1l (Ballarat) 42 days ago upped to this trip; is a player with so many of these having something to prove and shown he can get his head in front.
RSIS
Freshened for this. At 15/2 outmuscled in the late stages of the race when 4th last run at Ballarat and has the ideal stall. Good prospects.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Trainer SR
Negative
Chris Calthorpe striking at just 2%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 54%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 57% Profit on Turnover
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Went close at Mornington 17 Sep. On pace but soon under pressure and he knocked up badly at Morphettville. Drawn to get an economic trail. Can put last run behind him.
ILB
Was $10.00 and faded to finish 10th last run at Morphettville.
RSIS
Odds of 9/1 and looked outclassed when 10th last start at Morphettville.
Career
8: 2-0-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Kilmore
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
8: 2-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Kilmore
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Sent out $16 when unable to threaten at Ballarat second-up. Has speed. Soft proven, heavy unknown. All the better, has some claims.
ILB
Odds of $16.00 and was well beaten when 11th last time at Ballarat but going over more ground. Interesting to see the tongue tie go off for the first time. Low-key chance.
RP
Last of 11 over 7f at Ballarat (handicap) 21 days ago; has winning form at this track; much respected if recapturing winning form.
RSIS
Was 15/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last start at Ballarat but facing a rise in trip. Interesting gear change of tongue strap off first time.
Career
9: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
1: 1-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1411m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
2: 0-1-0
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 62%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 47% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Cruised in front and went right on with it in the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Bairnsdale. Can dictate. May now be looking for this extra ground. Looks a serious player.
ILB
Set the tempo to win by 5L last start at Bairnsdale but competing in a higher grade. Expecting to settle positively. This is a tough race.
RP
Shown recent signs of improvement; easy maiden winner, breaking his duck at the ninth time of asking at Bairnsdale 18 days ago; stamina to prove at this trip so he can be taken on.
RSIS
Led throughout to win by a margin of 5L last start at Bairnsdale but facing a stronger group of contenders. Has shown early pace in races to date.
Career
32: 3-6-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
2: 0-1-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
3: 1-0-0
Distance 2600m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
26: 2-6-2
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 1-0-0
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Settled back and didn't come on at Geelong off long spell. Better conditioned. Can make his presence felt with even luck.
ILB
Started at $10.00 and looked outclassed when 7th last time at Geelong. Capable of a strong comeback. The wide barrier shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Definite claims for punters.
RP
Good and bad recent runs found on his CV; behind Superstock over 1m1f at Geelong (handicap) when dropped in distance three weeks ago; may have to settle for supporting role.
RSIS
Started 9/1 and gave away some ground when 7th last run at Geelong. May see an upturn in form. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall. Good chance of taking this out.
Career
22: 2-2-6
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-2
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 2-2-5
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ran on okay without troubling at Moe. Can make his presence felt.
ILB
Odds of $3.90 and made some ground when 4th last run at Moe but racing in stronger company. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Has some claims.
RP
Not beaten too far (2½l) at Moe two weeks ago; could be in the mix if replicating most recent run.
RSIS
Started at 3/1 and made ground when closing off to finish 4th last time at Moe but racing against tougher rivals. Not at all out of this race.
Career
6: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1887m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2112m
1: 1-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 28%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Failed to threaten in choppy conditions at Bairnsdale at double-figure odds. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Odds of $19.00 and clearly outclassed when 7th last start at Bairnsdale and facing formidable rivals. Might have to make up considerable ground. Looking elsewhere today.
RP
No impression when seventh of eight over 1m3f at Bairnsdale (handicap) two weeks ago; best form so far in last two starts; running in a handicap for only the second time; should go close given there's a paucity of good recent form on offer in this contest and was successful two starts back.
RSIS
Was 18/1 and below expectations when 7th last start at Bairnsdale and competing in a more challenging class. Likely to get back in the field.
Career
11: 1-3-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
2: 0-1-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 28%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Sent out $13 when never got into the race at Horsham second-up. One for multiples.
ILB
Was $13.00 and ran 6th last start at Horsham. May find these too slick.
RP
Came home sixth, beaten just over 5l, at Horsham two weeks ago upped to 1m1f; others more persuasive.
RSIS
Started 12/1 and ran 6th last start at Horsham.
Career
13: 2-2-3
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-1
Track Kilmore
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1421m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1429m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
10: 2-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Kilmore
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
4 weeks since last run. Started $31 when safely held in Benchmark 66 company at Ballarat second-up. Sharper now, smoky place prospect at best.
ILB
Came in 8th last time at Ballarat. Could feature here.
RP
Has won here; missed the frame (beaten 7l into eighth) over 1m at Ballarat (handicap) last month; others more likely.
RSIS
Finished 8th last start at Ballarat. Keep safe.
Career
22: 2-1-2
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Moonee Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Avoca
1: 1-0-0
Track Wodonga
2: 0-0-1
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1765m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2008m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 39% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Dylan Dunn 56% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 90%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Dylan Dunn in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 56%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
AAP
Failed to threaten (wide draw) at Echuca. Prefers better than heavy. Hard fit, could get into the placings.
ILB
Started $6.50 and well beaten when 10th last start at Echuca but will try to take advantage of the barrier. Facing a stronger group of contenders. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Towards the rear of 13 over 1m2½f at Echuca (handicap) last week.
RSIS
Started 11/2 and clearly outclassed when 10th last run at Echuca but has a positive stall. Competing in a higher grade. Will appreciate the drop in weight. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
7: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
4: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1208m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Positive
Teodore Nugent 25% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Kilmore
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Raced in back half and never likely at Echuca. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Gave away some ground when 11th last start at Echuca and challenged by a tougher grade.
RP
Has won here previously; finished towards the rear of 13 over 1m2½f at Echuca (handicap) last week.
RSIS
Faded to finish 11th last run at Echuca and facing stiffer opposition.