Shortest win price
Japanese Moka (4)
2.30
Welcome to Kilmore for the Bill Harding Memorial, a Benchmark 56 handicap over 1212m on a Soft 5 track under fine skies. Punters looking at the early win market have Japanese Moka sitting right at the head of affairs, closely followed by Manchego, Lagunanini, and Golden Pulse shaping up as the next key players in the betting yarn. It is a fascinating 3yo+ clash where tactical speed and early positioning will tell a proper story around this tricky circuit, especially with a few runners mapping right up on the pace.
Delving into the form behind those shorter prices, Japanese Moka comes in for stable M M Laurie following a tidy victory leading all the way at Bairnsdale over 1200m on soft ground, preceded by a runner-up effort at Hamilton. With only a couple of career runs under the belt, this promising galloper handles soft going and should have more to offer. Meanwhile, Manchego for trainers T & C McEvoy lines up with John Allen in the saddle from barrier 2, coming off a game second at Kyneton after making the pace and an earlier win at Echuca. The stable stats suggest caution, but the map points to an economic trail which keeps this contender right in the mix.
Looking further down the order, other runners add plenty of intrigue to the speed map. Japanese Moka, Golden Pulse, and Lagunanini all share the on-pace speed group, suggesting they will look to press forward early despite recent sectional data pointing to a slow early tempo overall. Hells Son brings up the rear as the lone backmarker, while runners like Golden Age and True Prophet look to settle off the speed. For punters hunting value outside the very shortest runners, weighing up the soft track form and barrier draws will be the key to unlocking this Kilmore puzzle when they jump at 3:30 pm AEDT.
Shortest win price
Japanese Moka (4)
2.30
Most career wins
Hells Son
5-7-9 from 49 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Hells Son · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Manchego · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 14%
Rock The Bar · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Japanese Moka · Positive
Trainer ROI
Runners from this stable currently going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Career
49: 5-7-9
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Track Tatura
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
9: 0-0-1
Distance 1065m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
7: 1-0-3
Going Heavy
8: 1-0-3
Going Soft
12: 2-2-0
Going Good
29: 2-5-6
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 31 days
AAP
Fresh. Settled back and didn't figure in the 3yo+ (Bm56) at Tatura. Looks up against it.
ILB
Jumped at $21.00 and finished 8th last time at Tatura. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Few more classier types in this race.
RP
Fair effort when beaten 4½l, finishing eighth of 12 at Tatura over 5f (handicap) last month; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Started 20/1 and came in 8th last run at Tatura. Prefers to settle towards the tail.
Career
21: 3-1-4
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 2-0-2
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
2: 1-0-0
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1125m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
16: 3-1-2
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 14%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
AAP
Edged out late after making the pace at Kyneton at very skinny odds. Drawn to get an economic trail. Looks a genuine contender.
ILB
Faded at the finish when 2nd last run at Kyneton and gets a favourable draw. Will be positive in the run early. Will show up at the business end.
RP
Beaten only narrowly (Kyneton) last Tuesday.
RSIS
Grabbed towards the finish when 2nd last time at Kyneton and can find a nice position from the draw. Won't be far away during the run. Strong chance.
Career
25: 4-1-3
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 2-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-1
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Terang
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1312m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 1-0-1
Going Soft
5: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
19: 3-1-2
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 69%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 75% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
AAP
First-up (29-weeks). Last win was 15 Jan 2025. Capable fresh and has jumped out solidly in preparation for this. Not the roughest.
ILB
Resuming after a break of 29 weeks. Started at $12.00 and below standard effort when 8th last run at Sale but up against a less competitive field. Appears tested.
RP
Finished last of eight over 7f at Sale (handicap) in April; useful in this grade; returns from a layoff.
RSIS
Resuming after a break of 29 weeks. Started 11/1 and clearly outclassed when 8th last start at Sale but taking on a lower class of opponents.
Career
2: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-1-0
Track Bairnsdale
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
2: 1-1-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Led and in control from go to whoa at Bairnsdale at second outing. Soft proven, heavy unknown. Should have more to come so he's shortlisted.
ILB
Gave them all something to chase to win by 2 1/2L last start at Bairnsdale. Expecting to settle positively. Solid claims.
RP
Scored by 2½l in a maiden (Bairnsdale) when opening his account at the second time of asking 18 days ago; he's worth a go.
RSIS
Showed a clean pair of heels when winning by 2 1/2L last time at Bairnsdale. Should come to hand quickly. Has not missed the money lately in 2 attempts. Forward showing expected.
Career
32: 3-5-7
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
5: 1-0-2
Third-up
5: 2-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Echuca
3: 0-1-1
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1629m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
6: 1-0-3
Going Good
18: 0-2-2
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-2
Going Soft
4: 0-1-2
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 14%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Finished within striking distance 3yo+ (Bm56) at Echuca at healthy odds. Very fit, can play a role.
ILB
Odds of $19.00 and crept into 5th last start at Echuca. Putting up notable efforts this campaign. Sound chance.
RP
Finished fifth but only beaten just over 1l at Echuca 11 days ago.
RSIS
Started 18/1 and closed off nicely when 5th last run at Echuca. Exhibiting good form since returning from a break.
Career
4: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1147m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
AAP
4 weeks since last run. Battled home okay at Tatura when second-up. Could get into the placings.
ILB
At $11.00 finished 6th last start at Tatura. Has the potential to improve sharply. Definite winning chance.
RP
Finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (3½l) over 5f at Tatura (handicap) four weeks ago; should prove competitive if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success and had excuses last time (checked).
RSIS
Was 10/1 and finished 6th last run at Tatura. Giving another chance here. Has strong claims.
Career
16: 2-2-2
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
4: 1-1-1
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-1-1
Distance 1247m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 1-1-1
Going Good
6: 1-2-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
4: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Luke Currie current POT is 44% below Career Avg.
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
AAP
Great run at Mornington 17 Sep. On pace but found little at the business end at Geelong. Has a tricky draw and up in weight. Hard to warm to.
ILB
Came in 5th last time at Geelong but up against weaker rivals.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten just under 5l in fifth, Geelong) three weeks ago; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Finished 5th last start at Geelong but up against a less competitive field.
Career
32: 2-2-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
7: 0-0-0
Distance 1012m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
12: 1-1-1
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (18-weeks). Ex M E Templeton in Victoria. Not a known fresh performer and best over a touch further. Needs to see a betting push at stable debut.
ILB
Back from a break. Jumped at $41.00 and tailed off to finish 12th last time Ballarat Synthetic. Have to look elsewhere.
RP
Last of 12 over 7f at Ballarat (handicap) four months ago; slumped a bit since winning a handicap at Terang in January; layoff to overcome; others are preferred.
RSIS
First run back today. Odds of 40/1 and faded to finish 12th last time Ballarat Synthetic.
Career
5: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Key Jockey
Positive
Linda Meech winning at 3% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Remains fresh. Well back and never a factor this course off long spell. Has an adverse draw. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Started at $4.80 and just average when 6th last run at this venue. Looking for an improved run and competing at a lower level of competition. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.
RP
Held in sixth over 5½f here (handicap) four weeks ago; running in a handicap for just the second time; hard to ignore as recent form is thin on the ground in this contest and shown she can get her head in front.
RSIS
Started at 4/1 and unsatisfactory performance when 6th last time here. Should bounce back and competing at a lower grade. Likely to be well placed early. Good tough competitor that can be supported.