Shortest win price
Artpark (1)
2.70
Welcome to Naracoorte for the Western Ag Hcp (54) over 1430m on a Good4 track with fine weather. The jump is scheduled for 3:40 pm AEDT. Looking at the win market order, Artpark heads the betting as the shortest runner, closely followed by Magic Princess, Lysander, and Dodgy Element, with the rest of the field headed by Rob The Bank and Exalted Kate rounding out the main fancies in this restricted country assignment.
Artpark brings strong credentials into this race for trainer P A Preusker, having chased well at Hamilton before a solid second at Warracknabeal over 1200m, proving effective in this grade and making a strong case with Jacob Opperman in the saddle. Magic Princess lines up for Chris Bieg after working home solidly when midfield at Balaklava first-up, and she should strip fitter second-up here. Lysander is another prominent market chance for Garret Lynch, coming off a fighting third at Penola where he kept on gamely behind the clear-out winner, and he is drawn nicely down on the inside to secure a soft run.
Further down the orders, checking the speed groups shows leaders like Magic Princess, Lysander, Drink Then Kiss, and Squagaga looking to dictate terms early, while runners like Archdeacon prefer to settle back and flash home with late sectionals. Dodgy Element also warrants a mention off the back of a reasonable effort at Strathalbyn, staying very fit for trainer D I Dodson and ready to make his presence felt if the speed map plays into the hands of the offpace brigade.
Shortest win price
Artpark (1)
2.70
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Artpark · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 38% better than Career Avg.
Exalted Kate · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 208%
Rob The Bank · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Magic Princess · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Career
31: 5-2-1
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1607m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 2-1-0
Going Good
19: 3-1-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 38% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jacob Opperman 46% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 205%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Paul Preusker in good form, out performing market 77%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 63% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
AAP
Great run at Warracknabeal 29 Aug. Gave solid chase in a good effort at Hamilton when drifting in the betting. Effective this grade. Makes a strong case in this company.
ILB
Odds of $12.00 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last start at Hamilton. Competitive type.
RP
Has maintained her consistent level of form and useful at this level; respectable effort at Hamilton last month; shown she can win fairly recently and deserves respect.
RSIS
Started at 11/1 and ran on into 5th last run at Hamilton. Genuine claims.
Career
44: 5-5-3
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
7: 0-2-0
Second-up
6: 1-0-0
Third-up
6: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
6: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
7: 1-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-1-0
Track Mildura
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1075m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1209m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
30: 5-3-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 0-2-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 208%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Started $31 when safely held in Restricted 58 company at Balaklava. Rough exotics hope.
ILB
Didn't threaten when 9th last start at Balaklava. Has shown early pace in races to date. Expecting a solid performance.
RP
Ninth of 12 at Balaklava over 6f (handicap) two weeks ago; can be a player at this level; could be in the mix.
RSIS
Tailed off to finish 9th last time at Balaklava. Will be positive in the run early. Commands respect.
Career
30: 3-2-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
8: 2-1-1
Track Murray Bridge
2: 0-0-0
Track Penola
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 0-1-1
Going Good
18: 3-0-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Fair in Restricted 52 two back. Finished well down the track in Hcp (54) at Penola last outing. Drawn to effect. Worth another chance.
ILB
Jumped at $8.50 and didn't find the line when 11th last time at Penola. Should improve. Should race on the speed. Rates as one of the key chances.
RP
Finished 11th of 12 over 1m at Penola (handicap) two weeks ago; others more likely as this is a fairly competitive event.
RSIS
At 15/2 couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last start at Penola. Looking for an improved run. Has early pace and positions nicely. Good prospects.
Career
30: 3-4-4
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
4: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1506m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
7: 1-2-1
Going Good
21: 3-4-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -63% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 36%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4.5kg more than LS
AAP
Midfield and worked home solidly at Balaklava first run back. Fitter second-up. Worth a look back in a country Restricted 54.
ILB
Started $6.00 and finished 6th last start at Balaklava. Expecting improvement here and gets a favourable draw. Should be going forward early. Up in weight. Chance and can measure up.
RP
She can be competitive at this level; respectable effort over 6f at Balaklava (handicap) when dropped in distance last month; holds leading claims if building on last performance.
RSIS
Started at 5/1 and finished 6th last start at Balaklava. Capable of a strong comeback and can find a nice position from the draw. Has plenty of early pace. Strong claims in this.
Career
41: 3-4-4
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1498m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1375m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 0-2-1
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
19: 3-2-3
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep
AAP
In touch, winner cleared out but he kept fighting on at Penola. Drawn to get a soft run. One for exotics.
ILB
Was amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by 4 3/4L last time at Penola and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Expecting to settle positively. Win will not surprise.
RP
Third, beaten just under 5l, over 6½f at Penola (handicap) two weeks ago; an infrequent winner.
RSIS
Ran on when 3rd beaten by 4 3/4L last start at Penola and drawn the rails. Should muster plenty of early toe. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.
Career
73: 3-9-13
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Balaklava
6: 0-2-2
Track Halidon
2: 0-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
10: 0-2-1
Distance 1200m
12: 0-1-2
Distance 1550m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1615m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
42: 2-4-6
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
19: 0-5-5
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Negative
Tala Hutchinson current POT is 56% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -54%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 59% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Got back and hit line with a full head of steam at Strathalbyn. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Close up last time at Strathalbyn but rises in weight. Gets back and needs luck. Looking at others.
RP
Good third at 50-1 over 6½f at Strathalbyn (handicap) last week; produced several respectable runs lately; doesn't win often.
RSIS
Right in the mix last run at Strathalbyn but has more weight to carry. Likely to settle back in the field.
Career
19: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Oakbank
2: 0-0-0
Track Port Augusta
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Brooke King 35% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fresh. Largely struggled in his post maiden runs. Sent out $21 when battled home to finish 4th at Strathalbyn. Others with stronger claims.
ILB
Was $21.00 and lost ground late when 4th last time at Strathalbyn. Will need to elevate.
RP
Sole victory becoming a distant memory; held in fourth over 1m at Strathalbyn (handicap) five weeks ago; this line-up contains some strong opposition so hard to recommend.
RSIS
Started 20/1 and overrun in the late stages when 4th last time at Strathalbyn.
Career
15: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Edenhope
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
4: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1214m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Dry Spell
Negative
Recent form uninspiring
AAP
Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Strathalbyn. Very fit, can make his presence felt.
ILB
Started $19.00 and made up ground when 4th last start at Strathalbyn. Has not placed in 6 attempts this preparation. Best to watch and see.
RP
Solid effort when beaten just under 2l to finish fourth over 6f at Strathalbyn (handicap) last month; only once has he got into the winners' enclosure; hard enough to fancy as this looks a fair heat.
RSIS
Odds of 18/1 and made ground when closing off to finish 4th last run at Strathalbyn. Has struggled so far recently.
Career
42: 4-5-3
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
8: 1-2-0
Second-up
6: 1-0-0
Third-up
6: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Warrnambool
4: 0-1-0
Track Ararat
3: 0-0-0
Track Stawell
2: 1-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1204m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 1-0-1
Going Good
26: 3-5-2
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Was a long way from the action in 1600m Hcp (54) at Penola. Drawn to receive every chance. Has some claims.
ILB
Was $31.00 and folded up in the straight when 10th last time at Penola. Has plenty of early speed. A long shot.
RP
Tenth of 12 over 1m at Penola (handicap) last month; competitive shout as shown some ability on occasion.
RSIS
Odds of 30/1 and faded away to finish 10th last run at Penola. Expecting to settle positively.
Career
34: 1-1-4
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Avoca
2: 0-0-1
Track Jerilderie
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1130m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
10: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
9: 0-1-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 47% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Key Rider
Positive
Valentin Le Boeuf 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 62%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 63% Profit on Turnover
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Long time since last saluted. Handy, knuckled down with purpose at Avoca. Not as well drawn this time. Could add some value to exotics.
ILB
Ran well when 3rd last run at Avoca. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Very unlikely to cause an upset.
RP
Decent effort when 16-1 third at Avoca over 6f (handicap) two weeks ago; you have to go back a fair way to find his only win.
RSIS
Finished 3rd last run at Avoca. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace.
Career
49: 4-6-4
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-2-0
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 2-1-0
Track Terang
1: 0-0-0
Track Camperdown
1: 0-0-1
Track Coleraine
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1469m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
6: 0-1-0
Distance 1700m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
9: 2-0-1
Going Soft
20: 1-5-2
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
AAP
Trimmed margin late at Penola. Capable of making an impact if things pan out.
ILB
Jumped at $9.50 and ran 6th last time at Penola. Has some claims.
RP
Not far behind Lysander when sixth over 6½f at Penola (handicap) last month; a long time since her last win; facing a testing assignment and unlikely to do better than a supporting role.
RSIS
Started at 17/2 and came in 6th last run at Penola. Could feature here.
Career
47: 5-2-4
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
8: 2-0-0
Track Naracoorte
1: 0-0-0
Track Bordertown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1950m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-1-0
Going Good
38: 5-1-4
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -50% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 36%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Failed to threaten at Halidon off extended spell at healthy odds. Usually gets back. Others carry more punch.
ILB
At $21.00 gave away some ground when 11th last time at Halidon. Might be ridden for luck. Needs significant improvement.
RP
Not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Kingscote in February; finished 11th of 12 at Halidon three weeks ago; makes limited appeal as this looks a decent race.
RSIS
Started 20/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last start at Halidon. Might be ridden for luck.
Career
15: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Quirindi
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-1
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
7: 1-0-1
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
AAP
Hasn't done much since breaking his maiden. Settled back and didn't come on at Horsham off long spell. Awkwardly drawn. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last run at Horsham but facing a weaker group of contenders. Returns to a longer distance.
RP
Last of 11 at Horsham over 5½f (handicap) last month; grade looks suitable.
RSIS
Was well beaten when 11th last start at Horsham but facing a weaker grade. Returning to more ground.
Career
25: 1-5-1
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
14: 1-3-1
Track Naracoorte
3: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1415m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1562m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
6: 0-2-1
Going Soft
11: 1-2-0
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 338 day break (> 300 days)
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
First-up (48-weeks). Ex D Kolpin & V Hutchinson in SA. Prefer to see after a lengthy absence.
ILB
Back from break of 48 weeks. Couldn't stay in touch when 11th last run at Mount Gambier. First race for a new trainer.
RP
Towards the rear of 13 (Mt Gambier) last November; this is his grade; returns from an absence here; representing new trainer today.
RSIS
Fresh today after a break of 48 weeks. Looked outclassed when 11th last run at Mount Gambier. First start for a new trainer.
Career
56: 1-3-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
14: 0-0-1
Second-up
11: 0-2-0
Third-up
8: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
6: 0-0-0
Track Casterton
3: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1476m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1508m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
29: 0-2-3
Going Heavy
9: 0-1-0
Going Soft
16: 1-0-0
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
AAP
Found it tough since shaking his maiden. Failed to threaten at Avoca first run back at cricket score odds. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Performed below standard when 6th last run at Avoca.
RP
Missed the frame (beaten 9l into sixth) over 6½f at Avoca (handicap) last month.
RSIS
Unsatisfactory performance when 6th last start at Avoca.