Shortest win price
Streetcar Fury (3)
1.40
Naracoorte hosts a Benchmark 66 handicap over 1100 metres on a good track in fine weather at 4:40 pm AEDT. The market is led by Streetcar Fury, followed by Murph, then Naralinga and Acappella Moon. Streetcar Fury carries the shortest odds despite some question marks: the gelding is resuming after 23 weeks away and maps poorly from barrier 1 at this track, yet boasts an impressive 3-2-1 record on first-up and stepped out in group company last campaign. Murph sits next in the betting and returns after 18 weeks for Paul Carey, carrying a rating of 81. The gelding is a dual winner at 1100 metres and hit the line hard last start, though takes a negative jockey change with Jacob Opperman aboard.
Naralinga, third in the market, is the form guide's story so far. Trainer D I Dodson's stable is outperforming market expectations by 32 per cent and posting a profitable 21 per cent return on turnover across the last 100 runners. Naralinga herself won at Bordertown last time out, shouldering 62 kilograms and battling home in a BM64, then ran a brave second at Mount Gambier over 1200 metres in the BM66 off just 62 kilograms again. She has had 42 days to settle into this preparation and the AAP comment notes she is having a good prep. With Ashlee Stone's services and a barrier 3 draw, she rates well. Acappella Moon, the fourth choice, resuming after 24 weeks for Hannah Bryce, has a standout first-up record with one win and a place from five attempts. The jockey-trainer combo with Connor Murtagh is performing 169 per cent above market expectations, which tells its own story about value.
Gusty Way, winner last start and with solid track knowledge at Naracoorte, holds genuine claims from barrier 6 with Campbell Rawiller aboard. The speedGroups show three runners will race onpace—O'Tycoon, Streetcar Fury, and Gusty Way—while Naralinga, Murph, and Acappella Moon will come from offpace, giving the latter a traditional running line. Artissi, rated a chance at 11 per cent better than the market expects from its map, ran on hard last time and sits midfield. The race shapes as a genuine contest between resumers and fresh types, with the form and first-up records suggesting this is no walkover for the market leader.
Shortest win price
Streetcar Fury (3)
1.40
Most career wins
O'Tycoon
10-6-1 from 42 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
O'Tycoon · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Naralinga · Positive
Trainer Form
In form stable, out performing market expectations 32%
Streetcar Fury · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gusty Way · Positive
Solid Run LS
Won last start
Career
42: 10-6-1
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 2-1-0
Second-up
5: 1-3-0
Third-up
5: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 2-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 1-0-0
Track Wyong
2: 1-1-0
Track Randwick
6: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
4: 1-1-0
Going Good
38: 9-6-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (16-weeks). Ex Lisa Whittle in the NT. Opened the previous campaign with a win at at Pioneer Park. Needs to be firing.
ILB
Back from a break. At $8.50 was well beaten when 6th last start at Alice Springs but competing at a lower class. The large claim from Jade Smith helps. Considering others.
RP
Finished last of six at Pioneer Park four months ago; career wins-runs record of 10-42; Absence is no concern; has gone well after a break before and one to consider.
RSIS
Back from a break. Started 15/2 and faded to finish 6th last start at Alice Springs but strong performer at this distance in the past. Large claim helps.
Career
28: 7-4-1
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
8: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-2-0
Distance 1102m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
16: 2-2-0
Going Heavy
5: 3-1-1
Going Soft
7: 2-1-0
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 32%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Let-up (42-days). Having a good preparation. Shouldered 62kg to victory at Bordertown. Sent forward and stuck to the task bravely in the (Bm66) at Mt Gambier.
ILB
Freshened up. Competitive effort when 2nd last run at Mount Gambier. Large claim helps. Win will not surprise.
RP
Favourite and just beaten at Mt Gambier over 6f (handicap) six weeks ago; this C&D holds no fears.
RSIS
Freshened up. Looked good when 2nd last run at Mount Gambier. Ashlee Stone takes a large claim. Expecting a strong showing.
Career
9: 3-3-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 2-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
5: 0-2-0
Track Murray Bridge
4: 3-1-0
Distance 900m
3: 2-1-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
7: 2-2-0
Going Soft
2: 1-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 3 when resuming
AAP
Resuming (23-weeks). Consistent through last prep. Boasts impressive first-up stats. Raced in metro company last prep.
ILB
Strong record when resuming. Finished well when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last start at Murray Bridge and competing in an easier class. Should muster plenty of early speed. Definite claims for punters.
RP
String of consistent efforts of late; runner-up when 5-6 over 4½f at Murray Bridge Gh (handicap) five months ago; back from an absence here; can have a big say.
RSIS
Goes well when fresh. Claimed a spot in the top three when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Murray Bridge and challenged by less formidable competitors. Has to be in the finish.
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Leader
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (35-weeks). In the minors at Morphettville Parks first-up last campaign while warmed up with an impressive trial. Tested against better opposition last prep. Key contender fresh in this line-up if things pan out.
ILB
First up from a break of 35 weeks and maintained a solid pace but eventually weakened to finish 3rd first up last preparation at Morphettville.
RP
Fair effort when beaten 3½l, finishing seventh of nine over 5f at Morphettville (handicap) in February; returns from a layoff here; this line-up contains some strong opposition so looks an unlikely winner.
RSIS
Resuming and solid run on the pace before weakening to finish 3rd resuming last preparation at Morphettville. Matched against a less competitive field. Going up in weight.
Career
38: 6-7-6
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-0-1
Second-up
4: 2-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Penola
5: 1-1-3
Track Naracoorte
5: 1-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
5: 1-2-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1075m
4: 1-1-2
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 2-3-3
Going Heavy
7: 2-2-1
Going Soft
14: 2-2-2
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Produced best late from the back half to win in Benchmark 68 company at Penola. Stiffer task now but don't undersell.
ILB
Finished with purpose when winning last run at Penola. Should race on the speed. Very competitive this campaign. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Thriving of late with form figures in the last six races of 117251; a previous winner here; won by 1½l when dropped back to this distance (Penola) last month; others have more pressing claims despite that win last time.
RSIS
Bold effort when winning last start at Penola. Has shown early pace in races to date. Watch betting.
Career
16: 3-2-2
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Morphettville
10: 2-1-0
Track Murray Bridge
5: 1-1-2
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 2-1-0
Going Good
9: 3-2-2
Going Soft
7: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (18-weeks). Dual winner this trip. Right in the mix fresh in this line-up.
ILB
First run back after break. Jumped at $5.50 and outpaced some runners late when 5th last time at Morphettville and up against weaker rivals. Proven performer at this trip. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
String of consistent efforts of late; solid run when fifth over 6f at Morphettville (handicap) four months ago; returns from an absence here; he has a shout as recent performance was encouraging.
RSIS
Resuming. Started at 9/2 and advanced late into 5th last run at Morphettville and hard to fault at the trip. Dropping in grade. Watch the betting.
Career
26: 3-4-1
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Morphettville
8: 2-1-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1103m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 0-2-1
Going Good
16: 1-4-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 2-0-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Hannah Bryce striking at just 3%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 169%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 48%
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (24-weeks). Has a good first up record. Seen in stronger company last campaign. Not out of this fresh in this affair.
ILB
First up. Didn't threaten when 8th last start at Morphettville but will find this grade more suitable. Jockey Connor Murtagh and trainer Hannah Bryce link well together. Place hope.
RP
Been generally quiet since successful in a handicap at Morphettville in February; not disgraced when eighth over 6½f at Morphettville (handicap) in May; layoff to overcome; easy to oppose given the strong opposition here.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Gave away some ground when 8th last time at Morphettville but competing in a less challenging grade. Carrying more weight than last time.
Career
41: 9-5-7
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Leader
First-up
9: 3-1-2
Second-up
8: 1-2-2
Third-up
6: 1-2-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
3: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
8: 3-1-0
Distance 1200m
10: 1-2-2
Going Firm
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
21: 2-2-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 56% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 59% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
AAP
Freshened. Ex Scott Whittle in SA. Prominent to 400m but threw the towel in quickly at Murray Bridge Gh over this journey. Happy to watch.
ILB
Odds of $101.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 12th last time at Murray Bridge but facing a weaker group of contenders. Should muster plenty of early toe. Others preferred.
RP
Last of 12 at Murray Bridge Gh five weeks ago; career wins-runs record of 9-41; first start for stable; likely to be involved as shown some signs of promise.
RSIS
Was 100/1 and lost ground in the run home when 12th last run at Murray Bridge but up against a less challenging field. Should race on the pace.
Career
43: 5-6-6
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
6: 1-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
5: 2-0-1
Track Gawler
3: 1-1-0
Distance 900m
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
12: 2-3-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
26: 3-3-3
Going Heavy
4: 1-1-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
No match but kept working home to finish among the placings at Penola first run back. Strips fitter. Could get into the placings.
ILB
Finished strongly when 3rd last start at Penola. Place at best.
RP
Has been fairly consistent lately; turned in a solid effort in defeat 16 days ago, when third (Penola), behind the reopposing Gusty Way.
RSIS
Good run when placing 3rd beaten by 2L last run at Penola.
Career
29: 4-2-4
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
2: 1-0-0
Track Canterbury
2: 1-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 2-1-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
9: 2-1-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Lee Creek striking at just 5%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 93%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 58%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 53% Profit on Turnover
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
AAP
Let-up (60-days). Long losing streak. Never in the call at Murray Bridge Gh over longer test. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Started $7.50 and mediocre performance when 11th last start at Murray Bridge but will try to take advantage of the barrier. Likely to get back in the field. Will struggle to compete in this race.
RP
Finished towards the rear of 14 over 7f at Murray Bridge Gh (handicap) two months ago; record when fresh isn't great so he can be taken on.
RSIS
Odds of 13/2 and disappointing effort when 11th last start at Murray Bridge but will try to take advantage of the stall. Expected to settle towards the tail.
Career
27: 4-6-2
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-1-1
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-1-0
Track Bordertown
1: 1-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-1
Distance 800m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 860m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 2-4-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Finished a long way from the action Hcp (68) at Morphettville. Strips in better shape and takes a 2kg claim. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Didn't attack the line when 11th last start at Morphettville but goes down in class.
RP
Last of 11 (Morphettville) last week; others appeal more given the strong opposition here.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Faded away to finish 11th last start at Morphettville but facing a weaker grade.