Newcastle (NSW) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Newcastle (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 3 Oct, 10:00 am AEST

Meetings · Sat, 3 OctNewcastle (NSW)Change

Race 7 — The Prince Of Merewether Conditional (Bm68) 1300m · jumps Sat 3 Oct, 5:09 pm AEST

Race notes

3UP COND BM68 HCP,3yo+,Benchmark 68,COND BM68
GOOD4
Overcast
10 runners

Shortest win price

Olympian (5)

2.20

Most career wins

Puerto Banus

5-6-4 from 28 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

5Olympian
6Puerto Banus
9Glastonbury Girl

Midfield

2Caltsar
3Falcon Lair
12Hey Jude

Offpace

8Ellofadude
10Tulipwood
1Cosmic Avenger

Leader

13Borjnord

Cosmic Avenger · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Caltsar · Positive
Track Stats
Excels at this track
Falcon Lair · Positive
Jockey Booking
Heavelon Van Der Hoven 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Olympian · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Cosmic AvengerJ: Leeshelle Small·T: J G Sargent1261.5kg2 1 9 5 515: 3-2-2$23.00$4.00

Career

15: 3-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-1-1
Track Wagga
1: 1-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 3-2-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-0-1

Last starts

5Randwick1050m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.5L
5Randwick1050m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L
9Randwick1800m23 May 2026 · 3Y BM72 (71) · HEAVY105.5L
1Wagga1600m1 May 2026 · 3yo · GOOD4-0.7
2Newcastle1600m11 Apr 2026 · BM68 · GOOD40.3L
6Rosehill1500m21 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · SOFT61.5L
1Newcastle1500m6 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD4-0.4
1Hawkesbury1300m19 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD4-0.5

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Form 3rd Up
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when third up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (19-weeks). Last campaign produced a couple very smart wins. Won 3yo (Bm74) Wagga 1 May. Brought on with two trial hitouts.

ILB

First up after a break. At $31.00 folded up in the straight when 9th last run at Randwick but has been racing in stronger company. Will be down in distance. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.

Beaten ninth of 11 over 1m1f at Randwick (handicap) in May; has won here; he can be competitive at this level; returns from a break here; should figure if excused most recent run as achieved handicap success two runs back.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Odds of 30/1 and folded up in the straight when 9th last start at Randwick but challenged by weaker competitors. Unplaced in all trials.

2CaltsarJ: Shannen Llewellyn·T: Nathan Doyle1160.5kg6 8 4 8 49: 3-0-0$16.00$3.70

Career

9: 3-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 2-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 1-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 2-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Hawkesbury1400m10 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD43.8L
8Gosford1000m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)4.8L
4Newcastle800m3 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L
8Kembla Grange1400m21 Mar 2026 · Class 5 · SOFT72.6L
6Newcastle1400m28 Feb 2026 · Class 5 · SOFT53.3L
3Beaumont1000m12 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial2.6L
4Newcastle1400m31 Jan 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD42.9L
8Randwick Kensington1400m14 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.6L

Insights

Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Finished it off only fairly at Hawkesbury off long break following market easing. Better conditioned and takes a 2kg claim. Home track advantage but awkwardly drawn this time. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Odds of $10.00 and finished 4th last run at Hawkesbury. Jockey Shannen Llewellyn and trainer Nathan Doyle form a formidable team. One of the punters top hopes.

Not disgraced in fourth over 7f at Hawkesbury (handicap) last month; has won at this course; he can make a bold bid if replicating the best of his form.

RSIS

Started at 9/1 and ran 4th last start at Hawkesbury. Jockey Shannen Llewellyn and trainer Nathan Doyle are a formidable team. Can take this out.

3Falcon LairJ: Heavelon Van Der Hoven·T: Annabel & Rob Archibald860.5kg5 10 9 9 311: 2-1-6$9.00$2.80

Career

11: 2-1-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-2
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
3: 1-1-1
Going Good
8: 2-1-5
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Tamworth1200m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.1L
9Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.8L
9Eagle Farm2400m30 May 2026 · 3yo · SOFT510.5L
10Doomben2000m16 May 2026 · 3yo · SOFT75.9L
5Doomben1000m7 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2.3L
3Doomben2020m11 Apr 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD40.9L
1Hawkesbury2000m26 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.4
2Newcastle1600m12 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD40.5L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Positive
Heavelon Van Der Hoven 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (18-weeks). In the minors at Canberra first-up last campaign while brought on by 2 trials. Back from Group 1 level. Can make his presence felt fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up from a break of 18 weeks and ran on strongly when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L first up last preparation at Canberra. Up against a less competitive field. Has some claims.

Well beaten in the Queensland Derby (Eagle Farm) upped to 1m4f four months ago; returns from an absence here; down in class this time but others make more appeal.

RSIS

Resuming and caught the eye when 3rd resuming last preparation at Canberra. Placed 3rd in a trial at Tamworth on Sept 23rd and taking on easier opposition. Back in trip. Could feature here.

4AssociateScratched9––––

Career

33: 5-5-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 0-2-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Rosehill
3: 0-0-1
Track Albury
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
7: 2-2-1
Distance 2000m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
20: 4-4-3
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
9: 1-1-1

Last starts

11Wagga2000m1 May 2026 · LISTED HCP · GOOD47.1L
3Wagga1800m19 Apr 2026 · MURRUMCUP BM86 · GOOD41.2L
3Hawkesbury2000m26 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.7L
4Albury1600m19 Mar 2026 · ALBURYMILE BM90 · SOFT72.4L
11Canberra1400m8 Mar 2026 · LISTED QUALITY · SOFT74.7L
3Sapphire Coast1600m1 Feb 2026 · BEGA CUP BM94 · SOFT62.2L
6Randwick Kensington1800m14 Jan 2026 · 4UP BM72 HCP · GOOD44.2L
1Wagga1600m24 Dec 2025 · Open · GOOD4-4.5

Insights

Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 6kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Resuming (22-weeks). Solid last campaign including multiple wins. Placed at Moruya first-up last campaign while having an easy trial in readiness. Back from Listed company.

ILB

First up from a break of 22 weeks and good performance to run into 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L first up last preparation at Moruya. Gets back and needs luck.

Finished towards the rear of 14 five months ago at Wagga in a Listed handicap; wasn't at his best last time out following some good runs; layoff to overcome; dropping in class but can be taken on.

RSIS

Resuming and caught the eye when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L resuming last preparation at Moruya. Likely to get back in the field. Competing at a lower class.

5OlympianJ: Aaron Bullock·T: P Messara & L Gavranich460kg1 4 7 7 57: 2-1-0$2.20$1.28

Career

7: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
2: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1280m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-1-0

Last starts

5Warwick Farm1600m20 May 2026 · 3yo · HEAVY83L
7Hawkesbury1500m2 May 2026 · 3UP C2 HCP · GOOD43.2L
7Randwick2000m18 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD44.1L
4Randwick1600m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo · SOFT70.7L
1Scone1400m20 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT5-1.6
1Muswellbrook1280m8 Mar 2026 · Maiden · GOOD4-1.8
2Scone1200m24 Feb 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT54.4L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (19-weeks). Not beaten far in Stakes company earlier. Brought on with two trial hitouts and has placed first-up. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

First up from a break of 19 weeks and made some ground late when 2nd first up last preparation at Scone. Unplaced in multiple trials. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.

Struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Scone in March; ran a bit below expectations (sent off 5-4) when fifth at Warwick Farm over 1m (handicap) in May; has had some time off; others more likely as this looks a decent race.

RSIS

Resuming and made some ground late when 2nd beaten by close to 4 1/2L resuming last preparation at Scone. Aaron Bullock rates highly. Should be in the finish.

6Puerto BanusJ: Jess Taylor·T: P M Perry760kg6 11 1 9 128: 5-6-4$14.00$3.60

Career

28: 5-6-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Newcastle
6: 3-1-1
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
7: 1-2-0
Distance 900m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
3: 2-0-0
Distance 1280m
5: 1-1-1
Going Good
18: 3-4-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
8: 2-1-1

Last starts

1Newcastle1250m19 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD4-0.2
9Canterbury1250m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT711.9L
1Newcastle1250m13 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD4-0.6
11Muswellbrook1280m26 July 2026 · BENGALLA BM87 · GOOD45L
6Wyong1200m7 June 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT59.3L
6Gosford1200m9 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD43.6L
4Wyong1200m18 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.1L
6Warwick Farm1400m18 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.1L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 83% better than Career Avg.
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jess Taylor in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 92%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Form At Track
Positive
3 time winner here at Newcastle
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Form solid winning two of last three. Responded well from back half to get the prize this course. A few runs under his belt this campaign, could get into the placings.

ILB

Rocketed home when winning last time around here. Difficult to warm to at present.

Knows how to win here with three course wins; scored by a slim margin in a handicap last month; is passed over despite that win last time.

RSIS

Picked up late to win last start at this venue.

7ChixScratched10––––

Career

6: 3-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 2-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Randwick1050m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1.6
2Randwick1045m28 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.2L
9Canterbury1250m27 May 2026 · 3Y BM64 · SOFT714.8L
1Illawarra Grange1300m5 May 2026 · BM64 · GOOD4-0.2
5Newcastle1250m11 Apr 2026 · BM68 · GOOD44.1L
6Rosehill1030m24 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)5.5L
1Kembla Grange1200m7 Feb 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT5-0.8
3Randwick1050m15 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial1.8L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Newcastle
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (18-weeks). Recent trial winner. Won 3 of 6 starts in first campaign. Can make a positive start for new trainer.

ILB

Back from a spell. Didn't threaten when 9th last time at Canterbury.

Finished last of nine at Canterbury four months ago; has made a pleasing start to her career with three wins from six starts; returns from an absence here; clear chance as would have leading chance if back in the same form she showed when winning two starts ago.

RSIS

Back from a break. Gave away some ground when 9th last start at Canterbury.

8EllofadudeJ: Mikayla Weir·T: Ben Blay258.5kg4 1 1 2 18: 3-1-1$4.20$1.80

Career

8: 3-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-1
Track Tamworth
1: 1-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1250m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-1
Going Soft
3: 2-1-0

Last starts

1Taree1263m22 Sept 2026 · CL3 BM66 · SOFT6-2.97
2Gosford1200m28 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT51L
1Newcastle800m3 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.6
1Gunnedah1250m24 May 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT5-0.8
4Dubbo1000m3 May 2026 · BM58 · GOOD42.7L
4Muswellbrook1000m20 Apr 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD41.8L
5Scone1300m24 Oct 2025 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD44.3L
3Port Macquarie1200m10 Oct 2025 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD42.6L

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Came off their backs for a very good win in soft going at Taree. Drawn favourably. Each way.

ILB

Flew home to win last time at Taree and has a good draw. Should muster plenty of early speed. Amongst the placegetters at every start this preparation. Rates as one of the key chances.

Came out on top by 3l (Taree) last week; others more persuasive despite that win last time.

RSIS

Stormed home to win last run at Taree and gets a favourable stall. Should muster plenty of early pace. Has not missed the placings recently in 2 attempts. Good chance in this.

9Glastonbury GirlJ: Lee Magorrian·T: Matthew Smith1358kg3 1 3 3 210: 3-2-3$4.20$1.80

Career

10: 3-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
4: 1-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
4: 1-1-2
Distance 1450m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 3-0-2
Going Good
4: 0-2-1

Last starts

2Illawarra Grange1450m17 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD42L
3Gosford1200m28 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT53.8L
3Warwick Farm819m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.3L
1Kembla Grange1600m20 June 2026 · BM68 · SOFT5-0.4
3Newcastle1400m6 June 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT50.3L
8Kembla Grange1500m16 May 2026 · BM64 · SOFT54.5L
2Kembla Grange1400m29 Apr 2026 · BM64 · GOOD42.8L
3Hawkesbury1400m14 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD40.4L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Chased in a good effort at Illawarra Grange. In the placings only prior run here. One for multiples.

ILB

Placed 2nd last run at Illawarra Grange. Been in the money each attempt this campaign. Solid chance.

Produced several respectable runs lately; proven that she knows how to get her head in front (seeking a fourth career win); couldn't quite get the job done when 4-6 runner-up 16 days ago (Illawarra Grange) upped to 7f; has a reasonable shout.

RSIS

Tidy effort when 2nd last run at Illawarra Grange. In the top three at every start lately. Commands respect.

10TulipwoodJ: Adam Farragher·T: Annabel & Rob Archibald655.5kg6 5 3 5 114: 3-2-4$17.00$3.80

Career

14: 3-2-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
2: 1-0-0
Track Newcastle
3: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
4: 2-0-1
Distance 1350m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-1
Going Good
9: 3-1-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-3
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

1Canberra1300m18 Sept 2026 · CL2-SW · GOOD3-0.66
5Newcastle1350m25 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT66.4L
3Muswellbrook1280m9 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD42.6L
5Muswellbrook900m15 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.2L
6Scone800m1 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)10.4L
2Muswellbrook1280m13 Jan 2026 · CL3 BM66 · SOFT50.1L
4Canberra1300m28 Dec 2025 · CL2 · GOOD41L
11Randwick Kensington1400m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -68% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Terrific winning the Plate (C2) over 1300m at Canberra at $13. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Flew home to win last run at Canberra and proven performer at this distance. Won't be far away during the run. In a purple patch of form this campaign. Long shot.

Has achieved three wins from 14 career runs; narrow scorer in a conditions race (Canberra) last month; easy enough to take on despite that win last time.

RSIS

Ran on hard when winning last run at Canberra and proven performer at this trip. Displays good tactical pace.

11Lady YarrowScratched1––––

Career

16: 2-5-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1209m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1210m
2: 0-2-0
Going Good
6: 0-3-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
9: 2-1-2

Last starts

2Moruya1210m15 Sept 2026 · BM74 · SOFT72.3L
3Sapphire Coast1400m30 Mar 2026 · BM66 · SOFT71.3L
7Hawkesbury1400m7 Mar 2026 · Class 5 · SOFT57.7L
4Nowra1400m22 Feb 2026 · BM66 · SOFT51.9L
6Canterbury1250m13 Feb 2026 · 4UP MARES BM64 HCP · GOOD44.5L
1Sapphire Coast1200m1 Feb 2026 · CL2 · SOFT6-3.8
1Sapphire Coast1400m1 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT5-1.4
2Kembla Grange1500m15 Nov 2025 · Maiden · GOOD40.1L

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Knuckled down in choppy conditions for second at Moruya off extended spell. Building fitness. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Struggled when 8th last run at Moruya but matched against less formidable competition. Has drawn the rails.

Posted respectable effort when beaten 2½l (Moruya) yesterday in a conditions race; easy enough to take on as not in the habit of winning recently; was due to run at Moruya Friday.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Underwhelming when 8th last run at Moruya but up against a less competitive field. Has minimal work to do from the stall.

12Hey JudeJ: Jean Van Overmeire·T: Bjorn Baker555kg1 5 1 1 310: 2-1-3$5.50$2.15

Career

10: 2-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Cowra
1: 1-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
5: 1-1-2
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Kembla Grange1200m12 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD42.6L
1Randwick1045m28 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-0.8
1Warwick Farm819m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-0.9
5Kembla Grange1300m21 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT73.7L
1Cowra1375m9 Mar 2026 · CL1 · GOOD4-0.8
6Kembla Grange1200m24 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42.7L
1Nowra1200m8 Feb 2026 · MDN HCP · HEAVY9-2
6Randwick1050m27 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial2.1L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 59% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jean Van Overmeire 70% above market expected in L100 Rides
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 25%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Honest competitor with solid stats Kept grinding away for the minors at Kembla Grange off extended spell. Strips fitter. Has some claims.

ILB

Finished 3rd last start at Kembla Grange and gets some weight relief. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Low-key chance.

Fair effort over 6f at Kembla Grange (handicap) 21 days ago; the Bjorn Baker operation is running hot currently.

RSIS

Came in 3rd last time at Kembla Grange and gets a reduction in weight. Interesting to see the tongue strap go on for the first time.

13BorjnordJ: Keagan Latham·T: Richard & Will Freedman355kg6 4 10 3 95: 1-1-0$23.00$4.20

Career

5: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1175m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

9Illawarra Grange1450m17 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD413.1L
3Gosford1000m31 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.3L
10Kembla Grange1000m15 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD412L
4Rosehill900m7 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.3L
6Rosehill900m24 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2.5L
12Newcastle1250m23 Apr 2026 · CL1 · SOFT59.8L
5Warwick Farm801m13 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.3L
1Albury1175m20 Mar 2026 · Maiden · SOFT6-0.8

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 26% Profit on Turnover
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

No threat as a $71 chance in Hcp (C1) at Illawarra Grange. Reverts to slightly shorter trip. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Sub-standard effort when 9th last time at Illawarra Grange. Should jump out and bowl along. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Could feature here.

Held when ninth of 11 at Illawarra Grange over 7f (handicap) last month; is passed over.

RSIS

Unsatisfactory performance when 9th last run at Illawarra Grange. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Has some claims.

Odds correct as at Sat 3 Oct, 5:16 pm AEST. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Mon 26 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Tue 6 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Fri 18 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races