Shortest win price
Elastane Miss (1)
2.45
Albury hosts a Class 1 handicap over 1000 metres on a good track in fine conditions at 5:43 pm AEDT on Friday, and the market has wrapped its arms around Elastane Miss as the one to beat, with Calais Bliss sitting second in the win order and Babushka's Pride third. The speedMap tells a tactical story: Calais Bliss leads from barrier 10, while Elastane Miss, Noteabeel, and Texas Open sit offpace, and a cluster of onpace runners—Alice Alice, Babushka's Pride, Tully's Bell, and Jenni Divine—are poised in the middle lanes to pounce.
Elastane Miss looks the logical pick despite the odds. Fresh off a Wagga fifth at this 1000-metre trip and a Wagga placing at 1400 metres, the mare's form line reads solid and the AAP comment flags her as key chance. That said, there's a rider change and trainer Wayne Carroll is only striking at 9%, which tempers enthusiasm. Calais Bliss brings a hotter narrative: Josh Richards and Maddison Collins are outperforming the market by 41 per cent, and while the mare hasn't broken through at Albury, her recent second at Wagga over 1000 metres in Class 1 is the sort of form that sticks. Babushka's Pride resumes after 20 weeks and her lone career win came over 1400 metres at this track, so the 1000 metres asks fresh questions; Emma Ly's jockey ROI suggests sharp riding, but a long spell is always a gamble.
Alice Alice's AAP note—'at best, a place hope'—is candid, yet Doug Gorrel is firing at 56 per cent above market and his stable runners are profitable at 41 per cent. Noteabeel, fifth in the market, teams that hot Damon Budler and A L Mcrae combination (44 per cent overperformance) with a profitable stable, and while form is patchy, the yard is knocking up winners. Iroquai sits last in the market from barrier 11, but Quayde Krogh and Michael Travers are a struggling combo. The narrative here leans toward the stronger hands at the top, yet there's value lurking if you back the form line and the yard angles running hot.
Shortest win price
Elastane Miss (1)
2.45
Most career wins
Texas Open
4-4-5 from 33 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Elastane Miss · Negative
Trainer SR
Wayne Carroll striking at just 9%
Calais Bliss · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 41%
Noteabeel · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 44%
Alice Alice · Positive
Hot Trainer
Doug Gorrel in good form, out performing market 56%
Career
11: 1-4-4
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-3-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-2
Track Albury
4: 1-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
4: 1-2-1
Track Wagga
7: 0-2-3
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 0-3-3
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Wayne Carroll striking at just 9%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 13%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened after return. Sent out $4.20 when battled home to finish 5th at Wagga. Form sound at this course and journey. Looks a key chance.
ILB
At $4.20 improved late to finish 5th last start at Wagga. Strong chance to be considered.
RP
Finished fifth, beaten just over 5l, (dropped to this trip) at Wagga last month; a winner over this C&D; not seen the winners' enclosure for a while now (last win in 2024); meeting some horses in good form and has questions to answer.
RSIS
Odds of 10/3 and got going late when 5th last time at Wagga. Good tough competitor that can be supported.
Career
13: 1-3-3
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-1
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 975m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
8: 0-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 41%
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Wagga Hcp (C1) placegetter 19 Sep. Handily placed but lacked the necessary pick-up this venue. Lone victory was over this trip. Warrants attention.
ILB
Started $13.00 and didn't maintain the pace throughout when 6th last run at the track. Should be rolling forward early from the wide barrier. Commands respect.
RP
Possible blip last time out as had been running well previously but been a while since she managed only win; held when sixth of 14 over 4½f here (handicap) 14 days ago; this is competitive and looks an unlikely winner.
RSIS
Was 12/1 and overrun in the run home when 6th last run here. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall. Strong prospects in this race.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Just missed at Jerilderie 26 Sep. Well back and made some minor headway but passing mainly tired rivals this venue. Lone victory was over this trip. Fit from racing, has some claims.
ILB
Odds of $11.00 and edged past some when finishing 4th last time at this track. In fine form since returning from a spell.
RSIS
At 10/1 picked up some ground to run 4th last time at this track. Displaying good ability of late.
Career
2: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Dubbo
1: 1-0-0
Track Orange
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
2: 1-1-0
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Brilliant debut winner Dubbo 27 Sep. Set pace and caught late at Orange at second outing. Possesses high speed. Major player.
ILB
Couldn't maintain the momentum throughout when 2nd last time at Orange. Has run into the placings at every start this preparation. Has the speed to overcome the wide barrier.
RP
Minor honours in a handicap two weeks ago (30-100, Orange); lightly raced (running for just the third time); running in a handicap for just the second time; holds leading claims.
RSIS
Showed strength on the pace initially before fading at the end 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Orange. Been in the placings each start of late.
Career
5: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gundagai
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-1-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1010m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 44%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Prominent to 400m but threw the towel in quickly at Moruya. Hard to warm to.
ILB
Started at $10.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last run at Moruya. Interesting to see the tongue tie go on for the first time. Capable of winning this.
RP
Finished last of eight at Moruya three weeks ago; should figure if replicating the best of his form.
RSIS
At 9/1 was well beaten when 8th last start at Moruya. Interesting to see the tongue strap go on for the first time. Definite contender.
Career
4: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-1
Hot Trainer
Positive
Doug Gorrel in good form, out performing market 56%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 41% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Raced in back half and never likely this venue second-up. All the better, at best, a place hope.
ILB
Started $91.00 and didn't find the line when 10th last start at the track. Won't find this easy.
RP
Close up behind Calais Bliss when tenth here over 4½f (handicap) two weeks ago; not had much racing - fifth outing here; easy to see her making an impression if excused most recent run as achieved handicap success two runs back.
RSIS
Started 90/1 and faded away to finish 10th last run here.
Career
9: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1240m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 1-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 31% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Emma Ly 26% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (20-weeks). Lone career win was over 1400m at Albury in last campaign. Prefer to see fresh.
ILB
Resuming. Was $8.50 and looked outclassed when 7th last run at Corowa and down in distance. Has the necessary speed to overcome the wide draw. Rough hope.
RP
Held when seventh of ten over 7f at Corowa (handicap) five months ago; best form so far in last two starts; a previous winner here; layoff to overcome; this looks a fair heat so passed over.
RSIS
Back from a break. Started 15/2 and didn't threaten when 7th last start at Corowa and dropping back to a shorter trip.
Career
33: 4-4-5
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 2-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-2-0
Third-up
3: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Narrandera
2: 0-0-0
Track Corowa
2: 0-0-0
Track Tullibigeal
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-3-0
Going Synthetic
5: 0-0-2
Going Unknown
3: 2-0-1
Going Firm
2: 1-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 13%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 15kg from LS run
AAP
Refused to shirk task in 3yo+ Hcp at Young off long spell. Been racing at the picnics.
ILB
Narrowly denied a win last time at Young and has the ideal barrier. Looks hopeful at best.
RP
Went close when third at Young over 4f (handicap) two weeks ago; could be in the mix.
RSIS
Right up there last run at Young and has minimal work to do from the draw.
Career
15: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
5: 0-0-1
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
6: 0-1-1
Distance 1050m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
7: 1-1-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -58% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened. Great run at Gundagai 6 Sep. Ridden back and never a factor at Wagga over this journey. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Started at $18.00 and faded to finish 10th last start at Wagga. Will be motoring home late. Win will not surprise.
RP
Beaten 9l (Wagga) last month; has winning track form; not the most consistent of horses lately; a lot on her plate here and not easy to fancy.
RSIS
At 17/1 folded up in the straight when 10th last run at Wagga. Will be hitting the line strongly. Will go close.
Career
5: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Wagga
3: 1-0-0
Track Leeton
1: 0-0-0
Track Corowa
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1065m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 33%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Quickened from turn and kept finding at Wagga Riverside second-up. Goes to a Class 1 now and well in the mix again.
ILB
Flew home to win last start at Wagga and gets some weight taken off. Displays good tactical speed. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.
RP
Appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; registered first success at the fifth time of asking 21 days ago (Wagga Riverside) when getting the job done by a short head in a maiden; despite that Wagga Riverside success, looks an unlikely winner.
RSIS
Finished with purpose when winning last time at Wagga and gets some weight relief. Likely to be well placed early.
Career
22: 1-2-7
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Wagga
11: 1-1-2
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-1-0
Track Goulburn
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1065m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 1-1-2
Going Good
11: 1-1-4
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 0-1-2
Trainer SR
Negative
Michael Travers striking at just 8%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 85%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
2nd Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when second up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Wagga Riverside. Drawn to get a conservative run and a nice weight drop. Can make her presence felt.
ILB
Started at $4.40 and closed off nicely when 5th last time at Wagga and gets a reduction in weight. Expecting to settle positively. Can surprise at a nice price.
RP
Been a while since she achieved her only career win and has lacked consistency of late; far from disgraced (beaten just under 3l) over 5½f at Wagga Riverside (handicap) 21 days ago; probably unlikely to trouble the principals as hits the crossbar all too often.
RSIS
Started 10/3 and edged past some when finishing 5th last time at Wagga and will appreciate the drop in weight. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned.
Career
19: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
7: 1-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-1-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (12-weeks). Largely struggled in her post maiden runs. Expect will need this.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. Jumped at $31.00 and faded away to finish 8th last time around here on a heavy surface and dropping in distance. Will struggle to compete in this race.
RP
Beaten 14l (eighth) in July upped to 1m; only once has she got into the winners' enclosure; a lot on her plate here and may have to settle for supporting role at best.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Started at 30/1 and weakened under pressure when 8th last start at this venue and back to a shorter trip.
Career
28: 1-5-4
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Narrandera
2: 0-0-1
Track Gundagai
4: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 0-4-2
Going Heavy
6: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Bradley Vale current POT is 22% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -61%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 62%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 68% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 52% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 13%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
AAP
Winless since 24 Jul 2025. Finished well held in soft going at Wagga Riverside. Drops to shorter trip. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Started at $7.50 and ran 6th last time at Wagga but drawn nicely. Blinkers go on for the first time. Place best.
RP
Just the one win to her name and form lately has been a mixed bag; out of the frame when sixth over 6f at Wagga Riverside (handicap) three weeks ago; others are preferred as hits the crossbar all too often.
RSIS
Started at 13/2 and came in 6th last start at Wagga but drawn nicely. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time.