Yarra Valley (VIC) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 12:50 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Yarra Valley (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 24 OctYarra Valley (VIC)Change

Race 7 — Bet365 New Racing App Hcp (56) 1514m · jumps Sat 24 Oct, 4:38 pm AEDT

Race notes

0 - 56,0 - 56 HCP,3yo+,Restricted 56
SOFT5
Showers
10 runners

Shortest win price

Colour Circle (1)

3.10

Most career wins

The Kings Gospel

6-2-5 from 44 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

8Somax

Midfield

10Our Paramour

Offpace

2Hell's Itch
6Okeah
9Clarapatra
5The Kings Gospel

Onpace

7Prestige Geoffrey
4Slate Ripper
3Prestige Ole

Leader

1Colour Circle

Colour Circle · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hell's Itch · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 50% in Last 100 Rides
Prestige Ole · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Slate Ripper · Negative
Early Splits
Out of races with slow early tempos

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Colour CircleJ: Damien Thornton·T: Brian Mcgrath360kg2 2 1 11 215: 1-4-0$3.10$1.34

Career

15: 1-4-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
3: 0-3-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1312m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 1-2-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Bairnsdale1600m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31L
11Geelong1730m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY812.2L
1Echuca1600m24 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY9-2.5
2Bairnsdale1600m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT70.3L
2Sale1728m28 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY80.3L
2Bairnsdale1600m12 June 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY80.3L
6Pakenham1600m22 May 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT67.2L
5Moe2050m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.8L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 34 days

Comments

AAP

Handy, knuckled down with purpose at Bairnsdale when subject of plunge. Highly rated in this line-up.

ILB

Strong effort to run into 2nd last run at Bairnsdale. Likely to be well placed early. Holds a major chance.

Finished in front of Clarapatra and Cuban Dawn over 1m at Bairnsdale (handicap) when a respectable second five weeks ago.

RSIS

Good effort to run 2nd beaten by 1L last start at Bairnsdale. Won't be far away during the run. Will go close today.

2Hell's ItchJ: Lachlan King·T: Ben Brisbourne560kg7 8 6 2 926: 3-2-0$13.00$3.30

Career

26: 3-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
6: 1-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
2: 1-0-0
Track Rosehill
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
8: 1-0-0
Going Good
13: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-1-0
Going Soft
10: 1-0-0

Last starts

9Kilmore1607m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD47.4L
2Wodonga1400m15 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.02L
6Wangaratta1300m23 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT76.2L
8Kembla Grange1600m7 Feb 2026 · BM64 HCP · SOFT58.1L
7Goulburn1600m27 Jan 2026 · BM66 · GOOD43.6L
5Nowra1600m11 Jan 2026 · BM66 · GOOD31.7L
1Nowra1600m31 Dec 2025 · BM66 · GOOD3-0.7
10Warwick Farm1600m17 Dec 2025 · 5UP BM64 HCP · GOOD48.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 50% in Last 100 Rides
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Went close at Wodonga 15 Sep. Ridden back and never a factor at Kilmore. Smoky place prospect at best.

ILB

Was $31.00 and unimpressive effort when 9th last time at Kilmore. Should muster plenty of early toe. Not hopeless.

Last of nine over 1m at Kilmore (handicap) last week; can be a player at this level; second two starts back and could figure.

RSIS

Started 30/1 and mediocre performance when 9th last start at Kilmore. Shows good early pace.

3Prestige OleJ: Jake Noonan·T: Julius Sandhu160kg10 12 12 7 714: 2-1-0$3.40$1.38

Career

14: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1325m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Cranbourne1400m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD312.75L
7Geelong1325m23 Sept 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD35.45L
12Echuca1400m24 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY943.1L
12Seymour1600m11 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT729.7L
10Pakenham1200m15 May 2026 · 2UP BM66 HCP · SOFT54.1L
10Pakenham1400m23 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD414L
7Flemington1600m1 Nov 2025 · 3yo · GOOD318.7L
15Caulfield1600m11 Oct 2025 · 3yo · GOOD312.1L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Dry Spell
Negative
Recent form uninspiring

Comments

AAP

Was a long way from the action in 1400m 3yo+ (Bm62) at Cranbourne. Rough exotics hope.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Odds of $13.00 and underperformed when 7th last run at Cranbourne but taking on a lower class of opponents. Definite winning chance.

Missed the frame (beaten 13l into seventh) over 7f at Cranbourne (handicap) a week ago; every chance.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Started 12/1 and below expectations when 7th last run at Cranbourne but will appreciate the drop in class. Drawn well. Very tidy performer.

4Slate RipperJ: Jackson Radley·T: Colin Mcgillivray760kg4 8 4 5 140: 5-2-5$9.00$2.60

Career

40: 5-2-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-1
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
6: 0-1-0
Distance 1457m
2: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
10: 2-1-1
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM52 HCP · GOOD4-0.75
5Kilmore1600m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.75L
4Kilmore1450m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.5L
8Pakenham Synthetic1400m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC6.5L
4Ballarat Synthetic1400m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC3.2L
6Wodonga1300m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY96.3L
4Donald1206m11 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY85L
3Kilmore1600m13 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD40.4L

Insights

Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Determined effort to secure victory at Kilmore. Placed only other run at Yarra Glen. Well placed to run another big race.

ILB

Bold effort when winning last time at Kilmore. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Solid chance.

Gained narrow success in a handicap at Kilmore overcoming three of these rivals 11 days ago; deserves respect.

RSIS

Picked up nicely to win last time at Kilmore. Should jump out and bowl along. Definite contender.

5The Kings GospelJ: Adam Mc Cabe·T: A R Mcgregor459.5kg3 5 1 6 544: 6-2-5$34.00$4.80

Career

44: 6-2-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-1
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
7: 0-1-0
Distance 1864m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
23: 3-0-3
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
15: 2-2-2

Last starts

5Mornington2030m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT63.6L
6Moe2400m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.9L
1Hamilton2200m7 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY8-0.3
5Kyneton1864m28 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT52.3L
3Stony Creek2100m8 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT61.8L
6Stony Creek1600m15 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD48.3L
14Stawell2000m4 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD414.3L
8Yarra Valley1968m19 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD37.3L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 27% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (23-weeks). Can make his presence felt fresh in this affair.

ILB

Resumes after a spell. Started at $5.50 and made some ground when 5th last start at Mornington but down in distance. Hard to warm to.

He meets the required standard ability wise; not beaten too far when fifth of 14 at Mornington over 1m2f (handicap) in May; returns from a layoff here; rates a likely contender if finding his best form.

RSIS

First run back from a break. At 9/2 crept into 5th last start at Mornington but will be dropping in distance.

6OkeahJ: Nadia Daniels·T: W Morrissey259kg6 5 1 8 99: 1-0-0$26.00$4.20

Career

9: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1284m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Morphettville1522m10 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD36.84L
8Tatura1450m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.07L
1Naracoorte1430m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY9-1.4
5Hamilton1200m1 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY109.5L
6Mount Gambier1412m25 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN PLTE · GOOD45.7L
11Warrnambool1700m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD325.2L
10Werribee1408m15 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD47.3L
7Penshurst1284m22 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD33.8L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 56% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Nadia Daniels 75% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Nadia Daniels in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 75%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Morphettville. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Odds of $151.00 and was nothing special when 9th last time at Morphettville but matched against lesser competition. Gets a favourable draw. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.

Beaten a fair way when ninth (Morphettville) 14 days ago; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

At 150/1 disappointing display when 9th last run at Morphettville but going down in class. Gets a favourable stall.

7Prestige GeoffreyJ: Mitchell Aitken·T: Matt Jenkins658.5kg7 3 6 3 109: 1-0-2$5.50$1.90

Career

9: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-1
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1860m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2025m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-2

Last starts

10Morphettville1522m10 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD37.11L
3Echuca1412m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.06L
6Stony Creek2100m8 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT66.5L
3Kilmore2000m13 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD43.8L
7Hanging Rock1600m26 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD413.5L
8Echuca1600m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD312.2L
6Cranbourne2025m31 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.56L
1Avoca1860m18 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.8

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 15% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 31% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 6kg now

Comments

AAP

Stationed midfield and never landed a blow at Morphettville 10 Oct. Worth a look.

ILB

At $11.00 didn't threaten when 10th last time at Morphettville. Happy to forgive that run and matched against a less competitive field. Has plenty of early speed. Must be considered here.

Form has an up and down look to it; beaten 7l in tenth at Morphettville 14 days ago when just behind Okeah; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Odds of 10/1 and struggled with the pace when 10th last time at Morphettville. Should improve from the last run and competing in an easier class. Up in weight. Strong prospects.

8SomaxJ: Fred W Kersley·T: J L Grob1057.5kg1 5 7 9 1016: 1-1-1$101.00$12.00

Career

16: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-1-0
Track Coleraine
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1606m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0

Last starts

10Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM52 HCP · GOOD45.57L
9Kilmore1450m13 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD48.4L
7Gold Coast Poly2000m13 Sept 2025 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC9.5L
5Gold Coast Poly1540m23 Aug 2025 · BM58 HCP · SYNTHETIC7.4L
1Gold Coast Poly1540m9 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC-0.3
10Toowoomba1625m12 July 2025 · MDN HCP · GOOD437.9L
5Toowoomba1625m31 May 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT58.6L
7Sunshine Coast Poly Track1600m11 May 2025 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC6.6L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Fred W Kersley current POT is 15% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 31% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Well back and never a factor at Kilmore off long break. Awkwardly drawn.

ILB

Odds of $101.00 and below par performance when 10th last run at Kilmore. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Looking elsewhere today.

Could not compete with Slate Ripper when last at Kilmore over 7f (handicap) last week; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and below par when 10th last run at Kilmore. Gets back and needs luck.

9ClarapatraJ: Liana Wood·T: A R Mcgregor857kg5 6 5 6 412: 1-0-1$9.00$2.65

Career

12: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
2: 0-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Hamilton1400m10 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT52.5L
6Bairnsdale1600m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD34L
5Murray Bridge1600m9 Sept 2026 · 0-58 · GOOD44.9L
6Moe1600m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY108.8L
5Naracoorte1430m24 July 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY810.4L
1Moe1217m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY10-0.8
8Murray Bridge2000m4 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.9L
5Camperdown1600m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD33.2L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 32% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs

Comments

AAP

Off the speed, picked up soundly and wasn't beaten far at Hamilton. Others rate stronger.

ILB

Odds of $18.00 and ran on into 4th last start at Hamilton. The large claim from Liana Wood should help. Needs to improve.

Fair effort when beaten 2½l over 7f at Hamilton (handicap) two weeks ago; a few throw outs since her success in a maiden at Moe in July.

RSIS

Odds of 17/1 and made up ground when 4th last start at Hamilton. The large claim from Liana Wood should help.

10Our ParamourJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Aaron Laing957kg3 10 11 5 1015: 1-0-3$12.00$3.20

Career

15: 1-0-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-0-1
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1214m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 2025m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
11: 1-0-2

Last starts

10Moe2050m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY1034L
5Traralgon2800m5 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)20.8L
11Swan Hill1600m6 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT65.7L
10Seymour1425m21 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT67.6L
3Moe1214m12 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · SOFT75.5L
11Colac2000m6 Feb 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD411.6L
8Sandown1800m21 Jan 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD47.2L
5Seymour2000m28 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD43L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ex M A Bell in Victoria. Winless since 11 Oct 2024. Failed to threaten in sodden conditions at Moe over longer assignment at longer odds.

ILB

Back from a spell. At $20.00 didn't find the line when 10th last run at Moe on a heavy track and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Considering others.

Tailed off at Moe over 1m2f (handicap) in August; been a while since she managed only win; first run for yard; easy to oppose.

RSIS

Back after a break. Started 19/1 and looked outclassed when 10th last run at Moe on a heavy track and back in trip. First start for a new trainer.

11Sacred IngotScratched4––––

Career

26: 1-4-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
6: 1-1-1
Distance 1717m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
11: 0-4-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
12: 1-0-2

Last starts

7Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM52 HCP · GOOD43.75L
3Moruya1650m16 Aug 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY91.2L
7Canberra1900m8 July 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD310.2L
8Moruya1650m19 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT54.8L
8Sapphire Coast1605m7 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT710L
1Moruya1425m10 May 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD4-0.4
4Sapphire Coast1000m3 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.9L
6Sapphire Coast2200m31 Jan 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD416.2L

Insights

Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Battled home okay at Kilmore for new stable. Drawn to get a soft run. Deep into his campaign, could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Started at $19.00 and gave away some ground when 7th last time at Kilmore.

Was behind Slate Ripper at Kilmore last week over 7f (handicap) when beaten just under 4l in seventh on debut for this trainer; he meets the required standard ability wise.

RSIS

Started 18/1 and weakened to finish 7th last time at Kilmore.

12I'm DynamiteScratched12––––

Career

66: 4-4-10

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed60%
Rating50%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Sale
29: 2-1-7
Track Bairnsdale
9: 0-1-1
Track Yarra Valley
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
17: 2-2-2
Going Good
31: 0-2-4
Going Heavy
11: 2-2-1
Going Soft
22: 2-0-4

Last starts

4Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM52 HCP · GOOD42.75L
7Geelong1247m28 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT75.7L
9Sale1400m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.6L
5Wangaratta1400m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY95.8L
4Sale1400m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT65L
8Bairnsdale1200m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT77.4L
2Bairnsdale1200m12 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY82.8L
1Werribee1425m30 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT6-0.3

Insights

Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Kilmore. Has an adverse draw. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Outpaced some runners late when 4th last time at Kilmore.

Wasn't beaten that far when fourth (beaten just under 3l) last week at Kilmore upped to 7f; he can be competitive at this level.

RSIS

Hit the line well when 4th last time at Kilmore.

13Nicking GracieScratched2––––

Career

29: 2-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 0-0-1
Second-up
6: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Bairnsdale
6: 0-0-1
Track Edenhope
1: 0-0-1
Track Yarra Valley
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-1
Going Soft
11: 1-1-1

Last starts

7Avoca1200m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.25L
5Bairnsdale1200m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.41L
5Warracknabeal1200m29 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.6L
3Edenhope1450m7 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.3L
11Yarra Valley1500m7 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD418.8L
2Camperdown1400m17 Jan 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD30.8L
4Burrumbeet1350m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.5L
5Stony Creek1100m7 Dec 2025 · 3UP F&M 0 - 56 HCP · HEAVY107L

Insights

Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Avoca. Can play a role.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Odds of $4.80 and looked outclassed when 7th last run at Avoca but has a positive draw.

Held in seventh over 6f at Avoca (handicap) last week when failing to flourish in first-time blinkers on debut for this trainer; this is her level; has won previously at this course.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Odds of 4/1 and folded up in the straight when 7th last run at Avoca but has a positive stall.

14Cuban DawnScratched11––––

Career

26: 1-4-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating50%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Track Cork
1: 0-1-0
Track Colac
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 1-3-2
Going Soft
8: 0-1-2
Going Synthetic
5: 0-0-1

Last starts

11Bairnsdale1600m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD316.06L
10Kilmore2000m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD49.4L
11Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.4L
10Ballarat Synthetic1500m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.9L
2Bendigo1400m13 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT50.5L
3Werribee1425m30 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT63.5L
6Werribee2256m1 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD48L
2Stony Creek2100m30 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD41.5L

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Well back and never sighted at Bairnsdale at healthy odds. One for exotics.

ILB

Jumped at $19.00 and weakened to finish 11th last time at Bairnsdale.

Last of 11 over 1m at Bairnsdale (handicap) when behind two of these last month.

RSIS

Started at 18/1 and gave away some ground when 11th last start at Bairnsdale.

Odds correct as at Sat 24 Oct, 4:40 pm AEDT. Odds can change.