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Yarra Valley (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Yarra Valley (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 24 OctYarra Valley (VIC)Change

Race 4 — Bet365 Position Payout Hcp (56) 1968m · jumps

Race notes

  • 0 - 56,0 - 56 HCP,3yo+,Restricted 56
  • SOFT5
  • Showers
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Surely Special (6)

2.25

Most career wins

Surely Special

6-6-6 from 58 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 5Grunnettan

Offmidfield

  • 1Devine Grunt
  • 7Opus

Midfield

  • 11Anchor Down
  • 2Golden Hips

Offpace

  • 10Pharoah's Daughter

Onpace

  • 6Surely Special
  • 9Palace Winter

Leader

  • 4Up And Under
  • 8Avonview

  • Devine Grunt · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Golden Hips · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 56% in Last 100 Rides

  • Up And Under · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

  • Grunnettan · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 50% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Devine GruntJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Aaron Laing260kg9 3 8 8 611: 1-0-2$4.60$1.60

Career

11: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tatura

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2100m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Moe2050m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.71L
  2. 8Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC6L
  3. 8Sale1732m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.6L
  4. 3Echuca1600m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.9L
  5. 9Kyneton1862m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD411.7L
  6. 1Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8
  7. 4Pakenham2500m16 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD418L
  8. 3Echuca2100m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD32.5L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Closed off late from the tail at Moe. Not out of this.

ILB

On a quick back up. Started at $17.00 and finished 6th last run at Moe but has a good draw. Likely to get back in the field. Could feature here.

RP

He can be competitive at this level; creditable effort to finish sixth, beaten just under 3l at Moe on Sunday upped to 1m2f; should not be far away given there is limited recent form on offer in this race and shown he can get his head in front.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Odds of 16/1 and came in 6th last run at Moe but has a good draw. Gets back and needs luck.

2Golden HipsJ: Nadia Daniels·T: D J Walkley360kg3 7 8 9 927: 3-4-6$10.00$2.65

Career

27: 3-4-6

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2238m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1590m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    8: 3-1-1

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-0-4

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Moe2400m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD414.75L
  2. 9Mornington2050m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.11L
  3. 8Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY83.8L
  4. 7Sale1717m10 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY83.6L
  5. 3Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY104L
  6. 7Moe1623m12 May 2026 · BM56 · SOFT79.3L
  7. 4Caulfield Heath1400m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.3L
  8. 3Geelong2440m12 Sept 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD44.5L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 56% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Damien Walkley striking at just 4%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Nadia Daniels 75% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 94%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 48%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Nadia Daniels in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 75%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Long losing streak. No threat as a $26 chance in 3yo+ (Bm56) at Moe. Not fancied.

ILB

Couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last time at Moe and will be down in distance. Not at all out of this race.

RP

Finished ninth of 12 over 1m4f at Moe (handicap) last month; every chance as has bits and pieces of decent form.

RSIS

Folded up in the straight when 9th last run at Moe and coming back in trip. Watch betting.

3Treasury PlaceScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $7.50 when battled home to finish 5th at Coleraine. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

At $7.50 faded in the late stages when 5th last time at Coleraine.

RSIS

At 13/2 started to tire when 5th last start at Coleraine.

4Up And UnderJ: Dylan Dean·T: D M Noonan860kg4 8 7 6 438: 2-4-4$8.00$2.35

Career

38: 2-4-4

Rating · IRD

97

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Rosehill

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2011m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2012m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2040m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-2-1

  • Going Soft

    13: 1-1-2

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Moe1600m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.26L
  2. 6Kilmore2000m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.15L
  3. 7Sale1732m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.5L
  4. 8Warrnambool2000m23 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1013.4L
  5. 4Cranbourne1600m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY92.8L
  6. 10Pakenham Synthetic2200m15 June 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC16.2L
  7. 7Sandown2100m31 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT710.7L
  8. 1Mornington2050m25 May 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT5-2.8

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 51%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Brave effort in busy finish at Moe. Hard fit, not out of this.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Faded away when 4th last run at Moe. Has the speed to overcome the wide alley. Expecting a strong showing.

RP

Creditable fourth over 1m at Moe (handicap) last Sunday; not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Mornington five months ago.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Faded late when 4th last start at Moe. Has the necessary pace to mitistall the wide draw. Can take this out.

5GrunnettanJ: Lachlan King·T: Rhys Archard1059.5kg6 5 1 1 534: 2-2-6$19.00$3.60

Career

34: 2-2-6

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Wycheproof

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    6: 0-2-1

  • Track Echuca

    8: 1-0-2

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1414m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1590m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    6: 0-2-1

Last starts

  1. 5Kilmore1607m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD45.45L
  2. 1Echuca1412m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD4-1
  3. 1Seymour1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1
  4. 5Ballarat Synthetic2200m27 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.1L
  5. 6Ballarat Synthetic2100m14 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.8L
  6. 2Ballarat Synthetic2100m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC0.8L
  7. 9Wodonga2050m27 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY85L
  8. 2Ballarat Synthetic2200m21 June 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC1.8L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 50% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Lachlan King 55% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $51 when never got into the race at Kilmore. Very fit, one for multiples.

ILB

Odds of $51.00 and crept into 5th last run at Kilmore. Might be ridden for luck. A difficult test here.

RP

Was fifth of nine, beaten 5½l, at Kilmore over 1m (handicap) 11 days ago; is passed over.

RSIS

At 50/1 hit the line well when 5th last run at Kilmore. Might have to make up considerable ground.

6Surely SpecialJ: Olivia East·T: C J Davis559kg4 3 6 1 158: 6-6-6$2.25$1.24

Career

58: 6-6-6

Rating · IRD

99

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Avoca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1518m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1760m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2050m

    4: 1-0-2

  • Going Good

    31: 5-4-0

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    16: 0-2-3

Last starts

  1. 1Wodonga2050m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-6
  2. 1Echuca2112m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD4-0.75
  3. 6Kilmore1600m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.9L
  4. 3Wodonga2050m1 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT66.3L
  5. 4Wodonga2050m17 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY83.4L
  6. 3Wodonga2050m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY92.5L
  7. 10Ballarat Synthetic1500m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.46L
  8. 4Echuca1400m23 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY104L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 2%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Shooting for hat-trick. Streeted them at Wodonga. Back in top form and looks hard to beat again.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Bolted in when winning by 6L last start at Wodonga. On a winning streak the last 2 starts. Will be positive in the run early. Good chance at a nice price.

RP

Bids for hat-trick; useful performance to win at Wodonga by 6l over 1m2f (handicap) a week ago; must be high on list.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Had a comfortable win by 6L last start at Wodonga. Won last 2 in a row. Should muster plenty of early pace. Definite claims.

7OpusJ: Adam Mc Cabe·T: Simone Manne658.5kg11 5 4 1 1021: 2-0-2$26.00$4.00

Career

21: 2-0-2

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tuncurry

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Terang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2018m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2030m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    7: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 10Wodonga2050m1 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT612.6L
  2. 1Bairnsdale2200m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.4
  3. 4Wodonga2050m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY94.8L
  4. 5Wodonga2050m27 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY82.9L
  5. 11Mornington2030m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT69.5L
  6. 3Moe1600m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.5L
  7. 14Bairnsdale2200m21 July 2025 · BM58 HCP · SOFT640.36L
  8. 12Warrnambool2350m6 July 2025 · 3UP BM58 HWGT HCP · HEAVY6.25L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 27% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Simone Manne striking at just 6%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Well back and never sighted at Wodonga. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Back from a let up. Jumped at $7.00 and struggled with the pace when 10th last start at Wodonga. Does take a while to get into stride. Entitled to be a big price.

RP

Finished last of ten over 1m2f at Wodonga (handicap) last month; others appeal more.

RSIS

Back from a let up. Odds of 6/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last run at Wodonga. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

8AvonviewJ: Melea Castle·T: D J Walkley958kg3 3 7 8 546: 4-8-7$14.00$3.30

Career

46: 4-8-7

Rating · IRD

97

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Wyong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sapphire Coast

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1968m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1210m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1430m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    31: 2-5-4

  • Going Heavy

    5: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    8: 0-3-2

Last starts

  1. 5Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.1L
  2. 8Moe1600m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.52L
  3. 7Kilmore1600m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.1L
  4. 3Bairnsdale2200m13 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT71.3L
  5. 3Bairnsdale2200m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY84.5L
  6. 2Mornington2050m25 May 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT52.8L
  7. 1Kilmore2000m4 May 2026 · 0-56 · HEAVY9-1.5
  8. 2Kilmore2000m18 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.3L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Melea Castle current POT is 52% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Damien Walkley striking at just 4%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 48%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 79% in L100 rides

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $31 when battled home to finish 5th at Pakenham Synthetic. Outside place prospect at best.

ILB

Came in 5th last run at Pakenham Synthetic. Looking for an improved run and stepping down to a lower level. Win will not surprise.

RP

Held in fifth over 1m at Pakenham (handicap) 19 days ago; could be in the mix as has been on the scene in the recent past.

RSIS

Finished 5th last time at Pakenham Synthetic. Happy to forgive that run and matched against a less competitive field. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

9Palace WinterJ: Jake Noonan·T: R N Mathews758kg11 9 5 9 819: 1-0-2$15.00$3.40

Career

19: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Mornington

    5: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    7: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1500m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1715m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 1-0-2

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Mornington1500m25 May 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT54.2L
  2. 9Geelong1715m14 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.3L
  3. 5Pakenham1600m5 Mar 2026 · BM62 · GOOD43.2L
  4. 9Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD46.3L
  5. 11Cranbourne1600m22 Jan 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD311.4L
  6. 6Mornington2400m2 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD7L
  7. 3Moe2050m19 Oct 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.1L
  8. 5Mornington2000m18 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.1L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 36%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Long Prep

    Negative

    Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

First-up (21-weeks). Not beaten far Benchmark 58 company at Pakenham Synthetic first-up last preparation. Capable of making an impact fresh in this affair.

ILB

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Was $6.00 and didn't attack the line when 8th last time at Mornington. Prefer in something easier.

RP

Recent form is unremarkable and just the one victory on his CV; not disgraced when eighth over 7½f at Mornington (handicap) in May; back from an absence here; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. At 5/1 tailed off to finish 8th last start at Mornington.

10Pharoah's DaughterJ: Mitchell Aitken·T: Ben Brisbourne158kg4 3 5 5 830: 3-2-6$8.00$2.40

Career

30: 3-2-6

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track Tatura

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ballarat

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1500m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    5: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 1-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 0-2-1

Last starts

  1. 8Manangatang2000m10 Oct 2026 · HCP · GOOD34.21L
  2. 5Wagga2000m19 Sept 2026 · AGGIES CUP · GOOD41.82L
  3. 5Geelong1700m11 Sept 2026 · BM62 · GOOD42.6L
  4. 3Ballarat Synthetic2100m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SYNTHETIC2.3L
  5. 4Ballarat Synthetic1500m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC1.7L
  6. 3Ballarat Synthetic1400m30 June 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.3L
  7. 9Wangaratta1590m14 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY1011.2L
  8. 10Seymour1600m21 May 2026 · 0-62 · SOFT68.4L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Mitchell Aitken 31% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Started $9 when safely held in Open company at Manangatang. Hard fit, capable of making an impact.

ILB

Odds of $9.00 and weakened under pressure when 8th last run at Manangatang. Capable of bouncing back and facing weaker opposition. Has a nice advantage with a good gate. Good chance and definitely has claims.

RP

Fair effort when beaten just over 4l, finishing eighth of nine (Manangatang) 14 days ago; others appeal more.

RSIS

Started at 8/1 and didn't threaten when 8th last run at Manangatang. Should improve from the last run and challenged by less formidable competitors. Drawn beautifully. Very tidy performer.

11Anchor DownJ: Jackie Beriman·T: D P Dwyer457kg11 2 5 8 721: 1-2-3$81.00$8.00

Career

21: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Wodonga

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Kilmore

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    15: 1-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 7Manangatang1550m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.11L
  2. 8Jerilderie1400m26 Sept 2026 · BM502.97L
  3. 5Griffith1350m12 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD33.5L
  4. 2Bendigo1000m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)6.5L
  5. 11Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT57.6L
  6. 2Kilmore1000m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L
  7. 11Werribee2108m15 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD410L
  8. 4Wangaratta2000m6 Dec 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.6L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 13%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%

  • Winkers On

    Positive

    Important gear change of winkers on

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Long time since last saluted. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Manangatang. At best, a place hope.

ILB

Was $5.00 and ordinary when 7th last start at Manangatang. One that represents value at a decent price.

RP

Useful in this grade; beaten just over 5l when seventh of ten at Manangatang over 7½f (handicap) 14 days ago.

RSIS

Started 4/1 and only fair when 7th last time at Manangatang. Serious contender.

12Ain't TellinScratched4––––

Career

18: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mount Gambier

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bordertown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    6: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 0-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Warrnambool1400m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.52L
  2. 13Mount Gambier1550m20 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT513.76L
  3. 5Bordertown1550m11 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT65.2L
  4. 7Warracknabeal1000m29 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD46.2L
  5. 6Kilcoy1500m2 Jan 2026 · 0 - 55 · SOFT54.1L
  6. 6Chinchilla1400m20 Dec 2025 · BM508L
  7. 8Ipswich1350m10 Dec 2025 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD47.9L
  8. 7Chinchilla1400m8 Nov 2025 · CL1 · GOOD325.2L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 68% Profit on Turnover

Comments

AAP

Settled midfield and never a serious challenger at Warrnambool. Has plenty to find on latest offerings.

ILB

Gave away some ground when 9th last time at Warrnambool but back in an easier grade. Going over extra ground.

RP

Can be a player at this level; finished last of nine over 7f at Warrnambool (handicap) last Thursday.

RSIS

Faded to finish 9th last run at Warrnambool but back in an easier grade. Rising in trip.

13Blonde SuspectScratched8––––

Career

73: 5-4-8

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Track Murtoa

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track St Arnaud

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    7: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1880m

    9: 2-0-1

  • Going Soft

    19: 0-0-3

  • Going Synthetic

    26: 5-2-2

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Wodonga2050m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD315.95L
  2. 11Kilmore1600m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD418.1L
  3. 3Tatura1600m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.7L
  4. 5Wodonga2050m1 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT610.2L
  5. 6Berrigan1600m22 Aug 2026 · BM502.3L
  6. 9Wodonga2050m17 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY87.6L
  7. 8Ballarat Synthetic1500m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC9.3L
  8. 8Murtoa1600m25 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT711.4L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 5%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -39% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Well back and never sighted at Wodonga as an outsider. New to Yarra Glen. Needs a major turnaround.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Faded to finish 9th last start at Wodonga.

RP

He can be competitive at this level; beaten 16l when ninth of ten at Wodonga a week ago upped to 1m2f.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Was well beaten when 9th last time at Wodonga.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.