Yarra Valley (VIC) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 2:37 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Yarra Valley (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 24 OctYarra Valley (VIC)Change

Race 2 — Stretch Electrics Mdn Plate 1009m · jumps Sat 24 Oct, 1:16 pm AEDT

Race notes

4yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
SOFT5
Showers
10 runners

Shortest win price

Real Heir (2)

3.20

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

7La Velocita
11Silver Snow

Offpace

2Real Heir
5Fanfire

Onpace

4Charleanor
3Sheer Panic

Firststart

1Eleven Herbs
6Janie's Got A Gun
9Russian Tide

Leader

8Luscombe

Eleven Herbs · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.
Real Heir · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 15% lower than Career Avg.
Sheer Panic · Negative
Gave ground LS
Faded towards the finish last time out
Charleanor · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 50% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Eleven HerbsJ: Mitchell Aitken·T: Susie Wells359.5kg–$14.00$3.50

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Susie Wells-trained debutant who comes into this off a Sale jumpout win. Odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

Career debut 4yo by Hanseatic for Susie Wells. Respect the betting.

Gelded already; first rules outing for this four-year-old son of Hanseatic; hard to ignore as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

Racing as a debutant 4yo by Hanseatic for trainer Susie Wells.

2Real HeirJ: Fred W Kersley·T: Mick Shepherdson959.5kg11 2 5 7 27: 0-2-1$3.20$1.38

Career

7: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-1-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1214m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-2-1
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1

Last starts

2Ballarat1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41L
7Moe1214m12 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT710.3L
5Pakenham1000m1 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD41L
2Werribee1000m11 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT53.8L
11Geelong1112m14 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD414.65L
3Colac1000m1 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT72.3L
8Geelong1212m22 Aug 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD48.27L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 15% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 719%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 46% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 31% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw

Comments

AAP

Courageous effort in the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Ballarat first up. Strips in better shape. Highly fancied to go one better.

ILB

Attacked the line when 2nd beaten by 1L last time at Ballarat. Win will not surprise.

Has shown some recent improvement; not beaten far when runner-up dropped down to this distance (Ballarat) 15 days ago.

RSIS

Made considerable ground when 2nd last start at Ballarat. Can measure up against these.

3Sheer PanicJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Colin Scott859.5kg3 5 10 2 119: 0-1-1$17.00$3.80

Career

9: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1421m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

11Seymour1200m11 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT512.5L
2Geelong1100m11 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD40.4L
10Pakenham Synthetic1000m24 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC9L
5Moe1000m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY104L
3Pakenham Synthetic1100m20 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.5L
1Pakenham Synthetic750m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC-0.4
9Geelong1421m5 Dec 2024 · MDN-SW · GOOD36.7L
10Moe1200m21 Nov 2024 · Maiden · GOOD34.88L

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Finished well down the track in 4yo+ Mdn Plate at Seymour last outing. Reverts to shorter trip and effort two back keeps him in the picture.

ILB

Jumped at $19.00 and weakened under pressure when 11th last run at Seymour. Watch betting.

Good and bad recent runs found on his CV and yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at nine; towards the rear of 14 over 6f at Seymour (maiden) two weeks ago; hard enough to fancy as this looks a decent race.

RSIS

Odds of 18/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last time at Seymour. Not without a chance.

4CharleanorJ: Lachlan King·T: Michael Huglin657.5kg7 6 5 4 25: 0-1-0$23.00$4.20

Career

5: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Corowa
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT70.75L
4Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.75L
5Corowa900m31 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT54.9L
6Bairnsdale1200m22 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD46.3L
7Pakenham1100m5 Mar 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD45.9L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 50% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Lachlan King 55% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 119%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 64%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 71% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Couldn't quite peg back winner in choppy conditions at Bairnsdale. Among the dangers again.

ILB

Finished strongly when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last run at Bairnsdale and form has been improving over recent runs. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Could feature here.

Seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice; missed out by three-quarters of a length at Bairnsdale 12 days ago.

RSIS

Ran on strongly when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time at Bairnsdale and showing improvement in recent outings. Should muster plenty of early pace. Betting is the best guide.

5FanfireJ: Jake Noonan·T: Julius Sandhu757.5kg6 5 4 43: 0-0-0$5.50$2.00

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Echuca1200m8 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.3L
4Cranbourne1000m13 Feb 2026 · 3Y F MDN-SW · GOOD311L
5Ballarat Synthetic1100m19 Aug 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC7.05L
6Horsham800m20 May 2025 · Barrier Trial7.5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (32-weeks). Ex Mitchell Freedman in Victoria. Can make her presence felt fresh in this company.

ILB

First up from a break of 32 weeks. At $20.00 finished 4th last run at Echuca. Coming to a new trainer. Definite winning chance.

Not beaten that far over 6f at Echuca (maiden) in March; returns from a break today; starts out for new trainer; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Back after break of 32 weeks. Odds of 19/1 and came in 4th last start at Echuca. Coming to a new trainer. Must respect.

6Janie's Got A GunJ: Remi Tremsal·T: Ms R Waymouth157.5kg–$17.00$3.80

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed50%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Sepoy 4yo lining up for her first official race start. Plenty of jumpout experience. Watch market.

ILB

Sepoy 4yo having first race appearance for trainer Rebecca Waymouth and has drawn the rails. Keep your eye on the market.

First start under rules for this four-year-old daughter of Sepoy; difficult to oppose with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

4yo by Sepoy first starter for Rebecca Waymouth and can save some energy from the stall.

7La VelocitaJ: Ruby Lamont·T: M C Kent257.5kg7 6 3 3 311: 0-1-3$3.40$1.40

Career

11: 0-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1000m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1108m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-3
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Cranbourne1200m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32L
3Cranbourne1200m9 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD31.7L
3Moe1100m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.9L
6Moe1108m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86.9L
7Moe1000m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY104.8L
8Pakenham Synthetic1000m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.9L
5Cranbourne1000m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY97.3L
5Pakenham Synthetic1000m29 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC4.1L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Positive
Ruby Lamont 33% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 134%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Consistent type knocking on the door. Placed in her last three starts and this a winnable race.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Looked good when 3rd last run at Cranbourne and has a good draw. Likely to get back in the field. Watch the betting.

String of creditable efforts to her name of late but yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at 11; produced an encouraging effort (third of 11, beaten 2l) over 6f at Cranbourne (maiden) last Friday; not hard to turn elsewhere as not in the habit of winning recently.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Ran well when 3rd last start at Cranbourne and can find a nice position from the draw. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Has some claims.

8LuscombeJ: Nadia Daniels·T: Logan Mcgill1057.5kg3 92: 0-0-1$34.00$5.00

Career

2: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

9Bendigo1000m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT620.7L
3Sandown1200m22 July 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT63.3L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 56% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Logan McGill striking at just 4%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Nadia Daniels 75% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Key Jockey
Positive
Nadia Daniels winning at 52% POT in last 100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten in choppy conditions at Bendigo for new stable at longer odds. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Faded away to finish 9th last start at Bendigo. Giving another go here. Has the necessary speed to mitigate the wide draw. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.

Finished tailed off (Bendigo) three weeks ago on debut for this trainer; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last start at Bendigo. Looking for an improved run. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace. Strong competitor.

9Russian TideJ: Lauren Burke·T: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black457.5kg–$21.00$4.00

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Omaha Beach 4yo lining up for her first official race start. Placed in most recent Mornington jumpout. Follow betting leads.

ILB

First race appearance 4yo by Omaha Beach for Hayden Black & Shane Nichols. Betting as a guide.

First start under rules for this four-year-old; should give it a shot.

RSIS

4yo first starter sired by Omaha Beach for trainer Hayden Black & Shane Nichols.

10Xuxa KissScratched14––––

Career

5: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating50%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Bairnsdale1000m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.3L
5Wangaratta1000m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY103.4L
6Ballarat1200m14 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.7L
2Cranbourne1200m30 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD33.5L
7Sandown1000m8 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.2L

Insights

Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Bairnsdale. Won a couple of jumpouts leading into this.

ILB

Resumes after a break. At $5.50 ran 6th last time at Bairnsdale.

Not beaten too far when sixth of ten (Bairnsdale) three months ago; winless in five starts but has shown promise with second her top showing.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a break. Was 9/2 and ran 6th last time at Bairnsdale.

11Silver SnowJ: Dylan Dunn·T: Daniel Williams559.5kg8 3 5 7 416: 0-2-2$6.00$2.15

Career

16: 0-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
7: 0-1-1
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1325m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-1-2
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Cranbourne1000m16 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD33.21L
7Pakenham Synthetic1200m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC6L
5Mornington1000m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.1L
3Seymour1000m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY81.3L
8Wangaratta1000m31 July 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY97.1L
8Hamilton1200m7 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY89L
8Terang1206m17 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT611.8L
4Ararat1100m3 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT71.3L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 45% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fair performance without threatening at Cranbourne at $31. Well into preparation now, can play a role.

ILB

On a quick back up. Overtook some late when 4th last time at Cranbourne. Displays very good closing speed. Has some claims.

Not disgraced when fourth at Cranbourne last week; useful at this level.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Picked up some ground to run 4th last run at Cranbourne. Should be swooping on the field late. Watch for a sign in the market.

12Bold AmoreScratched11––––

Career

10: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1212m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

6Mornington1000m25 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT54.4L
4Seymour1000m13 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT52.7L
4Kerang1100m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.5L
8Geelong1212m14 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD45.1L
2Holbrook1100m14 Feb 2026 · MDN1.5L
5Wangaratta1000m8 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD32.8L
2Hanging Rock1000m26 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L
11Benalla1212m2 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT512.9L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 47% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Holly Durnan 49% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 103%
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (21-weeks). Form sound last campaign. Placed at Hanging Rock first-up last campaign. Can play a role fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up after 21 weeks and placed 2nd first up last preparation at Hanging Rock.

Not beaten that far (Mornington) in May; returns from a break today.

RSIS

Resuming and claimed a spot in the top three when 2nd resuming last preparation at Hanging Rock.

13PowershareScratched9––––

Career

23: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Murtoa
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
9: 0-0-1
Distance 1217m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-0-1

Last starts

10Pakenham Synthetic1200m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC11.85L
5Pakenham1200m18 Oct 2024 · Maiden · HEAVY812.5L
4Cranbourne1200m2 Oct 2024 · Maiden · GOOD42.25L
8Cranbourne1000m19 Sept 2024 · Maiden · GOOD43.46L
4Pakenham Synthetic1000m25 Aug 2024 · Maiden · SYNTHETIC4.25L
5Moe1217m18 Aug 2024 · Maiden · SOFT64.85L
4Cranbourne1000m1 Aug 2024 · Maiden · SOFT74.55L
4Pakenham Synthetic1000m18 July 2024 · Maiden · SYNTHETIC6.75L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and never landed a blow at Pakenham Synthetic off long break. New to Yarra Glen. Form falls short of this.

ILB

Didn't threaten when 10th last run at Pakenham Synthetic.

Useful at this level; last of ten at Pakenham over 6f (maiden) behind Silver Snow, three weeks ago.

RSIS

Looked outclassed when 10th last start at Pakenham Synthetic.

14BalticScratched12––––

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating50%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

13Sale1005m28 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY87.6L
9Ballarat1000m12 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY810.2L
6Pakenham1000m26 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · GOOD410.3L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 56% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Nadia Daniels 75% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 195%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 133%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 106% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Nadia Daniels in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 75%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

First-up (16-weeks). Form mediocre across two preps. Needs to show more.

ILB

Back from a break. Didn't find the line when 13th last time at Sale on a heavy track.

Finished towards the rear of 14 at Sale in June.

RSIS

Back from a break. Tailed off to finish 13th last time at Sale.

Odds correct as at Sat 24 Oct, 1:20 pm AEDT. Odds can change.