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Yarra Valley (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Yarra Valley (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 24 OctYarra Valley (VIC)Change

Race 6 — Bet365 Top Finishes Hcp (56) 1209m · jumps

Race notes

  • 0 - 56,0 - 56 HCP,3yo+,Restricted 56
  • SOFT5
  • Showers
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

The Mount (3)

3.30

Most career wins

Rockcliff

4-4-6 from 56 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 10Smashing Ruby

Offpace

  • 6Aussieaussieaussie

Onpace

  • 1Pensatore
  • 5Think I'm Divine
  • 7Belmasai
  • 2Ponte Arcobaleno
  • 3The Mount
  • 8Moose Jaw

Leader

  • 4Rockcliff
  • 11Balgowan

  • Pensatore · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Ms T Cullen striking at just 3%

  • Ponte Arcobaleno · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 50% in Last 100 Rides

  • The Mount · Positive

    Profitable Trainer

    Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rockcliff · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 45% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1PensatoreJ: Olivia East·T: Ms T Cullen159.5kg5 6 3 8 519: 1-0-3$15.00$3.50

Career

19: 1-0-3

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ararat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Manangatang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1602m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 0-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Moe1217m21 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY98.1L
  2. 8Yarra Valley1514m29 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD411.3L
  3. 3Yarra Valley1514m19 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD34.5L
  4. 6Manangatang1550m11 Oct 2025 · BM56 · GOOD39.9L
  5. 5Donald850m18 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial11.2L
  6. 7Ararat2206m27 Mar 2025 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD310.25L
  7. 1Edenhope1850m8 Mar 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT6-1.5
  8. 3Ballarat2000m23 Feb 2025 · Maiden · GOOD43.75L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Ms T Cullen striking at just 3%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 54%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (13-weeks). Hasn't offered much fresh in the past. May need this.

ILB

Resuming after a spell. Started at $151.00 and came in 5th last run at Moe but matched against lesser competition. Should race on the speed. Entitled to be a big price.

RP

Held when fifth beaten 8l at Moe back down to this trip in July; others more persuasive with this looking like a hot contest.

RSIS

First run back today. At 150/1 came in 5th last time at Moe but drops back to a suitable class. Should be going forward early.

2Ponte ArcobalenoJ: Lachlan King·T: Ben Brisbourne359.5kg8 9 6 3 120: 2-5-2$6.50$2.30

Career

20: 2-5-2

Rating · IRD

99

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1203m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1209m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-2-0

  • Going Synthetic

    5: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    14: 2-4-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.15
  2. 3Echuca1209m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.5L
  3. 6Ballarat Synthetic1200m25 Aug 2026 · 3UP CG&E BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC6L
  4. 9Pakenham Synthetic1200m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.7L
  5. 8Ballarat Synthetic1400m30 June 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SYNTHETIC7.8L
  6. 3Ballarat Synthetic1200m16 June 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC3.3L
  7. 1Albury1175m15 May 2026 · CGE MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8
  8. 9Kyneton1203m11 Dec 2025 · 4UP MDN SW · GOOD47.3L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 50% in Last 100 Rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let down strongly from midfield to score at Manangatang. A few runs under his girth this campaign, can challenge again.

ILB

Rounded them up when winning last run at Manangatang and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Commands respect.

RP

Narrow success in a handicap at Manangatang 14 days ago; despite that Manangatang success, easy to oppose.

RSIS

Dashed home to win last time at Manangatang and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Will be there at the business end.

3The MountJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Andrew Bobbin559.5kg4 7 4 7 113: 2-1-2$3.30$1.40

Career

13: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-2

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Colac

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Edenhope

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Great Western

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1102m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1108m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    8: 2-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.46
  2. 7Stawell1100m5 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD315.2L
  3. 4Edenhope1200m7 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.9L
  4. 7Great Western1200m24 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT54.6L
  5. 4Colac1110m6 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD31.6L
  6. 3Werribee1108m15 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD41.5L
  7. 12Warrnambool1100m24 July 2025 · 2UP BM58 HCP · HEAVY915.2L
  8. 7Mount Gambier1200m11 July 2025 · BM66 HCP · HEAVY106.2L

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Stuck tough, holding off challengers 3yo+ (Bm52) at Manangatang after lengthy absence at $5. Very well placed for a repeat.

ILB

Finished hard to win last time at Manangatang. Well respected contender.

RP

Narrow winner of a handicap (Manangatang) two weeks ago; warrants respect with trainer in excellent form.

RSIS

Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last time at Manangatang. Winning chance.

4RockcliffJ: Dylan Dunn·T: R J Besanko658.5kg3 6 9 7 956: 4-4-6$21.00$3.90

Career

56: 4-4-6

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    9: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    8: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    7: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    7: 1-1-0

  • Track Sale

    7: 1-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Hamilton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1006m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1103m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    14: 3-2-2

  • Going Soft

    17: 1-1-3

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Kyneton1103m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT53.63L
  2. 7Donald1000m12 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.2L
  3. 9Moe1000m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY105.6L
  4. 6Hamilton1100m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY103.5L
  5. 3Donald1006m11 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY81.6L
  6. 1Donald1000m20 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY9-0.2
  7. 11Stony Creek1100m30 Dec 2025 · 3UP C&G BM56 HCP · GOOD48.3L
  8. 4Stony Creek1100m7 Dec 2025 · 3UP CG&E 0 - 56 HCP · HEAVY105L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 45% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn 63% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 63%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Performance just fair at Kyneton at $101. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Folded up in the straight when 9th last run at Kyneton. Has early speed and positions nicely. Could feature here.

RP

Finished ninth of 12 over 5½f at Kyneton (handicap) 16 days ago; this is his grade; capable if in the mood so could be in the mix.

RSIS

Was well beaten when 9th last start at Kyneton. Shows good early pace. Could be in the mix.

5Think I'm DivineJ: Jake Noonan·T: Kasey Besanko758kg5 3 2 9 1027: 1-1-4$21.00$3.90

Career

27: 1-1-4

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Geelong

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    10: 1-1-3

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1105m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1247m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    14: 0-1-3

Last starts

  1. 10Kyneton1203m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT58.3L
  2. 9Geelong1247m28 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT711.9L
  3. 2Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT60.3L
  4. 3Hamilton1100m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY102.8L
  5. 5Moe1208m18 June 2026 · Benchmark 62 · HEAVY96.5L
  6. 6Pakenham1100m29 May 2026 · 2UP CL1 HCP · HEAVY85.8L
  7. 7Moe1014m12 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · SOFT73.6L
  8. 7Wangaratta1300m5 July 2025 · 0 - 58 · SOFT67.4L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Winless since 24 May 2023. Raced in back half and never likely at Kyneton. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Struggled with the pace when 10th last time at Kyneton. Should be going forward early. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Beaten tenth of 11 at Kyneton 16 days ago; form has an uneven look to it and subpar record of 1-27; others more persuasive as this could be a hot race.

RSIS

Faded away to finish 10th last time at Kyneton. Will be positive in the run early. Could feature here.

6AussieaussieaussieJ: Damien Thornton·T: R N Mathews1057.5kg5 1 11 10 821: 2-0-0$12.00$3.30

Career

21: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    7: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    16: 2-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Moe1008m18 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY97L
  2. 10Geelong1312m14 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.7L
  3. 11Pakenham1400m5 Mar 2026 · BM62 · GOOD49.4L
  4. 1Moe1200m22 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1
  5. 5Cranbourne1200m22 Jan 2026 · CL1 · GOOD311.25L
  6. 5Cranbourne1000m17 Jan 2026 · CL1 · GOOD39.3L
  7. 10Moe1600m19 Oct 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.8L
  8. 8Mornington1500m18 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.9L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (18-weeks). Has a tricky draw for return. Can fill the minors here fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up after a break. Was $51.00 and disappointing display when 8th last start at Moe. Hard to recommend with any confidence.

RP

Beaten 7l into eighth over 5f at Moe (handicap) when dropped in distance four months ago; returns from a layoff; can be in the mix if duplicating the form of his most recent win.

RSIS

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Started 50/1 and moderate showing when 8th last start at Moe.

7BelmasaiJ: Melea Castle·T: Erin Maher457.5kg8 3 6 10 432: 3-2-3$8.00$2.50

Career

32: 3-2-3

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Casterton

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1017m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1106m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1175m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    21: 1-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.21L
  2. 10Berrigan1100m22 Aug 2026 · BM506.9L
  3. 6Casterton1200m9 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT714.5L
  4. 3Naracoorte1100m24 July 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY80.4L
  5. 8Ballarat Synthetic1000m7 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC9.3L
  6. 4Avoca1100m29 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31L
  7. 1Towong1200m7 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM52 HCP · SOFT6-0.8
  8. 10Werribee1418m1 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD410.7L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 79% in L100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Gave solid chase in a good effort at Manangatang. A few runs under his belt this campaign, warrants attention.

ILB

At $14.00 moved ahead of some to finish 4th last start at Manangatang. Expecting to settle positively. Needs a lot of luck.

RP

Has won previously at this course; far from disgraced (beaten just over 2l) when behind the reopposing Ponte Arcobaleno at Manangatang two weeks ago; strong claims if building on promise shown last time.

RSIS

Odds of 13/1 and edged past some when finishing 4th last start at Manangatang. Displays good tactical pace.

8Moose JawJ: Sally Wynne·T: Ms S L Wynne855.5kg7 1 5 5 232: 2-1-1$12.00$3.30

Career

32: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    5: 0-0-1

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    5: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    18: 2-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    14: 2-1-1

Last starts

  1. 2Mornington1500m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT62.8L
  2. 5Mornington1200m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45L
  3. 5Mornington1200m5 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD33.7L
  4. 1Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 56 · SOFT5-1.8
  5. 7Sale1112m1 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SOFT615.3L
  6. 8Bairnsdale1600m12 Oct 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD35.6L
  7. 6Moe1614m4 Sept 2025 · 3UP F&M BM62 HCP · HEAVY106.9L
  8. 3Bairnsdale1600m12 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.2L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Sally Wynne current POT is 63% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 30% POT in L100 Runners

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (23-weeks). Won only other time at Yarra Glen. Not out of this fresh in this company.

ILB

First run back from a break. Came in 2nd last start at Mornington but will be down in distance. Needs significant improvement.

RP

Ran well to finish runner-up (beaten just under 3l) at Mornington over 7½f (handicap) in May; has won at this track; back from an absence here.

RSIS

Back from a break. Ran 2nd last run at Mornington but back to a shorter trip.

9Second GuessScratched13––––

Career

21: 2-5-3

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Hillston

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cootamundra

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1608m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 2-0-1

  • Going Good

    8: 0-4-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 12Wangaratta2000m3 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY821.5L
  2. 3Cootamundra1400m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo+1.5L
  3. 8Yea1600m18 Apr 2026 · Special Condition5.7L
  4. 2Hillston1500m11 Apr 2026 · CL1 HCP0.2L
  5. 1Tambo1200m5 Apr 2026 · Special Condition-0.8
  6. 3Carrathool1400m28 Mar 2026 · CL28.5L
  7. 1Ardlethan1200m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo+-0.2
  8. 3Berrigan1200m14 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW1.6L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    John Heath striking at just 5%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -58% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 60%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (24-weeks). Placed at Berrigan first-up last campaign. Has a tricky draw for return. Looks vulnerable fresh.

ILB

First up and was competitive when 3rd first up last preparation at Berrigan. Chelsea Thompson takes a large claim but down in trip.

RP

Was tailed off over 1m2f at Wangaratta (handicap) in May; layoff to overcome; a lot on his plate here and not easy to fancy; also engaged in race 4 at Harden.

RSIS

Resuming and was competitive when 3rd resuming last preparation at Berrigan. The large claim from Chelsea Thompson should help but back in trip.

10Smashing RubyJ: Liana Wood·T: J F Rattle254kg8 10 8 11 245: 3-5-5$6.00$2.15

Career

45: 3-5-5

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Balnarring

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Towong

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Yea

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    18: 2-4-1

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 2-2-0

  • Going Synthetic

    6: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 2Kilmore1207m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 · GOOD42.75L
  2. 11Pakenham Synthetic1200m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.2L
  3. 8Moe1208m18 June 2026 · Benchmark 62 · HEAVY910.5L
  4. 10Kilmore1107m1 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY98.7L
  5. 8Kilmore1212m15 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · SOFT65L
  6. 3Kilmore1200m4 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY93.5L
  7. 10Geelong1312m10 Apr 2026 · BM56 · SOFT55.7L
  8. 2Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 56 · SOFT51.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Long time since last saluted. No match but kept working home to finish among the placings at Kilmore first up. Shapes as a rough place prospect.

ILB

Good performance to run into 2nd beaten by 2 3/4L last time at Kilmore and has a positive draw. Possesses good closing speed. Large claim helps. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Creditable effort when 20-1 second (Kilmore) last week; wins infrequently.

RSIS

Rattled home nicely into 2nd beaten by 2 3/4L last time at Kilmore and gets a favourable stall. Will be hitting the line strongly. Large claim helps. Watch for a sign in the market.

11BalgowanJ: Sam Kennedy·T: C J Davis954kg5 3 6 10 341: 3-3-4$5.50$2.05

Career

41: 3-3-4

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Narrandera

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    19: 3-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    7: 0-2-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 0-1-3

Last starts

  1. 3Wodonga1200m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.56L
  2. 10Tatura1100m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.06L
  3. 6Kilmore1100m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.3L
  4. 3Wodonga1100m1 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT61.3L
  5. 5Wangaratta1100m23 Aug 2026 · BM56 · SOFT73.6L
  6. 5Narrandera1000m15 Aug 2026 · BM50 · SOFT63.8L
  7. 2Wodonga1100m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY92.25L
  8. 8Echuca1000m23 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY104.5L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 14% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 2%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Sam Kennedy 37% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 81%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Run down in the shadows after a giving a kick from on pace in the 3yo+ (Bm52) at Wodonga. DVery fit, can make her presence felt with even breaks.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Solid run on the pace before weakening to finish 3rd beaten by 1/2L last start at Wodonga. Has some claims.

RP

Close up third at Wodonga last Saturday.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Was in the hunt for a long way when 3rd last start at Wodonga. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall. Can't leave out of your calculations.

12Snow On HerScratched10––––

Career

40: 2-1-5

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Ceduna

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1414m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1108m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1218m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    14: 0-0-3

  • Going Heavy

    7: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    12: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.1L
  2. 10Albury1175m10 Oct 2026 · CL3 · GOOD410.26L
  3. 3Kilmore1100m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD40.6L
  4. 11Tatura1000m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT712.3L
  5. 9Berrigan1100m22 Aug 2026 · BM506.3L
  6. 6Narrandera1200m15 Aug 2026 · BM50 · SOFT63.1L
  7. 12Wangaratta1000m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY98.7L
  8. 11Wangaratta1300m6 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY1034.8L

Insights

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Last win was 28 Jul 2024. Failed to flatter at Kyneton. Hard to make a case.

ILB

On a quick back up. Didn't threaten when 7th last time at Kyneton.

RP

Can be a player at this level; beaten 9l into seventh (Kyneton) on Tuesday.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Gave away some ground when 7th last run at Kyneton.

13Think SassyScratched5––––

Career

6: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1411m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Bairnsdale1200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT713.97L
  2. 8Kyneton1454m9 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD310.45L
  3. 8Sale1411m14 Sept 2025 · 4yo+ · GOOD37.2L
  4. 9Yarra Valley1514m21 Jan 2025 · Maiden · GOOD415.26L
  5. 4Cranbourne1300m4 Jan 2025 · Maiden · GOOD32.75L
  6. 5Cranbourne1200m20 Dec 2024 · Maiden · GOOD310.25L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Melanie Bullard in good form, out performing market 61%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't come on at Bairnsdale for new trainer. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Faded to finish 9th last run at Bairnsdale.

RP

Finished last of nine in a maiden (dropped back to this trip, Bairnsdale) two weeks ago on debut for this trainer; not had much racing.

RSIS

Tailed off to finish 9th last start at Bairnsdale.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.