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Yarra Valley (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Yarra Valley (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 24 OctYarra Valley (VIC)Change

Race 3 — Bet365 Bet Boost Mdn Plate 1968m · jumps

Race preview

The Bet365 Bet Boost Mdn Plate at Yarra Valley is a 1968-metre three-year-old-plus maiden over soft ground with showers falling — a proper slog for maidens. The race jumps at 1:56 pm AEDT. In the win market, Nightowl is shortest, followed by Zverev, then Sentaloa and Mehsun in close quarters. It's a modest field hunting a first win, and the soft track will favour runners who can shift weight efficiently and stay interested over the extra yardage.

Nightowl carries the market quote but the form reads mixed. Brad Rawiller rides from barrier 4, and the jockey-trainer combo with Andrew Noblet has lost 100 per cent of profit on turnover in their last hundred runners — a harsh stat that warrants caution. The most recent outing at Geelong on identical soft ground saw Nightowl never in the call second-up, finishing sixth, 11 lengths adrift. The rating of 89 and the comment about stamina being on trial suggest Nightowl will need to improve sharply to make this stick. Zverev, at 59.5 kilograms from barrier 1, sits next in the betting and tells a more promising yarn. Two early runs show genuine promise: a third at Seymour on soft ground and a fourth at Pakenham Synthetic. Jake Noonan and G Eurell are a hot jockey-trainer combination outperforming market expectations by 75 per cent, and the rating of 94 hints at a runner still learning the game. The comment flags that Zverev may now be ready for this extra ground.

Sentaloa, on the third line, deserves attention despite not dominating the market. Rated 100, this runner holds early speed — a genuine advantage on a circuit like Yarra Valley — and was close to the pace at Bairnsdale on the last outing, boxing away gamely when the winner burst clear. The trainer M M Laurie runs at just 5 per cent profit on turnover, which is bleak, but the form comment and the distance increase suit the profile. Sentaloa's willingness to persist suggests there is a roughie story worth backing here, especially if the early speed fetches a midfield position and the extra 468 metres sharpens the race fitness.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
  • SOFT5
  • Showers
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Nightowl (3)

2.15

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 9Threewinesin

Midfield

  • 3Nightowl
  • 5Bling Baby

Offpace

  • 1Mehsun
  • 4Zverev
  • 10Sentaloa
  • 11Whatwashethinking
  • 2Molesworth
  • 8Kissattack

Leader

  • 6Camegitchee
  • Mehsun · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Molesworth · Positive

    Trainer ROI

    Runners from this stable currently going at 23% POT in L100 Runners

  • Nightowl · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Zverev · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1MehsunJ: Fred W Kersley·T: C J Waller359.5kg99 5 5 8 86: 0-0-1$9.00$2.45

Career

6: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hamilton

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Bendigo1600m17 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD34.92L
  2. 8Caulfield Heath1500m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.52L
  3. 5Randwick Kensington1400m13 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.6L
  4. 5Randwick Kensington1550m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD40.9L
  5. 99Hamilton1671m21 Sept 2025 · GBB Race · SOFT999L
  6. 3Hamilton1671m22 Aug 2025 · GBB/GBBPlus Race · GOOD3.55L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely at Bendigo when second-up. Stamina on trial here.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Started at $10.00 and was well beaten when 8th last start at Bendigo. Has some claims.

RP

Attempting to get off the mark at the seventh time of asking (fifth his best finish so far); didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Bendigo (beaten 5l) over 1m (maiden) a week ago; others more persuasive.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. At 9/1 weakened under pressure when 8th last run at Bendigo. Watch for a sign in the market.

2MolesworthJ: Jackson Radley·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes759.5kg–$12.00$2.90

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 23% POT in L100 Runners

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ridden cold and never in the picture at Pakenham Synthetic after lengthy absence. Strips in better shape. Sound claims.

ILB

At $6.50 average performance when 8th last run at Pakenham Synthetic. Can go close.

RP

Split a number of these rivals over 1m at Pakenham (maiden) when beaten 8l three weeks ago; must be high on list as finished third in January and had excuses last time (crowded).

RSIS

Started at 11/2 and average performance when 8th last run at Pakenham Synthetic. Can take this out.

3NightowlJ: Brad Rawiller·T: Andrew Noblet459.5kg2 4 4 4 613: 0-5-0$2.15$1.20

Career

13: 0-5-0

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2007m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-3-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Geelong1765m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT511L
  2. 4Bendigo1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.75L
  3. 4Kilmore2007m31 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT62.8L
  4. 4Ballarat2000m10 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD31.2L
  5. 2Ballarat1600m22 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.5L
  6. 8Sandown1600m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.4L
  7. 2Tauherenikau1600m10 Dec 2025 · MDN · SOFT50.1L
  8. 2Wanganui1600m29 Nov 2025 · MDN · SOFT50.1L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Never in the call at Geelong second-up. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

Odds of $10.00 and unsatisfactory performance when 6th last start at Geelong. Jockey Brad Rawiller and trainer Andrew Noblet link up well. Should be in the finish.

RP

Yet to open his account after 12 starts; beaten 11l into sixth over 1m1f at Geelong (maiden) two weeks ago; others more appealing.

RSIS

At 9/1 just average when 6th last start at Geelong. Jockey Brad Rawiller consistently rides well for this stable. Expecting a strong showing.

4ZverevJ: Jake Noonan·T: G Eurell159.5kg8 3 42: 0-0-1$4.20$1.45

Career

2: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

95

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1429m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.25L
  2. 3Seymour1429m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.5L
  3. 8Warwick Farm789m16 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial9L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 75%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Two early runs show promise. Battled home okay at Pakenham Synthetic at second outing. May now be looking for this extra ground.

ILB

Was $4.60 and didn't finish off when 4th last time at Pakenham Synthetic and has minimal work to do from the draw. Absolutely right in this.

RP

Finished in front of several of these over 1m at Pakenham (maiden) when not beaten far 19 days ago; others appeal more.

RSIS

At 7/2 outmuscled when 4th last run at Pakenham Synthetic and will appreciate a good stall. Should go well.

5Bling BabyJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Brian Mcgrath657.5kg5 3 7 10 58: 0-0-1$13.00$3.20

Career

8: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1614m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC5L
  2. 10Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY812.8L
  3. 7Sale1400m21 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT69.7L
  4. 3Werribee1625m24 Apr 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD40.4L
  5. 5Pakenham1400m9 Apr 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT53.6L
  6. 12Ballarat2000m2 Apr 2025 · Maiden · GOOD314.5L
  7. 4Cranbourne1600m14 Mar 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.8L
  8. 7Pakenham1400m20 Feb 2025 · Maiden · GOOD48.11L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Well back and made limited headway at Pakenham Synthetic. Can't enthuse.

ILB

At $51.00 closed off nicely when 5th last time at Pakenham Synthetic. Yet to break maiden status after 8 starts. Form will be tested here.

RP

Yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at eight; split a number of these rivals over 1m at Pakenham (maiden) beaten 5l 19 days ago; others are preferred.

RSIS

Was 50/1 and overtook some late when 5th last time at Pakenham Synthetic. Yet to break through after 8 runs.

6CamegitcheeJ: Lauren Burke·T: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black557.5kg10 4 3 7 69: 0-0-1$81.00$8.00

Career

9: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1620m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 6Bairnsdale2200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT714.65L
  2. 7Moe2050m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.06L
  3. 3Donald1620m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42L
  4. 4Pakenham Synthetic1600m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC3.8L
  5. 10Warrnambool2000m23 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1085.3L
  6. 6Ballarat Synthetic1500m7 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.3L
  7. 7Caulfield Heath1800m9 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD46.9L
  8. 4Geelong1440m26 Jan 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD47.5L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

In touch but ran out of petrol quickly and finished a long way down the track at Bairnsdale. Coming back in distance. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Jumped at $14.00 and struggled with the pace when 6th last time at Bairnsdale. Has plenty of early speed. Yet to break through after 9 starts. Simply cannot have today.

RP

Sixth beaten 15l over 1m3f at Bairnsdale (maiden) two weeks ago with two of these rivals behind; yet to open her account after nine starts; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Started 13/1 and folded up in the straight when 6th last run at Bairnsdale. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Still in maiden grade after 9 starts.

7Hot OperaScratched6––––

Career

6: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer50%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tatura

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1479m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Tatura1600m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.65L
  2. 3Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY84.5L
  3. 10Pakenham Synthetic1400m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC11.7L
  4. 2Stony Creek1600m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT60.3L
  5. 5Kyneton1479m10 Feb 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD44.3L
  6. 6Cranbourne1400m17 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SOFT77.9L

Insights

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Never sighted at Tatura. First real test of stamina here. Only for exotics.

ILB

Was $16.00 and disappointing display when 9th last run at Tatura.

RP

Finished ninth of 12 at Tatura over 1m (maiden) last month; appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; excuses last time (hampered) and easy to see her making an impression.

RSIS

Started 15/1 and unimpressive effort when 9th last start at Tatura.

8KissattackJ: Dylan Dunn·T: D T O'Brien1057.5kg–$21.00$3.80

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 45% better than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn winning at 38% POT in last 100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $51 when battled home to finish 6th at Kyneton. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Started $51.00 and finished 6th last time at Kyneton. Few more classier types in this race.

RP

Best she's managed so far is fourth from five career starts; was held in sixth (Kyneton) 16 days ago upped to 1m1f; others more likely.

RSIS

Was 50/1 and ran 6th last time at Kyneton.

9ThreewinesinJ: Melea Castle·T: Pat Carey & Harris Walker257.5kg10 10 9 5 105: 0-0-0$51.00$6.00

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1744m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Bairnsdale2200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT738.55L
  2. 5Moe2050m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.56L
  3. 9Mornington1500m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT57.7L
  4. 10Sale1744m8 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD416.1L
  5. 10Bendigo1300m7 Sept 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY912.2L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Melea Castle current POT is 52% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 2%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 61%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 79% in L100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Moderate form profile overall. Failed to threaten in choppy conditions at Bairnsdale. Drops to shorter trip. Looks a safer place proposition.

ILB

Was $5.00 and looked outclassed when 10th last start at Bairnsdale but gets a favourable draw. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Looks highly doubtful.

RP

Tailed off at Bairnsdale over 1m3f (maiden) two weeks ago; in with a big shout.

RSIS

Was 4/1 and weakened to finish 10th last start at Bairnsdale but can find a nice position from the draw. Gets back and needs luck.

10SentaloaJ: Damien Thornton·T: M M Laurie957kg–$7.50$2.30

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Close to the pace, lacked response when winner burst clear but kept boxing away at Bairnsdale last outing. Distance increase suits. Worth a look.

ILB

Managed to place 2nd beaten by 5L last start at Bairnsdale and good career start. Placed at every start this campaign. Has to be in the finish.

RP

Series of good efforts to his name and seems to be going the right way; fair runner-up of 13 over 1m at Bairnsdale (maiden) 12 days ago; likely to go well.

RSIS

Finished with intent when 2nd last time at Bairnsdale and promising career start. Has run into the placings all attempts of late. Strong chance.

11WhatwashethinkingJ: Liana Wood·T: Ms N Shelton859.5kg7 12 9 8 59: 0-1-0$12.00$3.00

Career

9: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1209m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Geelong1525m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.5L
  2. 8Sale1615m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.4L
  3. 9Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT57.8L
  4. 12Pakenham Synthetic1200m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC9.3L
  5. 7Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.5L
  6. 2Yarra Valley1209m21 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.8L
  7. 4Yarra Valley1200m7 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.4L
  8. 9Pakenham1400m16 Jan 2026 · 3-5yo · GOOD48.6L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 38%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Midfield, finished off evenly through line at Geelong. Others carry more punch.

ILB

At $101.00 came in 5th last start at Geelong. A 9 start maiden. The large claim from Liana Wood helps. Most likely not today.

RP

Finished fifth but wasn't beaten too far (4½l) over 7½f at Geelong (maiden) four weeks ago.

RSIS

Was 100/1 and finished 5th last time at Geelong. Still a maiden after 9 runs. The large claim from Liana Wood should help.

12Startin'Sumthin'Scratched9––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 50% better than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 116%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Largely struggled to date. Switching to 1968m. Needs to lift.

ILB

Came in 6th last run at Ballarat and dropping in distance.

RP

Beaten 7l 15 days ago at Ballarat upped to 1m5f.

RSIS

Came in 6th last start at Ballarat and back to a shorter distance.

13Ask The CaptainScratched11––––

Career

14: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Bairnsdale

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1411m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-2

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Bairnsdale2200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT717.55L
  2. 9Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC9.25L
  3. 11Sale1415m13 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD47.6L
  4. 5Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.75L
  5. 9Moe1628m21 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY915.7L
  6. 7Sale1746m9 July 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY97L
  7. 12Sale1411m28 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY819.3L
  8. 5Bairnsdale1200m12 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY86.3L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Ernie Francese striking at just 1%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -77% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 79%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 77% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Finished out the back at Bairnsdale. Drops to shorter trip. Form doesn't inspire.

ILB

Was $8.50 and unimpressive effort when 8th last run at Bairnsdale. Yet to fire this campaign.

RP

Useful at this level; was eighth of ten, beaten 18l, (Bairnsdale) 12 days ago upped to 1m3f.

RSIS

Started 15/2 and unsatisfactory performance when 8th last run at Bairnsdale. Yet to fire in recent runs.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.