Shortest win price
Maysoonfly (4)
2.35
Welcome to Gawler for the Kingsford Hotel Hcp (C1) over 1200m on a good4 track under overcast skies, scheduled for 3:36 pm AEDT. Punters looking at the early win market order find Maysoonfly sitting right at the head of affairs, closely followed by Sir Castleton, Super Choice, and Elegant Lilly rounding out the leading vanguard in the betting. It shapes as a fascinating Class 1 contest where the early speed map indicates we will see Super Choice and Sir Castleton pressing forward to lead, while Maysoonfly and Elegant Lilly track right behind them on the pace.
Digging into the form behind those shorter prices reveals a compelling yarn. Maysoonfly, prepared by A J Gluyas and piloted by Jason Holder from barrier 4, brings a rating of 100 into this assignment. Last start over this exact track and distance, Maysoonfly was quietly handled in the back half before being shaken up to finish full of running, which points to a runner highly suited to this setup. Meanwhile, Super Choice jumps from barrier 2 for S P Gower with Caitlin Jones in the saddle, carrying a hefty 60.5kg off the back of solid efforts including a fourth over 1000m at Murray Bridge and another fourth over 1100m here at Gawler. Sir Castleton kicks off a 23-week second campaign here for trainer Paul Carey and jockey Jacob Opperman, bringing a consistent previous prep that featured a placing on debut at Edenhope.
Looking further down the field and into the supporting angles, Oasis catches the eye as a backmarker from barrier 7 with Ashlee Stone steering for W A Bogarts, carrying the tag of a fast finisher after clocking the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start alongside a hot trainer-jockey combination. Elegant Lilly also holds a place in the market from barrier 6 for trainers Shane & Cassie Oxlade, coming in fresh off a 31-day break following a sound effort at this venue where the daughter of form wasn't beaten far off the speed, marking her out as a rough place prospect in what should prove a tight tactical battle.
Shortest win price
Maysoonfly (4)
2.35
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Super Choice · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Oasis · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Sir Castleton · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 27% better than Career Avg.
Maysoonfly · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Career
10: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-1
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 21%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Recent form solid. Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Murray Bridge Gh. Plenty of weight but right in this.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Jumped at $5.00 and came in 4th last run at Murray Bridge. Has the talent to rebound quickly and drawn nicely. Expecting to settle positively. Strong claims.
RP
Normally pretty consistent; far from disgraced (beaten 2l) over 5f at Murray Bridge Gh (handicap) last month; can be on the premises with so many of these having something to prove and lots of promise in his latest performance.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Started 4/1 and finished 4th last run at Murray Bridge. Should bounce back and has a good draw. Should muster plenty of early pace. Highly respected.
Career
2: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 127%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 28%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Drove hard late to nail a narrow win this track at second start. Sound latest effort but will need to lift again in this affair.
ILB
Finished hard to win last run around here. Gets back and needs luck. The large claim from Ashlee Stone should help. Form will be tested here.
RP
Narrow 100-1 winner when getting off the mark at the second time of asking 13 days ago in a maiden; should be involved.
RSIS
Charged home to win last run at this track. Gets back and needs luck. Large claim helps.
Career
6: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Edenhope
1: 0-0-1
Track Mildura
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 27% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jacob Opperman 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 58%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 21%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (23-weeks). Consistent through last prep. Placed at Edenhope on debut last campaign while trialling quietly in preparation for return. Among the dangers fresh in this company.
ILB
First up from a break of 23 weeks and couldn't maintain the momentum throughout when 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L first up last preparation at Edenhope. Potential to run into a place.
RP
Beaten 6l at Mildura over 7f (handicap) five months ago; track has proven suitable before; returning from a layoff here; can be in the mix as recent form is thin on the ground in this contest and he was a winner three starts ago.
RSIS
Resuming and claimed late when 3rd resuming last preparation at Edenhope. Will be pushing for a forward position early.
Career
11: 1-3-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 1-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-3-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Form reads well for this. Quietly handled in back half, shaken up and finished full of running this track over this journey. Highly rated in this line-up.
ILB
Jumped at $4.40 and advanced late into 4th last run at this venue. Exhibiting good form this preparation. Winning chance.
RP
Far from disgraced (beaten 1l) last month; been struggling to get her head in front recently so others are preferred.
RSIS
At 10/3 pushed past some when 4th last start here. Exhibiting good form since resuming from a break. Will show up at the business end.
Career
11: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
5: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 31 days
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Off the speed, picked up soundly and wasn't beaten far this venue. Rough place prospect only.
ILB
At $21.00 faded away to finish 6th last time around here. Do not dismiss.
RP
Solid effort when beaten 2l to finish sixth over 5½f here (handicap) four weeks ago; not really built on success in a maiden in February at Balaklava.
RSIS
Started 20/1 and was well beaten when 6th last time at this venue.
Career
14: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Nhill
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Track Echuca
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
8: 1-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Brooke King 39% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Brooke King winning at 23% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist Stats
Negative
Has struggled at this distance range
AAP
Steps out for third run new stable/region. Failed to threaten (wide barrier) at Strathalbyn over this journey. Hard fit, one for exotics.
ILB
Started $15.00 and folded up in the straight when 10th last time at Strathalbyn. Entitled to be a big price.
RP
Out of the frame when tenth at Strathalbyn 15 days ago; he meets the required standard ability wise.
RSIS
Started 14/1 and faded to finish 10th last time at Strathalbyn.
Career
21: 1-4-3
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-2-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
4: 0-2-0
Track Balaklava
3: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
6: 0-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
5: 1-1-2
Distance 1200m
15: 1-2-3
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 1-2-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
8: 0-2-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 55%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 58% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Balaklava over this distance. Effective this track and distance. Can make her presence felt.
ILB
Started at $14.00 and subpar when 10th last time at Balaklava but drawn the rails. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Suited by this C&D; finished tenth of 12 (Balaklava) last month; record demonstrates how she often finds at least one too good so looks an unlikely winner.
RSIS
Started 13/1 and disappointing effort when 10th last run at Balaklava but has the ideal stall.
Career
8: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Halidon
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run
AAP
Unplaced in all 8 runs to date. Never better than midfield in the 4yo+ Mdn Plate this course. Trained on track but has a tricky draw. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Struggled with the pace when 6th last time around here but gets a reduction in weight.
RP
Not beaten that far in sixth (just under 4l) last month in a maiden; been out of sorts of late and yet to open his account after eight starts; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Didn't attack the line when 6th last start at this track but goes down in weight.