Shortest win price
Zarkana (9)
4.00
Gawler's Race 6 is a 1706-metre handicap for horses rated 0–60 on a Good 4 track under overcast skies at 5:26 pm AEDT. The win market has Zarkana shortest, followed by Yarrawizardharry, Win To Retire, and Empirestateofmind. It's a tale of two narratives: one about redemption runs and class drops, the other about jockeys and trainers who've been running hot. The early pace is set to be a slugfest, with three runners mapped to race onpace—Mr Ribtickler, The Punk Rocker, and Win To Retire—while Yarrawizardharry and Hamner Springs lead from the front.
Win To Retire is the opinion standout. The five-year-old stormed home just off the leaders over 1700 metres at this track in the 0–56 handicap, and now drops into a 0–60 race with Jake Toeroek aboard. Toeroek is 30 per cent above his career average in the last 100 rides, and the camp's form line suggests a horse racing in good heart this campaign. The jockey-trainer combo with Campbell Rawiller aboard The Punk Rocker is punching 96 per cent above market expectations, though that runner's slow early sectionals may make the tempo work against it. Yarrawizardharry, from barrier 1, profiles as the pace hunter: Todd Pannell is 28 per cent better than career average in recent form, and the five-year-old's last appearance at Gawler over 1500 metres saw it finish third by less than a length in a Benchmark 58. The comment notes it suits provincial racing and makes a strong appeal, though it folded at Morphettville last time.
Zarkana, shortest in the market despite sitting at barrier 7 as a backmarker, commands respect for its record and the Shane & Cassie Oxlade stable's hot form. However, a recent run at Morphettville saw it sent out at $6 unable to threaten, and the form reads vulnerable. Empirestateofmind ran second at this track over 1700 metres in the 0–56 handicap but maps poorly at Gawler and underperforms market expectations by 16 per cent. The opinion is with Win To Retire to break through at this level.
Shortest win price
Zarkana (9)
4.00
Most career wins
Callistemon
4-3-6 from 38 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Mr Ribtickler · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 49%
Yarrawizardharry · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Callistemon · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Empirestateofmind · Negative
Maps Poorly
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Career
9: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-1
Track Burrumbeet
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 49%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
In top order. Well rated in front and kept on to win this venue. On pacer. Very fit, right in the mix again.
ILB
Led and controlled the pace to win by a margin of just over 3L last time here and showing improvement in recent outings. Others are more appealing.
RP
Best form so far in last two starts; broke his duck at the ninth attempt when an easy winner 13 days ago in a maiden; others more persuasive despite that win last time.
RSIS
Led from start to finish when winning by over 3L last time at this track and on an upward trajectory in recent races. In the placings at every start lately.
Career
10: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Morphettville
4: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
2: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1514m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Todd Pannell 28% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 43%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 21%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Gawler E&G (Bm58) placegetter 23 Sep. On pace but folded up quickly at Morphettville. Suited back to provincial level. Makes strong appeal.
ILB
Started $16.00 and folded up in the straight when 10th last run at Morphettville but drawn beautifully. Should jump out and bowl along. Great chance.
RP
Tenth of 12 at Morphettville over 1m (handicap) two weeks ago; is passed over given this looks a decent race.
RSIS
Started 15/1 and didn't find the line when 10th last time at Morphettville but gets the perfect stall. Should muster plenty of early toe. Has definite claims.
Career
38: 4-3-6
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
7: 1-1-1
Second-up
6: 1-1-1
Third-up
6: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
6: 1-0-1
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
2: 0-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
11: 2-0-2
Distance 900m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
12: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
6: 0-1-1
Going Soft
20: 4-1-3
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Edged out late after making the pace at Swan Hill when firmed from $19 into $14. Well into preparation now, can make her presence felt.
ILB
Worked hard to place 3rd last run at Swan Hill. Has strong claims.
RP
Good effort when close up over 1m at Swan Hill (handicap) last Tuesday; holds major claims.
RSIS
Ran out of steam towards the end when 3rd last time at Swan Hill. Rates as one of the key chances.
Career
14: 2-3-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Balaklava
2: 1-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2028m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-1-0
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Really good run coming from the back in Hcp (56) this track. Fit from racing, capable of making an impact.
ILB
Managed to run into 2nd last start at this track. Has some claims.
RP
Behind Win To Retire two weeks ago when a respectable second; should go close if building on last performance.
RSIS
Managed to run into 2nd last start around here. Respect the betting.
Career
19: 1-1-3
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Gawler
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Balaklava
7: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
16: 1-1-3
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 96%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Not disgraced this venue. Not fancied.
ILB
Odds of $41.00 and came in 4th last run at the track. Very hard to have.
RP
Signs of improvement on last two runs; fair effort when just under 2l fourth to Win To Retire 13 days ago; runs for only the second time in a handicap; this is competitive and looks risky.
RSIS
Started 40/1 and finished 4th last run here.
Career
39: 2-6-10
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 0-1-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-2
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-2
Track Mount Barker
1: 0-0-1
Track Belmont
1: 1-0-0
Track Northam
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1695m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1230m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1240m
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
8: 0-2-3
Going Good
30: 2-3-7
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jake Toeroek 33% above market expected in L100 Rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Racing in good heart this campaign. Strong win from just off the leaders this track. Major player here.
ILB
Picked up late to win last run here and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide draw. Chance and can measure up.
RP
She accounted for four of her rivals last month, getting the job done by 1l; despite that Gawler success, makes little appeal.
RSIS
Ran over the top of them when winning last start here and getting better in recent performances. Has run into the money multiple times lately. Very capable of taking this out.
Career
14: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
5: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Balaklava
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-1-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 40% Profit on Turnover
Key Jockey
Positive
Brooke King winning at 23% POT in last 100 rides
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
AAP
Went home tamely at Balaklava off long spell at $81. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
At $81.00 clearly outclassed when 7th last time at Balaklava but has a good draw. Not likely to pull off the victory.
RP
Shown recent signs of improvement; has won at this course; finished behind Win To Retire over 1m at Balaklava (handicap) when beaten 5½l 22 days ago; runs for only the second time in a handicap; this looks a decent race so others more appealing.
RSIS
Odds of 80/1 and underperformed when 7th last start at Balaklava but has a good draw.
Career
6: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Halidon
1: 1-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1380m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Beyond midfield, under pump turn and plugged home at Morphettville when second-up. Sharper now, remote place hope at best.
ILB
Jumped at $10.00 and faded to finish 8th last run at Morphettville but competing in a less challenging grade. Sound chance.
RP
Signs of improvement on last two runs; not beaten too far when eighth at Morphettville over 7½f (handicap) last month; unexposed in handicaps with this her second start in this company; capable if in the mood so some hopes.
RSIS
Started 9/1 and tailed off to finish 8th last start at Morphettville but lining up against easier rivals.
Career
29: 3-2-4
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-1
Track Balaklava
4: 1-0-1
Track Morphettville
17: 1-2-2
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1207m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
8: 0-1-1
Going Good
19: 3-1-2
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Sent out $6 when unable to threaten at Morphettville. Can play a role.
ILB
At $6.00 struggled when 9th last start at Morphettville. Expected to rebound. Displays good closing speed. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.
RP
Finished ninth of 12 over 1m at Morphettville (handicap) 12 days ago; has won at this course; she should go close as has bits and pieces of decent form.
RSIS
At 5/1 not competitive when 9th last run at Morphettville. Happy to forgive that run. Always seems to find the line well. Expect support.
Career
31: 3-2-3
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
4: 2-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
11: 0-0-1
Distance 1556m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 2108m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
14: 3-1-1
Going Good
17: 0-1-2
Jockey Booking
Negative
Alysha Warren current POT is 48% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 46%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 52% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Mixed career form. In touch but ran out of petrol quickly and finished a long way down the track at Strathalbyn. Has plenty to find on latest offerings. On trust.
ILB
Odds of $31.00 and weakened to finish 11th last time at Strathalbyn. Has the necessary speed to mitigate the wide draw. Leaving right out.
RP
Finished 11th of 12 at Strathalbyn over 1m (handicap) two weeks ago; not really built on success in a handicap in August at Strathalbyn; this is competitive and one to tread carefully with.
RSIS
Started at 30/1 and struggled with the pace when 11th last start at Strathalbyn. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall.
Career
16: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Penola
2: 1-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1750m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 1-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Long winless run. Went home tamely this venue second-up at $14. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Was $14.00 and tailed off to finish 10th last run around here. Gets back and needs luck.
RP
Tenth of 12 13 days ago upped to this distance.
RSIS
At 13/1 couldn't stay in touch when 10th last run at this venue. Likely to settle back in the field.
Career
11: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
3: 1-0-1
Track Halidon
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1443m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
9: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ran an honest race and not beaten far this course second-up as an outsider. Has early speed. All the better, could add some value to exotics.
ILB
Overrun in the late stages when 5th last time at this venue.
RP
Finished fifth beaten just under 2l when behind the reopposing Win To Retire two weeks ago upped to this trip; has proven competitive in a race of this nature.
RSIS
Tired late when 5th last time around here.