Gosford (NSW) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 2:12 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Gosford (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 5 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsGosford (NSW)Change

Race 1 — Paul Finn Memorial Midway Hcp (C1) 1200m · jumps Thu 5 Nov, 1:20 pm AEDT

Race preview

Gosford plays host to a competitive Class 1 over the 1200m on a Good 4 track under fine skies, with the jump scheduled for 1:20 pm AEDT. Punters sizing up the Paul Finn Memorial Midway Hcp will find a fascinating win market taking shape. Looking at the early betting order, Sapling holds down the shortest quote to kick things off, closely followed by Sun To Me, Prince De Vega, and Coyote rounding out the top four in the market.

Digging into the form lines behind those shorter prices reveals some intriguing narratives for the yarn-spinners. Sapling resumes from an 18-week spell for trainer Nacim Dilmi, getting the nod from Winona Costin with the benefit of a very good recent barrier trial win at Newcastle over 800m, suggesting the fresh state suits. Meanwhile, Sun To Me lines up for P M Perry with Regan Bayliss in the saddle off the back of a honest minor placing at Newcastle over 1250m and a maiden win at Tuncurry, giving this honest four-year-old a genuine look in this company. Prince De Vega also warrants respect from barrier 2 for J C Deamer, aiming to bounce back after finding the 1500m a bit too far at Hawkesbury last time out.

For punters hunting a deeper angle on the map, speed groups show Firework possesses early speed which can prove a handy advantage on this circuit, while Coyote returns from a 19-week break for Peter D Green after placing in the minors at Newcastle first-up last campaign. With tactical maps playing a crucial role around this track, keep an eye on how the speed unfolds when they jump.

Race notes

Class 1,MID CL1,MID CL1 HCP
GOOD4
Fine
8 runners

Shortest win price

Sapling (3)

1.50

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

4Coyote

Midfield

5Koritsi
1Sun To Me
2El Qasabi

Offpace

6Firework
8Damascus Calling

Onpace

7Prince De Vega

Leader

3Sapling

Sun To Me · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races
El Qasabi · Negative
Trainer SR
David Pfieffer striking at just 13%
Sapling · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.
Coyote · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are under performing market expectations by -39%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Sun To MeJ: Regan Bayliss·T: P M Perry859kg5 3 3 1 212: 1-2-4$8.00$1.70

Career

12: 1-2-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
6: 0-2-2
Track Wyong
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1250m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-1-3
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1

Last starts

2Newcastle1250m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.62L
1Tuncurry1200m11 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.6
3Gosford1000m31 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.5L
3Gosford800m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)1.1L
5Wyong1625m30 Apr 2026 · MID MDN-SW · GOOD43.1L
3Wyong1600m16 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD40.5L
3Wyong1350m28 Mar 2026 · MDN · SOFT50.4L
5Newcastle1400m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN HCP · GOOD43.9L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 28%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw

Comments

AAP

Honest 4yo. Posted a well deserved maiden win this trip at Tuncurry then let down really well at Newcastle second-up. Can challenge again.

ILB

Zipped home into 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Newcastle. Amongst the placegetters at every start this preparation. Has a nice turn of foot. Outside chance.

Shown recent signs of improvement; creditable effort when 14-1 second at Newcastle three weeks ago.

RSIS

Made considerable ground when 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at Newcastle. Been in the top three each attempt of late. Always seems to find the line well.

2El QasabiJ: Jason Collett·T: David Pfieffer658.5kg2 5 1 2 99: 1-2-2$15.00$2.60

Career

9: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1

Last starts

9Newcastle1250m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT58.46L
2Randwick1050m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.6L
1Kembla Grange1500m24 Feb 2026 · MID MDN · GOOD4-0.1
5Kembla Grange1300m17 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.5L
2Wyong1200m25 Jan 2026 · CG&E MDN-SW · GOOD41.7L
5Kembla Grange1000m3 Jan 2026 · MDN SW · GOOD46L
3Wyong1100m20 Dec 2025 · 4yo+ · GOOD42.7L
1Warwick Farm796m8 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial-1.3

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
David Pfieffer striking at just 13%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 20%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Cleared maiden ranks at Kembla Grange 24 Feb. Failed to flatter at Newcastle off long break. Strips in better shape. Can find a few lengths.

ILB

At $8.50 struggled with the pace when 9th last start at Newcastle. Likely to bounce back. Shows very good closing speed. Capable of winning this.

Finished behind Sun To Me back down to this trip when finishing last of nine at Newcastle last month; useful at this level and seems to be improving based on last two runs; can give it a good shot if excused most recent run as achieved handicap success two runs back.

RSIS

Started 15/2 and faded to finish 9th last time at Newcastle. Should bounce back. Should be swooping on the field late. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

3SaplingJ: Winona Costin·T: Nacim Dilmi157.5kg3 4 4 9 111: 1-2-0$1.50$1.02

Career

11: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-1-0

Last starts

1Newcastle800m12 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.2
9Randwick Kensington1250m1 July 2026 · 3UP F&M BM64 HCP · HEAVY818.6L
4Hawkesbury1300m4 June 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT64.7L
4Gosford1200m9 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.4L
3Newcastle800m4 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.6L
5Hawkesbury1100m8 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD44.2L
2Newcastle1000m24 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.4L
1Wyong845m5 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-0.3

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Winona Costin 26% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Winona Costin winning at 12% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 32%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (18-weeks). Capable fresh and latest trial work very good. Drawn to effect. Warrants attention fresh in this company.

ILB

First up after a break. Jumped at $6.50 and faded to finish 9th last start at Randwick Kensington on a heavy track. Should improve from the last run. Has every chance.

First-time blinkers had no impact when last of nine at Randwick four months ago; has had some time off; she's worth a go with a bit more luck as excuses last time (hampered) and has shown some ability on occasion.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. Odds of 11/2 and struggled with the pace when 9th last time at Randwick Kensington on a heavy track. Giving another chance here. Drawn nicely. Should go well.

4CoyoteJ: Grant Buckley·T: Peter D Green456.5kg10 2 5 9 915: 1-2-5$11.00$2.20

Career

15: 1-2-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 0-1-2
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-1
Track Mudgee
1: 0-1-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
7: 0-1-1
Going Good
8: 1-1-4

Last starts

9Hawkesbury1800m23 June 2026 · 3UP CL1 & MDN-SW · SOFT57.9L
9Scone1700m16 May 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD45.6L
5Newcastle1850m23 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · SOFT56.06L
2Mudgee2000m5 Apr 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD34L
10Rosehill1500m21 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · SOFT62.8L
3Newcastle1500m6 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD41.6L
3Newcastle1250m14 Feb 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD44.4L
3Newcastle1400m20 Nov 2025 · Benchmark 68 · SOFT51.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -39%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (19-weeks). In the minors at Newcastle first-up last campaign while cruising through a winning trial at Hawkesbury. Big show fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up from a break of 19 weeks and hit the line well when 3rd first up last preparation at Newcastle. Finishes off strongly. Will find this grade easier. Watch betting.

Finished ninth of 12 at Hawkesbury in June in a conditions race; layoff to overcome.

RSIS

Resuming and did well to run into 3rd resuming last preparation at Newcastle. Will be hitting the line strongly. Success in a trial at Hawkesbury on Oct 20th.

5KoritsiJ: Chad Lever·T: Ms K Gavenlock755kg5 2 1 9 911: 1-1-0$126.00$7.00

Career

11: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
3: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1262m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Hawkesbury1100m8 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.33L
9Hawkesbury1300m4 June 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT614.9L
1Taree1262m5 May 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · HEAVY8-0.4
2Muswellbrook1280m20 Apr 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · GOOD40.8L
5Wyong1350m4 Apr 2026 · Maiden · SOFT63.8L
6Gosford1200m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.1L
4Wyong1200m26 Feb 2026 · 4UP MDN HCP · SOFT52.3L
8Gosford1200m6 Nov 2025 · Maiden · GOOD47.5L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Chad Lever current POT is 15% below Career Avg.
Hot Trainer
Positive
Kylie Gavenlock in good form, out performing market 44%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 33% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened after return. Never sighted at Hawkesbury first run back. Home track advantage but has a tricky draw. Others rate stronger.

ILB

Odds of $101.00 and weakened to finish 9th last run at Hawkesbury. Difficult to warm to at present.

Last of nine over 5½f at Hawkesbury (handicap) last month; others appeal more.

RSIS

At 100/1 didn't find the line when 9th last time at Hawkesbury.

6FireworkJ: Reece Jones·T: Ms L Munce555kg4 8 2 7 615: 1-4-1$14.00$2.45

Career

15: 1-4-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
5: 1-2-0
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
4: 0-2-1
Track Gosford
2: 1-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
6: 1-3-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-3-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Hawkesbury1500m11 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT57.7L
7Newcastle1200m1 Aug 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT54.9L
2Gosford1200m18 July 2026 · CG&E CL1 · HEAVY91.9L
8Hawkesbury1000m2 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT75.6L
4Hawkesbury1500m7 Mar 2026 · CL1 · SOFT56.1L
3Wyong1625m21 Feb 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41.5L
8Kembla Grange1200m28 Jan 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD48.2L
1Gosford1200m9 Jan 2026 · Maiden · GOOD4-1

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Gosford
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (12-weeks). Only win to date was this distance. Capable of making an impact fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Fresh from a break. Started at $9.50 and mediocre performance when 6th last start at Hawkesbury and down in distance. Good chance at a nice price.

Has scored over C&D; beaten a fair way when sixth at Hawkesbury over 7½f (handicap) three months ago; second at Gosford four months ago and ought to be considered.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a break. Started 17/2 and was ordinary when 6th last run at Hawkesbury and will be down in distance. Has definite claims.

7Prince De VegaJ: Shannen Llewellyn·T: J C Deamer255kg1 3 4 3 412: 1-2-3$8.00$1.75

Career

12: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-2-1
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
8: 1-2-2
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Hawkesbury1500m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT74.07L
3Newcastle1250m6 Oct 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD45.71L
4Taree1413m22 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT64.17L
3Coffs Harbour1212m3 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.6L
1Gosford1000m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)-0.3
4Newcastle800m3 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.2L
1Bathurst1400m25 Apr 2026 · MDN HCP · GOOD4-0.1
2Goulburn1200m11 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 32%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Handily placed but lacked the necessary pick-up at Hawkesbury over longer assignment. Drawn to get a soft run and expecting a stronger showing.

ILB

Jumped at $6.50 and came in 4th last time at Hawkesbury. Should improve here and gets a favourable draw. Blinkers go on for the first time but down in trip. Has strong claims.

Not beaten that far at Hawkesbury three weeks ago upped to 7½f; producing solid form figures; passed over.

RSIS

Odds of 11/2 and came in 4th last run at Hawkesbury. Should improve and has a good draw. Blinkers go on for the first time but dropping in distance. Competitive type.

8Damascus CallingJ: Siena Grima·T: Mick Attard355kg4 5 6 7 526: 1-3-4$16.00$2.65

Career

26: 1-3-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Wyong
6: 0-1-0
Track Gosford
2: 0-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
4: 1-2-0
Going Soft
11: 0-1-2

Last starts

5Wyong1200m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP CG&E CL1 HCP · GOOD43.02L
7Kembla Grange1200m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.2L
6Kembla Grange1400m12 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD43.4L
5Hawkesbury1300m11 Aug 2026 · CL1 HCP · SOFT54.7L
4Newcastle1200m1 Aug 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT54.3L
2Gosford1000m18 July 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY90.5L
5Bathurst1800m25 Apr 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD47.1L
6Newcastle1500m11 Apr 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD43.2L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Mick Attard striking at just 1%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 77%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 79% Profit on Turnover
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Long winning drought. Taken back and safely held in shallow field at Wyong over today's trip. Looks up against it.

ILB

On a short turnaround. At $91.00 below par when 5th last start at Wyong. Unlikely to go close.

Managed just one success in his career to date; not beaten that far in fifth (3l) at Wyong a week ago; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Started 90/1 and mediocre attempt when 5th last run at Wyong.

Odds correct as at Thu 5 Nov, 1:20 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 22 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races